4
MARKET INDICATORS RELATIVE TO PRIOR PERIOD CBD/ Downtown Q2 2017 CBD/ Downtown Q3 2017* Suburban Q2 2017 Suburban Q3 2017* VACANCY NET ABSORPTION CONSTRUCTION RENTAL RATE Note: Construction is the change in Under Construction. *Projected Tenants Moving Around in Market, Positioning for Future Research & Forecast Report WEST MICHIGAN | OFFICE Q2 2017 KEY TAKEAWAYS » The Grand Rapids-Wyoming MSA now has an unemployment rate under 3.0% (was 2.8% at the end of May). This is significantly lower than the 4.4% unemployment rate for the nation and 4.2% for the state. » The Grand Rapids office market continued its streak of positive net space absorption, reaching its 26th consecutive quarter. » Total market asking rates increased approximately 16 basis points, however Downtown rates seem to have hit a ceiling for now. » We have seen a number of small and medium-sized office tenants in the suburbs downsize or close, as the remote working trend continues to take hold. » Tenant lease activity has dropped some, as many users are increasingly interested in owning their real estate rather than renting. However, those who are renting are jockeying for position in an increasingly tight and competitive market. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Nationally, the economy continued to add jobs in the second quarter, with an unexpectedly high June net total of 220,000. This represented the 81st consecutive month of growth. Wages grew 2.5% in June compared to a year ago, however this was below the 3.5% goal of the Federal Reserve. Wages, especially in West Michigan, have been one of the last indicators to pick up momentum since the recession ended in 2009. Locally, the Grand Rapids metropolitan area ranked as the number one region in the country for job growth in 2016, according to data collected and recently released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Grand Rapids’ 4.4% growth was more than double the national average of 1.7%. So far in 2017, the region has averaged 2.56% year-over-year growth, showing the trend is still positive, but slowing. Jeff Hainer Senior Research Analyst Glen Gerwatowski Assistant Research Analyst The information contained herein is collected and analyzed by the Colliers International | West Michigan Research Department. CONSTRUCTION TRACKER 275,115 SQUARE FEET 10 PROJECTS OFFICE SPACE UNDER CONSTRUCTION

Tenants Moving Around in Market, Positioning for Future · MARKET INDICATORS RELATIVE TO PRIOR PERIOD CBD/ Downtown Q2 2017 CBD/ Downtown Q3 2017* Suburban Suburban VACANCY NET ABSORPTION

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Page 1: Tenants Moving Around in Market, Positioning for Future · MARKET INDICATORS RELATIVE TO PRIOR PERIOD CBD/ Downtown Q2 2017 CBD/ Downtown Q3 2017* Suburban Suburban VACANCY NET ABSORPTION

MARKET INDICATORSRELATIVE TO PRIOR PERIOD

CBD/Downtown Q2 2017

CBD/ DowntownQ3 2017*

Suburban Q2 2017

Suburban Q3 2017*

VACANCY

NET ABSORPTION

CONSTRUCTION

RENTAL RATE

Note: Construction is the change in Under Construction. *Projected

Tenants Moving Around in Market, Positioning for Future

Research & Forecast Report

WEST MICHIGAN | OFFICEQ2 2017

KEY TAKEAWAYS » The Grand Rapids-Wyoming MSA now has an

unemployment rate under 3.0% (was 2.8% at the end of May). This is signifi cantly lower than the 4.4% unemployment rate for the nation and 4.2% for the state.

» The Grand Rapids offi ce market continued its streak of positive net space absorption, reaching its 26th consecutive quarter.

» Total market asking rates increased approximately 16 basis points, however Downtown rates seem to have hit a ceiling for now.

» We have seen a number of small and medium-sized offi ce tenants in the suburbs downsize or close, as the remote working trend continues to take hold.

» Tenant lease activity has dropped some, as many users are increasingly interested in owning their real estate rather than renting. However, those who are renting are jockeying for position in an increasingly tight and competitive market.

ECONOMIC OVERVIEWNationally, the economy continued to add jobs in the second quarter, with an unexpectedly high June net total of 220,000. This represented the 81st consecutive month of growth. Wages grew 2.5% in June compared to a year ago, however this was below the 3.5% goal of the Federal Reserve. Wages, especially in West Michigan, have been one

of the last indicators to pick up momentum since the recession ended in 2009.

Locally, the Grand Rapids metropolitan area ranked as the number one

region in the country for job growth in 2016, according to data collected and recently released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Grand Rapids’ 4.4% growth was more than double the national average of 1.7%. So far in 2017, the region has averaged 2.56% year-over-year growth, showing the trend is still positive, but slowing.

Jeff Hainer Senior Research AnalystGlen Gerwatowski Assistant Research AnalystThe information contained herein is collected and analyzed by the Colliers International | West Michigan Research Department.

CONSTRUCTION TRACKER

275,115SQUARE FEET

10PROJECTS

OFFICE SPACE UNDER CONSTRUCTION

Page 2: Tenants Moving Around in Market, Positioning for Future · MARKET INDICATORS RELATIVE TO PRIOR PERIOD CBD/ Downtown Q2 2017 CBD/ Downtown Q3 2017* Suburban Suburban VACANCY NET ABSORPTION

2 West Michigan Research & Forecast Report | Q2 2017 | Offi ce | Colliers International

80

4Q16 1Q17 2Q17

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

LEASES SALES % OF TOTAL MARKET ACTIVITY

300 OTTAWA

8 Floors

131,000 Total SF

35,099 Available SF

200 OTTAWA

10 Floors

178,700 Total SF

18,555 Available SF

25 OTTAWA

5 Floors

81,041 Total SF

0 Available SF

45 OTTAWA

11 Floors

111,423 Total SF

0 Available SF 38 COMMERCE

7 Floors

44,900 Total SF

15,787 Available SF

333 BRIDGE ST

17 Floors

353,252 Total SF

53,322 Available SF

Parking

Parking

99 MONROE

12 Floors

186,957 Total SF

3,641 Available SF 250 MONROE

9 Floors

171,000 Total SF

87,380 Available SF

171 MONROE

10 Floors

166,244 Total SF

2,998 Available SF

169 MONROE

3 Floors

23,388 Total SF

9,581 Available SF

Parking

161 OTTAWA

6 Floors

131,953 Total SF

43,338 Available SF

Residential

2

3

4

5

6

78

9

10

11

= Available SpaceUnder Renovation

1

A key metric used to analyze the health of the local offi ce market is the MADA Offi ce Furniture Index; a measure of orders, shipments, investment, and costs as provided by local offi ce furniture manufacturers. April’s survey returned an index rating of 55.41, which is above the historical average of 54.89. A rating above 50 represents positive sentiment. This generally equates to companies expanding or refreshing their offi ce space.

MARKET ACTIVITYAfter more than 100,000 square feet of net positive absorption in the fi rst quarter, the Grand Rapids offi ce market saw another 108,574 square feet absorbed in the second quarter, bringing the mid-year total to 210,265 square feet. The downtown vacancy rate continues to hover around 10% and the suburban total is now 16%.

Of the market’s 12 submarkets, all but three saw an increase in average asking rates. We predicted the downtown market would reach a resistance point around $20 per square foot (Modifi ed Gross), and we have seen that come to fruition so far this year. Many tenants

have decided to exercise renewal options rather than relocate, due

to recent increases in market rates. With the cost of construction still high and demand for modern spaces pent-up, we expect rental rates to remain fi rm in the near-term.

Several companies moved or announced plans to move from downtown out to the suburbs. Compass Insurance Agency moved to 280 Ann Street NW from 525 Ottawa Avenue NW, tripling their footprint to 15,000 square feet. Additionally, Management Business Solutions moved to 2935 Buchanan Ave SW from 77 Monroe Center downtown, increasing their footprint from 1,200 square feet to 8,200 square feet. Desire to expand as well as lack of convenient parking downtown was cited as factors in the decisions.

Conversely, Integrated Architecture announced plans to move its offi ces from 4090 Lake Drive SE in Kentwood to 840 Ottawa Avenue NW, downtown. The new headquarters will be 13,600 square feet and the fi rm will make a small addition to the building. The fi rm is planning on investing nearly $1.5 million into the property, and is seeking an Obsolete Property Rehabilitation Exemption from the city to help off set some of those costs.

Moving within the downtown area was Legal Aid of Western Michigan, moving out of 89 Ionia NW to 25 Division Avenue S.

- Continued on page 4

VACANCY RATES

DOWNTOWN SKYLINE

OFFICE MARKET ACTIVITY

WEIGHTED AVERAGE ASKING RATE

29%

25%

21%

17%

13%

9%

5%2Q14

CBD SUBURBAN COMBINED

4Q14 2Q15 4Q15 2Q16 4Q16 2Q17

Q2 2014 - Q2 2017

AS OF 7/1/17

KENT COUNTY

PER CORRIDOR

SOURCE: RESEARCH DEPARTMENT, COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | WEST MICHIGAN

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

CBD

Airp

ort A

rea

Burt

on/B

reto

n

Casc

ade

Cent

enia

l Par

k

East

Bel

tline

East

Par

is

Nort

heas

t

Nort

hwes

t

Sout

heas

t

Sout

hwes

t

Dow

ntow

n

Page 3: Tenants Moving Around in Market, Positioning for Future · MARKET INDICATORS RELATIVE TO PRIOR PERIOD CBD/ Downtown Q2 2017 CBD/ Downtown Q3 2017* Suburban Suburban VACANCY NET ABSORPTION

3 West Michigan Research & Forecast Report | Q2 2017 | Offi ce | Colliers International

GREATER DOWNTOWNCBD* 60 3,725,015 422,350 11.34% 3,302,665 7,587 $20.59 $20.50

Downtown 38 1,892,419 155,700 8.23% 1,736,719 19,262 $19.61 $19.61

DOWNTOWN TOTAL 98 5,617,434 578,050 10.29% 4,949,899 26,849 $20.25 $20.17

SUBURBANAirport Area 22 805,096 260,897 32.41% 544,199 -9,797 $11.06 $11.81

Burton/Breton 32 682,008 155,794 22.84% 526,214 44,775 $14.66 $14.14

Cascade 95 2,066,780 223,608 10.82% 1,843,172 -3,421 $12.40 $13.36

Centennial Park 33 1,034,555 133,644 12.92% 900,911 -2,980 $15.26 $15.20

E Beltline Corridor 61 1,388,002 199,889 14.40% 1,188,113 11,908 $14.76 $15.24

E Paris Corridor 61 1,664,183 154,005 9.25% 1,510,178 -2,334 $16.91 $17.15

Northeast 46 616,391 99,683 16.17% 516,708 7,140 $14.62 $15.26

Northwest 60 779,788 192,645 24.70% 587,143 12,919 $13.74 $14.43

Southeast 98 2,259,808 434,805 19.24% 1,825,003 2,227 $13.04 $13.53

Southwest 99 1,897,967 256,047 13.49% 1,641,920 21,288 $13.15 $13.50

SUBURBAN TOTAL 607 13,194,578 2,111,017 16.00% 11,083,561 81,725 $13.71 $14.13

MARKET TOTALS 705 18,812,012 2,689,067 14.29% 16,122,945 108,574 $15.26 $15.50 Past statistics are subject to quarterly adjustments to improve accuracy going forward. All rates calculated on a Modifi ed Gross basis.

* Vacancy correction has been made to 161 Ottawa Avenue NW

LEASING ACTIVITYPROPERTY NAME SIZE (SF) TENANT CITY

1345 Monroe Avenue NWSuite 320 2,069

Forensic Analytical

Consulting Services

Grand Rapids

99 Monroe Avenue NW (Expansion) 1,891

Custer Workplace

InteriorsGrand Rapids

551 36th Street SE 6,050 Hope Network Grand Rapids

1525 East Beltline Avenue SE 4,115

ClearWater Counseling & Wellness, LLC

Grand Rapids

32 Market Avenue SW 2,769 Securitas Security

Grand Rapids

829 Forest Hill Avenue SE

32 Market Avenue SW

SALE ACTIVITYPROPERTY NAME SIZE (SF) SALE PRICE CITY

3330 Claystone Street SE 7,428 $700,000 Grand Rapids

829 Forest Hill Avenue SE 17,630 $1,550,000 Grand

Rapids

1111 40th Street SE 16,732 $412,000 Grand Rapids

851 Leonard Street NW & 850/860 Courtney Street NW 11,742 $685,000 Grand

Rapids

570 E. Division Avenue NE 7,243 $815,000 Rockford

OFFICE MARKET STATISTICS

SUBMARKETNUMBER OF BUILDINGS

EXISTING INVENTORY

(SF)VACANCY

(SF) VACANCY RATEOCCUPIED

SPACE (SF)

NET ABSORPTION Q2 2017 (SF)

Q1 2017 WEIGHTED AVG ASKING RATE

Q2 2017 WEIGHTED AVG ASKING RATE

Page 4: Tenants Moving Around in Market, Positioning for Future · MARKET INDICATORS RELATIVE TO PRIOR PERIOD CBD/ Downtown Q2 2017 CBD/ Downtown Q3 2017* Suburban Suburban VACANCY NET ABSORPTION

CONSTRUCTIONThe downtown market continues to see new offi ce space added to the inventory. During the second quarter, Adtegrity moved into just under 20,000 square feet of offi ce space that was recently built above New Holland Brewing’s The Knickerbocker. Rockford Construction also has broken ground on a mixed-use development just down the road at Bridge Street and Stocking Avenue that will include 56,000 square feet of offi ce space. Approximately 20,000 of that is already committed-to by the West Michigan Center for Arts + Technology (WMCAT). Additionally, Orion Construction broker ground in June on their mixed-use development project located at 150 Ottawa Ave NW, which will include 120,000 square feet of offi ce space.

Orion Construction offi cially broke ground on the new mixed-use development at 150 Ottawa Ave NW downtown, which will contain 120,000 square feet of offi ce space. The building will house law fi rm Warner Norcross & Judd, as they relocate from 111 Lyon St NW. The building is expected to be ready for occupancy in 2019.

In addition to new construction, many buildings have gone through

or are planned for renovation. The 171,000-square-foot Calder Plaza Building at 250 Monroe Avenue NW has undergone signifi cant upgrades, which resulted in the commitment of Bank of America to consolidate a number of offi ces into the building. Additionally, 330,000-square-foot 111 Lyon Street NW is slated to undergo a similar transformation, and the currently-vacant 50 Monroe building will be re-split and converted into an AC Hotel and renovated offi ce building. 50 Monroe was one of four properties recently green-lit for Brownfi eld tax credits.

In the suburbs, the Atrium Building at 3351 Claystone Street SE underwent a major renovation and saw SalesPad expand into a new 30,000-square-foot space after taking an ownership interest in the building. They moved out of approximately 17,000 square feet on the East Beltline. Additionally, First Companies announced the purchase of four acres to continue to expand their Heritage Pointe offi ce campus on East Paris Avenue near Cascade Road.

Copyright © 2017 Colliers International.The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable eff ort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.

Colliers International | West Michigan333 Bridge Street NW, Suite 1200Grand Rapids, MI 49504+1 616 774 3500

colliers.com/westmichiganmedium.com/@collierswestmichigan

Colliers International | Holland44 E. 8th Street, Suite 510Holland, MI 49423+1 616 394 4500

Colliers International | Lansing246 E. Saginaw Street, Lansing, MI 48823+1 517 512 7400

WEST MICHIGAN OFFICE TEAMFOR MORE INFORMATION

Jeff Hainer

Senior Research AnalystDIR +1 616 988 5811jeff [email protected]

Glen Gerwatowski

Assistant Research AnalystDIR +1 616 988 [email protected]

Gary Albrecht

Senior AssociateDIR 616 242 [email protected]

Gabe Audu

AssociateDIR 616 242 [email protected]

Tom DeBoer SIOR, CCIM

Senior Vice PresidentDIR 616 988 [email protected]

Kris DePree

President | HollandDIR 616 355 [email protected]

Deb Middleton

Executive AssistantDIR 616 988 [email protected]

Scott Morgan JD

Senior Vice PresidentDIR 616 988 [email protected]

Jason Webb CCIM

Associate Vice PresidentDIR 616 988 [email protected]

David Wiener

Senior Vice PresidentDIR 616 988 [email protected]

Offi ces located in

68 countries on

6 continents with

15,000 professionals.$2.6* billion in annual brokerage revenue

2 billion square feet under management

72,000 sale & lease transactions

with a total transaction value of

$105 billion.*All statistics are for 2016, are in

U.S. dollars and include affi liates.