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TRACKING SDG7: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT A joint presentation of the custodian agencies

THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

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Page 1: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

TRACKING SDG7: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT

A joint presentation of the custodian agencies

Page 2: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy
Page 3: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

Tracking the Sustainable Development Goal 7

SDG7 Targets Indicators Custodian Agency7.1 By 2030, ensure universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services

Proportion of population with access to electricity

World Bank

Proportion of population with primary reliance on clean fuels and technologies

World Health Organization

7.2 By 2030, increase substantially the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix

Renewable energy share in total final energy consumption

International Energy Agency, International Renewable Energy Agency,

UN Statistics Division

7.3 By 2030, double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency

Energy intensity measure in terms of primary energy and GDP

International Energy Agency, UN Statistics Division

3

The Energy Progress Report provides the international community with a global dashboard to register progress on the targets of SDG7

Page 4: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

ELECTRICITY

Page 5: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

DESPITE ACCELERATING PROGRESS, THE WORLD IS STILL NOT ON TRACK TO REACH UNIVERSAL ELECTRIFICATION BY 2030

83%

87%

92%

100%

SDG 7.1.1 Electrification

0% 100%Percentage of population with access to electricity

Status as of baseline year in 2010

Progress between 2010 and 2016

Projected progress up to 2030

Remaining gap to 2030 SDG7 target

Source: World Bank

Page 6: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH IN SOLAR ELECTRICITY IS STILL CONCENTRATED IN A SMALL GROUP OF COUNTRIES

At least

30million

Uganda

Rwanda

Fiji

Nepal

Mongolia

Bangladesh

people in the developing world have a solar home system

% of population with access to off-grid solar

Top 6 countries with highest off-grid solar access rate (Tier 1 and above)

Source: IRENA

Page 7: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

ALTHOUGH 1 BILLION PEOPLE STILL LACK ELECTRICITY WORLDWIDE, AFRICA’S ACCESS DEFICIT BEGAN TO FALL FOR THE FIRST TIME

2014/162012/14

population growth expansion in electricity access

Mill

ions

of p

eopl

e

Mill

ions

of p

eopl

e

Source: World Bank

Page 8: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

A HANDFUL OF EAST AFRICAN COUNTRIES STAND OUT AS DRIVING AFRICA’S IMPROVED PERFORMANCE

Source: World Bank

Page 9: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

CLEAN COOKING

Page 10: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

PROGRESS ON CLEAN COOKING REMAINS VERY SLOW, LEAVING THE 2030 TARGET EVER FURTHER OUT OF REACH

10

SDG 7.1.2 Clean Cooking

0% 100%

58%

59%

73%

100%

Percentage of population with access to clean cooking

Status as of baseline year in 2010

Progress between 2010 and 2016

Projected progress up to 2030

Remaining gap to 2030 SDG7 target

Source: WHO

Page 11: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

WITH 3 BILLION PEOPLE STILL LACKING ACCESS WORLDWIDE, AFRICA’S CLEAN COOKNG DEFICIT CONTINUES TO GROW

2014/16

Population growth Expansion in access to clean cookingM

illio

ns o

f peo

ple

per y

ear

Source: WHO

Page 12: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

FEW COUNTRIES ARE MAKING RAPID PROGRESS, WHILE MANY HAVE SEEN ACCESS DECLINE SINCE 2010

Source: WHO

Page 13: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

RENEWABLES

Page 14: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

PROGRESS ON INCREASING GLOBAL RENEWABLE ENERGY SHARE REMAINS MODEST RATHER THAN SUBSTANTIAL

SDG 7.2 Renewable Energy

16.7%

17.5%

21%

0%

Percentage of renewable energy in total final energy consumption

Status as of baseline year in 2010

Progress between 2010 and 2015

Projected progress up to 2030

Source: IEA & UNSD

Page 15: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

STRONG GROWTH IN RENEWABLE SHARE OF ELECTRICITY HAS YET TO BE MATCHED BY HIGHER CONSUMING TRANSPORT AND HEAT SECTORS

32%Heating Electricity

20%

Transport48%

Share of total final energy consumption by end-use sector

Average annual increase in renewable energy share by end-use sector (2010-15)

Electricity

Transport

Heating

Source: IEA & UNSD

Page 16: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

Renewable

Modern renewable

CHALLENGING FOR RENEWABLES TO KEEP PACE WITH GROWTH IN ENERGY CONSUMPTION, EXCEPT FOR MODERN RENEWABLES

Evolution of energy consumption (1990=100)

Total

Source: IEA & UNSD

Page 17: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

MANY COUNTRIES HAVE SEEN THEIR RENEWABLE ENERGY SHARES FALL SINCE 2010, FEW ARE PROGRESSING RAPIDLY

Source: IEA & UNSD

Page 18: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

EFFICIENCY

Page 19: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

19

0% 2.6%

SDG 7.3 Energy Efficiency

1.3%

2.2%

2.4%

2.6%

Compound annual growth rate of improvement in energy intensity

PROGRESS ON REDUCING GLOBAL ENERGY INTENSITY HAS ACCELERATED SIGNIFICANTLY BUT STILL FALLS SHORT OF 2030 TARGET

Status as of baseline year in 2010

Progress between 2010 and 2016

Projected progress up to 2030

Remaining gap to 2030 SDG7 target

Source: IEA & UNSD

Page 20: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

GLOBAL GDP GREW MUCH FASTER THAN TOTAL PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY, DEMONSTRATING THE EFFECT OF ‘UNCOUPLING’

Evolution of GDP and energy use(1990=100)

Energy

GDP

Source: IEA & UNSD

Page 21: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

RAPID PROGRESS IN REDUCING INDUSTRIAL ENERGY INTENSITY NEEDS TO BE MATCHED IN OTHER KEY CONSUMING SECTORS

Share of total final energy consumption by end-use sector

Improvement in energy intensity by end-use sector (2010-15)

12%Freight

TransportIndustry32%

Residential24%

Passenger Transport

18%

Freight Transport

Residential

Passenger Transport

Industry

Source: IEA & UNSD

Page 22: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

ENERGY INTENSITY IS FALLING RAPIDLY IN MANY COUNTRIES,BUT CONTINUES TO RISE IN A SIGNIFICANT SUBSET

Source: IEA & UNSD

Page 23: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

PROJECTIONS

Page 24: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

50%

100%

2000 2010 2020 2030

0.1

0.2

2000 2010 2020 2030

10%

20%

2000 2010 2020 2030

24

UNDER CURRENT AND PLANNED POLICIES, THE WORLD FALLS SHORT OF ACHIEVING ALL SDG 7 TARGETS

SDG 7.1: Energy access SDG 7.2: Renewable energy SDG 7.3: Energy intensity

Source: IEA World Energy Outlook, 2017

Modern renewables

Renewables

Clean cooking

Page 25: THE ENERGY PROGRESS REPORT - World Bankpubdocs.worldbank.org/en/351271538354696436/100218-morning-s… · The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy

0.1

0.2

2000 2010 2020 2030

AMBITIONS NEED TO ACCELERATE TO ACHIEVE ALL GOALS

The IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario maps an integrated path to energy for all, mitigating climate change & reducing local air pollution

SDG 7.1: Energy access SDG 7.2: Renewable energy SDG 7.3: Energy intensity

50%

100%

2000 2010 2020 2030

10%

20%

2000 2010 2020 2030

Source: IEA World Energy Outlook, 2017

Clean cooking

Renewables

Modern renewables