Upload
william-potter
View
225
Download
5
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
The Demographic Transition Model
Objective: Identify specific societal changes occurring in different stages of
demographic transition.
What is it? Model of population change based
on the effects of economic development
Based on the experience of how development happened in the Western World
All countries pass through 4 stages that lead them to a state of maturity
Stage 1- preindustrial/preagricultural
Associated with pre-Modern times
Both birth and death rates are high resulting in slow population growth
What are the causes of high birth and death rates at this time?
Stage 2- improved agriculture and medicine
Low death rates
Infant mortality rate falls while the birth rate remains high
Rate of natural increase is high
Why do death rates decrease?
Stage 3Indicative of richer, more developed countries
Higher standards of living and
education
Crude birth rate finally falls
Problems with the Demographic Transition
Model
• based on European experience, assumes all countries will progress to complete industrialization
• many countries reducing growth rate dramatically without increase in wealth
• on the other hand, some countries “stuck” in stage 2 or stage 3