The Philippine Millennium The Philippine Millennium Development Goals: Development Goals: Where Are We Now?Where Are We Now?

Presented by:Presented by:DIRECTOR ERLINDA M. CAPONESDIRECTOR ERLINDA M. CAPONES

Social Development StaffSocial Development StaffNational Economic and Development AuthorityNational Economic and Development Authority

I.I. Where are we in terms of Where are we in terms of achieving the MDGs?achieving the MDGs?

II.II. How do we accelerate the How do we accelerate the attainment of the MDGs?attainment of the MDGs?

III.III.How do we assess our statistical How do we assess our statistical database system?database system?

IV.IV.How do we improve MDG How do we improve MDG monitoring?monitoring?

Philippine Millennium Development Goals: Philippine Millennium Development Goals: Are We On Track?Are We On Track?

Estimated Population: 88.7 Million (2007)

Land area:

300,000 square

kilometers

Islands: 7,107

Regions: 17

Population Size:

76.Million(2000)

I.I. Where are we in terms of Where are we in terms of achieving the MDGs?achieving the MDGs?

Actual Annual Rate of Change = Current – Baseline

No. of yrs. from baseline to current year

Required Annual Rate of Change = Target – Current

No. of yrs. from current year to target year

Ratio = Required Annual Rate of Change

Actual Annual Rate of Change

Ratio of required annual rate of change to reach the target to actual annual rate of change where:

TRACKING METHODOLOGYTRACKING METHODOLOGY

Probability of Attaining the

Target

Ratio

LOW > 2.0

MEDIUM 1.5 to 2.0

HIGH < 1.5

How do we assess whether How do we assess whether MDG targets will be met?MDG targets will be met?

ERADICATE EXTREME POVERTY AND HUNGER

Proportion of population below Subsistence threshold Poverty threshold

24.3

45.3

13.5(2003)

30.0(2003)

12.15

22.65

HIGH

HIGH

Proportion of families below Subsistence threshold Poverty threshold

20.4

39.9

10.2(2003)

24.4(2003)

10.2

19.95

HIGH

HIGH

Proportion of households with per capita intake < 100% dietary energy requirement

69.4 56.9(2003)

34.7 HIGH

% underweight among 0-5 year old children

34.5 24.6(2005)

17.25 HIGH

MDG BASELINE (1990 or year

closest to 1990)

CURRENT LEVEL

TARGET BY 2015

PROBABILITY OF

ATTAINING THE

TARGET

Rate of Progress:Rate of Progress:Philippines MDG TargetsPhilippines MDG Targets

COMBAT HIV / AIDS, MALARIA AND OTHER DISEASES

HIV prevalence rate <1% <1% <1%(2010)

HIGH

Malaria morbidity rate (per 100,000 patients)

123 59(2004)

24(2010)

HIGH

ENSURE ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY

Proportion of families with access to safe drinking water

73.7 80.2(2004)

86.8 HIGH

Proportion of families with access to sanitary toilet facility

67.6 86.2(2004)

86 HIGH

REDUCE CHILD MORTALITY

Under-5 mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)

80 32(2006)

26.7 HIGH

Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)

57 24(2006)

19 HIGH

MDG BASELINE (1990 or year

closest to 1990)

CURRENT LEVEL

TARGET BY 2015

PROBABILITY OF

ATTAINING THE

TARGET

Rate of Progress:Rate of Progress:Philippines MDG TargetsPhilippines MDG Targets

ACHIEVE UNIVERSAL PRIMARY EDUCATION

Elementary participation rate 85.1 84.4(2005-2006)

100 LOW

Elementary cohort survival rate

68.4 69.9(2005-2006)

84.67 LOW

Elementary completion rate 66.5 67.99(2005-2006)

81.04 LOW

PROMOTE GENDER EQUALITY AND EMPOWER WOMEN

Ratio of girls to 100 boys Elementary education

95.05 94.27(2005)

100 LOW

Secondary education 104.2 106.83 100 LOW

IMPROVE MATERNAL HEALTH

Maternal mortality ratio 209 162(2006)

52.2 LOW

INCREASE ACCESS TO REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH SERVICES

Prevalence of men and women/couples practicing responsible parenthood

40 50.6(2006)

80 LOW

MDG BASELINE (1990 or year

closest to 1990)

CURRENT LEVEL

TARGET BY 2015

PROBABILITY OF

ATTAINING THE

TARGET

Rate of Progress:Rate of Progress:Philippines MDG TargetsPhilippines MDG Targets

Rate of Progress: Sub-National MDG Targets

Region

Goal 1 Goal 2 Goal 3

Proportion of population below subsistence threshold

Proportion of population below poverty threshold

Prevalence of malnutrition among 0-5 year-old children

Proportion of households with per capita intake below 100% dietary energy requirement

Elementary participation rate

Elementary cohort survival rate

Ratio of girls to 100 boys in elementary

Ratio of girls to 100 boys in secondary

CAR High High High Low Low Low Low Low

I High High Medium High High High Low High

II High High High High Low Medium Low Low

III High High High Medium Low Low Low Medium

IV-A High Low High Low Low Low Low Low

IV-B Low Low Low High Low Low Low High

V High High High Low Low Low Low Medium

VI High High High High Low Low Low Medium

VII High High High Low Low Medium Low Low

VIII High Low Low Low Low Low Low High

IX /2 Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Low

X High Medium Medium Medium Low Low Low Low

XI/3 High High High High Low Low Low Low

XII /4 High High Medium Medium Low Low Low High

CARAGA Low Low High No baseline Low Low Low High

ARMM High Low Low Low Medium Low Low High

NCR High High High High Low High Low High

Rate of Progress: Sub-National MDG Targets

Rate of Progress: Sub-National MDG Targets

Regions

Goal 4 Goal 5 Goal 6 Goal7

Under-5 mortality rate

(per 1,000 children)

Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live

births)

Maternal mortality

ratio

Prevalence of men and

women/ couples

practicing responsible parenthood HIV Prevalence

Malaria morbidity rate (per 100,000 population)

Proportion of families with

access to safe drinking water

Proportion of families with

access to sanitary toilet

facility

CAR High Low High Low * High High High

I High High High Low * High High High

II High High High Low No data Low High High

III High Low High Low * ** High High

IV-A High High High Low * ** High High

IV-B High High Low Low No data ** Low High

V High High Low Low No data High Medium High

VI High High Low Low * ** High High

VII High High High Low * No baseline High High

VIII High High Low Medium No data No data High High

IX /2 High High Low Low * ** High High

X High High Low Low No data High High High

XI/3 High High High Low No baseline High High High

XII /4 High High Medium Low * No baseline High High

CARAGA High High Low LowNo reported

cases High No baseline No baseline

ARMM High High High Low * ** No baseline No baseline

NCR High Medium Medium Low * High Medium High

II. How do we accelerate the II. How do we accelerate the attainment of the MDGs?attainment of the MDGs?

MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE

Addressing wide disparities across regions

Curbing the high population growth rate

Accelerating the implementation of basic education and health reforms

MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE

•Ensuring strict enforcement of laws pertinent to the achievement of the MDGs

•Strengthening the capacity of LGUs to deliver basic services and manage programs and projects

• Ensuring transparency and accountability in government transactions

MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE

•Generating and mobilizing increased resources for MDG-related programs and projects

•Strengthening partnership with NGOs, business sector and ODA community

III. How do we assess our III. How do we assess our statistical database statistical database

system?system?

What are the indicators used in What are the indicators used in monitoring the MDGs?monitoring the MDGs?

Total Total IndicatorsIndicators

4848

AvailableAvailable 3030

Not AvailableNot Available 77

Not ApplicableNot Applicable 1111

1. Proportion of population below $1 (PPP) per day2. Poverty gap ratio3. Share of poorest quintile in national consumption4. Prevalence of underweight children under 5 yrs of age5. Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption6. Net enrolment ratio in primary education7. Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach grade 68. Literacy rate of 15-24 year old9. Ratio of girls to boys in primary and secondary education10. Ratio of literate females to males11. Share of women in wage employment in non-agricultural sector12. Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament13. Under-five mortality rate14. Infant mortality rate15. Proportion of 1 year-old children immunized against measles

16. Maternal mortality ratio17. Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel18. HIV prevalence among 15-24 year old pregnant women19. Condom use rate of the contraceptive prevalence rate20. Number of children orphaned by HIV/AIDS 21. Prevalence and death rates associated with malaria22. Proportion of pop. In malaria risk areas using effective malaria prevention & treatment measures23. Prevalence and death rates associated with tuberculosis24. Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected and cured under directly observed treatment short course (DOTS)25. Proportion of land area covered by forest26. Ratio of area protected to maintain biological diversity to surface area

27. Energy use per $1 GDP28. Carbon dioxide emissions29. Proportion of pop. using solid fuels 30. Proportion of pop. with sustainable access to improved water source31. Proportion of urban population with access to improved sanitation32. Proportion of HH with access to secure tenure33. Net ODA, total and to LDCs, as percentage of OECD/DAC donors' gross national income 34. Proportion of total bilateral, sector-allocable ODA of OECD/DAC donors to basic social servcies 35. Proportion of bilateral ODA of OECD/DAC donors that is untied 36. ODA received in landlocked countries as proportion of their GNIs 37. ODA received in small island developing States as proportion of their GNIs 38. Proportion of total developed country imports 39. Average tariffs

imposed by developed countries on agricultural products and textiles and clothing from developing countries 40. Agricultural support estimate for OECD countries as percentage of their GDP 41. Proportion of ODA provided to help build trade capacity  42. Total number of countries that have reached their HIPC decision points completion points 43. Debt relief committed under HIPC initiative, US$ 44. Debt service as a % of exports of goods and services45. Unemployment rate of 15-24 yr. old46. Proportion of pop. With access to affordable essential drugs47. Telephone lines and cellular subscribers48. Personal computers in use and internet users

Total MDG Indicators = 48Total MDG Indicators = 48

Available Indicators = 30Available Indicators = 301. Proportion of population below $1 (PPP) per day2. Poverty gap ratio3. Share of poorest quintile in national consumption4. Prevalence of underweight children under 5 yrs of age5. Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption6. Net enrolment ratio in primary education7. Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach grade 6

8. Literacy rate of 15-24 year old9. Ratio of girls to boys in primary and secondary education10. Ratio of literate females to males11. Share of women in wage employment in non-agricultural sector12. Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament13. Under-five mortality rate14. Infant mortality rate15. Proportion of 1 year-old children immunized against measles

16. Maternal mortality ratio17. Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel18. Condom use rate of the contraceptive prevalence rate19. Prevalence and death rates associated with malaria20. Prevalence and death rates associated with tuberculosis21. Proportion of land area covered by forest22. Ratio of area protected to maintain biological diversity to surface area

23. Carbon dioxide emissions (per capita) and consumption of ozone-depleting CFCs24. Proportion of pop. using solid fuels 25. Proportion of pop. with sustainable access to improved water source26. Proportion of urban population with access to improved sanitation27. Proportion of HH with access to secure tenure28. Debt service as a % of exports of goods and services29. Unemployment rate of 15-24 yr. old30. Telephone lines and cellular subscribers

Source: NSCB

Not Available = 7Not Available = 7

1. HIV prevalence among 15-24 year old pregnant women

2. No. of children orphaned by HIV/AIDS

3. Proportion of population in malaria risk areas using effective malaria prevention and treatment measures

4. Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected and cured under directly observed treatment short course (DOTS)

5. Energy use (kg oil equivalent) per $1 GDP

6. Proportion of population with access to affordable essential drugs on a sustainable basis

7. Personal computer in use pr 100 population and internet users per 100 population

Source: NSCB

Not Applicable = 11Not Applicable = 11

1. Net ODA, total and to LDCs, as percentage of OECD/DAC donors' gross national income

2. Total no. of countries that have reached their HIPC decision points and number that have reached their HIPC completion points

3. Debt relief committed under HIPC initiative, US$

4. Proportion of total bilateral, sector-allocable ODA of OECD/DAC donors to basic social servcies (basic education, primary health care, nutrition, safe water and sanitation)

5. Proportion of bilateral ODA of OECD/DAC donors that is untied

6. ODA received in landlocked countries as proportion of their GNIs

7. ODA received in small island developing States as proportion of their GNIs

8. Proportion of total developed country imports (by value and excluding arms) from developing countries and LDCs, admitted free of duties

9. Average tariffs imposed by developed countries on agricultural products and textiles and clothing from developing countries

10. Agricultural support estimate for OECD countries as percentage of their GDP

11. Proportion of ODA provided to help build trade capacity  (OECD and WTO are collecting data that will be available from 2001 onwards)

Source: NSCB

Additional IndicatorsAdditional Indicators

1. Completion rate2. Simple and Functional

Literacy rates3. Drop-out rate4. Gender-based

violence (GBV)5. Gender development

index (GDI)6. Gender empowerment

measure (GEM)7. Labor force

participation rate (LFPR) by sex

8. Women’s participation in governance

9. Percentage of births delivered in a health facility

10. Prenatal coverage11. Percentage of those

injected with tetanus toxoid

12. Provision of iron tablet supplements

13. Prevalence of men and women/couples practicing responsible parenthood (contraceptive prevalence rate)

Major MDG Data SourcesMajor MDG Data SourcesSurveys Family Income and Expenditures Survey (FIES) National Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) Family Planning Survey (FPS) Annual Poverty Indicators Survey (APIS) National Nutrition Survey (NNS) Functional Literacy, Education and Mass Media Survey (FLEMMS)

Government Agencies National Statistics Office (NSO) National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Commission on Higher Education (CHED) Department of Education (DepEd) Department of Health (DOH) Department of Transportation and Communication (DOTC) Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) Forest Management Bureau (FMB) Food and Nutrition Research Institute (FNRI) National Telecommunications Commission (NTC)

What are the problems in trackingWhat are the problems in tracking the MDG progress?the MDG progress?

Infrequent conduct of surveys

Unavailability of data at the sub-national level

Incomparability of data

Need to improve methodology in determining probability of meeting the MDG targets

IV. How do we improve IV. How do we improve MDG monitoring?MDG monitoring?

Regular conduct of censuses and surveys

Nationwide adoption of Community- Based Monitoring System (CBMS)

Adoption of small area estimates

MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGEMEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE

Explore possibility of adopting a standard international methodology for determining the probability of meeting the MDG targets

Capacity-building for data generation, analysis, and monitoring

MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGEMEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE

THANK YOU!THANK YOU!