1
A s we move along the risk scale looking at alternatives with increasing risk - right from the almost zero risk Bank Savings Deposits, all the way up to the Equity Shares at the ‘summit of the risk scale’you might wonder: Ought we stop there? Is there nothing beyond, with even higher risk? We all know there is; there is a whole territory of financial products that nor- mally goes under the name of deriva- tives. But that is a territory I fear to tread. I know most of the ‘investment experts’ will not agree with me on that. But I strongly believe that unless one is trained for that sort of mountaineering, one must not indulge in that sport. So that leaves out most of us. But, this is not just a trepidation of a novice. I have been significantly influ- enced in my conviction by Taleb (Nas- sim Nicholas Taleb, the author of Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, etc) and Prof. Raghuram Rajan, who now happens to be the Governor of RBI. I shall share with you the views of Rajan, with Taleb at the back of the mind, some day; at a later point proba- bly we could return to the understand- ing of risk a la Taleb. Where do I draw the lakshman rekha then? I draw the line where the equity space ends and where the derivative space begins. The reason is very simple: up to there we deal with ‘natural’ prod- ucts likedebt instruments or equity shares; derivatives are ‘synthetic’ prod- ucts. What is this ‘natural’ v/s ‘synthetic’ distinction? To understand that let us take some examples. A bond is a finan- cial instrument that gets created when a person A borrows from a person B (persons A and B could be individuals, companies or governments); it is basi- cally an obligation to pay a certain amount. This instrument embodying the obli- gation is traded; the holder of that instrument gets the right to receive the payment; that is why the holder pays a price for it. In a similar manner an equi- ty share gets created when a person contributes a certain part to the capital of a business enterprise acquiring the right to share in the profits and loss of that enterprise. A synthetic financial product, on the other hand, is an instrument that is deliberately created to mimic features of a natural financial product. It is designed to mimic some features, but not others; and it is made to mimic selected features of different products. That is precisely the reason they are called ‘derivatives’ - because they are ‘derived’ from other products. Going further, a synthetic product may be constructed out of other synthetic products, and so on; there is no limit to how far a ‘derivative’ chain can go. Let us take a simple derivative: an option. An option is a contract to buy or sell a specific financial product, say an equity share. The share is then called the ‘underlying instrument’ for the option. An option contract that gives you the right but not the obligation to BUY the underlying security at a speci- fied price for a certain, fixed period of time is called a Call Option. Similarly an option contract that gives you the right but not the obligation to SELL the underlying security at a speci- fied price for a certain, fixed period of time is called a Put Option. The instru- ment that you call an option, and which is traded, is not the share itself; the instrument embodies only a right to buy or sell a share. But this right is trad- ed like a share.You see the difference here: the share that underlies the option is a natural financial product; the option that is constructed on the share is a syn- thetic financial product. The option is derived from a share. It is artificially ‘cre- ated’ by the writer of the option. What is the problem? The problem is basically of knowledge. Natural prod- ucts are easy to understand; synthetic products are not so easy.Try it for your- self. Above, we have an explanation of a share and an explanation of an option. Which do you find more intuitively understandable? But the problem is not just that. The derivative chains, as we said before, can get any long; and longer the chain gets, more complex the derivative becomes. There is no limit on how complex a derivative can become. And more com- plex the derivative becomes, more diffi- cult to understand it becomes. In reali- ty, beyond a certain point, the deriva- tives are constructed only by engineers, because they require knowledge of physics and mathematics that ordinary mortals cannot grapple with; and they are designed with the help of machines that are used to send missions to the Mars; and most of us do not own those machines and do not know to run them. The result is a problem: an asymmetry of knowledge between those who man- ufacture the derivative products and those who consume them. When common investors buy the derivatives, sold by smart salesmen in the market, they buy products that they little understand. This is true of all techonologically advanced products. When we buy a gas stove, we more or less understand how it works; when we buy a frost free refrigerator we under- stand a little less; when we buy a Plas- ma TV we understand even less; and so on. But with such gadgets the risk is rel- atively less. Because we can ‘test’ them - we can try them out in the show room before we buy; and we can get the defects attended to during the ‘warran- ty’ period. But with financial products there is no ‘trying out’ and there is no warranty.We have to buy them on the information provided, and ‘hope’ that they work when the time comes. And as the derivatives get more and more technologically advanced, our ‘helplessness’ increases. There is thus an acute asym- metry of knowledge between the financial wizards who manufacture the synthetic financial products and the common investors who con- sume them. The asymmetry increases as the complexity of the products increases. Thus the common investor may be at relatively low disad- vantage, and therefore at a relatively low risk, while investing in simple deriv- ative products; but she is at an increas- ingly high risk as the complexity of the products invested in grows. Worse still, since the investor does not understand the product, she does not even know how complex the product is, and therefore, what the risk is. In such a situation, the smart solution is to draw the laxman rekha at the very beginning - where the equity space ends and where the derivative space begins. The problem is basically of knowledge. Natural products are easy to understand; synthetic products are not so easy, writes TENSING RODRIGUES. ucts, fatty and spicy foods, tea and coffee. Increase water intake. Kids Corner THE FREE PRESSJOURNAL weekend 8 LIFE SUNDAY | MAY 10, 2015 Are you sensitive? Blame it on your genes, says study T he Your genes may influence how sensitive you are to emo- tional information, according to a new research. The study from the University of British Columbia found that carriers of a certain genetic variation perceived positive and negative images more vividly, and had heightened activity in cer- tain brain regions, reports PTI. "For people with this gene varia- tion, the emotionally relevant things in the world stand out much more," said lead author Rebecca Todd, a professor in UBC's Department of Psychology. The gene in question is ADRA2b, which influences the neu- rotransmitter norepinephrine, Todd said. Previous research by Todd found that carriers of a deletion vari- ant of this gene showed greater attention to negative words. Her latest research is the first to use brain imaging to find out how the gene affects how vividly people per- ceive the world around them. "We thought, from our previous research, that people with the deletion variant would probably show this emotion- ally enhanced vividness, and they did more than we would even have predicted," said Todd. She scanned the brains of 39 par- ticipants, 21 of whom were carriers of the genetic variation. Carriers of the gene variation showed signifi- cantly more activity in a region of the brain responsible for regulating emotions and evaluating both pleas- ure and threat. Todd believes this may help explain why some people are more susceptible to PTSD and intrusive memories following trauma. The study participants were asked to estimate the amount of 'noise', or pixelation, applied to images that had either positive, negative or neu- tral emotional content. Compared to non-carriers, carriers of the ADRA2b deletion variant gene estimated lower levels of noise on positive and negative images, rela- tive to neutral images, indicating emotionally enhanced vividness, or EEV. XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX BEYOND THE DANGER ZONE PIC: THECREATIVEBAR.COM PIC: INOH.ORG Envision

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  • As wemove along the risk scalelooking at alternatives withincreasing risk - right from the

    almost zero risk Bank Savings Deposits,all the way up to the Equity Shares atthe summit of the risk scaleyoumightwonder: Ought we stop there? Is therenothing beyond, with even higher risk?We all know there is; there is a whole

    territory of financial products that nor-mally goes under the name of deriva-tives. But that is a territory I fear totread. I knowmost of the investmentexperts will not agree withme on that.But I strongly believe that unless one istrained for that sort ofmountaineering,onemust not indulge in that sport. Sothat leaves outmost of us.But, this is not just a trepidation of a

    novice. I have been significantly influ-enced inmy conviction byTaleb (Nas-simNicholasTaleb, the author ofFooled by Randomness, The BlackSwan, etc) and Prof. RaghuramRajan,who now happens to be the Governorof RBI. I shall share with you the viewsof Rajan, withTaleb at the back of themind, some day; at a later point proba-bly we could return to the understand-ing of risk a laTaleb.Where do I draw the lakshman rekha

    then? I draw the line where the equityspace ends andwhere the derivativespace begins. The reason is very simple:up to there we deal with natural prod-ucts likedebt instruments or equityshares; derivatives are synthetic prod-ucts.What is this natural v/s syntheticdistinction?To understand that let ustake some examples. A bond is a finan-cial instrument that gets createdwhena person A borrows from a person B(persons A and B could be individuals,companies or governments); it is basi-cally an obligation to pay a certainamount.This instrument embodying the obli-

    gation is traded; the holder of thatinstrument gets the right to receive thepayment; that is why the holder pays aprice for it. In a similarmanner an equi-ty share gets createdwhen a personcontributes a certain part to the capitalof a business enterprise acquiring theright to share in the profits and loss ofthat enterprise.A synthetic financial product, on the

    other hand, is an instrument that isdeliberately created tomimic featuresof a natural financial product. It isdesigned tomimic some features, butnot others; and it ismade tomimicselected features of different products.That is precisely the reason they arecalled derivatives - because they arederived from other products. Goingfurther, a synthetic productmay be

    constructed out of other syntheticproducts, and so on; there is no limit tohow far a derivative chain can go.Let us take a simple derivative: an

    option. An option is a contract to buy orsell a specific financial product, say anequity share. The share is then calledthe underlying instrument for theoption. An option contract that givesyou the right but not the obligation toBUY the underlying security at a speci-fied price for a certain, fixed period oftime is called a Call Option.

    Similarly an option contract that givesyou the right but not the obligation toSELL the underlying security at a speci-fied price for a certain, fixed period oftime is called a Put Option.The instru-ment that you call an option, andwhichis traded, is not the share itself; theinstrument embodies only a right tobuy or sell a share. But this right is trad-ed like a share.You see the differencehere: the share that underlies the optionis a natural financial product; the optionthat is constructed on the share is a syn-

    thetic financial product. The option isderived from a share. It is artificially cre-ated by thewriter of the option.What is the problem?The problem is

    basically of knowledge. Natural prod-ucts are easy to understand; syntheticproducts are not so easy. Try it for your-self. Above, we have an explanation of ashare and an explanation of an option.Which do you findmore intuitivelyunderstandable?But the problem is not just that. The

    derivative chains, as we said before, can

    get any long; and longer the chain gets,more complex the derivative becomes.There is no limit on how complex aderivative can become. Andmore com-plex the derivative becomes,more diffi-cult to understand it becomes. In reali-ty, beyond a certain point, the deriva-tives are constructed only by engineers,because they require knowledge ofphysics andmathematics that ordinarymortals cannot grapple with; and theyare designedwith the help ofmachinesthat are used to sendmissions to theMars; andmost of us do not own thosemachines and do not know to runthem.The result is a problem: an asymmetry

    of knowledge between those whoman-ufacture the derivative products andthose who consume them.When common investors buy the

    derivatives, sold by smart salesmen inthemarket, they buy products that theylittle understand. This is true of alltechonologically advanced products.Whenwe buy a gas stove, wemore orless understand how it works; whenwebuy a frost free refrigerator we under-stand a little less; whenwe buy a Plas-maTVwe understand even less; and soon. But with such gadgets the risk is rel-atively less. Because we can test them -we can try themout in the show roombefore we buy; andwe can get thedefects attended to during the warran-ty period.But with financial products there is no

    trying out and there is nowarranty.Wehave to buy them on the informationprovided, and hope that they work

    when the time comes. And as thederivatives getmore andmoretechnologically advanced, ourhelplessness increases.There is thus an acute asym-

    metry of knowledge betweenthe financial wizards whomanufacture the syntheticfinancial products and thecommon investors who con-

    sume them.The asymmetryincreases as the complexity of the

    products increases. Thus the commoninvestormay be at relatively low disad-vantage, and therefore at a relativelylow risk, while investing in simple deriv-ative products; but she is at an increas-ingly high risk as the complexity of theproducts invested in grows.Worse still, since the investor does not

    understand the product, she does noteven know how complex the product is,and therefore, what the risk is. In such asituation, the smart solution is to drawthe laxman rekha at the very beginning- where the equity space ends andwhere the derivative space begins.

    The problem is basically of knowledge.

    Natural products are easy to

    understand; synthetic products are

    not so easy, writes TENSING RODRIGUES.

    There are times whenit becomes unavoid-able to take antibi-

    otics. While these maycure you of your diseases,they leave you with nastyside effects like bloating,belching, gas, constipa-tion and diarrhoea, saysIANS.As the very name antibi-

    otics suggests, it kills bac-teria. Unfortunately, italso kills friendly bacteriawhich are so very valuablefor your health. Full oneto two kg of friendly bac-teria and yeast are presentin your intestines. Thefriendly bacteria not onlyaid in digestion but alsolend a helping hand inmanufacturing B vitamins.Not only that, these keep

    the omnipresent yeast atbay, thus fighting infec-tion. As a result of theintake of antibiotics,yeasts grow uncheckedinto large colonies, caus-ing a condition called dys-biosis. These weaken yourimmune system.Here are a few simple

    steps which can ease thesituation considerably.The first line of defence iscut out factors whichforced you to take antibi-otics in the first place.Quit smoking and drink-ing. Dump all soda. Putaside those chocolates,sugary and starchy foods.Also out are dairy prod-

    ucts, fatty and spicy foods,tea and coffee. Increasewater intake.Don't guzzle orange juice.

    Vitamin C is betterobtained from oranges.Taking it through juices willonly supply you excesssugar, which will ratherworsen your condition.Start taking probiotics in

    the shape of yoghurt on aregular basis, wheneveryou have a course ofantibiotics. Probioticsmust be continued longafter the course has com-pleted. Even otherwise, itis a good idea to makeprobiotics a regular part ofyour diet.Fermented foods like

    pickles, pickled turnipsand carrots contain natu-ral probiotics. That earthyKanji that your grand-mother used to make willbe perfect during yourpost-antibiotic days.Eat light, easily

    digestible food becauseyour digestion will be inbad shape for severalmonths after taking thosetiny pills. Boil five mintleaves, an inch of gingerand about half a teaspoonof Ajwain (carom seeds orbishop's weed) in a glassof water till the water isreduced to half. Drink halfa glass thrice a day.Light exercise is equally

    important.What matters isregularity. Another won-derful remedy in yourkitchen is garlic. Allicinpresent in it gets rid of theantibiotics in the body.Vitamins A, C, E, zinc andselenium are a great help.Aloe vera juice protectsintestinal lining.Make sure that you don't

    get constipated. Psylliumhusk and flax seed will notonly aid in bowel move-ment but will also relievediarrhoea by absorbingexcess water. Antibacterialoregano oil taken thrice aday provides considerablehelp.

    (Amar Chandel is theauthor of two self-help

    books. The views expressedare personal. He can be

    reached [email protected])

    27 / 2015 Amrita Bharati, Bharatiya Vidya Bhavan; e-mail: [email protected]

    LAUGH OUT LOUD

    STORYTIME

    INFO BYTE

    The Ass, the Cock and the LionA hungry lion saw an ass in a

    farmyard and his stomach

    growled. Creeping stealthily

    through the fence, he managed

    to get inside without being

    seen. Just as he was about to

    spring upon the ass, a cock

    began to crow. The sudden

    sound startled the lion and he

    fled away as fast as he could.

    The ass was puzzled. If the

    lion is scared of a cock, why

    should I be afraid of him? he

    thought. Ill give him such a

    chase that he will never again

    come to attack me.

    The ass ran after the lion. The

    lion saw this and ran faster to get the

    ass away from the farm, and once

    they were on safe grounds, he turned

    around and pounced on the animal.

    Moral of the Story: A false sense of

    confidence often leads to danger.

    GITAS English teacher asked

    her to write an essay on 'What

    would you do if you became a

    millionaire'. Gopi handed over a

    blank sheet of paper. The

    teacher yelled, "You've done

    NOTHING! Why?" "Because if I

    became a millionaire, that's

    exactly what I would do" said

    Gita happily.

    CROSSWORD

    WORLD WAR II pilots set a new

    trend with their leather bomber

    jackets. Fitted with snug cuffs

    and waists, they are perfect for

    the winter season. They are worn

    by both men and women over

    smart casual clothes. The short

    warm jacket is best paired with

    denims and boots for making the

    right style statement.

    PUZZLER

    Answer:

    Saw. It is not a

    gardening tool.

    Trend Track

    Clues

    Across

    1. Danger (6)

    5. Small

    horse (4)

    7. Young

    woman (4)

    8. Depressed

    (6)

    Across:1. Hazard 5.Pony7. Lass

    8. Morose

    Down: 2. Zaps 3. Dry ice 4. Clam

    6. Oslo

    Down

    2. Destroys (4)

    3. Solid carbon

    dioxide (3,3)

    4. Edible

    mollusk (4)

    6. Norway

    capital (4)

    Answer:

    Observe the

    picture carefully

    and find the odd

    one out.

    1

    4 5

    2 3

    6

    7

    8

    WRITE TO: Ketan Tanna, Feature Editor, Free Press Journal, Free Press House, First Floor, 215,

    Free Press Journal Marg, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 21. Telephone: 022-22874566. E-mail:

    features@ fpj.co.in Reg. No. MCS/048/2015-17; RNI No. 46955/88.

    w w w . f r e e p r e s s j o u r n a l . i n

    Kids Corner

    THEFREEPRESSJOURNAL

    weekend8 LIFESUNDAY | MAY 10, 2015

    Are you sensitive?Blame it on yourgenes, says study

    TheYour genesmay influencehow sensitive you are to emo-tional information, according

    to a new research. The study fromthe University of British Columbiafound that carriers of a certaingenetic variation perceived positiveand negative imagesmore vividly,and had heightened activity in cer-tain brain regions, reports PTI."For people with this gene varia-

    tion, the emotionally relevant thingsin the world stand outmuchmore,"said lead author RebeccaTodd, aprofessor in UBC's Department ofPsychology. The gene in question isADRA2b, which influences the neu-rotransmitter norepinephrine, Toddsaid. Previous research byToddfound that carriers of a deletion vari-ant of this gene showed greaterattention to negative words.Her latest research is the first to use

    brain imaging to find out how thegene affects how vividly people per-ceive the world around them. "Wethought, from our previous research,that people with the deletion variantwould probably show this emotion-ally enhanced vividness, and theydidmore than we would even havepredicted," said Todd.She scanned the brains of 39 par-

    ticipants, 21 of whomwere carriersof the genetic variation. Carriers ofthe gene variation showed signifi-cantly more activity in a region ofthe brain responsible for regulatingemotions and evaluating both pleas-ure and threat.Todd believes this may help

    explain why some people aremoresusceptible to PTSD and intrusivememories following trauma. Thestudy participants were asked toestimate the amount of 'noise', orpixelation, applied to images thathad either positive, negative or neu-tral emotional content.Compared to non-carriers, carriers

    of the ADRA2b deletion variant geneestimated lower levels of noise onpositive and negative images, rela-tive to neutral images, indicatingemotionally enhanced vividness, orEEV.

    XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    HOW TO COUNTERSIDE EFFECTSOF ANTIBIOTICSAs the very name antibiotics suggests, it killsbacteria. Unfortunately, it also kills friendlybacteria which are so very valuable for your

    health, says AMAR CHANDEL.

    BEYOND

    THE

    DANGER ZONE

    PIC:THECREATIVEBAR.COM

    PIC:INOH.ORG

    START TAKING PROBIOTICS IN THE SHAPE OFYOGHURT ON A REGULAR BASIS, WHENEVER YOUHAVE A COURSE OF ANTIBIOTICS. PROBIOTICSMUST BE CONTINUED LONG AFTER THE COURSEHAS COMPLETED.

    Envision