Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    1/35

    ChinaASEANandtheSouthChinaSea:

    ChineseAssertivenessandSoutheastAsianResponses

    CarlyleA.Thayer

    Paper to international conference on

    Major and Policy Issues in the South China Sea:

    European and American Perspectives

    cosponsored by

    Institute of European and American Studies and

    Centre for AsiaPacific Studies, Academia SinicaTaipei, Taiwan

    October 69, 2011

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    2/35

    2

    ChinaASEANandtheSouthChinaSea:ChineseAssertivenessandSoutheastAsianResponses

    CarlyleA.Thayer*

    Introduction

    During the firsthalfof 2011China embarkedonpattern of aggressively asserting its

    sovereigntyclaimsintheSouthChinaSeabytargetingthecommercialoperationsofoil

    explorationshipsinwatersclaimedbythePhilippinesandVietnam.Chinasactionsnot

    only raised regional tensions but alsoprovoked the Philippines to alignmore closely

    with theUnited States and take steps to beef up its capacity for territorial defence.

    Vietnamrespondedbycalculateddisplaysofresolvetodefendnationalsovereignty.

    DuringthesecondhalfoftheyeartensionsovertheSouthChinaSeabegantosubside.

    China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) finally agreed to

    guidelinestoimplementthe2002DeclarationonConductofPartiesintheSouthChina

    Sea (DOC).China also initiated a roundofdiplomacywith the Philippinesby inviting

    PresidentBenignoAquinoIIItoBeijing.VietnamsentaspecialenvoytoChinaandboth

    sidesexchangedaflurryofhighleveldelegations.TheSecretaryGeneraloftheVietnam

    CommunistPartyisexpectedtovisitChinalaterthisyear.

    Thispaperreviewspoliticalandmilitarydevelopments relatedtotheSouthChinaSea

    duringthefirstninemonthsof2011.Itisorganisedintoeightparts.Partonediscusses

    Chineseassertivenessdirectedat thePhilippines inthe firsthalfof theyear.Part two

    reviews the responses by the Philippines. Part three discusses Chinese assertiveness

    directed at Vietnam during the first half of the year. Part four reviews Vietnams

    responses.PartfiveconsiderstheadoptionofguidelinesfortheDeclarationonConduct

    ofParties

    in

    the

    South

    China

    Sea.

    Part

    six

    analyses

    relations

    between

    China

    and

    the

    *CarlyleA.ThayerisEmeritusProfessorintheSchoolofHumanitiesandSocialSciences,TheUniversityof

    New South Wales at the Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra, ACT 2600 Australia. Email:

    [email protected] .

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    3/35

    3

    Philippines in thepostDOCGuidelinesperiod.Part seven analyses relationsbetween

    ChinaandVietnaminthesameperiod.Parteightofferssomeconcludingobservations.

    1.ChineseassertivenessandthePhilippines(JanuaryJune)

    Accordingto

    the

    Philippines

    Department

    of

    Foreign

    Affairs,

    China

    increased

    its

    presence

    and activities in the Spratly Islands in the fourth quarter of 2010.1 This increased

    presence led to six incursions intowaters claimed by the Philippines in the first five

    monthsof2011.2 ChineseactionsledthePhilippinestoofficiallydeclareitswatersthe

    WestPhilippineSea.Thissectionreviewstheseincidentsandthediplomaticresponses

    bythePhilippines.

    Major

    Incidents

    of

    Chinese

    Assertiveness

    Threemajor incidentsstandout.On25February,threePhilippinesfishingvessels,F/V

    JaimeDLS,F/VMamaLydiaDLSandF/VMaricris12,wereoperating inthewatersoffJacksonAtoll one hundred and forty nauticalmileswest of Palawan. According to a

    reportpreparedbytheArmedForcesofthePhilippines(AFP),thefishingvesselswere

    approachedbyaJianghuVClassmissilefrigate,Dongguan560,whichbroadcastoverits

    marinebandradio,ThisisChineseWarship560.YouareintheChineseterritory.Leave

    the

    area

    immediately.

    Then

    the

    frigate

    repeatedly

    broadcast,

    I

    will

    shoot

    you.

    3

    As

    the

    fishingvesselsbegantowithdraw,theChinesefrigatefiredthreeshotsthatlanded0.3

    nauticalmiles(556meters)fromF/VMaricris12.TheF/VMaricris12lefttheareabut

    then returned threedays later to recover itsanchor that itcut in itshastydeparture.

    TheF/VMaricris12spottedthreeChinesefishingvesselsexploitingmarineresourcesinthearea.ThePhilippinegovernmentreportedlydidnotfileaprotestwiththeChinese

    Embassyover this incident.4TheChineseAmbassador to thePhilippines, Liu Jianchao

    1MaxDeLeonandEstrellaTorres,BusinessstepsintoendSpratlysrow,ABSCBNNews,3June2011.

    2JerryE.EsplanadaandTaraQuismundo,AbidebyUNpact,Chinatold,PhilippineDailyInquirer,3June2011. ThePhilippineshasnotofficially released its list.Governmentofficials initially referred to sixor

    sevenincidentsandcurrentlytheyclaimnineincidents.

    3TessaJamandre,ChinafiredatFilipinofishermeninJacksonatoll,ABSCBNNews,3June2011.

    4AureaCalica,PHLtotakeChineseincursionstotheUnitedNations,ThePhilippineStar,4June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    4/35

    4

    laterdeniedthatanyChinesevesselhadfiredonFilipinofishermen.5

    The secondmajor incident took place on 2Marchwhen two Chinesewhitepainted

    patrolboats,No.71andNo.75,orderedMVVeritasVoyager,aForumEnergyPlcsurveyvessel

    operating

    in

    the

    Reed

    Bank

    area

    off

    Palawan

    Island,

    to

    leave

    and

    twice

    manoeuvred close in what appeared a threat to ram theMV Veritas Voyager.6 Thesurvey shipwasFrenchowned and registered in Singapore. Itwas forced to suspend

    operationsandleavethearea.

    ThePhilippinesrespondedbydispatchingtwoOV10aircrafttoinvestigate.TheChinese

    boatsdepartedwithout further incident.ForeignAffairsUndersecretaryErlindaBasilio

    lodgedaprotestwithChineseChargedAffairs,BaiTian,on4March.Accordingtoone

    reportthenoteraisedfourpointstoprovethatReedBankisnotpartofthedisputed

    areabyprojectingeightyfivenauticalmilesfromthebasepointinthenorthernpartof

    PalawanandnotfromtheKalayaan IslandGroup(KIG).Chinaquestionedthisduringa

    meetingwiththePhilippines,butdidnotreplyinadiplomaticnote.7

    After the incident, thePhilippinesannounceda temporaryhalt toseismic testingand

    orderedthePhilippineNavyandPhilippinesCoastGuardtoescortthesurveyshipwhen

    testingresumed.

    8

    Later,

    President

    Aquino

    instructed

    the

    Philippine

    Coast

    Guard

    to

    providesecurityforoilandgasexplorationactivitiesintheKIG.9

    5JimGomez,Chinawarnsneighbors:StopoilsearchinSpratlys,AssociatedPress,9June2011.

    6BritishBroadcastingNews(BBC)News,AsiaPacific,PhilippineshaltstestsafterChinapatrolchallenge,

    8March2011;NicholasHeathandDanielTenKate,VietnamSaysChineseBoatHarassedPetroVietnam

    Survey Ship, Bloomberg Businessweek, 9 June 2011; Aurea Calica, Palace in no hurry to file China

    protest, The Philippine Star, 21May 2011 and Tessa Jamandre, China fired at Filipino fishermen inJackson

    atoll,

    ABS

    CBN

    News,

    3June

    2011.

    The

    Sampaguita

    gasfield

    in

    the

    Reed

    Bank

    is

    estimated

    to

    containbetween3.4trilliontotwentytrillioncubicfeetofnaturalgas;CarpsamongtheSpratlys,TheEconomist,10March2011,onlineedition.

    7TessaJamandre,ChinafiredatFilipinofishermeninJacksonatoll,ABSCBNNews,3June2011

    8AgenceFrancePresse (AFP), China stakes claimondisputed islandsafter spats,9March2011and

    AureaCalica,PalaceinnohurrytofileChinaprotest,ThePhilippineStar,21May2011.9CoastGuardtosecureoilexplorationinKalayaanislandgroup,GMANewsTV,19April2011.TheKIG

    containsninegeologicalfeatures:Balagtas(IrvingReef),Kota(Loaita),Lawak(Nanshan),Likas(WestYork),

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    5/35

    5

    The thirdmajor incident tookplace on 24Maywhen Filipino fishermenwitnessed a

    China Maritime Surveillance vessel and Peoples Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) ships

    unloadingsteelposts,buildingmaterialsandabuoynearLikasandPatag islands,near

    Iroquois ReefAmy Douglas Bank one hundred nautical miles off Palawan.10

    The

    fishermenreportedtheirsightingtotheAFPthenextday.NavyHeadquartersinManila

    orderedashiptoverifythesightingbutbadweatherdelayeditsarrivaluntil29Mayby

    whichtimetheChineseshipshaddeparted.Localfishermenremovedthesteelpollsand

    handedthemovertoauthorities.

    TheAFP reported this incidenton27May, fourdays later theDepartmentofForeign

    AffairssummonedtheChineseChargedAffairestoseekaclarificationoftheincident.

    On1June

    the

    Philippines

    conveyed

    serious

    concerns

    in

    aNote

    Verbale

    to

    the

    Chinese

    Embassy.Thenotestated,Theseshipsreportedlyunloadedbuildingmaterials,erected

    anundeterminednumberofposts,andplacedabuoynearthebreakeroftheIroquois

    Bank.11

    TheChineseEmbassyresponded,ThereportedincursionofChineseships is

    not trueItsonlyChinasmarine research ship conductingnormalmaritime research

    activities in the SouthChina Sea.12

    Speakingon aTV forum that sameday,Defense

    SecretaryVoltaireGazminobserved,Itsalarming inthesensethatthe intrusionsare

    increasing.They

    are

    staking

    claim

    on

    the

    areas

    where

    we

    do

    not

    have

    apresence.

    They

    Pagasa (Thitu),,Panata (Lankiam),Parola (NortheastCay),Patag Island (Flat Island isalsoconsidereda

    partoftheSpratlys)andRizal(CommodoreReef).

    10 Jun Pasaylo, China surveillance ships roam Phlwaters, The Philippine Star, 1 June 2011; Simone

    Orendain,PhilippinesSeeksAnswersAboutLatestSouthChinaSeaIncident,VoiceofAmericaNews,1

    June 2011; Katherine Evangelista, Philippinesmilitary to act with diplomacy over Spratlys dispute

    defense chief, Philippine Daily Inquirer, 1 June 2011; Johana Paola d. Poblete, Philippines preparingissuesforUNaboutChinaintrusions,BusinessWorld,2June2011reports;ChinadeniesinvasionofSouthChinaSea,ABSCNNews,2June2011;AFP,PhilippinesgovtproteststoChinaoveroilplans in

    SouthChina

    Sea,

    TheChinaPost,2June2011andJerryE.EsplanadaandTarraQuismundo,AbidebyUN

    pact,Chinatold,PhilippineDailyInquirer,3June2011.11

    QuotedbyGMANews,DFAconveysprotesttoBeijingoverChinesevessels,GMANewsTV,4 June

    2011.Seealso:PiaLeeBrago,ChinaBuildinginPHLWaters;DFASummonedEnvoy,ThePhilippineStar,2June2011.TessaJamandre,ChinafiredatFilipinofishermeninJacksonatoll,ABSCBNNews,3June

    2011reportednoNoteVerbalewasgiventotheChineseChargedAffairesatthe31Maymeeting.

    12GMANews,DFA:StrongerseacodetopreventrepeatofMischiefReef,GMANewsTV,2June2011

    andChinadeniesincursionintoWestPhilippineSea,ThePhilippineStar,3June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    6/35

    6

    wanttohoisttheirflagsotheycanclaimthearea.13

    ForeignAffairsSecretaryAlbertdel

    RosariochargedthatanynewconstructionbyChina inthevicinityoftheuninhabited

    IroquoisBank is a clear violationof the 2002Associationof SoutheastAsianNations

    (ASEAN)ChinaDeclarationontheConductofParties(DOC)intheSouthChinaSea.14

    Theotherthreeincidentswererelativelyminorincomparison:

    Incidenton 6May: a Chinesemarine vesselwith a flat bedwas sighted inAbadSantos(Bombay)Shoal.

    15

    Incidenton11May:theAFPclaimedthattwoChinesejetfightersallegedlyflewintoPhilippinesairspacenearPalawan.

    16

    Incidenton21May:ChineseMarineSurveillanceshipNo.75andSalvage/ResearchShipNo.707wereobservedheadingtowardSouthernBank.

    17

    ChinaLaunchesMegaDrillingPlatform

    Inaddition totheabove incidents, inMarch2011China launchedamegaoilandgas

    drillingplatformtobeusedbytheChinaNationalOffshoreOilCorporation(CNOOC)in

    theSouthChinaSea.TherigfreesChinaofdependenceonforeignownedcontractors

    fordeep

    sea

    drilling.

    The

    rig

    is

    capable

    of

    exploring

    waters

    up

    to

    3,000

    metres

    in

    depth,

    a capability that neither the Philippines nor Vietnam possesses.18

    Chinese sources

    indicatedthattherigwouldbeginoperations intheSouthChinaSea later intheyear

    13 Dona Z. Pazzibugan, Chinese intrusions in PHclaimed parts of Spratlys alarming, says Gazmin,

    PhilippinesDailyInquirer,2June201114

    PiaLeeBrago,ChinaBuildinginPHLWaters;DFASummonedEnvoy,ThePhilippineStar,2June2011.15

    TessaJamandre,ChinafiredatFilipinofishermeninJacksonatoll,ABSCBNNews,3June2011.

    16

    This

    initial

    report

    was

    never

    confirmed

    and

    appears

    the

    least

    substantiated

    of

    the

    six

    incidents

    of

    reportedChineseincursions.ChinesejetsintrudedintoPHspaceAFP,PhilippineDailyInquirer,20May2011;TwounidentifiedaircraftseenoverSpratlysAFP,GMANewsTV,21May2011;AFPvalidates

    Kalayaanislandsaircraftsightingincident,PhilippineInformationAgencyPressRelease,23May2011and

    JimGomez,China,PhilippineswarnrivalsonSpratlys,TheChinaPost,24May2011.17

    TessaJamandre,ChinafiredatFilipinofishermeninJacksonatoll,ABSCBNNews,3June2011.

    18MichaelRichardson,Chinabringsout thebig rig inenergy race,TheAustralianFinancialReview,1

    June2010andMichaelRichardson,Chinastepsupdrilling,intimidationTheJapanTimes,1June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    7/35

    7

    and therebyenableChina toestablishamajorpresence in thearea.On27May, the

    PhilippinesDepartmentofForeignAffairs(DFA)summonedChineseofficialstoconvey

    itsconcernabout theplanned locationof themega rig.Philippinesofficialsasked the

    Chinesediplomatstheexactplannedlocationofthenewoilrigandstatedthatitshould

    notbeplacedinPhilippineterritoryorwaters.19

    SubmissiontotheUnitedNations

    On5April,thePhilippineMissiontotheUnitedNationssubmittedaletterinresponse

    toChinasNotesVerbalesof7May2009(CML/17/2009andCML/18/2009)restatingthe

    Philippinesclaim tosovereigntyover theKalayaan IslandGroup,adjacentwatersand

    geologicalfeatures(relevantwaters,seabedandsubsoil).20

    Chinarespondedon14April

    withaNote

    Verbale

    to

    the

    United

    Nations

    that

    accused

    the

    Philippines

    of

    invading

    and

    occupying some islands and reefs of Chinas Nansha Islands... The Republic of the

    Philippinesoccupationofsome islandsand reefsofChinasNansha islandsaswellas

    other related acts constitutes an infringementuponChinas territorial sovereignty.21

    TheChineseNoteVerbalealsoarguedthatonthebasisofdomesticlegislationChinas

    Nansha Islands is fully entitled to Territorial Sea, EEZ [Exclusive Economic Zone] and

    ContinentalShelf.22

    2.ResponsesbythePhilippinestoChineseAssertiveness(JanuaryJune)

    In addition to the diplomatic protests lodgedwith China discussed above, President

    AquinorespondedtoChineseassertivenessbyallocatingincreasedfundstomodernise

    19PiaLeeBrago,ChinaBuildinginPHLWaters;DFASummonedEnvoy,ThePhilippineStar,2June2011.

    20 PhilippineMission to theUnitedNations, letter to the SecretaryGeneralof heUnitedNations,11

    00494,No.000228,NewYork,5April2011.Seealso:AFP,PhilippinesprotestsChinasSpratlysclaimat

    UN,13April2011;TessaJamandre,PHLprotestsChinesemapclaimingSpratlyIslands,GMANewsTV,

    13April

    2011

    and

    Jerry

    E.

    Esplanada,

    PH

    runs

    to

    UN

    to

    protest

    Chinas

    9

    dash

    line

    Spratlys

    claims,

    PhilippineDailyInquirer,15April2011.21

    QuotedbyTessaJamandre,ChinaaccusesPHofinvasion,ABCCBNNews,19April2011andTeresa

    Cerojano,BeijingcountersManilasUNprotest,saysPhilippines started to invadeSpratlys in1970s,

    AssociatedPress,19April2011.

    22 The Chinese Note Verbale specifically mentioned the Law of the Peoples Republic of China on

    TerritorialSeaandContiguousZone(1992),theLawontheExclusiveEconomicZoneandtheContinental

    ShelfofthePeoplesRepublicofChina(1998)aswellasthe1982UNConventiononLawoftheSea.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    8/35

    8

    theArmed Force of the Philippines, lobbying hisASEAN colleagues to form a united

    frontbehindaSouthChinaSeaCodeofConductasthebestwaytoapproachrelations

    with China, increasing defence cooperation with the United States and continued

    diplomaticpressureonChina.

    ForceModernizationforTerritorialDefence

    In2011thePhilippinesdefenceandmilitaryagenciesbegandrawingupanewdefence

    strategy in response to developments in the South China Sea. The new strategy is

    focusedonbothinternalsecurityoperationsandexternalterritorialdefence.AFPchief

    GeneralEduardoObansaidthemilitarywasplanningtosetupacoastwatchsystemon

    thewesternseaboard in thenext two to threeyears tomonitorandsecuremaritime

    bordersand

    natural

    resources.23

    On28March,GeneralObanannouncedthatthePhilippineshadincreasedairandnaval

    patrols intheSouthChinaSeaandhadplanstoupgradeRancudoAirFieldonPagAsa

    (Thitu)islandandrepairbarracks.24

    TheAFPwasallocatedUS$183millioninfundsfrom

    theUS$1billionCapabilityUpgradeProgramtopurchasetwooffshorefastpatrolboats,

    longrangemaritimeaircraft, surveillanceandcommunicationequipment includingair

    defenceandcoastalradarstobetterprotectitsterritory.25

    PresidentAquinohadearlier

    releasedUS$255milliontothearmedforces.

    In May, a Philippine navy study recommended the acquisition of submarines as a

    deterrentagainstfuturepotentialconflicts.26

    InAugust2011,thePhilippinesacquired

    theU.S.CoastGuardCutterUSCGCHamilton.TheHamilton,renamedBRPGregoriodel

    23ChinadeniesincursionintoWestPhilippineSea,ThePhilippinesStar,3June2011.

    24JaimeLaude,AFPtomaintainpresenceinSpratlys,ThePhilippineStar,29March2011.

    25JonGrevatt,PhilippinestoinvestUSD183millionindefenceofSpratlyIslands,JanesDefenceWeekly,

    30 March 2011; Reuters, Philippines steps up presence in South China Sea, 28 March 2011 and

    AssociatedPress,PhilippinestobolsterwatchindisputedSpratlys,BloombergBusinessweek,28March

    2011.

    26KatherineEvangelista, Philippineseye submarines toboostnavy,PhilippineDaily Inquirer,17May

    2001.TheprospectofthePhilippinesacquiringsubmarinesisremote.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    9/35

    9

    Pilar, isexpected topatroldisputedwaters in the SouthChina Sea.27

    The Philippines

    expects to takedeliveryof a secondU.S.CoastGuardCutter and threenewTaiwan

    manufactured MultiPurpose Attack Craft in 2012.28

    The Philippines also hopes to

    purchasesixjetfighters.

    InJune itwasreportedthatthePhilippinesEmbassy inWashingtonwas inthemarket

    for excess defence equipment from the US under its Foreign Military Sales (FMS)

    program includingoneormorepatrol ships.29

    ThePhilippines alsoannounced anew

    U.S. training program for its naval forces to enable them to better carry out their

    missionofprovidingsecurityforoilexplorationactivitiesintheSouthChinaSea.30

    Lobbying

    ASEAN

    Members

    On 8March, PresidentAquino paid an official visit to Indonesiawhere hemetwith

    President Bambang Susilo Yudhoyono. At ajoint press conference after their talks,

    PresidentAquinoexpressedhissupportforIndonesiasleadershiproleasASEANChair.

    President Yudhoyono said Indonesia as ASEAN Chairwould bring the Spratly Islands

    issue to the forthcomingASEANSummitandEastAsiaSummit.PresidentYudhoyono

    expressed his hope that the South China Sea could become a zone of possible

    economiccooperation.PresidentAquinoreplied,Withregardtojointexploration[in

    thearea], that isan ideathathasbeenproposeda fewdecadespastbutperhapswe

    shouldcontinuethetalkswithotherclaimantcountries.Thereisnoroomforunilateral

    actioninthatparticularregion.31

    27PhilippinessettodeploynewpatrolshiptoKalayaanIslands,ManilaBulletin,14April2011andAFP,

    PhilippinestoboostsSpratlypatrols,ChannelNewsAsia,15April2011.TheUSCGCHamilton,aWeather

    High Endurance Cutter, was renamed the BRP Gregorio del Pilar and will be the largest ship in thePhilippinenavy;MarichuA.Villanueva,KeepingPhlNavyafloat,ThePhilippineStar,16May2011.28

    Reuters,Philippinessayswillspend$255minonmilitaryhelicopters,boats,13April2011andAgenceFrancePresse,PhilippineshopesseadisputewithChinashouldease,September3,2011.

    29MichaelLimUbac,PhilippinesshopsforUSmilitarygear,PhilippineDailyInquirer,5June2011.

    30ShirleyEscalante,Philippines increasesecurity foroilexploration,AustraliaNetworkNews,28April

    2011.

    31QuotedbyAdiantoP.Simamora,SBY,AquinoagreeontalksoverSpratlys,TheJakartaPost,9March

    2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    10/35

    10

    On1 June,PresidentAquinopaidanofficialvisittoBruneiDarussalam fordiscussions

    with Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah. According to Presidential Communications Operations

    SecretaryHerminioColomaJr.,thetwoleadersexpressedtheirdesiretomaintainpeace

    andstability intheSouthChinaSeathroughamultilateraldialogueamongtheASEAN

    countries,claimantcountriesandChina.ClomaquotedtheSultanasstatingitsbestto

    havegoodrelationswithChina.32

    President Aquino told the reporters covering his visit: We govern ourselves there

    [Spratly Islands/KIG]. InsteadofonecountryhasabilateralagreementwithChinaand

    theotherhasadifferentbilateralagreementwithChina.Letscometogetherasabody.

    Whydowehave to fightor increaseallof these tensionswhen itprofitsnobody?33

    Aquinoalso

    renewed

    his

    call

    for

    the

    immediate

    adoption

    of

    the

    implementing

    guidelines

    on the DOC.34

    The following day, 12 June, EduardoMalaya, a spokesperson for the

    DepartmentofForeignAffairs,calledforamorebindingCodeofConductofPartiesin

    theSouthChinaSeainresponsetoChineseintrusionsintoPhilippinewaters.

    During his state visit to Brunei President Aquino revealed that the Philippines was

    preparing to filea complaint to theUnitedNations in response toChinese intrusions

    into its territory.According toAquino, We are completing thedataon about six to

    seveninstancessinceFebruary.Wewillpresentitto[China]andthenbringthesetothe

    appropriatebody,whichnormallyistheUnitedNations.35

    TheAquinoAdministrationis

    supportingtwo legislativemeasures inresponsetoChinasassertiveness intheSpratly

    Islands. TheHouseofRepresentativeisdrawingupthePhilippineMaritimeZonesbillto

    32 Regina Bengco, Peace in Spratlys is all they want, Malaya.Com, 2 June 2011; Shirley Escalante,

    Philippines,BruneipushfordialoguetosettleSpratleyIslandsdispute,AustraliaNetworkNews,3June

    2011andChinadeniesincursionintoWestPhilippineSea,ThePhilippineStar,2June2011.33

    Johanna Paola d. Poblete, Philippines preparing issues for UN about China intrusions. BusinessWorld,2June2011.

    34Adoptionofterritorialguidelinesurged,ManilaBulletin,2June2011.

    35JohanaPaolad.Poblete,PhilippinespreparingissuesforUNaboutChinaintrusions,BusinessWorld,

    2June2011;AmitaO.Legaspi,PalacepreparesSpratlys incursionsreport,GMANewsTV,3June2011

    and JimGomez, PhilippinesplansnewUNprotestasChinadeniesaggressiveacts inSpratly Islands,

    AssociatedPress,3June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    11/35

    11

    delineate the Philippines maritime zones, while the Senate is considering the

    ArchipelagicSeaLanesbill.36

    ReaffirmingU.S.Ties/DiplomaticPressureonChina

    On14

    May,

    President

    Aquino

    and

    several

    members

    of

    his

    Cabinet

    flew

    out

    to

    the

    USS

    CarlVinsonaircraftcarrierintheSouthChinaSeaasitheadedtowardsthePhilippines.TheaircraftcarriermadearoutineportcallandgoodwillvisitaccompaniedbytheUSS

    Bunker Hill, USS Shiloh and USS Gridley.37 In fact the visit by the carrier was areaffirmation of the alliance relationship on the eve of a visit by Chinas Defence

    MinisterGeneralLiangGuanglie.

    GeneralLiangpaidanofficialvisittothePhilippinesfrom2125Mayfordiscussionswith

    his counterpartDefenseSecretaryVoltaireGazmin.The twoministersagreed tohold

    regular discussions to promote trust and confidence and find common ground on

    territorialdisputes in the Spratly Islands.Ajoint statementdeclared, bothministers

    expressedhope that the implementingguidelinesof the2002DeclarationofConduct

    wouldsoonbefinalizedandagreedupon,thatresponsiblebehaviorofallpartiesinthe

    SouthChinaSea issuewouldhelpkeep the area stablewhileallpartieswork for the

    peaceful resolution Both ministers recognized that unilateral actions which could

    causealarmshouldbeavoided.38

    WhenDefenceMinisterLiangmetwithPresidentAquinoSouthChinaSea issueswere

    discussed ingeneral,but the latter refrained fromdirectlymentioning theReedBank

    incident and the reported intrusion of Chinese aircraft into Philippine air space.39

    36GMANews,DFA:StrongerseacodetopreventrepeatofMischiefReef,GMANewsTV,2June2011.

    37ChristineO.Avendano,DonaPazzibuganand JeromeAning, Palace seesno terrorbacklashagainst

    Aquinovisit

    to

    ship,PhilippineDailyInquirer,16May2011.

    38QuotedbyChina,PHagreetoholdregulartalksonSpratlys,ABSCBNNews,23May2011;Christine

    O.AvendanoandDonaZ.Pazzibugan,PeacefulSpratlysresolutionreaffirmed,PhilippinesDailyInquirer,24May2011; SimoneOrendain, Philippines,China SupportDiscussiononSouthChinaSea,Voiceof

    AmericaNews,24May2011;JimGomez,China,PhilippineswarnrivalsonSpratlys,TheChinaPost,24May2011and JimGomez,China,PhilippinesdefensechiefsdiscussSpratlys,AssociatedPress,4 June

    2011.

    39WillardCheng,Philippines,ChinaOKSouthChinaSeadialogue,ABSCBNNews,23May2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    12/35

    12

    PresidentAquinotoldGeneralLiangthatmoremaritime incidents indisputedareasof

    theSouthChinaSeacouldsparkaregionalarmsrace.40 Immediatelyafterthedefence

    ministersmetSunYi,DeputyChiefofPoliticalSectionattheChineseEmbassyinManila,

    announcedthatChinalookedforwardtoanaccelerateddialoguewiththePhilippines

    toresolvethedisputeintheSouthChinaSea.Itsabilateralissue.Werepeatedlysaid

    thatandwebelieveitsabilateralissue,SunYistated.41

    AllthemajorincidentsofChineseassertivenessagainstthePhilippinesoccurredpriorto

    theannualmeetingoftheShangriLaDialogueheldinSingaporefrom35June.Defence

    Ministers raised South China Sea territorial disputes in all plenary sessions at the

    meeting.Inlightofrecentministerialdiscussions,DefenseSecretaryGazmin,reportedly

    watereddown

    comments

    on

    the

    South

    China

    Sea

    in

    his

    draft

    text

    before

    delivery.42

    His

    addressbeganbydeclaringthat,maritimesecurityisoneofourforemostconcerns.In

    anobviousreferencetothe2MarchReedBankincidentGazminstatedthattheactions

    byotherstatesmakethePhilippinesworryandconcerned.Theseactionsnecessarily

    createinsecuritynotonlytothegovernmentbutmoredisturbinglytoordinarycitizens

    whodependonthemaritimeenvironmentfortheirlivelihood.Hethengavedetailsof

    recentincidentsinvolvingChinesevesselswithoutmentioningChinabyname.43

    On 4 June, the DFA issued a statement revealing it had lodged a protest with the

    Chinese Embassy two days earlier over the increasing presence and activities of

    Chinesevessels includingnavalassets in theWestPhilippinesSea (SouthChinaSea).

    Thenotestated,TheseactionsofChinesevesselshamper thenormaland legitimate

    40AFP, Philippineswarnsof arms race in SouthChina Sea,May 24,2011 andWilliam B.Depasupil,

    PhilippinesWarnsofArmsRaceinSouthChinaSea,ManilaTimes,25May2011.41

    PiaLeeBrago,ChinawelcomesdialoguetoendNanshadispute,ThePhilippineStar,25May2011.42

    ConfidentialsourcewhospokewithSecretaryGazminattheShangriLaDialogue.

    43VoltaireGazmin,RespondingtoNewMaritimeSecurityThreats,The10

    thIISSAsianSecuritySummit

    theShangriLaDialogue,5June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    13/35

    13

    fishing activitiesof the Filipino fishermen in the area andundermines thepeace and

    stabilityoftheregion.44

    Chinarespondedon7 JunewithastatementbyForeignMinistryspokesperson,Hong

    Lei:Chinese

    vessels

    were

    cruising

    and

    carrying

    out

    scientific

    studies

    in

    waters

    under

    Chinas jurisdiction and their activities were in line with the law China asks the

    Philippineside tostopharmingChinassovereigntyandmaritime rightsand interests,

    whichleadstounilateralactionsthatexpandandcomplicateSouthChinaSeadisputes.

    ThePhilippinesshouldstoppublishing irresponsiblestatementsthatdonotmatchthe

    facts.45

    Liu Jianchao,ChineseAmbassador to thePhilippines, responded tocomplaintsby the

    Philippinesgovernment for the first timewhenhemetwith reporters inManilaon9

    June.The ambassador stated thatChinahadnot yet started todrill foroil in Spratly

    Islands.Werecallingonotherpartiestostopsearchingforthepossibilityofexploiting

    resources intheseareaswhereChinahas itsclaims.46

    Inresponsetoaquestionhow

    Chinawould react ifcountrieswentaheadandcontinued toexplorewithoutBeijings

    permission,theambassadorsaidChinawouldusediplomaticmeanstoassertitsrights.

    Wewill never use force unlesswe are attacked, he said. Liang also confirmed to

    reporters that Chinese forces took action to keep the exploration vessel from Reed

    Bank.Thatspartofourexerciseofjurisdiction.Itsnotharassment,heclaimed.47

    ZoneofPeace,Freedom,FriendshipandCooperation

    InresponsetoChineseassertiveness,PresidentAquinolaunchedanewinitiativecalling

    for the South China Sea to become a Zone of Peace, Freedom, Friendship and

    44 Statement of theDepartment of Foreign AffairsOn the Presence of Chinese Vessels In theWest

    PhilippineSea(SouthChinaSea),4June2011.

    45QuotedbyXinhua,ChinarejectsPhilippinesaccusationonSouthChinaSa issue,7June2011;AFP,

    ChinasaysPhilippinesharmingitsmaritimerights,ABSCBNNews,7June2011;Reuters,Chinascolds

    Philippinesoverdisputedwaters,8June2011.

    46JimGomez,Chinawarnsneighbors:StopoilsearchinSpratlys,AssociatedPress,9June2011.

    47JimGomez,Chinawarnsneighbors:StopoilsearchinSpratlys,AssociatedPress,9June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    14/35

    14

    Cooperation (ZOPFF/C). Aquino explained what is our is ours, and with what is

    disputed,we canwork towardsjoint cooperation.48 Hedirected theDepartmentof

    ForeignAffairs topromote theZOPFF/C concept through sustained consultations and

    dialogue.

    According to theDFA, theZOPFF/Cprovidesa framework for separating thedisputed

    territorialfeaturesthatmaybeconsideredforcollaborativeactivitiesfromnondisputed

    waters intheWestPhilippinesSea (SouthChinaSea) inaccordancewith international

    lawingeneralandUNCLOSinparticular.49

    AdisputedareacouldbeturnedintoaJoint

    Cooperation Area forjoint development and the establishment ofmarine protected

    areaforbiodiversityconservation.Areasnot indispute,suchasReedBankthat lieson

    thePhilippines

    continental

    shelf,

    can

    be

    developed

    exclusively

    by

    the

    Philippines

    or

    withtheassistanceofforeigninvestorsinvitedtoparticipateinitsdevelopment.

    3.ChineseassertivenessandVietnam(JanuaryJune)

    During the firsthalfof2011,ChineseassertivenessdirectedagainstVietnam included

    the impositionofanannualfishingbanand,moresignificantly,Chinasunprecedented

    action in interfering in the commercial activities of oil exploration vessels operating

    withinVietnamsExclusiveEconomicZones.

    ChinasAnnualUnilateralFishingBan

    On 11 May, the Haikou Municipal Government, Hainan province, issued an

    announcement imposingChinas annualunilateral fishingban in the SouthChina Sea

    from16May1Augustostensiblytoprotectdwindlingfishstocksduringthespawning

    season.Vietnamimmediatelyissuedaverbalprotest:Chinasunilateralexecutionofa

    fishingban in theEast Sea isaviolationofVietnams sovereigntyover theHoangSa

    [Paracel]archipelago,

    as

    well

    as

    the

    countrys

    sovereignty

    and

    jurisdiction

    over

    its

    exclusive economic zone and continental shelf50

    Vietnam also protested the

    48QuotedinARulesBasedRegimeinTheSouthChinaSeaBy:AlbertF.DelRosario,SecretaryofForeign

    Affairs,PublicInformationServiceUnit,7June2011.

    49AmitaO.Legaspi,PalacepreparesSpratlysincursionsreport,GMANewsTV,3June2011.

    50VietnamopposesChinasfishingbaninEastSea,VoiceofVietnamNews,14May2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    15/35

    15

    deploymentofaChineseFisheryAdministrationVessel,Leizhou44261,topatrolinthe

    watersaroundtheParacel Islandsfrom525May.Vietnamaccusedthepatrolboatof

    causingdifficulties fornormal fishingactivitiesconducedbyVietnamese fishermen in

    theirtraditionalfishinggroundandmakingthesituationatseamorecomplicated.51

    VietnameselocalauthoritiesreportedthearrivalofChinesefishingboatsinVietnamese

    watersingreaternumbersthatinthepast.TheheadofPhuYenProvinceBorderGuard

    Headquarters stated that, every day between one hundred and twenty and one

    hundredandfiftyfishingboatsofChinawereoperatedwithinwatersfromDaNangCity

    totheTruongSa[Spratly]ArchipelagoPreviouslyChinesefishingboatshaveviolated

    our waters, but this was the first time there were so many boats.52

    The numbers

    reportedlyrose

    to

    two

    hundred

    on

    some

    occasions.

    Vietnamese

    fishermen

    formed

    groupsoffivetotenboatsforprotectionfromlargerChinesecraftthatsometimesused

    weapons to intimidate them. The Vietnamese government is currently considering a

    proposal by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development to build ten fishery

    patrolboatsatatotalcostestimatedatUS$102million.

    AlthoughVietnamese fishermenvowed todefythebantheVietnamesepresshasnot

    reportedanymajorincidentsofharassmentordetention.53

    Thereweretwoexceptions.

    On1 June, itwas reported thatChinesemilitaryvessels threatened touse theirguns

    againstaVietnamesefishingboatoperatinginwatersneartheSpratlyarchipelago.54

    A

    moreseriousincidenttookplaceonJuly5whenarmedChinesenavaltroopsreportedly

    beattheskipperofaVietnamesefishingboat,threatenedthecrew,andthenforcedthe

    boattoleavecontestedwatersneartheParacelIslands.55

    51ChineseShipViolatesVietnamsSovereignty,VietnamNewsAgency,13May2011.

    52 Chinese fishingboats violateVietnamwaters;govtmullspatrolboats,ThanhNienNews,29May

    2011.

    53DeutschePresseAgentur,VietnamdefiantonfirstdayofChinesefishingban,16May2011.

    54AnDienandMinhHung,EastSeaundercurrents,ThanhNienNews,10June2011.

    55Vietnam:Chinesesoldiersattackfishermen,AssociatedPress,13July2011

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    16/35

    16

    AccostingVietnameseCommercialExplorationVessels

    On 26 May, three China Maritime Surveillance ships accosted the Binh Minh 02, aVietnameseseismicsurveyshipoperatinginBlock148,inanincidentthatlastedthree

    hours.ChinaMaritimeSurveillance shipNo.84cutacable towing seismicmonitoring

    equipment.56

    The next day Vietnam lodged a diplomatic protest with Chinas

    AmbassadorclaimingthattheactionsoftheChinaMaritimeSurveillanceshipsviolated

    international lawandVietnams sovereignty.57

    Vietnamalso sought compensation for

    thedamagecaused.TheBinhMinh02returnedtoportforrepairsandresumed itsoilexplorationactivitiesaccompaniedbyanescortofeightships.

    58

    Somenewsmediaerroneously reported that thiswas the first instance inwhich the

    Chinesehad

    cut

    the

    cable

    of

    aVietnamese

    exploration

    vessel.

    According

    to

    Do

    Van

    Hau,

    a senior PetroVietnam official, When we conduct seismic survey and drilling

    operations,the[China]haveaeroplanesflyingovertosurveyouractivities,theyharass

    uswith their vessels, and in extreme cases they cut our [exploration] cables.59

    The

    VietnamesepressreportedthatwhenVietnameseconducedcontinentalshelfsurveysin

    2008, Chinese vessels also cut Vietnamese ships survey cables and further

    obstructedVietNamfromconductingoilandgasexplorationintheEastSea60

    56PetroViet,BaoCaoSuCoTauTrungQuocCatCapThuDiaChanCuaTauBinhMinh02VaoLuc5H58

    Ngay 26/05/2011, and Reuters, Vietnam says Chinese boats harassed oil exploration ship, 27May

    2011.Theincidenttookplace116nauticalmilesofftheDaiLanhCapeonthecoastofPhuYenprovinceat

    12degrees4825northlatitudeand111degrees2648eastlongitude.

    57VNcondemnsChineseintrusion,VietnamNewsAgency,28May2011.

    58DeutschePresseAgentur,Vietnamstandsground inseadispute,surveyship takesupwork,6 June

    2011;Agence

    France

    Presse,

    Vietnam

    complains

    to

    China

    as

    sea

    tensions

    rise,

    9June

    2011

    and

    Nicholas

    HeathandDanielTenKate,VietnamSaysChineseBoatHarassedPetroVietnamSurveyShip,Bloomberg

    Businessweek,9June2011.

    59BenBlandandKathrinHille, VietnamandChinaoil clashes intensify,TheFinancialTimes,27May

    2011.

    60National,worldsecurityclosely linked:minister,VietNamNews,7 June2011.Vietnamesesources

    toldtheauthorthereasonVietnamdidnotprotestthe2008incidentwasbecausetheVietnamesesurvey

    vesselwasoperatingbeyondVietnamsEEZ.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    17/35

    17

    ChinarespondedtoVietnamsproteston28Maywiththefollowingstatement:What

    relevantChinesedepartmentsdidwascompletelynormalmarinelawenforcementand

    surveillanceactivitiesinChinasjurisdictionalarea.61

    Vietnamretortedon29May:

    thearea

    where

    Vietnam

    conducted

    exploration

    activities

    situates

    entirely

    in

    the

    exclusive

    economic

    zoneand thetwohundrednauticalmilecontinental shelfofVietnam inaccordancewith the1982

    UnitedNationsConventiononLawoftheSea.Itisneitheradisputedareanorisitanareamanaged

    byChina.Chinahasdeliberatelymisledthepublicintothinkingthatitisadisputedarea.62

    China responded in kind: the law enforcement activities by Chinese maritime

    surveillanceshipsagainstVietnamsillegallyoperatingshipsarecompletelyjustified.We

    urgeVietnamtoimmediatelystopinfringementactivitiesandrefrainfromcreatingnew

    troubles.63

    On9June,accordingtoVietnamsMinistryofForeignAffairs,asecondpremeditated

    and carefully calculated incident occurred when Chinese fishing boat No. 62226

    equippedwithacablecuttingdevicesnaredthecableoftheViking IIseismicsurveyship operating in survey Block 13603 in the vicinity of Vanguard Bank (Tu Chinh).

    64

    VikingIIisregisteredinNorwayandwasoperatingundercharterwithPetroVietnam.65TwoChinaMaritimeSurveillanceshipsandotherChinesefishingcraftcametoassistthe

    distressed fishingboat.AccordingtoNguyenPhuongNga,theofficialForeignMinistry

    spokesperson,Chinassystematicactswereaimedatturninganundisputedregioninto

    one of dispute, to carry out its ambition to make Chinas ninedash line claim a

    reality.66

    61QuotedinReuters,ChinareprimandsVietnamoveroffshoreoilexploration,28May2011.

    62VietnamdemandsChinastopsovereigntyviolations,ThanhNienNews,29May2011.

    63QuotedbyHuyDuong,ThePhilippinesandVietnamattheCrossroad,ManilaTimes,9June2011.

    64IanTimberlake,SeaspatraisesChinaVietnamtensions,AgenceFrancePresse,9June2011.Talisman

    EnergyInc.aCanadiancompanybasedinCalgaryannouncedinApril2011thatitwouldconductamajor

    seismicprogram inthisarea;NicholasHeathandDanielTenKate,VietnamSaysChineseBoatHarassed

    PetroVietnamSurveyShip,BloombergBusinessweek,9June2011.

    65Reuters,VietnamaccusesChinaofharassinganotherboat,9June2011.

    66QuotedbyUnitedPressInternational,Vietnamallegeshighseasinterference,10June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    18/35

    18

    EarliertheViking IIhadbeen involved inseparate incidentson29Mayand31May inwhich Chinese boats the Fei ShengNo. 16 andVesselNo. B12549 attempted toapproachitsreardeckandinterferewithitsoperations.SecurityescortswiththeViking

    IIsuccessfullyblockedtheirapproaches.67

    ChineseauthoritiesclaimedthattheVikingIIincidentoccurredwhenarmedVietnameseships chased Chinese fishing boats from the Wanan (Vanguard) Bank. One of the

    ChineseboatsbecameentangledinthecableoftheVikingIIshipoperatinginthesamearea.TheChineseboatwasdragged formore thananhourbefore theentanglednet

    couldbecut.According to theChineseForeignMinistryspokesperson,HongLei,The

    Vietnamese shipput the livesand safetyofheChinese fishermen in seriousdanger.

    VietnameseForeign

    Ministry

    officials

    lodged

    aprotest

    with

    Chinese

    Embassy

    on

    the

    afternoonoftheincidentandannouncedthattheVietnamNationalOilandGasGroup

    wouldbeseekingcompensationfordamages.68

    A thirdcablecutting incident reportedlyoccurred in JunebutVietnamdecidednot to

    publicisethematter.69

    4.VietnamsresponsetoChineseAssertiveness.

    Duringthe

    first

    six

    months

    of

    2011,

    China

    and

    Vietnam

    held

    four

    high

    level

    meetings.

    The firsttwooccurredpriortorenewedChineseassertiveness intheSouthChinaSea.

    ThelattertwomeetingswereheldundertheshadowofincreasingtensionsintheSouth

    China Sea. Chinese assertiveness impacted on Vietnamese domestic politics and

    resulted inastiffeningofthegovernmentspublicstance inresponsetoelitepressure

    includingpublicdemonstrationsbystudentsandprominentintellectuals.

    67AnDienandMinhHung,EastSeaundercurrents,ThanhNienNews,10June 2011.

    68 Ian Timberlake, Sea spat raises ChinaVietnam tensions, Agence France Presse, 9 June 2011 and

    Reuters,ChinaaccusesVietnaminescalatingseatensions,10June2011.

    69CarlyleA. Thayer, SouthChinaSea:ThirdCableCutting Incident?, ThayerConsultancyBackground

    Briefing,July1,2011.AvailableatScribd.com.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    19/35

    19

    SpecialEnvoytoChinaandOtherHighLevelMeetings

    In February 2011, immediately after Eleventh National Congress of the Vietnam

    CommunistParty,thenewSecretaryGeneral,NguyenPhuTrong,dispatchedaspecial

    envoy,HoangBinhQuan, toBeijing.QuanmetwithHu Jintao,PresidentandGeneral

    SecretaryoftheChineseCommunistParty,andbriefedhimontheoutcomeoftheparty

    congress.Quan alsoextended an invitation toHu andotherChineseparty and state

    leaderstovisitVietnam.Inreturn,HuextendedaninvitationtoSecretaryGeneralTrong

    tovisitChina.70

    IndeferencetoChina,andinlightofChineseassertivenessintheSouth

    ChinaSea,TrongreportedlywillvisitBeijingfirstlaterthisyear.

    In April, Senior Lieutenant General Guo Boxiong, vice chairman of Chinas Central

    MilitaryCommission,

    visited

    Hanoi

    at

    the

    invitation

    of

    General

    Phung

    Quang

    Thanh,

    MinisterofNationalDefence.Lt.Gen.GuowasalsoreceivedbyPrimeMinisterNguyen

    Tan Dung and party Secretary General Nguyen Phu Trong. Prime Minister Dung

    proposedthetwosidestalkandseekfundamentalandlonglastingmeasuresthatboth

    sides are able to accept for the East Sea [SouthChina Sea] issue71

    Thejointpress

    communiquissuedaftertheconclusionofGuosvisitoutlinedanumberofcooperative

    military activities, including increasing the scope ofjoint naval patrols in theGulf of

    Tonkin,but

    no

    mention

    was

    made

    of

    the

    South

    China

    Sea.72

    ImmediatelyafterGeneralGuosvisit,Vietnamhostedameetingof theheadsof the

    governmentdelegationsonboundarynegotiationsbetweenChinaandVietnam(1819

    April). Thesediscussionswereheld atdeputyminister level.Chinas ForeignMinistry

    reported that the two viceministerspledged, toproperlyhandlemaritimedisputes

    through friendly consultations and explore solutionswith a positive and constructive

    70ChinesepresidentvowstofurthertieswithVietnam,Xinhua,18February2011andChinasHuJintao

    invitesNguyenPhoTrong,VoiceofVietnamNews,19February2011.

    71PartyLeadersMeetingwithChineseGeneral,VietnamNewsAgency,14April2011.

    72LiQiong,China,VietnamIssueJointPressCommuniquonCMCViceChairmanGuoBoxiongsVisitto

    Vietnam,Xinhua,17April2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    20/35

    20

    attitude.73AVietnamese spokesperson revealed thatthe two sidesagreed theywill

    sign an agreement on the fundamental guidelines to settle themaritime issues but

    negotiationsarestillcontinuingandnodatehasbeensettosigntheagreement.74

    Thefourth

    high

    level

    meeting

    took

    place

    in

    Singapore

    in

    June

    on

    the

    sidelines

    of

    the

    Shangrila Dialogue. In his address at a plenary session, Vietnams DefenceMinister

    spoke indetailabout the legalbasis foractivitiesat sea to facilitatecooperation for

    development and deter actions that risk our common interests, regionally and

    nationally.

    Thanhs sidelinemeetingwithDefenceMinister LiangGuanglie tookplace under the

    shadow of the 26 May Binh Minh 02 cablecutting incident. Thanh expressed theconcern of Vietnamese party and state leaders over what he termed a pressing

    incidentandthenofferedtheconciliatorycommentthatSometime,regrettablecases

    happen which are beyond the expectation of both sides.75

    Thanh concluded his

    remarkswiththesewords,Wetrulyexpectnorepetitionofsimilar incidents.76

    Liang

    replied thatChinadidnotwanta similar incident tooccur in the future.Henoted in

    particular that the Peoples Liberation Army was not involved in the incident.

    Nonetheless,fourdayslaterasecondcablecuttingincidentoccurred.

    VietnamStiffensPublicDiplomacy

    On9 June,PrimeMinisterNguyenTanDungrespondedtogrowingdomesticpressure

    bymakinganunusuallystrongstatementindefenceofnationalsovereignty.Dungsaid:

    73VietnamesePrimeMinisterNguyenTanDungMeetswithChineseViceForeignMinisterZhangZhijun,

    MinistryofForeignAffairsofthePeoplesRepublicofChina,20April2011.

    74QuotedinAgenceFrancePresse,Vietnam,Chinavowtoworkondisputedseapact,21April2011and

    DeutschePresse

    Agentur,

    Vietnam

    and

    China

    pledge

    to

    settle

    South

    China

    Sea

    disputes,

    20

    April

    2011.

    75 East Sea incident a pressing issue:VietnameseDefenseMinister, ThanhNienNews, 4 June2011.

    Chinese newsmedia distortedMinister Thanhs remarks by reporting that he agreed to resolve heir

    differencesovertheSouthChinaSeathroughbilateralefforts,andthatnothirdpartyshouldbeallowed

    tointerfereinsucheffortsorusetheissuetoharmthebilateralrelations,see:ChineseDMMeetswith

    VietnameseCounterpartinSingapore,Xinhua,4June2011.

    76 PhungQuang Thanh, Responding toNewMaritime Security Threats, The 10

    th IISS Asian Security

    SummittheShangriLaDialogue,5June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    21/35

    21

    Wecontinuetoaffirmstronglyandtomanifestthestrongestdeterminationofallthe

    Party, of all the people and of all the army in protecting Vietnamese sovereignty in

    maritime zones of the country. Dung also reaffirmed the incontestable maritime

    sovereigntyofVietnam towards the twoarchipelagos, theParacelandSpratlys.77

    On

    the same day, President Nguyen Minh Triet, visiting Co To island off Quang Ninh

    provincenear theChinaborder, stated thatVietnamwasdetermined toprotect its

    islandsandwearereadytosacrificeeverythingtoprotectourhomeland,ourseaand

    islandsovereignty.78

    LiveFiringExercises

    On9June,

    aftertheChineseAmbassadortothePhilippinescalledonVietnamandthe

    Philippinesto

    cease

    oil

    exploration

    in

    the

    South

    China

    Sea.

    Shortly

    after

    China

    announced it would be conducting routine naval exercises in the Western Pacific,79

    Vietnam responded by publicly announcing a livefire exercise. Vietnams Northern

    MaritimeSafetyCorporationissuedanoticethattwolivefiringexerciseswouldbeheld

    on13 June in thewatersnearHonOng Island.Theexerciseswould last fora totalof

    nine hours. The notice further declared, All vessels are to refrain from engaging in

    activities in the area during the livefire period.80

    Hon Ong Island is located

    approximatelyforty

    kilometres

    off

    Quang

    Nam

    province

    in

    central

    Vietnam.

    VietnamsForeignMinistry characterized the livefiringexercisesas a routineannual

    training activity of the Vietnam navy in the area where the Vietnam navy regularly

    conductstraining[activities]thatareprogrammedandplannedannuallyforunitsofthe

    77 Interview with Thanh Nien quoted by Agence France Presse, Vietnam PM says sea sovereignty

    incontestable, 9 June 2011 andDeutsche PresseAgentur, Vietnams top leaders add fire to SouthChinaSeadisputes,9June2011.

    78DeutchePresseAgentur,VietnamstopleadersaddfiretoSouthChinaSeadispute,9June2011.

    79 Ben Blanchard and Michael Martina, China says to hold routine navy drills in western Pacific,

    Reuters,9June2011.

    80BaoDamAnToanHangHaiMienBac(NorthernMaritimeSafetyCorporation),Veviecbandanthat

    trenvungbienQuangNam,So107/TBHHCT.BDATHHMB,9June2011,http://www.vmsnorth.vn.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    22/35

    22

    VietnamPeoplesNavy.81

    Vietnamdidnotspecifyhowmanyshipswouldbeinvolved.

    The firstphaseof theexercise involved coastal artillerywhile the secondpartof the

    exercise involved missile corvettes firing their deck gun. Confidential Vietnamese

    militarysourcesreportthatantishipmissileswerealsofiredfromSukhoijetaircraft.On

    11 June, theGlobal Times, an Englishlanguage newspaper published by the ChineseCommunistParty,editorializedthatVietnamsconductofalivefiringexerciseswasthe

    lowestformofnationalismtocreateanewenmitybetweenthepeopleofthetwocountries.Hanoi

    seemstobelookingtodissipatedomesticpressureandbuckupmoraleathome,whileatthesame

    timefurtherdrawingintheconcernofinternationalsocietyovertheSouthChinaSeadispute.82

    The editorial stated that China has never sought to politically blackmail smaller

    countries.ButwhenasmallcountryturnsthataroundandtriestoblackmailChina,the

    Chinesepeople

    will

    on

    the

    one

    hand

    feel

    rather

    angry,

    while

    on

    the

    other

    hand

    find

    it

    quite amusing. In conclusion, the editorial opined If Vietnam insists on making

    trouble, thinking that themore trouble itmakes, themorebenefits itgains, thenwe

    truly wish to remind those in Vietnam who determine policy to please read your

    history.

    RisingAntiChinaNationalisminVietnam

    Chinas

    new

    wave

    of

    aggressive

    assertiveness

    provoked

    a

    patriotic

    response

    among

    studentsandawidersectionoftheVietnamesecommunity.UsingFacebookandother

    socialnetworkingsitestheymountedaseriesofantiChinademonstrationsonSundays

    over a twelve week period. The demonstrations commenced on 5 June when an

    estimatedthreehundredVietnamesegatheredneartheChineseEmbassy inHanoi.On

    thesamedayacrowdestimatedatnearly1,000toseveralthousandgatheredinHo

    81QuotedbyJohnRuwitch,Vietnamwelcomesinternationalhelpasseadisputeescalates,Reuters,11

    June2011.Seealso:MargieMason,VietnamplanslivefiredrillafterChinadispute,AssociatedPress,10

    June2011;AgenceFrancePresse,Vietnamtohold livefiredrillasChinariftgrows,10June2011and

    DeutschePresseAgentur,NavyofficialsayslivefiredrillswellinsideVietnamsterritory,11June2011.

    82QuotedbyAssociatedPress,ChineCommunistPartynewspapercautionsVietnam,11June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    23/35

    23

    ChiMinhCity.83

    Onthefollowingweekend,12June,twohundreddemonstratorstook

    tothestreetsofHanoiwhileanotherthreehundredmarched inHoChiMinhCity ina

    repeat of the previous weekends protests.84

    The protestors held placards reading

    DownwithChina,TheSpratlysandParacelsbelongtoVietnamandStopViolating

    VietnamsTerritory.OnSunday19Juneanotherpeacefuldemonstrationswasheld in

    HanoiwhilepoliceinterventionpreventedathirddemonstrationfrombeingheldinHo

    ChiMinhCity.

    Duringearly June, growingenmitybetweennationalists inChina andVietnam spilled

    over into cyberspace. According to Nguyen Minh Duc, director of the Bach Khoa

    Internetwork Security Centre, more than two hundred Vietnamese websites were

    subjectto

    cyber

    attacks.

    Among

    the

    sites

    affected

    were

    those

    of

    the

    ministries

    of

    Agriculture and Rural Development and Foreign Affairs where hackers succeeded in

    postingChineseflagsandslogans.85

    SecondSpecialEnvoytoChina

    InmidyeartherewerediplomaticsignsthatChinaandVietnamweremovingtocontain

    tensionsarisingfromtheirterritorialdispute intheSouthChinaSea.Forexample,the

    navies

    of

    both

    countries

    conducted

    their

    eleventh

    routine

    joint

    patrol

    in

    the

    Gulf

    of

    83Chineseaggression intheSouthChinaSeapersists,saysVietnamForeignMinister,IBTimes,9June

    2011; Reuters, Vietnam accuses China of harassing another boat, 9 June 2011 and Ian Timberlake,

    FacebookeffectstirsVietnamChinatensions,AgenceFrancePresse,10June2011

    84DeutschePresseAgentur,VietnamesedemonstrateagainstChinaasseadisputesheatsup,12June

    2011;Reuters,VietnamallowssecondantiChinaprotest inHanoi,12 June2011andAgenceFrancePresse, Protesters rally ahead ofVietnam fire drills, The Standard, 13 June 2011. SomeVietnameseuniversitieswarnedtheirstudentsnottotakepartinantiChinademonstrations.AnoticeattheIndustrial

    University inHoChiMinhCity, forexample, threatened toexpel studentswho tookpart inantiChina

    demonstrations; see: JohnRuwitch, Vietnam allows second antiChina protest inHanoi, Reuters, 12

    June2011.

    85AFP,VietnamcomplainstoChinaasseatensionsrise,9June2011andIanTimberlake,Vietnamto

    holdlivefiredrillasChinariftgrows,10June2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    24/35

    24

    Tonkinon June1920.86

    After thepatrolwas concluded, theVietnamese shipspaida

    visittoZhanjiang,Guangdong,VietnamssecondeverportcalltoChina.87

    After the secondweekend of antiChina demonstrations,Vietnam dispatched deputy

    foreignminister

    Ho

    Xuan

    Son

    as

    aspecial

    envoy

    to

    Beijing

    to

    hold

    talks

    on

    the

    South

    ChinaSeawithhis counterpartZhang Zhijun. Significantly,Sonwas receivedby State

    CouncilorDaiBingguo.AccordingtoajointpressreleaseissuedbyVietnamsMinistryof

    ForeignAffairsonJune25th:

    Thetwosidesemphasizedthenecessitytoactively implementthecommonperceptionsof

    the two countries leaders,peacefully solving the two countriesdisputes at sea through

    negotiationand friendlyconsultation;employingeffectivemeasuresandworking together

    tomaintainpeaceandstabilityintheEastSea[sic].

    They also laid stress on the need to steer public opinions along the correct direction,

    avoidingcommentsanddeedsthatharmthefriendshipandtrustofthepeopleofthetwo

    countries.

    The two sides agreed to speed up the tempo of negotiations so as to early sign an

    Agreementonbasicprinciplesguidingthesettlementofsea issuesbetweenVietnamand

    China,andboostthe implementationoftheDeclarationonConductofParties intheEast

    Sea[sic](DOC)andfollowupactivitiessothatsubstantialprogresswillsoonbeachieved.88

    5. AdoptionofGuidelinesfortheDeclarationonConductofPartiesinthe

    SouthChinaSea

    In2004,

    two

    years

    after

    negotiating

    the

    Declaration

    on

    Conduct

    of

    Parties

    in

    the

    South

    ChinaSea,theASEANChinaSeniorOfficialsMeetingdecidedtoestablishtheASEAN

    ChinatheJointWorkingGroup(JWC)toImplementtheDOC.TheJointWorkingGroup

    held itsfirstmeeting inManilafromAugust45,2005.TheTermsofReferenceforthe

    86MargieMason,VietnamandChinaholdjointnavalpatrolamidspat,AssociatedPress,June21,2011

    andAgenceFrancePresse,China,VietnamholdjointseapatrolsneardisputedSpratlys,June23,2011.

    87VietnamesenavalshipsonfriendlyvisittoChina,QuanDoiNhanDanOnline,June22,2011;China,

    VietnamengageinJointnavalpatrols,PeoplesDailyOnline,June22,2011andVietnamesenavalshipswrapupvisittoChina,QuanDoiNhanDanOnline,June27,2011.88

    SocialistRepublicofVietnam,MinistryofForeignAffairs,VietNamChinajointpressrelease,June26,

    2011. http://www.mofa.vn/en. See also: EdwardWong, China and Vietnam Agree to Talks on South

    China SeaDispute, TheNew York Times, June 26, 2011; Brian Spegele, China Announces PactwithVietnamonDisputesSea,TheWallStreetJournal,June26,2011;DanMartin,China,VietnamvowtocoolS.ChinaSea tensions,AgenceFrancePresse, June27,2011;andQinZhongwei, China,Vietnam

    agreeontalkstosolveseadispute,ChinaDaily,June27,2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    25/35

    25

    JointWorkingGroup specified that the JWGwas tomeet twice a year to formulate

    recommendationsinfourareas:

    GuidelinesandtheactionplanfortheimplementationoftheDOC SpecificcooperativeactivitiesintheSouthChinaSea A registerof experts and eminentpersonswhomayprovide technical inputs,

    nonbindingandprofessional viewsorpolicy recommendations to theASEAN

    ChinaJWG

    Theconveningofworkshops,astheneedarises89ASEANtableddraftguidelinesfordiscussion.Itimmediatelybecameapparentthatpoint

    two was a major sticking point. Point two stated, ASEAN will continue its current

    practiceof

    consulting

    among

    themselves

    before

    meeting

    with

    China.

    China

    objected

    and insisted that outstanding disputes should be resolved by consultations among

    relevant parties and not with ASEAN. The Joint Working Group did not make any

    progressforthenextsixyears.

    Chineseassertiveness inpushing itssovereigntyclaims intheSouthChinaSea in2009

    and 2010 provoked an international backlash. South China Sea disputes featured

    prominently at the ASEAN Regional Forum in midyear and at the inaugural ASEAN

    Defense Ministers Meeting Plus in October 2010. China was out maneuvered

    diplomaticallyandsoughttolimitfurtherdamagebyagreeingtorevivetheheretofore

    moribundASEANChinaJointWorkingGrouptoImplementtheDeclarationonConduct

    ofParties. InDecember2010 the fifthmeetingwas convened inKunmingChina.The

    sixth ASEANChina Joint Working Group met in Medan, Indonesia from April 1820,

    2011.AtbothmeetingsitbecameclearthatprogresswashostagetoChinasinsistence

    that territorial and sovereignty claims could only be settled bilaterally by the states

    concerned.Chinaspecificallyobjectedtoaclause inthedraftguidelines,drawnupby

    89 Terms of Reference of the ASEANChina Joint Working Group on the Implementation of the

    DeclarationonConductofPartiesintheSouthChinaSea,availableat:http://www.asean.org/16886htm.

    AccessedMay20,2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    26/35

    26

    ASEAN, thatmentioned ASEAN members would gather first towork out a common

    positionbeforemeetingwithChina.

    In July2011ASEAN SeniorOfficialsquietlydropped theoffending clause andoffered

    drasticallyrevised

    draft

    guidelines

    to

    their

    ministers

    for

    approval.90

    On

    July

    20,

    2011,

    theASEANandChineseforeignministersfinallyreachedagreementonTheGuidelines

    for the Implementation of the DOC. These guidelines consist of eight brief points

    preceded by a threeparagraph preamble. The preamble identifies the DOC as a

    milestonedocument signedbetween theASEANMemberStatesandChina, implying

    this isnotanagreementbetweenASEANasagroupandChina.Second,thepreamble

    statesthattheeffectiveimplementationoftheDOCwillcontributetothedeepeningof

    theASEAN

    China

    Strategic

    Partnership

    for

    Peace

    and

    Prosperity.

    This

    is

    an

    inducement

    forChina to takeconcreteaction.Finally, thepreamblenotes thatGuidelinesare to

    guidetheimplementationofpossiblejointcooperativeactivities,measuresandprojects

    asprovided for intheDOC.This formulationclearly indicates that theGuidelinesare

    tentativeandnothingisbinding.

    Theeightsubstantivepointsareasfollows:

    1.The

    implementation

    of

    the

    DOC

    should

    be

    carried

    out

    in

    astep

    by

    step

    approachinlinewiththeprovisionsoftheDOC.

    2.ThePartiestotheDOCwillcontinuetopromotedialogueandconsultationsin

    accordancewiththespiritoftheDOC.

    3.TheimplementationofactivitiesorprojectsasprovidedforintheDOCshould

    beclearlyidentified.

    4. The participation in the activities or projects should be carried out on a

    voluntarybasis.

    5. Initial activities to be undertaken under the ambit of the DOC should be

    confidencebuilding

    measures.

    6.ThedecisiontoimplementconcretemeasuresoractivitiesoftheDOCshould

    90 As of this writing the guidelines have not been released. According to a confidential source who

    attended theASEAN relatedmeetings in Bali, the new guidelines state, The parties to theDOCwill

    continuetopromotedialogueandconsultationsinaccordancewiththespiritoftheDOC.Privateemail

    received22July2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    27/35

    27

    be based on consensus among parties concerned, and lead to the eventual

    realizationofaCodeofConduct.

    7. Inthe implementationoftheagreedprojectsundertheDOC,theservicesof

    theExpertsandEminentPersons,ifdeemednecessary,willbesoughttoprovide

    specificinputsontheprojectsconcerned.91

    8.Progressoftheimplementationoftheagreedactivitiesandprojectsunderthe

    DOCshallbereportedannuallytotheASEANChinaMinisterialMeeting(PMC).

    TheforeignministersalsoagreedtoconvenetheseventhmeetingoftheASEANChina

    JointWorkingGrouplaterintheyearinChina.

    ImmediatelyaftertheGuidelineswereadopted,thePhilippinesForeignSecretaryAlbert

    delRosarionotedthattheywouldneedmoreteethtomakethemeffective.According

    to Rosario, The necessary elements to make the guidelines succeed are still

    incomplete.Werelookingfortheparticipantstobehonorable.Beyondthattheresnot

    much room forus toexact consequences formisbehavior.Thisviewwasechoedby

    BarryWain,aveterancommentator,Hardheadedstrategists inSoutheastAsiaknow

    thatadoptingtheimplementingguidelinesishardlyaconstraintonChinasincreasingly

    aggressivebehaviorintheSouthChinaSea.TherealrestraintonChinaisthepresence

    oftheU.S.NavyandtheneedtohavestableU.S.Chinarelations.92

    6.Chinas

    Relations

    with

    the

    Philippines

    post

    DOC

    Guidelines

    ChinaHostsStateVisitbyPresidentAquino

    AfterPresidentAquinoassumedofficehereceivedaninvitationtopayanofficialstate

    visittoChina.Hisvisitwasreportedlypostponedononeormoreoccasionsbecauseof

    risingtensionsoverterritorialdisputes intheSouthChinaSea.AfterASEANandChina

    adoptedtheGuidelineson theDOC thePhilippinesdispatched its foreignsecretaryto

    Beijingtoorganisethestatevisits.PresidentAquinopaidanofficialvisittoBeijingfrom

    August30

    September

    3at

    the

    invitation

    of

    President

    Hu

    Jintao.

    The

    joint

    statement

    issued at the conclusion of bilateral talks indicated that economic issues featured

    91TheGuidelinesfortheImplementationoftheDocappearedontheASEANSecretariatwebsiteunder

    ExternalRelations,China,CooperationontheSouthChinaSea.Theyhavesincebeenremoved.

    92BarryWain,ASouthChinaSeaCharade,TheWallStreetJournal,21August2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    28/35

    28

    prominently.Forexample,itwaslaterreportedthatAquinohasgarneredUS$1.3billion

    in new investments.93 Thejoint statement alsomade the following reference to the

    SouthChinaSeanearthebottomofthelistoftopicsdiscussed(point15of17points):

    Bothleaders

    exchanged

    views

    on

    the

    maritime

    disputes

    and

    agreed

    not

    to

    let

    the

    maritime

    disputes

    affectthebroaderpictureoffriendshipandcooperationbetweenthetwocountries.Thetwoleaders

    reiterated their commitment to addressing the disputes through peaceful dialogue, to maintain

    continued regionalpeace, security, stability and an environment conducive to economicprogress.

    BothleadersreaffirmedtheircommitmentstorespectandabidebytheDeclarationontheConduct

    ofPartiesintheSouthChinaSeasignedbyChinaandtheASEANmembercountriesin2002.94

    PushforBindingCodeofConduct

    On Aquinos return to Manila he revealed that President Hu Jintao supported an

    implementing agreement for a South China Sea Code of Conduct. According to

    Aquino,this

    was

    very

    significant,

    because

    before

    it

    was

    just

    ageneral

    statement

    of

    principles. Now theres a desire to really put in the implementing rules and

    regulations.95

    Nevertheless,PresidentAquinohascontinuedtopressforamultilateral

    SouthChinaSeaCodeofConductandagreementondemarcatingtheprecisemaritime

    areasindispute. OnSeptember16th,forexample,ontheeveofanofficialvisittoJapan

    scheduled for 25th

    28th

    September, PresidentAquino stated in an interviewwith the

    Japanesemediathat,Therearelotofclaimantstothedisputedareas,soforit[codeof

    conduct]to

    be

    binding

    it

    has

    to

    be

    in

    an

    multilateral

    basis

    [sic].

    96

    Press

    reports

    indicated President Aquino would raise the South China Sea code of conduct in his

    discussion with Prime Minister Nado in late September. Japans Ambassador to the

    93Aquinobackfrom5dayUSvisit,Malaya,September23,2011.ManoloB.Jara,Aquinobringshome

    $13bwordofChinainvestments,TheGulfToday,September5,2011reports,AquinosaidtheChinesegoodieshebroughthomeconsistedof$1.28billionworthofnew investments,$3.8billion inassured

    investmentsand$7.9billionfrombusinessmenwhoshowedinterestininvestinginthePhilippines.

    94 JointStatementof thePhilippinesandChina,Beijing,September1,2011 reprinted in InquirerGlobal

    Nation,September7,2011.

    95QuotedinBloombergNews,ChinaWantsBindingS.ChinaCode:Aquino,August31,2011;seealso:

    Barbara Mae Dacanay, China and Philippines agree to peace over South China Sea, Gulf News,September2,2011.

    96Reuters,AquinowantsmultilateralsolutiontoSouthChinaSeadisputes,InterAkysyon,September17,

    2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    29/35

    29

    Philippines, Toshinao Urabe, was also quoted at this time as stating that Japan

    supportedastrongercodeofconduct.97

    FurtherMilitaryModernisation

    Significantly,immediately

    after

    Aquinos

    state

    visit

    to

    Beijing,

    the

    Philippines

    announced

    onSeptember7th

    that4.95billionpesos(US$118million)wouldbeallocatedtotopup

    thedefencebudget.98

    Thesefundswouldbeusedtopurchaseanavalpatrolvessel,six

    helicoptersandothermilitaryequipmentinordertosecuretheMalampayaNaturalGas

    andPowerProjectlocatedfiftymilesoffthecoastofPalawaninwatersalsoclaimedby

    China.

    ZoneofPeace,Freedom,FriendshipandCooperation

    InJuly,atthe44th

    ASEANMinisterialMeeting,theForeignSecretaryofthePhilippines

    presentedhiscounterpartswithaproposal toadoptanagreemententitled,Zoneof

    Peace, Freedom, Friendship and Cooperation in the South China Sea. Theministers

    tooknoteof thisproposaland referred it toameetingofASEANSeniorOfficialsand

    legalexperts forconsideration.99

    Inpreparation for theASEANLegalExpertsMeeting,

    the Philippines Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) drew up a proposal to create

    enclavesfordisputedmaritimeterritory intheSouthChinaSea inordertoseparate

    these areas from nondisputed maritime territory. According to the DFA proposal,

    (E)nclavingwillliterallyoperationalizetheshelvingofterritorialdisputesandpavethe

    wayforeffectiveandmeaningfulcooperationamongtheclaimantcountriesintheWest

    PhilippineSea(or)SouthChinaSea.100

    97JapanstepsinoSouthChinaSeaterritorialfeud,IndianExpress,September20,2011;andJapancalls

    forSouthChinaSeacodeofconduct,TheEconomicTimes,September21,2011.98

    AgenceFrancePresse,PhilippinesUpsSpendingToGuardSouthChinaSea,September7,2011.

    99BeaCupin,ASEAN,ChinaagreetoheedguidelinescoveringSpratlys,GMANews,July20,2011and

    BrianPadden,ASEANMaritimeSpecialistsDiscussGuidelinestoResolveS.ChinaSeaDispute,Voiceof

    America,September22,2011.

    100Quoted inELR/VS, DFA topropose enclavingofdisputedareas inSouthChinaSea,GMANews,

    September21,2011andELR/VS, VPBinaypushesforDFAproposalonSpratlys,GMANew,September

    22,2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    30/35

    30

    ASEANmaritimeandlegalexpertsconvenedinManilaonSeptember22nd.Theirfindings

    willbepassedtoASEANSeniorOfficialswhointurnwillmakerecommendationstotheir

    ministerspriortotheconveningofthe19th

    ASEANSummitinBaliinNovember.

    7.Chinas

    Reltions

    with

    Vietnam

    post

    DOC

    Guidelines

    AntiChinaProtestsEnd

    DespitethereferenceinthejointpressreleasetosteeringpublicopinionissuedbyHo

    XuanSonandZhangZhijunonJune25th,Vietnameseauthoritiespermittedtwofurther

    demonstrationstotakeplaceonJune26andJuly3.Each involvednearly100persons

    whogatheredoutsidetheChineseEmbassy inHanoi.Onthefollowingweekends,July

    10and July17, thepolice forcibly intervenedanddetainedadozenpersons including

    journalistswhen

    they

    gathered

    outside

    the

    Chinese

    Embassy.

    On

    the

    eighth

    weekend,

    July24,theprotestersgatheredatHoanKiem lakeandwerepermitted tomarchand

    displayantiChinabanners.Noprotests tookplaceonSunday, July31.Organisersand

    theirsupportersmet incoffeeshopstoplanstrategyonwhatturnedouttobeacold

    andrainyday.

    AntiChina protestswere resumed on theweekends of August 7 and August 14. An

    estimated

    100

    persons

    took

    part

    in

    each.

    On

    August

    18,

    the

    Hanoi

    Peoples

    Committee

    issuedadirectivebanningpublicprotests.Whenacrowdofupto50personsgathered

    atHoanKiem lakeonAugust21 thepolicemoved in todisperse them.Fifteenwere

    detained.101Nofurtherpublicprotestshavebeenreported.

    BilateralDiscussionsContinue

    InAugust,ChinaandVietnamheldtheseventhroundofbilateraldiscussionsaimedat

    reachingasettlementoftheirmaritimedisputes.Theoriginsofthesetalksdatesbackto

    December2008

    when

    China

    and

    Vietnam

    agreed

    to

    give

    priority

    given

    to

    developing

    a

    set of fundamental guiding principles as a framework for settlingmaritime issues.

    101Vietnam issuesultimatum toantiChinaprotesters,DeutschePresseAgentur,18August2001and

    Marianne Brown, Vietnam Security ForcesDetain AntiChina Protesters,Voice ofAmericaNews, 21

    August2011

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    31/35

    31

    Theseconfidentialdiscussionsbegan inearly2010and fivesessionswereheldduring

    theyear.

    AccordingtoVietnameseForeignMinistrysources,VietnamandChinaagreedtosettle

    theirdifferences

    through

    peaceful

    negotiation

    and

    refrain

    from

    any

    action

    to

    complicatethesituation,violenceorthreatofuseofviolence.102

    Significantly,Vietnam

    andChina agreed tobilateraldiscussionsonmaters thatdidnot affect thirdparties,

    suchasthewatersatthemouthoftheGulfofTonkin. Vietnamwantedtoincludethe

    ParacelIslandsinbilateraldiscussionbutChinarefused.VietnamandChinaalsodiffered

    onthequestionofmultilateralnegotiations.AccordingtoVietnam:

    Issues thatare related toother countriesandparties like theSpratly Islandscannotbe settledby

    Vietnamand

    China;

    they

    require

    the

    participation

    of

    other

    concerned

    parties.

    For

    issues

    that

    are

    not

    onlyrelatedtocountriesthatbordertheEastSeasuchasmaritimesafetyandsecurity,theymustbe

    negotiatedandsettledbyallcountriesthatsharethiscommoninterest.103

    ChinaandVietnamhavesinceheldtwofurtherroundsofworkingleveldiscussions.At

    the seventhandmost recent roundonAugust1st,aVietnamese spokespersonnoted

    that the two sides reachedpreliminary consensuson some principles and that the

    eighthroundofdiscussionwouldbeheldlaterintheyear.104

    2ndDefence

    Security

    Strategic

    Dialogue

    OnAugust28th,ChinaandVietnamheldtheir2ndDefenceSecurityStrategicDialogue

    atdeputyministerlevelinBeijing.Lt.GeneralMaXiaotian,vicechairofthePLAGeneral

    StaffhostedhisVietnamesecounterpart,Lt.GeneralNguyenChiVinh,deputyminister

    of national defence. The two generals agreed to step up the exchange of military

    delegations,openahot linebetweenthe twodefenceministries,andexpandmilitary

    training.Lt.GeneralManotedthatthesovereigntydisputeintheSouthChinaSeawas

    the

    most

    difficult

    and

    sensitive

    issue

    in

    bilateral

    relations.

    Lt.

    General

    Vinh

    responded

    102AnswerfromVietnamMinistryofForeignAffairsSpokespersonNguyenPhuongNgatoQuestionsby

    GregTorodeSouthChinaMorningPost,December20010;see:GregTorodeandMinnieChan,ChinarefusestoyieldonParacels,SundayMorningPost[HongKong],12December2010.103

    Ibid.

    104 Vietnam, China agree to resolve sea dispute through peaceful means, VietnamNews Agency, 3

    August2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    32/35

    32

    by stating Vietnams readiness to cooperate formutual developmentwith China in

    reallydisputedareasinaccordwith international lawandthemutual interestofboth

    sides.GeneralVinhalso stressed that therewere threeclosely relatedaspects to the

    EastSea issue: thedeclarationof sovereigntyby concerned countries, solving issues

    related to the ties between Vietnam and China, and solving issues at multilateral

    forums.105

    5th

    MeetingoftheJointSteeringCommittee

    On September 6th

    China andVietnamheld the fifth annualmeetingof theirbilateral

    Joint Steering Committee in Hanoi. China was represented by State Councilor Dai

    BingguowhometwithhiscounterpartDeputyPrimeMinisterNguyenThienNhan.The

    JointSteering

    Committee

    oversees

    all

    aspects

    of

    their

    bilateral

    relations.

    The

    two

    interlocutors, interalia,discussedconflicting territorialclaims in theSouthChinaSea.

    Accordingtothefinalcommuniqu:

    Theybelieve it is critical toproperly solve themarine issues inorder tomaintain thegeneral

    situation of friendly cooperationbetween China andVietnam. They reiterate to abide by the

    consensusreachedbetweenleadersofthetwocountries,internationallawsandthespiritofthe

    Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea, solve the marine disputes

    peacefully through negotiations and friendly consultations and take effective measures to

    safeguardpeaceandstabilityofSouthChinaSea.Theywillacceleratetheprocessofnegotiations

    andseek

    fundamental

    and

    long

    term

    solutions

    acceptable

    to

    both

    sides.

    They

    agree

    to

    strengthennegotiationson themarine issues and sign the agreement on the basicprinciples

    guidingthesettlementofmarine issuesbetweenChinaandVietnamatanearlydate.Theywill

    boostthe implementationoftheDeclarationontheConductofParties intheSouthChinaSea

    andfollowupworkandtrytoachievesubstantialprogresssoon.

    GeneralPoliticalDepartmentChiefVisitsBeijing

    From 1419 September, China hosted a visit byGeneralNgo Xuan Lich, head of the

    VPAs General Political Department and member of the Central Military Party

    Committee.106

    GeneralLichhelddiscussionswithhiscounterpart,LiJinai,whoisalsoa

    memberof

    Chnas

    Central

    Military

    Commission.

    Their

    meeting

    focused

    on

    developing

    ties between the twomilitaries. SignificantlyGeneral Lichwas also received by Vice

    105Vietnam,Chinaholdseconddefence,securitydialogue,VietnamNewsAgency,August31,2011.

    106DoancanbochinhtriquansucapcaonuoctathamTrungQuoc,VietnamTV,September18,2011

    and Zhous Feng, Chinese defence official holds talks with Vietnamese counterpart, PLA Daily,September16,2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    33/35

    33

    President Xi Jiping, the chairman of the Central Military Commission107

    and heir

    apparenttothepostofstatepresidentontheretirementofHuJintaoin2013.

    8.ConcludingObservations

    Inthe

    early

    to

    mid

    1990s,

    when

    China

    began

    to

    occupy

    rocks

    in

    the

    Spratlys

    including

    thecelebratedMischiefReef,securityanalystsdescribedChinesestrategyascreeping

    assertiveness and talk and take. The eventsduring the firsthalf of 2011 are best

    describedasaggressiveassertiveness.ChinaappearstobepayingbackVietnamfor its

    role in internationalizing the South China Sea when it was Chair of ASEAN. Chinese

    actions in the Reed Bank area appear designed to expose ambiguities in the U.S.

    PhilippinesMutual Security Treatyoverwhetherornot theKalayaan IslandGroup is

    coveredby

    this

    treaty.

    ChinasaggressiveassertionofsovereigntyovertheSouthChinaSeainthefirsthalfof

    2001hasraisedthesecuritystakesforSoutheastAsianstatesandallmaritimepowers

    thatsailthrough itswaters.Thispaperhasdrawnattentiontothreeserious incidents

    involving Chinese state vessels (including one PLAN warship) and Filipino vessels

    operatingwiththePhilippinesExclusiveEconomicZone.Thispaperhasalsodiscussed

    Chinese actions directed against Vietnam, including the imposition of an annual

    unilateral fishing ban, and deliberate interference by Chinese state vessels in

    commercial marine activities conducted within Vietnams Exclusive Economic Zone.

    Chinese aggressive assertiveness in the South China Sea has now become an

    internationalissuethatmustbeaddressedmultilaterallybyallconcernedstakeholders.

    International diplomatic pressure has resulted in the adoption of Guidelines to

    implement the DOC. Although these guidelines represent a considerable retreat by

    ASEAN

    they

    offer

    grounds

    for

    cautious

    optimism

    that

    tensions

    in

    the

    South

    China

    Sea

    will abate as the countries concerned adopt positive confidence building and other

    107Phochu tichTrungQuoctiepdoanquansucapcaoVietNam,ThanhNienOnline,September18,

    2011; Chinese vicepresident eyes enhanced relationswith Vietnam, Xinhua,Beijing, September 16,

    2011 and China, Vietnam pledge to enhance ties amid row in S China sea, Press Trust of India,

    September17,2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    34/35

    34

    cooperativemeasures.ThereiseventhepossibilitythattheDOCmaybeupgradedinto

    aCodeofConduct.

    Dampeningtensionsmaybethefirststeptowardsalongtermsettlementbutlowering

    tensionsare

    not

    sufficient

    to

    bring

    about

    aresolution

    of

    unresolved

    sovereignty

    claims.

    Attheheartofthematter istheninedashlineushapedmapthatChinasubmittedto

    theUnitedNationsCommissionontheLimitsofContinentalShelf in2009.Ontheface

    ofitChinasmaplaysclaimstovirtuallyalloftheSouthChinaSeaoverwhichitclaims

    indisputable sovereignty. China must now bring its claims into accord with

    international law and specifyjustwhat it is claiming.Does China consider the South

    ChinaSeaterritorialwaters?OrisChinajustclaimingalloftherocksandfeaturesand

    surroundingwaters

    within

    the

    nine

    dash

    lines

    and

    not

    just

    the

    waters

    surrounding

    the

    nine features and rocks that it presently occupies? And, if so, is China claiming that

    theserocksareinfactislandsandthusentitledtoatwohundrednauticalmileEEZ?Ifso

    this is a legal fiction. Islandsmustbe able to sustainhumanhabitation andhave an

    economic function. Rocks,whichdo notmeet these criteria, cannot claim an EEZ or

    continentalshelf.

    Chinasninedashmarkscutdeeply intotheEEZsthathavebeendeclaredbyVietnam

    and thePhilippinesTheseEEZsarebased firmly in international law.Bothstateshave

    drawnstraightbaselinesaroundtheircoastsandthenextendedtheirclaimfromthese

    baselines seaward out to two hundred nautical miles. Under the United Nations

    Conventionon Lawof theSea littoral stateshave sovereigntyover thesewaters and

    continentalshelvesintermsofexploitationofnaturalresourcessuchasfisheriesandoil

    andgasdepositsontheoceanfloor.

    Chinese assertiveness has provoked what must be considered a counterproductive

    reaction from Beijings perspective. The Aquino Administration is now committed to

    modernizingitsarmedforcesforterritorialdefenceofitsmaritmedomain.Thisgoalhas

    driven the Philippines to revive defencesecurity cooperationwith theUnited States

    underaegisoftheir1951MutualSecurityTreaty.Vietnam,whiletentativelysteppingup

    defence cooperation with the United State, has meanwhile embarked on a robust

  • 8/3/2019 Thayer Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea: Southeast Asian Responses

    35/35

    35

    program of force modernization including Kiloclass submarines, Su30 multirolejet

    fighters, Gephardclass guided missile frigates, and a variety of modern antiship

    missiles. It is inthe interestoftheUnitedStatesand itsalliesaswellas Indiatoassist

    bothnationsincapacitybuildingintheareaofmaritimesecurity.

    ASEAN and the international community, both of which rely on transit through the

    South China Sea,must continue to diplomatically confront China over its aggressive

    assertiveness. They should bring collective diplomatic pressure to bear on China to

    desistfromprovocativeassertionsofjurisdictionintheEEZsofSouthChinaSealittoral

    states.DiplomaticpressureshouldalsobebroughttobearonChinaandotherclaimant

    statestofaithfullyimplementtheguidelinestoimplementtheDOC.

    ASEANmember

    states

    and

    the

    international

    community

    should

    support

    Indonesia,

    in

    its

    role asASEAN Chair, in its efforts to engage China in upgrading theDOC to amore

    formal (andbinding?)CodeofConduct. IfChina isnot forthcoming,ASEANmembers

    themselvesshoulddrawupaTreatyonaCodeofConductintheSouthChinaSea,and

    after ratification, open it to accession by nonmember states along the lines of the

    ASEANTreatyofAmityandCooperationandtheSoutheastAsianNuclearFreeWeapons

    ZoneTreaty.