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The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming Could Solve it Prof. Dr. Peter Tschmuck Department of Cultural Management and Gender Studies (IKM) University of Music and Performing Arts Vienna Anton-von-Webern-Platz 1 1030 Vienna, Austria Tel.: ++43-1-71155-3415 email: [email protected] webpage: http://musicbusinessresearch.wordpress.com/

The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

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Page 1: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

The Economic Problem with Music –

And How Music Streaming Could Solve it

Prof. Dr. Peter Tschmuck

Department of Cultural Management and Gender Studies (IKM)

University of Music and Performing Arts Vienna

Anton-von-Webern-Platz 1

1030 Vienna, Austria

Tel.: ++43-1-71155-3415

email: [email protected]

webpage: http://musicbusinessresearch.wordpress.com/

Page 2: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Contents

Music as an economic good

The challenges of the music streaming business model

The revenue streams for Austrian indie labels

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 3: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Music as an

economic good

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 4: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Music as a public good (Samuelson 1954)

Private goods

Excludability in consumption

Rivalry in consumption

Public goods

Non-excludability in consumption

Non-rivalry in consumption

=> „Free-riding“ problem

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 5: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965)

When introducing a price mechanism – think of a toll road – a club good

becomes excludable in consumption, but it is still non-rival.

All music events with an access system – e.g. concerts and opera houses as

well as music festivals – can therefore be defined as club/toll goods.

The ticket price makes them excludable in consumption, but listening to the

performances is still non-rival.

In a concert, an individual appropriates the entire benefit from listening to the

music despite the presence of other music lovers.

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 6: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Originally, music was a public good (e.g. as music in the liturgy and as a

public court entertainment).

In the 18th century impresarios turned music into a club good by staging

operas and concerts and collecting entrance fees.

Music printing and later sound recording transformed music into a private

good with a price mechanism constituting excludability and rivalry in

consumption.

Commercial broadcasting turned music into a public good financed by

either commercials (private radio) or fees (public radio)

In the course of digitization, the public good characteristics of music

became even more relevant => P2P file-sharing.

Music as an information good (Shapiro & Varian 1998)

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 7: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

How to solve the public good’s problem with music?

1. Broadcasting business model: ad-supported and/or public fees

2. Record business model: privatization of consumption

3. Subscription-based music streaming: club/toll good

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 8: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

The challenges of the

music streaming

business model

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 9: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Who benefits from music streaming?

The artists?

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 10: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

The split of a monthly premium

subscription of EUR 9.99 of a music

streaming service in France

Subscriber pays

EUR 9.99

EUR 2.08 (20,8%)

remain with Spotify

EUR 1.67 (16.7%) go

to the tax authority

EUR 5.24 are channelled

to the record labels for

further distribution. They

pocket EUR 4.56 (45.5%)

EUR 0.68 (6.8%) are

distributed to all

performers for their music

streamed

EUR 1.00 (10%) are channelled

to the collecting societies for

for distribution to composers,

authors and publishers

Source: SNEP-Ernst &

Young study, February 2015

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 11: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Who benefits from music streaming?

The artists?

Answer: not really

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 12: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Who benefits from music streaming?

The streaming services?

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 13: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Spotify‘s revenue and cost of revenue, 2012-2016

The Economics of Music Streaming

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Subscriptions 374.600 677.890 978.565 1.744.393 2.638.493

Advertising 55.500 68.157 98.823 195.843 295.011

Cost of revenue 386.498 614.523 876.089 1.623.624 2.482.973

0

500.000

1.000.000

1.500.000

2.000.000

2.500.000

3.000.000

3.500.000in

1,0

00

EU

R

Page 14: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Spotify‘s annual operating loss, 2012-2016

The Economics of Music Streaming

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Operating loss -37.556 -59.136 -76.876 -91.178 -165.180 -184.490 -349.412

-400.000

-350.000

-300.000

-250.000

-200.000

-150.000

-100.000

-50.000

0

in 1

,00

0 E

UR

Page 15: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Spotify‘s cost structure, 2012-2016

The Economics of Music Streaming

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

General and administrative 28.614 39.965 76.678 116.405 175.179

Sales and marketing 54.099 110.825 173.013 246.486 417.911

Research & development 37.946 72.723 121.030 143.307 206.853

Cost of revenue 386.498 614.523 876.089 1.623.624 2.482.973

0

500.000

1.000.000

1.500.000

2.000.000

2.500.000

3.000.000

3.500.000

in 1

,00

0 E

UR

Cost of revenue Research & development Sales and marketing General and administrative

Page 16: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

SoudCloud‘s revenue and net loss, 2010-2015

The Economics of Music Streaming

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Revenue 1.370.000 4.330.000 8.040.000 11.280.000 17.350.000 21.100.000

Net loss -1.550.000 -4.460.000 -12.430.000 -23.110.000 -39.140.000 -51.220.000

-60.000.000

-50.000.000

-40.000.000

-30.000.000

-20.000.000

-10.000.000

0

10.000.000

20.000.000

30.000.000

Page 17: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Music streaming services that failed

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 18: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Who benefits from music streaming?

The streaming services?

Answer: NO

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 19: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Who benefits from music streaming?

The recording companies?

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 20: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Source: Vivendi, First Half 2017 results, August 31, 2017, p.5.

Universal Music Group‘s revenue growth, 2015-2017

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 21: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Universal Music Group‘s first half year 2017 results

Source: Vivendi, First Half 2017 results, August 31, 2017, p.25.

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 22: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Source: Music Business Worldwide, “Sony recorded music sales fall 6%, hampered by strength of Yen”, April 28, 2017

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 23: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Source: Music Business

Worldwide, “Warner Music

just joined the $1bn

streaming record company

club”, February 7, 2017

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 24: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

MERLIN‘s member survey 2017

Key findings

Annual revenue distributions increased 52% to $353m.

64% of Merlin members report that audio streaming accounts for the

majority of their digital revenues (2016: 46%).

67% of Merlin members stated that digital income accounted for over half

their overall business revenues.

42% of members report that services such as YouTube account for less than

5% of their digital revenues

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 25: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Who benefits from music streaming?

The recording companies?

Answer: YES, …

but just the majors and a few indies

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 26: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

2013 2014 2015 2016

Streaming 274.067 458.955 564.877 5.214.375

Download 1.276.704 1.283.945 2.450.744 3.774.554

0

1.000.000

2.000.000

3.000.000

4.000.000

5.000.000

6.000.000

in E

uro

Music streaming revenue of Austrian indie companies

from digital music distributor Rebeat in 2013-2016

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 27: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Music streaming revenue of indie companies in Austria

from digital music distributor Rebeat in 2013 and 2016

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

in E

uro

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 28: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

Who benefits from music streaming?

and of course …

the music consumers

The Economics of Music Streaming

Page 29: The Economic Problem with Music And How Music Streaming ... · 9/13/2017  · Music as a club/toll good (Buchanan 1965) When introducing a price mechanism –think of a toll road

The Economic Problem with Music –

And How Music Streaming Could Solve it

Prof. Dr. Peter Tschmuck

Department of Cultural Management and Gender Studies (IKM)

University of Music and Performing Arts Vienna

Anton-von-Webern-Platz 1

1030 Vienna, Austria

Tel.: ++43-1-71155-3415

email: [email protected]

webpage: http://musicbusinessresearch.wordpress.com/