The State of Domestic Commerce in Pakistan Study 3 - Subsidies and Incentive Regimes

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    THE STATE OF DOMESTIC COMMERCE INPAKISTAN

    S

    TUDY

    SUBSIDIES AND INCENTIVE REGIMES

    For

    The Ministry of CommerceGovernment of Pakistan

    November 2007

    By

    Innovative Development Strategies (Pvt.) Ltd.

    House No. 2, Street 44, F-8/1, Islamabad

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    Table of Contents

    List of Abbreviations ............................................................................................................... iAcknowledgments ................................................................................................................ iv

    Executive Summary ............................................................................................................ 3

    Section 1: Introduction .................................................................................................. 61.1. Subsidies and Incentive Regimes .............................................................................. 61.2. Scoping the Study ..................................................................................................... 7

    Section 2: Subsidies for Domestic Commerce ............................................................ 92.1 Cross Subsidization in the Energy Sector .................................................................. 9

    2.1.1 Cross Subsidization in Electricity and Natural Gas Tariffs .............................. 92.1.2 Cross Subsidization in Fuel Pricing .............................................................. 13

    2.2 Financial Incentives ................................................................................................. 142.3 Policy Package for Developing Storage Facilities .................................................... 152.4 Subsidy on Freight Transport .................................................................................. 15

    2.4.1 The National Logistics Cell (NLC) ................................................................ 152.4.2 Pakistan National Shipping Corporation (PNSC) .......................................... 16

    2.5 Incentives in Construction........................................................................................ 172.5.1 Khuda Ki Basti and the IHDS ....................................................................... 172.5.2 Defense Housing Authorities ........................................................................ 18

    Section 3: Agricultural and Trade Subsidies ............................................................. 193.1 Agricultural Subsidies .............................................................................................. 193.2 Trade Subsidies and Incentives ............................................................................... 20

    3.2.1 Export Finance Scheme ............................................................................... 203.2.2 Long Term Financing of Export Oriented Projects (LTF-EOP) ..................... 203.2.3 Scheme for Locally Manufactured Machinery ............................................... 203.2.4 Scheme for pre and post Shipment Under FE25 .......................................... 213.2.5 Freight Subsidy Scheme .............................................................................. 213.2.6 Skill Development and R&D Support for the Textile Sector .......................... 213.2.7 Quality Standards Certification ..................................................................... 213.2.8 Financial Incentives ..................................................................................... 223.2.9 Support for Participation in Trade Fairs ........................................................ 22

    3.2.10 Support for Certification ............................................................................... 223.2.11 Support for Establishment of Retail Outlets Abroad ..................................... 22

    3.3 Impact on Domestic Commerce............................................................................... 22

    Section 4: Conclusions and Recommendations ....................................................... 244.1 Policy Recommendations ........................................................................................ 24

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    List of Tables

    Table 2.1: Schedule of Electricity Tariffs ....................................................................... 11Table 2.2: Schedule of Natural Gas Prices ................................................................... 12Table 2.3: Breakdown of Sale Prices of Petroleum Products ........................................ 13Table 3.1: Green Box Subsidy Outlays (Million US $) ................................................... 19

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    Innovative Development Strategies (Pvt) i

    List of Abbreviations

    ABAD Association of Builders and Developers

    ADB Asian Development Bank

    ADBI Asian Development Bank Institute

    APCA All Pakistan Contractors AssociationATT Afghan Trade Transit

    BAF Bank AlFalah

    BCI Business Competitiveness Index

    BOR Board of Revenue

    CAA Civil Aviation Authority

    CBM Cubic meter

    CBR Central Board of Revenue

    CDA Capital Development Authority

    CIB Credit information bureau

    CMR Contract for the International Carriage of Goods by Road

    CPI Corruption Perceptions IndexCPIA Country Policy and Institutional Assessment

    DFID Department for International Development

    DHA Defense Housing authority

    EDF Export Development Fund

    EIU Economist Intelligence Unit

    EOS Executive Opinion Survey

    EPB Export Promotion Bureau

    ESCAP Economic and Social Development in Asia and the Pacific

    FBS Federal Bureau of Statistics

    FCL Full Container Load

    FDI Foreign Direct Investment

    FIAS Foreign Investment Advisory Service

    Ft Foot

    FY Fiscal Year

    GCI Global Competitiveness Index

    GCR Global Competitiveness Report

    GD Goods Declaration

    GDP Gross Domestic Product

    GoP Government of Pakistan

    GOR Government Officials Residences

    GRT Gross Register TonnageGST General Sales Tax

    HBFC Housing Building Finance Corporation

    HBL Habib Bank Limited

    HDR Human Development Report

    HFIs Housing Finance Institutions

    IFC International Finance Corporation

    IFS International Financial Statistics

    IMF International Monetary Fund

    ISAL Informal Subdivision of Agricultural Land

    ISO International Standards Organization

    IT Information TechnologyITU International Telecommunications Union

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_Register_Tonnagehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_Register_Tonnagehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_Register_Tonnage
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    KBCA Karachi Building Control Authority

    KDA Karachi Development Authority

    KESC Karachi Electric Supply Corporation

    KM(s) Kilometer(s)

    KPT Karachi Port Trust

    KSE Karachi Stock ExchangeLCL Less Than Container Load

    LOA Length Overall

    MCB Muslim Commercial Bank

    MENA Middle East and North Africa

    MOC Ministry of Commerce

    MOD Ministry of Defense

    MTDF Medium Term Development Framework

    NBP National Bank of Pakistan

    NCS National Conservation Strategy

    NER Net Primary School Enrollment Rate

    NHA National Highway AuthorityNIE Newly industrialized economy

    NIT National Institute of Transport

    NLC National Logistics Cell

    NTN National Tax Number

    NTRC National Transportation Research Center

    NTTFC National Trade and Transport Facilitation Committee

    NWFP North West Frontier Province

    PASSCO Pakistan Agricultural Storage and Services Corporation

    PEC Pakistan Engineering Council

    PHDEB Pakistan Horticulture Development and Export Board

    PIAC Pakistan International Airlines Corporation

    PIDE Pakistan Institute Of Development Economists

    PIHS Pakistan Integrated Household Survey

    PKR Pakistani Rupee

    PQA Port Qasim Authority

    PR Pakistan Railways

    PREF Pakistan Real Estate Federation

    PSDP Public Sector Development Program

    R&D Research and Development

    REER Real Effective Exchange Rate

    REITs Real Estate Investment TrustsRICS Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors

    SAI Social Accountability International

    SBP State Bank of Pakistan

    SKAA Sindh Katchi Abadis Authority

    SME Small and Medium Enterprises

    SPS Sanitary and Phytosanitary

    SRO Statutory Regulation Order

    Std Standard

    TEP Total Factor Productivity

    TEU Twenty-Foot Equivalent Units

    TI Transparency InternationalTOR Terms of Reference

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    iii

    TSDI Transport Sector Development Initiative

    TTFP Trade and Transportation Facilitation Program

    UK United Kingdom

    UNDP United Nations Development Program

    US United States

    USA United States of AmericaUSC Utility Stores Corporation

    USD United States Dollars

    WAPDA Water and Power Development Authority

    WDI World Development Indicators

    WEF World Economic Forum

    WGI Worldwide Governance Indicators

    WTO World Trade Organization

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    Acknowledgment

    The IDS team owes a debt of gratitude to the officers of the Ministry of Commerce for their

    guidance, assistance and feedback during the course of this study. Our special thanks go out,

    in particular, to Syed Asif Ali Shah, Secretary; Mr. Naseem Qureshi and Mr. Ashraf Khan,

    Additional Secretaries; Mr. Abrar Hussian, Joint Secretary; Syed Irtiqa Zaidi, Consultant andMr. Qaseem Subhani, Section Officer, for sparing their precious time and efforts for the

    study.

    We feel a deep sense of gratitude for the Minister for Commerce. Mr. Humayun Akhtar

    Khan, who took out considerable time from his busy schedule to guide us. It was his sincere

    and deep conviction which enabled us to conduct and compile this detailed and

    comprehensive study on Domestic Commerce of our country. His apt guidance and keen

    analytical oversight were extremely helpful in finalizing the study and formulating the policy

    recommendations.

    This study has benefited from comments received from the following:1. State Bank of Pakistan, Karachi.2. Federal Board of Revenue, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.3. Planning and Development Division, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.4. Trade Development Authority, Government of Pakistan, Karachi.5. (Management Consultants) Establishment Division, Government of Pakistan,

    Islamabad.

    6. Finance Division, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.7. Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad.8. NTTFC, Karachi.9. FPCCI, Karachi.10.Planning and Development Board, Government of Punjab, Lahore.11.Planning and Development Board, Government of NWFP, Peshawar.12.Planning and Development Board, Government of Sindh, Karachi.13.Planning and Development Board, Government of Balochistan, Quetta.14.Investment and Commerce Department, Government of Punjab, Lahore.15.Ministry of Communications, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.16.Housing and Works, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.17.Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Livestock, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.18.Ministry of Water and Power, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.19.Ministry of Petroleum, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.

    20.Statistics Division, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.21.Ministry of Commerce, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.22.Agriculture Department, Government of Punjab, Lahore.23.Local Government and Rural Development Division, Government of Punjab, Lahore.24.Statistics Division, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.

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    1

    SUBSIDIES AND INCENTIVE REGIMES*

    by

    SAFIYAAFTABDR.GEORGE BATTESEDR.SOHAIL J.MALIK

    * For a detailed analysis of the regulatory environment, please see the accompanying studyRegulatory Issues in Domestic Commerce.

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    Executive Summary

    1. The Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing measures negotiated as part of theUruguay Round of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) defines a subsidy as

    a financial contribution by a government or any public body. According to a study by Peters

    and Fisher incentives are of two kinds: tax and non tax incentives1

    . Tax incentives includemeasures such as property tax abatements, tax increment financing, sales tax exemptions and

    credits, corporate income tax exemptions and credits for investment or jobs, while non-tax

    incentives include business grants, loans, and loan guarantees.

    2. The categories of subsidies and incentives analyzed in this report are crosssubsidization in energy pricing, financial incentives and incentives for development of

    facilities (storage, warehousing etc.), subsidy on freight transport, incentives in the real estate

    sector, agricultural and export subsidies. The objective of this report is to see how these

    subsidies and incentive regimes affect domestic commerce and possible policy measures that

    can be adopted to promote domestic commercial activity.

    Subsidies for Domestic Commerce

    3. There are two major forms of cross subsidization in the energy sector, which canaffect domestic commerce. The first is cross subsidization in electricity and natural gas

    pricing, with commercial and industrial sectors subsidizing households. The purpose behind

    cross subsidization is to make essential infrastructure and services available to all sections of

    society. Subsidies in the energy sector can have distorting effects on consumption, leading to

    wastages in sectors where costs are kept low, and a decrease of competitiveness in sectors

    where energy is priced at higher rates. The second cross subsidization in the energy sector

    relates to the cross subsidization in the pricing of fuels, with diesel being priced below

    gasoline to facilitate freight transportation. The subsidy on diesel ensures that road freight

    transport charges in Pakistan are amongst the lowest in the world. While retailers and

    wholesalers on the whole benefit from this strategy (although experience low quality of

    service), there are dual effects for the transport sector. On the one hand, possibilities for

    expansion of the sector are considerable as the economy grows, but on the other hand, the

    sector generates relatively low profits on a per unit basis. There are a number of quasi-

    subsidies in the energy sector also, which can impact domestic commerce. These mainly take

    the form of domestic crude transport to refineries at subsidized rates (using the National

    Logistics Cell (NLC)), and a long term freight contract with the Pakistan National Shipping

    Corporation (PNSC) for transportation of imported crude oil, again at subsidized rates thus

    a transport sector subsidy which allows two state owned enterprises to benefit.

    4. With regard to financial incentives, Pakistans financial sector has witnessedextensive liberalization since reforms began in 1991, and the system of provision ofsubsidized credit for priority sectors has largely been done away with. However, the

    commercial sector is at a disadvantage when it comes to formal sector financing options, as

    banks have little experience of lending to commercial enterprises, and such enterprises often

    cannot meet the collateral requirements of formal sector financial enterprises.

    5. To develop storage facilities the government provides subsidized credit for theestablishment of cold storage facilities, and for the cost of obtaining international

    certifications such as the ISO certifications. Although the terms of the package being offered

    were broadly outlined in the trade policy, the storage owners contacted during the focus

    group meetings were unaware of this facility, and the survey data, particularly data on

    1 Peters, Alan and Peter Fisher. 2004. The Failures of Economic Development Incentives. Journal of theAmerican Planning Association, Vol. 70, No. 1., pp 27-37.

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    financing does not indicate any use of such a facility. Moreover the Ministry of Commerce

    itself does not appear to have developed the scheme further or made any attempt to

    operationalize it as yet.

    6. The government has provided targeted subsidies to certain public sector freightenterprises by disallowing the entry of private competitors in some fields, such as transport of

    crude oil. This policy is meant to control prices of essential commodities, but has resulted inthe creation of near-monopolies in some forms of freight transport.

    7. Construction is acknowledged to be a sector with strong backward and forwardlinkages, and significant growth in this sector can have a remarkable impact on growth of

    incomes. Given the buoyancy of the sector, and the unmet demand in the housing sector, the

    government has been keen to introduce incentives in the housing and construction industries.

    Since FY2002, the government has progressively introduced financial incentives in the

    housing sector, allowing a proportion of the markup on housing loans to be tax deductible,

    and introducing measures to encourage housing finance including increasing the maximum

    lending limit and the loan period for loans given by the House Building Finance Corporation

    (HBFC). Financial incentives, as announced by the government in successive budgets, cannot

    have a major impact in a construction market where housing finance is practically unheard of.However, the clear definition of property rights and transparency in procedures regarding the

    sale and transfer of property, as well as the efficient supply of facilities and infrastructure to

    housing estates would have a much greater impact in promoting the sector.

    Agriculture and Trade Subsidies

    8. Pakistan provides support to agriculture through subsidization of research, storage andmarketing, extension services, and infrastructure and flood protection services. Infrastructure

    and flood protection services (which include primarily the construction and maintenance of

    the irrigation infrastructure) account for the bulk of subsidy payments for the sector, with

    only nominal expenditure on research and development, extension and storage and

    marketing. Agricultural subsidies in general have little direct impact on these sectors beyond

    the residual effects they may have based on their effects on production. The only area of

    domestic commerce directly affected by agricultural subsidies is storage, given the federal

    governments support for the Pakistan Agricultural Storage and Services Corporation

    (PASSCO), the prime public sector agency responsible for the storage of grains, particularly

    wheat.

    9. Pakistan cannot provide direct export subsidies as it used to prior to its inclusion inthe WTO regime, but can subsidize the cost of marketing and transportation of exports. The

    government employs a range of incentive systems for exporters, mostly in the form of

    financial incentives. Trade incentives offered by the SBP take a variety of forms includingconcessionary credit for exporting industries and concessionary trade financing. With regard

    to trade subsidies, the key impacts on domestic commerce come through the effects of

    subsidies on production.

    Conclusions and Recommendations

    10. Utility and fuel pricing regimes need to be carefully reviewed as part of the ongoingrestructuring of the energy sector. There is a need for some degree of cross-subsidization

    keeping in mind equity considerations and the need to supply basic services to low income

    households. The commercial sector should not be expected to pay a price for the lack of

    efficiency and mismanagement in utility providers.

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    11. The subsidization of freight prices may benefit the commercial sector in terms ofensuring cheap transport, but there are environmental costs involved and they hinder the

    adoption of fuel efficient technology and better maintenance practices in road transport.

    12. The performance of the NLC and the PNSC needs to be reviewed in addition toPASSCO, to assess the feasibility of allowing the public sector to operate in areas where

    private sector capability is increasingly available. While it is true that the role of the NLChas been substantially reduced in recent years, the PNSC has not been subjected to similar

    scrutiny.

    13. In the real estate sector, an effort must be made to provide a level playing field todevelopers with transparent systems for provision of infrastructure.

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    Section 1Introduction

    1. Most of the available literature on subsidies in Pakistan deals with export subsidiesand agricultural subsidies, with the more recent studies focusing on the impacts of the gradual

    phase-out of subsidies in the last decade. The TORs are not specific about the proposed

    scope of the study, and refer in very general terms to a need to make an inventory of allprevailing subsidies. This is, however, not a useful exercise unless we are clear about the

    policy arena that we are operating in. Our first task therefore, is to specify how we define

    subsidies and incentives, and than to scope out the proposed study.

    1.1. Subs idies and Incentive Regimes

    2. A commonly accepted legal definition of a subsidy is that given in the Agreement onSubsidies and Countervailing Measures negotiated as part of the Uruguay Round of the

    General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT).2 The Agreement (commonly known as

    the Subsidies Agreement) defines a subsidy as a financial contribution by a government or

    any public body. Financial contributions are defined as direct transfers or potential directtransfers of funds (grants, equity infusions, or government guarantees), non-collection of

    government revenue that is otherwise due (for example, tax credits), government provision of

    goods and services (other than infrastructure), and government purchases of goods for

    provision at below market rates.

    3. Incentives are more difficult to define, but a recent paper by Peters and Fisher gives aworkable classification.3 The paper divides incentives into two kinds: tax and non tax

    incentives. Tax incentives include measures such as property tax abatements, tax increment

    financing, sales tax exemptions and credits, corporate income tax exemptions and credits for

    investment or jobs, while non-tax incentives include business grants, loans, and loan

    guarantees.

    4. The general argument for subsidies and incentives needs careful consideration, andthe case for/against each subsidy or incentive also needs to be very carefully delineated. The

    political economy of subsidies/incentives suggests that these are relatively easy to institute

    and extend, especially where potential beneficiaries are concentrated and those who are to

    bear the cost are larger in number and more scattered. Take the hypothetical case where

    government wants to impose a levy of Rs. 1 per person per month on the larger population

    and pass this on as a subsidy to X industry of the country, constituting 50 manufacturers of

    that good. The additional cost to a family of 8, per month, is only Rs. 8. But the benefit to the

    50 manufacturers would be Rs. 150 million (assuming that to be the population) per month,

    2 See http://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/ursum_e.htm#kAgreement3 Peters, Alan and Peter Fisher. 2004. The Failures of Economic Development Incentives. Journal of the

    American Planning Association, Vol. 70, No. 1., pp 27-37.

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    or Rs. 3 million per manufacturer per month and Rs. 36 million over a year. The additional

    cost to each family or individual is so low that it would be hard for the larger population to

    mount a campaign against such a levy4. But for each manufacturer it would make sense to

    lobby for a subsidy of this kind. In fact, they would be, individually and collectively, willing

    to spend a substantial amount, as side payment, bribes and gifts, to lobby for such a subsidy.

    And if such a subsidy is once given, in the limit, the manufacturers should be willing to spendup to the extent of the subsidy to ensure that the subsidy continues. So once granted, the

    subsidy would be hard to remove. Furthermore, the manufacturers can come up with other

    explanations, about employment, industrial development, export potential and so on, to

    justify the subsidy as well. One would require rigorous analysis and research to a) thwart

    attempts to lobby for such subsidies, and b) decide whether any subsidy should continue or

    not. Thus, in general, the political economy of subsidies/incentives would suggest that the

    government and people need to be very wary of arguments for subsidies and need to set strict

    standards for giving any subsidies, and the onus for making the case should be on the group

    lobbying for it. Subsidies and incentive schemes can be an important and sometimes

    necessary way of correcting market failures, defraying first mover disadvantages, subsidizing

    fixed and sunk costs, and for ensuring certain types of redistributions. But they are marketdistorting and they are costly. So, we need to have solid, well researched and well established

    reasons for extending any subsidies. Furthermore, there should be time table for phasing out

    of the subsidy accompanied with the arguments for extending the subsidy, and the time table

    should be strictly adhered to, unless there are good reasons not to. Finally, there should be,

    for all subsidies/incentive schemes, frequent and in-depth studies to figure out a) if the

    subsidy is indeed serving the purpose for which it was offered, and b) if it is time to phase it

    out.

    1.2. Scop ing the Study

    5. Subsidies and incentive regimes take a variety of forms in Pakistan. Given that ourfocus in this set of reports is on domestic commerce, the limits of this study have to be

    delineated very carefully, to maintain the required focus. A review of available literature on

    subsidies as well as on key sectors of domestic commerce suggests that we scope out the

    study, so as to relate it to domestic commerce, to include the following categories of

    subsidies and incentives:

    Cross subsidization in energy pricing Financial incentives and incentives for development of facilities (storage,

    warehousing etc.)

    Subsidy on freight transport

    Incentives in the real estate sector

    6. Each of the above sectors has a strong link with other sectors of domestic commercewe will be analyzing as part of our compendium of studies. Our objective in this exercise

    will be to see how these subsidies and incentive regimes affect domestic commerce, and what

    are the policy measures that can be adopted, in terms of possible changes to these subsidies

    and incentives, to promote domestic commercial activity.

    4 See Mancur Olsons The Logic of Collective Action for detailed arguments regarding why larger moredispersed groups are at a disadvantage, usually, against smaller, better identified and better knitted groupswhen it comes to organizing collective action. The main points have to do with a) lower costs of

    organization in smaller groups, b) higher possibility of avoiding shirking and being able to imposepunishment on defectors, and c) the higher benefits, of any successful action, per capita, that members of asmaller group are likely to accrue.

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    7. In addition to the subsidies listed above that have a direct bearing on domesticcommerce, we will also be looking at agricultural and export subsidies to the extent that these

    can generate production in key sectors, which will in turn have a bearing on domestic

    commerce. The report is structured as follows. Section 2 describes the nature of subsidies

    directly affecting domestic commercial activity. Section 3 analyzes agricultural and trade

    subsidies and discusses how these affect domestic commerce. Section 4 is the concludingsection which also includes recommendations for the subsidies and incentives regime.

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    Section 2Subsidies for Domestic Commerce

    2.1 Cross Subsidizat ion in the Energy Sector

    8. There are two major forms of cross subsidization in the energy sector, which can

    affect domestic commerce. The first is cross subsidization in electricity and natural gaspricing, with commercial and industrial sectors subsidizing households; the second relates to

    the cross subsidization in the pricing of fuels, with diesel being priced below gasoline to

    facilitate freight transportation. In addition, there are a number of quasi-subsidies in the

    energy sector also, which can impact domestic commerce. These mainly take the form of

    domestic crude transport to refineries at subsidized rates (using the National Logistics Cell

    (NLC)), and a long term freight contract with the Pakistan National Shipping Corporation

    (PNSC) for transportation of imported crude oil, again at subsidized rates thus a transport

    sector subsidy which allows two state owned enterprises to benefit. These different forms of

    subsidy are discussed in more detail below.

    2.1.1 Cross Subsidization in Electricity and Natural Gas Tariffs

    9. Energy pricing policies all over the world seek to achieve a balance betweenconsiderations of financial viability, and the need to extend service, and make basic

    infrastructure services available to all sections of the population. In Pakistan, equity

    considerations have given rise to a pricing policy wherein energy prices are skewed in favor

    of households (and agricultural users), at the expense of industrial and commercial

    consumers.

    10. Power tariff determination was the sole preserve of the public sector utilities, theWater and Power Development Authority (WAPDA) and the Karachi Electric Supply

    Corporation (KESC) until the late 1990s. The tariff structure was complex, with a relatively

    low base tariff, and a number of surcharges.5 There was little or no determination of actualcosts of supply, but tariffs for low voltage consumers (households and agricultural tubewell

    users) were estimated to be below cost. After the negative experiences with Independent

    Power Producers (IPPs) in the mid 1990s, the government decided to establish a regulatory

    authority to oversee the planned unbundling of WAPDA, and to create a level playing field

    for private companies envisaged to enter the power generation and distribution sectors. The

    National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) was established through an Act in

    1997, with the mandate to determine tariffs for the generation, transmission and distribution

    of electric power, in addition to powers of licensing etc. Although the structure of the power

    tariff has been simplified over the past six years, with higher base rates, and a reduction in the

    5 See Haider, Syed Waqar. 2004. Energy Pricing Policy in Pakistan: Existing Prices and a ProposedFramework. LEAD Pakistan Occasional Paper No. 17.

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    number of surcharges, the differentiation in tariff rates by consumer category remains.

    NEPRA has issued tariff determinations for all the eight distribution companies (DISCOs)

    servicing Pakistan, and for KESC. Although there are minor variations across the DISCOs,

    the range of rate differentials is fairly narrow, and an examination of average tariffs serves

    our purpose.

    11. As can be seen from Table 2.1, for residential consumers (or the General SupplyTariff A-1 category), tariffs are determined at Rs. 2.41 per Kwh for the first 100 units of

    consumption. Commercial tariffs, on the other hand, are determined at Rs. 6.80 per Kwh (see

    the General Supply Tariff A-2 category). The maximum tariff for residential users is Rs. 6.74

    per Kwh which becomes applicable for users who use more than 1000 units of electricity.

    Similarly, fixed minimum monthly charges are determined at Rs. 45 per month (for single

    phase connections) and Rs. 100 per month (for three phase connections) for households,

    whereas the comparable charges for commercial users are Rs. 150 and Rs. 300 respectively

    a three fold increase. Industrial tariffs, though not comparable in the exact sense as the scale

    determination is different, nevertheless work out to be higher than residential, but lower than

    commercial tariffs.

    12. The same structure of cross subsidization is apparent in natural gas pricing also (seeTable 2.2), where rates for domestic consumers start at Rs. 80.98 per million cubic feet

    (mmcft), rising to a maximum of Rs. 306.79 per mmcft, while rates for commercial use

    average Rs. 271.07 per mmcft. Natural gas prices were historically fixed at rates lower than

    fuel oil, particularly for domestic consumers and fertilizer producers, a policy that caused

    inter-fuel substitution and increased the use of gas as a fuel both in the domestic and

    industrial sectors. However, as concerns about the depletion of domestic gas supplies has

    increased, and industrial consumers have had to face shortages and load-shedding in winter

    months as supplies are re-directed to domestic use, gas prices have been on the rise,

    increasing by almost 66 percent between 2002 and 2006.

    13. The argument behind cross subsidization is rooted in the need to make essentialinfrastructure and services available to all sections of society, and to set tariffs in accordance

    with estimates of ability of pay for different income groups. Nevertheless, subsidies can

    have distorting effects on consumption, leading to wastages in sectors where costs are kept

    low, and a decrease of competitiveness in sectors where energy is priced at higher rates.

    While there has been a significant outlay of research on household and industrial energy

    demand and its relation with prices, there is no parallel research for the commercial sector, and

    little information on how electricity pricing in particular affects wholesale and retail trade, as

    well as storage (particularly cold storage).

    14. Information from the domestic commerce survey indicates that the mean monthlyexpenditure on electricity on retail establishments is Rs. 3662, while the median expenditure is

    Rs. 1200. In contrast, the Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) for 2001-02reports average household expenditure on fuel and lighting as Rs. 529 per month, of which 46

    percent is spent on electricity. Even the highest income quintile in the HIES survey,

    expenditure on fuel and lighting is just Rs. 730, with 56 percent of this, or Rs. 408 spent on

    electricity. For urban areas, average monthly expenditure on fuel and lighting for the highest

    income quintile was Rs. 844, and average monthly expenditure on electricity was Rs. 472.

    While the HIES is a nationwide survey, and even the highest quintile in the survey may not

    represent the middle class urban consumers, there is little doubt that average monthly

    expenditure on energy is likely to be significantly higher for commercial enterprises than for

    households, for a given level of energy consumption.

    15. There are too many questions that need to be answered in this area before we can come

    to a more informed decision on whether the current tariff structures and cross subsidizationlevels make economic sense or not. It is not clear, so far, if the tariff rates being imposed on any

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    of the customer categories are optimal or if they are a result of many years of cost plus

    thinking. If the latter is the case, NEPRA needs to have an exercise to determine optimal tariffs

    and then decide whether WAPDA/KESC should deviate from these tariffs or not. Charging

    higher rates to industry and commercial activity, on the margin, does raise their cost of

    business. In fact most surveys, including ours, has pointed out that the cost of electricity is one

    of the major concerns for people in both manufacturing as well as trade. It constitutes one of themajor input costs for most manufacturing processes. At the same time we know it is cheaper to

    supply electricity to larger clients (industry) than physically dispersed domestic users, and it is

    easier to collect bills from commercial/industrial clients as well. More importantly, the

    government needs to decide if the higher charge to industry and trade is raising their costs to

    the extent that it is having a significant distortionary effect on their current business, growth

    prospects and future investment plans6. If there is a significant effect of these, the government

    needs to decide whether the cross subsidization should continue as it is, or it would be better to

    fund WAPDA and KESC losses from domestic consumers through another source. The current

    tariff structure might also be diluting WAPDA/KESC incentives for achieving higher levels of

    efficiency and delivery of better quality service (both issues have been flagged in our survey),

    the subsidy needs to be restructured to ensure such dilution does not occur. Most of theresponsibility for undertaking the research and analysis mentioned above lies with NEPRA.

    Currently, NEPRA does not have the experience and expertise needed for such analyses and

    significant investments need to be made in human and technical resources at NEPRA before

    they will be able to carry out the required work.

    Table 2.1: Schedule of Electricity TariffsEffective 1-07-2005

    Tariff Category/ Fixed/Min Energy F.A.S. Additional Surcharges Total

    Particulars Charges Charges Subsidized Surcharge @ 10.4% Avg-Rate

    (Rs/KwM) (Rs/Kwh) (Rs/Kwh) (Rs/Kwh) (Rs/Kwh) (Rs/Kwh)

    GENERAL SUPPLY TARIFF A-1( including FATA)

    Upto 50 Units - 0.61 0.73 0.06 1.40For Consumption > 50 units upto 1000 units 0.00 0.00 0.00For First 100 units - 0.41 0.43 1.48 0.09 2.41For next 200 units - 0.58 0.43 2.19 0.11 2.31(101-300)For next 700 units - 1.51 0.43 3.45 0.20 5.59(301-1000)Above 1000 units - 1.88 0.31 4.32 0.23 6.74Minimum MonthlyCharges:

    a) Single Phase Connections Rs 45/-

    b) Three Phase Connection: Rs 100/-GENERAL SUPPLY TARRIF A-2( including FATA)

    For first 100 units - 2.70 0.00 3.82 0.28 6.80Above 100 Units - 2.94 0.00 3.67 0.31 6.92For peak load requirement above20kv

    220 1.09 0.12 2.83 0.23 5.27

    Minimum MonthlyCharges:

    a) Single Phase Connections Rs 150/-

    b) Three Phase Connection: Rs 300/-

    Continued

    6 Many other countries have their tariffs structured the other way. Industry pays lower rates. The argument forsuch tariffs is that lower rates for industry encourage competitiveness, industrial activity, expansion andinvestment. The benefits accruing from such an expansion, in terms of more jobs and national income,would in the long run not only allow people to have higher incomes, they would make further growthpossible as well. For achieving the positive outcome, if current domestic consumers have to sacrifice a little,

    in terms of paying a little more, it would make sense to do that at a national level and even at individuallevel customers might eventually be better off, due to higher incomes, than if they were currently subsidizedat the cost of future industrial growth.

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    Effective 1-07-2005

    Tariff Category/ Fixed/Min Energy F.A.S. Additional Surcharges Total

    Particulars Charges Charges Subsidized Surcharge @ 10.4% Avg-Rate

    (Rs/KwM) (Rs/Kwh) (Rs/Kwh) (Rs/Kwh) (Rs/Kwh) (Rs/Kwh)

    INDUSTRIAL SUPPLYB-1 upto 40 kw - 1.81 0.13 2.97 0.20 5.11There shall be minimum monthly charges of Rs 70/Kw for first 20 Kilowatts of load and Rs 90/Kw for rest load between 21 - 40 kw

    B-2 (>41-500 kw) 300 1.30 0.13 1.99 0.26 4.76B-2 TOD ( Peak) 300 1.98 0.13 2.22 0.36 6.01B-2 TOD (Off Peak) 300 1.20 0.13 2.07 0.24 4.57B-3 (Normal) 11&33 kv notexceeding 5000 kw

    290 1.29 0.13 2.01 0.22 4.38

    B-3 TOD (Peak) 290 1.97 0.13 2.68 0.28 4.61B-3 TOD (off Peak) 290 1.15 0.13 1.60 0.19 3.62B-4 Normal 66/132/220 kv - Allloads

    280 1.24 0.13 1.86 0.23 4.29

    B-4 TOD (Peak) 280 1.87 0.13 1.69 0.27 4.57B-4 TOD (off Peak) 280 1.11 0.13 1.49 0.19 3.50

    Source: Government of Pakistan. 2006. Economic Survey, 2005-06. Economic Advisors Wing. FinanceDivision.

    Note: 1) The above figures cover some portion of the tariffs schedule. For full details, WAPDA may beconsulted.

    2) The above tariffs are inlusive of GOP subsidy in FAS and discount in addl. Surcharges

    Table 2.2: Schedule of Natural Gas Prices

    (Rs/mcft)

    Date /Category

    20-8-2002

    25-10-2002

    21-3-2002

    20-8-2002

    1-7-2003

    1-7-2004

    2-2-2005

    1-7-2005

    1-1-2006

    DOMESTIC (Slab)

    I Upto 3.55 66.86 67.95 67.95 67.95 69.31 73.95 73.95 73.95 80.98

    II 3.55 to 7.1 100.73 102.37 102.37 102.37 104.42 111.42 111.42 127.92 147.41

    III 7.1 to 10.64 161.16 163.78 163.78 163.78 167.06 178.25 192.96 204.17 235.84

    IV 10.64 to 14.20(MCFT/M) 201.45 213.06 213.06 213.06 217.32 231.88 251.01 265.59 306.79

    V All over 14.20 217.85

    COMMERCIAL 186.98 190.02 190.02 190.02 193.82 204.88 221.78 234.67 271.07

    General 166.18 168.88 168.88 168.88 172.26 182.09 197.11 208.56 240.91

    Cement 222.32 222.32 222.32 222.32 209.78 209.78 227.09 240.28 277.55

    CNG Station 166.18 168.88 168.88 168.88 172.26 182.09 197.11 208.56 240.91

    Pakistan Steel 208.56

    Captive Power 208.56 240.91

    FERTILIZER

    SNGPL'S SYSTEM

    (i)For Feed StockPak.Americal FertilizerLtd.PAFL 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77

    F.F.C Jorden 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77 36.77

    Dadoud/ Pak Arab 62.57 62.57 62.57 62.57 67.26 73.99 73.99 83.24 83.24

    Pak china/ Hazara 66.40 66.40 66.40 66.40 71.38 78.52 78.52 88.34 88.34

    (ii)For Fuel Generation 166.18 168.88 168.88 166.88 172.26 182.09 197.11 208.56 240.91

    Daood and Pak Arab 168.88 168.88 168.88

    FOR MARI GAS CO. SYSTEM

    (i)For Feed Stock

    FFC Engro Chemical(New) 13.09 13.09 61.68 61.68 66.31 72.94 72.94 82.06 82.06

    Continued

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    (Rs/mcft)

    Date /Category

    20-8-2002

    25-10-2002

    21-3-2002

    20-8-2002

    1-7-2003

    1-7-2004

    2-2-2005

    1-7-2005

    1-1-2006

    FFC Engro Chemical(Old) 61.68 61.68 61.68 61.68 66.31 72.94 72.94 82.06 82.06

    Pak Saudi 61.68 61.68 61.68 61.68 66.31 72.94 72.94 82.06(ii)For FuelGeneration(Power) 166.18 166.88 168.88 168.88 172.26 182.09 182.09 208.56

    SNGPL & SSGCL'S SYSTEM 166.18 168.88 168.88 168.88 172.26 182.09 197.11 208.56

    Liberty Power Ltd. 190.80 190.80 190.80 222.89 235.77 234.33 262.03 303.25 303.25

    GAS DIRECTLY SOLD TO

    WAPDA'S GUDDU POWER STATION

    SUI FIELD (917 BTU) 145.51

    KANDHKOT FIELD (866 BTU) 160.54 163.15 163.15 163.15 166.41 175.90 190.41 201.47 232.72

    MARI FIELD (754 BTU) 156.14 158.86 158.68 158.68 161.85 171.08 185.19 195.95 226.34

    SARA/SURI FIELD 156.14 158.68 158.68 158.68 161.85 171.08 185.19 195.95

    Source: Government of Pakistan. 2006. Economic Survey, 2005-06. Economic Advisors Wing. FinanceDivision.

    2.1.2 Cross Subsidization in Fuel Pricing

    16. The transportation of finished petroleum products from the refineries to supplystations all over the country is regulated under the Equalized Prices and Freight Pool system.

    As the name suggests, the system ensures that product prices are the same throughout the

    country, and prices are determined on a cost plus formula, wherein average freight cost,

    government levies, distributor and dealer margins (at 3.5 percent and 4 percent respectively)

    and sales tax (at 15 percent) is added to the ex-refinery price to determine the end-product

    price. In July 2001, government gave the responsibility for consumer price determination ofpetroleum products to the Oil Prices Advisory Committee (OCAC) which revised product

    prices fortnightly in accordance with international prices of crude oil, and which determines

    the ex-refinery price on the basis of import parity, or the landed price of crude oil. 7 Since

    May 2006, this task has been carried out by the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA).

    17. While deregulation has thus taken place to some extent (as import price follows thetrends in the international market), the surcharges and levies on petroleum products give the

    government the opportunity to maneuver within the price mechanism and maintain

    differential pricing. The government has consistently followed a policy of keeping the prices

    of diesel below the prices of different forms of gasoline (as shown in Table 2.3 below). As

    the table illustrates, diesel is exempted from export duty, petroleum levy and dealer margins,

    and charged significantly less for inland freight and OMC margin, resulting in a sale pricethat is almost 50 percent less than the price of motor spirit.

    Table 2.3: Breakdown of Sale Prices of Petroleum ProductsPrice Breakdown as of 1 December 2006

    Ex-refinery /IPD

    ExciseDuty

    Petroleum Levy

    InlandFreight

    OMCMargin

    DealerMargin

    SalesTax

    SalePrice

    Motor spirit 26.87 0.88 17.79 1.13 1.63 1.87 7.53 57.70

    HOBC 27.60 0.88 22.43 1.57 1.84 2.10 8.46 64.88

    High Speed Diesel 25.51 0 0 1.85 0.96 0 4.25 32.57

    Source: OGRA website

    7 Seewww.ocac.org.pk/ex_refinery5.aspfor the detailed pricing formula.

    http://www.ocac.org.pk/ex_refinery5.asphttp://www.ocac.org.pk/ex_refinery5.asphttp://www.ocac.org.pk/ex_refinery5.asphttp://www.ocac.org.pk/ex_refinery5.asp
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    18. The subsidy on diesel is estimated at about Rs. 5 per liter. Given that about 8 milliontonnes of diesel are consumed annually in Pakistan in the road transport sector, the subsidy

    on diesel is estimated to cost the government about Rs. 60 billion.8 Fuel costs are estimated

    to constitute about 65 percent of freight costs on any given route.9 The substantial subsidy on

    diesel thus ensures that road freight transport charges in Pakistan are amongst the lowest in

    the world.10

    While retailers and wholesalers on the whole benefit from this strategy(although experience low quality of service), the transport sector itself sees it as a double-

    edged sword. On the one hand, possibilities for expansion of the sector are considerable as

    the economy grows, but on the other hand, the sector generates relatively low profits on a per

    unit basis. The environmental costs, in terms of pollution, are also higher for diesel than

    petrol or CNG. But this cost has not been estimated and added to the overall cost of the

    subsidization policy. In fact, there seems to be a clash of subsidies here as well. The

    government has announced, a number of times, that they would like public transport,

    especially intra-city passenger transport, to shift to CNG instead of diesel due to the high

    pollution costs, and has even announced some incentives for helping with the conversion. But

    if diesel prices are also subsidized, the subsidy on CNG would have to be higher to make the

    conversion possible. The diesel subsidy thus needs to be revisited in light of the estimates ofthe pollution costs.

    2.2 Financial Incentives

    19. Pakistans financial sector has witnessed extensive liberalization since reforms beganin 1991, and the system of provision of subsidized credit for priority sectors has largely been

    done away with. However, the commercial sector is at a disadvantage when it comes to

    formal sector financing options, as banks have little experience of lending to commercial

    enterprises, and such enterprises often cannot meet the collateral requirements of formal

    sector financial enterprises. There is little published data on the banking sectors lending to

    commercial enterprises - the State Banks Annual Report gives data for growth in private

    sector credit by type of business, and reports a growth of 43.5 percent in credit to Commerce

    and Trade in FY200611, but this is surmised to be primarily growth in trade financing.12

    However, there are some tax incentives offered to the commercial sector which are listed as

    follows.

    20. Withdrawal of Excise Duty on Travel by Train: Excise duty on train travel (onsecond and third class coaches) has been withdrawn with effect from June 2006, a measure

    which was anticipated to ease the load on road transport13and provide some benefit to the

    lower income commuters and travellers.

    21. Zero Rating of Sales Tax on Import and Supply of Trucks and Dumpers: In

    another measure announced in June 2006, sales tax on import of heavy vehicles (5 tonnes andabove) and on the inputs used in manufacture of such vehicles was withdrawn to facilitate use

    of such equipment, mainly in construction and allied industries.

    8 Using a measure of 1.42 kg to a liter.9 See report on Transport, which is part of the compendium of reports on domestic commerce.10 See chapter on Transport in the Interim Progress Report for a discussion on this.11 For a more detailed discussion of the regulatory issues involved in this area, see the chapter on regulatory

    issues in domestic commerce.12 See State Bank of Pakistan. 2006. Annual Report. Table 5.5, pp 99.

    13 Though this is not likely to result in a major shift. Railway carries only about 10 percent of the overall inter-city passenger traffic, and the popular routes are usually over crowded. So even with the incentive, thepassenger shift that can be expected can only be small.

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    22. Sales Tax Exemption on Aircrafts of All Kinds: Such exemptions were earlier inplace for heavy aircraft only, but since June 2006, have been extended to all aircraft to

    promote the growth of small cargo carriers14.

    23. Input Tax Adjustment for Wholesalers/Retailers: Wholesalers and retailersimporting in bulk have, since July 2006, been allowed to adjust input taxes against sales tax

    under the regular VAT regime. The measure is designed to encourage traders to pay sales taxat the standard rates.

    2.3 Policy Package for Developin g Storage Facil i t ies

    24. The trade policy for 2006-07 mentions the provision of subsidized credit for theestablishment of cold storage facilities, and for the cost of obtaining international

    certifications such as the ISO certifications. In addition, the policy announced that any

    company setting up cold storage facilities would be eligible to use the Export Development

    Fund (EDF) to meet the first 6 percent of the mark-up of any credit obtained for the purpose.

    The key development here was that the facility was extended to all private sector

    entrepreneurs opening up cold storage facilities, and not just to those whose goods wereexplicitly marked for export. A recent report indicates that the capital expense of setting up a

    cold storage is Rs. 16.2 million, and the project would have an estimated financial internal

    rate of return (FIRR) of 16.8 percent.15

    25. Although the terms of the package were broadly outlined in the trade policy,implementation has not begun in earnest. The storage owners contacted during the focus

    group meetings were unaware of this facility, and the survey data, particularly data on

    financing does not indicate any use of such a facility. Moreover the Ministry of Commerce

    itself does not appear to have developed the scheme further or made any attempt to

    operationalize it as yet16.

    2.4 Subsidy on Freight Transport

    26. In addition to the subsidization of freight transport through differential fuel pricing asmentioned in Section 2.1.2, the government also provides targeted subsidies to certain public

    sector freight enterprises by disallowing the entry of private competitors in some fields, such

    as transport of crude oil. This policy is meant to control prices of essential commodities, but

    has resulted in the creation of near-monopolies in some forms of freight transport as

    explained below.

    2.4.1 The National Logistics Cell (NLC)

    27. The NLC was formed in 1978 as a means of transporting essential commoditiesacross the country, in an attempt to forestall hoarding. NLC assumed prominence particularly

    14 This looks like a classic case of an incentive being given without any real justification for it. Domestic airtransport of cargo is a negligible part of the overall market, and cost structures are such that it is likely toremain so in the future too. Air travel is a very small part of the total inter-city domestic travel as well. Butthe incentive has still been extended. It seems that this measure was more to facilitate import of smallerplanes that some of the richer people in Pakistan had started to buy. But in that case the incentive was notneeded. A rich person thinking of importing a plane is unlikely to be affected by sales tax if he/she isdeciding whether to buy a plane or not.

    15 See Asian Development Bank. 2005. Report and Recommendations of the President to the Board ofDirectors on a Proposed Loan to the Islamic Republic of Pakistan for the Agribusiness Development

    Project. Table A.12.1, pg 63.16 For regulatory issues related to storage, and a justification of such a subsidy, see the chapter on regulatory

    issues.

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    after 1979, when it became the primary agency in charge of logistics for relief goods for the

    Afghan refugees. The company currently has a fleet of 1700 heavy duty trucks,17500 units

    of earth moving equipment, as well as bowsers for transportation of liquids (mainly crude

    oil), and is now involved in construction (and has expanded its services to Afghanistan and

    Qatar), toll collection on specified routes, machinery renting, and even cultivation of

    mushrooms!18

    The company is also expanding into development of port facilities, includinginstallation of equipment for detection of trade in contraband; and in its last annual report,

    mentions moving into real estate development and private equity investment. Of its total

    revenue in FY2004, only 43 percent came from transport, while 39 percent was from

    construction, 12 percent from its dry ports facilities and the remaining from tolling and other

    enterprises.

    28. In 2006, the NLC signed MOUs with the Government of Punjab for upgradation ofbuildings and other civil works in public sector schools, rural health centers and hospitals and

    police posts. The Corporation was given this responsibility because of allegations of rampant

    corruption in the award of contracts on the part of district level Departments of Civil Works.

    Although it will use the same method of awarding contracts and will probably use the

    services of the same contractors used by the district governments, NLCs superiormanagement practices are supposed to curb corruption. It is still too early to comment on the

    effects of this policy.

    29. Although NLC manages less than 5 percent of the freight transport in the country, ithas exclusive rights for road transportation in some areas. It is the only agency allowed to

    transport goods by road for Afghan Transit Trade (ATT), as it was the first company in

    Pakistan with bonded container facilities. Since 1994, private operators have entered the

    field, but the transport of commodities for the ATT remains an NLC preserve. Until the mid

    1990s, the company was the sole transporter of domestic crude oil from the field to the

    refinery, but crude transport has since been opened up to private operators.19

    2.4.2 Pakistan National Shipping Corporation (PNSC)

    30. After nationalization of the shipping industry in 1971, the PNSC became the soleshipping company in Pakistan. Since the early 1990s, there have been attempts to encourage

    private sector shipping operations, but these have proved largely unsuccessful. PNSC has a

    fleet of 15 vessels (including 4 tankers), and in 2001 was awarded a ten year contract to carry

    all crude oil imports into Pakistan. In the same year (2001), the government again made an

    attempt to promote private shipping by offering a range of financial incentives for private

    shipping, but given PNSCs monopoly in the transportation of crude oil, and the fact that

    private shipping companies had to obtain a no-objection certificate from PNSC if applying

    to transport government cargo, there was little chance of private operators entering theshipping business.

    17 Recent newspaper reports indicate that the NLC may be allowed to import 300 used trucks duty free. Thegovernment has maintained a tariff on import of used trucks to protect domestic manufacturers, and has notwaived this restriction in the face of repeated demands from private transporters.

    18 See National Logistics Cell. Annual Report, 2005.19 The World Banks Oil and Gas Sector Review, 2003, contends that NLC is the sole transporter of

    indigenous crude oil in Pakistan. The NLC counter claims that it transports on an average, only 40 percentof crude oil transport to Pakistans refineries (see letter to the editor in the News International, January 19,2006).

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    2.5 Incent ives in Construct ion

    31. According to the National Housing Policy of 2001, there was a backlog of 4 millionhousing units in the country in that year, with the backlog growing at the rate of 300,000

    units each year. Construction is acknowledged to be a sector with strong backward and

    forward linkages, and significant growth in this sector can have a remarkable impact ongrowth of incomes. Given the buoyancy of the sector, and the unmet demand in the housing

    sector, the government has been keen to introduce incentives in the housing and construction

    industries. Since FY2002, the government has progressively introduced financial incentives

    in the housing sector, allowing a proportion of the markup on housing loans to be tax

    deductible, and introducing measures to encourage housing finance including increasing the

    maximum lending limit and the loan period for loans given by the House Building Finance

    Corporation (HBFC). Nevertheless, the growth of housing has been hampered by

    uncertainties and the prevalence of fraudulent practices in the land titling and registration

    processes, and by delays in the development of basic infrastructure (mainly roads), obtaining

    utility connections20.

    32. Financial incentives, as announced by the government in successive budgets, cannothave a major impact in a construction market where housing finance is practically unheard of.

    However, the clear definition of property rights and transparency in procedures regarding the

    sale and transfer of property, as well as the efficient supply of facilities and infrastructure to

    housing estates would have a much greater impact in promoting the sector. For low and

    medium cost housing, such incentives have been provided on a very limited scale, with NGO

    involvement in schemes such as the Khuda ki Basti and the Incremental Housing

    Development Schemes (IHDS) in Karachi and Hyderabad respectively. In high cost housing,

    schemes developed by the Defense Housing Authorities are the prime examples of such

    developments where the true incentives to construction come from clear legal processes for

    land ownership, and the provision of quality infrastructure. These schemes are discussed as

    follows.

    2.5.1 Khuda Ki Basti and the IHDS

    33. The IHDS (which was later replicated under the name Khuda ki Basti in eight areas inKarachi and Hyderabad) was the brainchild of the then head of the Hyderabad Development

    Authority (HDA), Tasneem Siddiqi. The first scheme was started on government land in

    1986, and was developed using an incremental approach in that plots were allotted at

    affordable prices, and facilities were then developed incrementally as payments were made.

    Thus the scheme started out with just a communal water supply scheme, and public transport

    links to the city center, but as allottees continued to pay their monthly installments forownership of the land, facilities were added till the full range of basic facilities, i.e. house to

    house water connections, electricity, roads etc were made available.

    34. The scheme differs from other developments in low cost areas, because ownershiprights were accorded to the allottees after payment of the initial amount, and facilities were

    added on after ownership had been established. This was in reverse to the practice usually

    followed in slum areas where basic facilities are provided at expensive rates, but land

    ownership is never established. The HAD devised a number of steps to discourage

    speculation in the scheme, including demarcating a large number of small plots, issuing

    ownership papers once allottees had started building shelters, and ensuring that families are

    being accommodated in the housing being built.

    20 See chapter on regulatory issues as well.

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    35. The IHDS is an example of a government agency taking the lead to provide incentivesto rightful owners to develop housing for their own use, rather than encourage speculation.

    However, the development of the scheme had more to do with the efforts of an individual,

    with a strong development ethos, rather than an entrenched process. The success of the

    schemes is expected to have results though, with the government considering the possibility

    of replicating the Karachi schemes in the form of sasti bastis all over the country. Sastibastis are now functional in five districts in Sindh under the auspices of the Sindh Katchi

    Abadies Authority (SKAA). Similar proposals are under consideration in Punjab, possibly to

    be carried out by the proposed Punjab Urban Commission.

    2.5.2 Defense Housing Authorities

    36. For high income consumers, government incentives for housing and construction takethe form of management of housing schemes in all major cities by the Defense Housing

    Authorities (DHAs) owned by the military, who acquire land, or develop housing estates on

    land owned by the military. The DHAs in Karachi and Lahore were originally formed as

    Cooperative Housing Societies (the Karachi society was formed as far back as 1953), butwere later converted through Presidential Orders or Ordinances into Housing Authorities.

    Other DHAs, most recently in Islamabad/Rawalpindi have also been constituted under

    Ordinances. The practice of the military acquiring land to parcel out as part of a package of

    benefits to its personnel originated in British India, and was conceived as a way for the

    Crown to retain the loyalties of the armed forces in colonized lands. The practice has

    continued post partition, but has assumed complexity as development of real estate on

    military lands, or on state lands acquired by the military, and real estate transactions by

    military owned agencies have significantly increased in value.

    37. DHAs have an upper hand in the housing market because of the security of land titleonce the scheme is announced, the relative ease of infrastructure provision, and good

    maintenance of infrastructure in the housing estates. However management and allotment

    systems in these schemes are typically opaque, and land acquisition for such schemes has

    invariably been at below market rates.21 The DHAs are essentially a distortion in the real

    estate market and represent a significant subsidy to military personnel who come to acquire

    the land as part of their package of benefits, and to real estate developers associated with the

    military who are provided opportunities to develop the land on favorable terms. While it is

    difficult to quantify the extent of the subsidy to DHA, it is likely to be exceptional

    according to one estimate, 3375 acres of land were acquired for the Rawalpindi DHA at a

    cost of Rs. 11 billion, and the land was later sold for Rs. 135 billion.22

    21 Land acquisition in the recently developed Lahore DHA and the Rawalpindi DHA is a case in point. In both

    cases, there are reports of original owners not being compensated adequately, or being pressurized to giveup land.

    22 See Agha, Ayesha Siddiqa. 2006. The New Land Barons?Article in Newsline, July.

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    Section 3Agricultural and Trade Subsidies

    3.1 Agricu l tural Subsidies

    38. Pakistans accession to the WTO requires it to furnish the WTO Secretariat with

    details of subsidies given in agriculture. According to Annex 2 of the Agriculture Agreementunder the WTO, permissible subsidies in the agriculture sector, also called Green Box

    subsidies, cannot distort trade and must cause minimal domestic distortion. In addition, price

    support of any kind is not permissible, and subsidies have to be funded out of government

    budgets and clearly identified in budgets as such, rather than be funded by passing on the

    burden of subsidization to the consumer. Pakistan provides support to agriculture through

    subsidization of research, storage and marketing, extension services, and infrastructure and

    flood protection services. The table below gives Pakistans outlays under the green box.

    Table 3.1: Green Box Subsidy Outlays (Million US $)Type ofMeasure

    1986-88

    1995-96

    1996-97

    1997-98

    1998-99

    1999-00

    2000-01

    2001-02

    Total

    Generalservices onresearch

    14.5 12.8 7.7 7.6 2.44 3.18 1.67 2.14 52.03

    Storagefacilities

    4.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.00 0.08 0.19 0.04 6.41

    Marketingservices

    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.11 0.00 0.02 2.32 2.75

    Extensionservices

    22.1 2.4 2.2 1.6 2.44 1.86 4.58 8.87 46.05

    Generalservices

    0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.70 0.01 0.06 0.30 1.87

    Infrastructuralservices

    147.5 335.0 312.6 266.1 235.76 213.07 203.59 140.94 1854.56

    Floodprotectionservices

    7.9 34.6 15.9 22.8 7.94 7.18 7.38 1.17 104.87

    Water supplyservices

    31.3 53.7 53.9 14.1 14.43 13.04 7.71 0.82 189

    Total 228.5 439.9 392.44 312.45 263.82 238.42 225.2 156.6 2257.54

    Source: WTO Notifications

    39. As the data shows, infrastructure and flood protection services (which includeprimarily the construction and maintenance of the irrigation infrastructure) account for the

    bulk of subsidy payments for the sector, with only nominal expenditure on research and

    development, extension and storage and marketing

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    3.2 Trade Subs idies and Incentives

    40. Pakistan cannot provide direct export subsidies as it used to prior to its inclusion inthe WTO regime, but can subsidize the cost of marketing and transportation of exports. The

    government employs a range of incentive systems for exporters, mostly in the form of

    financial incentives. Some of the key incentives in this regard are as follows.41. Trade incentives offered by the SBP take a variety of forms including concessionarycredit for exporting industries and concessionary trade financing. The four main schemes of

    the SBP are discussed below.

    3.2.1 Export Finance Scheme

    42. The Export Finance Scheme (EFS) was first sponsored by the SBP in 1973 tofacilitate the provision of bank credit to exporters, and has undergone many transformations

    over the years as the government has faced pressure from international agencies on the

    provision of subsidized credit. Exporters are eligible (upon satisfaction of certain conditions)under the scheme to obtain export finance (post pre and post shipment) from commercial

    banks at a markup rate which is linked to the weighted average yields of T-bills and Pakistan

    Investment Bonds (PIBs).

    43. Other related incentives include the establishment of the Pakistan Export FinanceGuarantee Agency (PEFGA), which provides insurance against risk for exporters and thus

    covers the collateral requirements of banks. The PEFGA credit thus enables exporters to

    hedge against the financing risks of commercial banks.

    3.2.2 Long Term Financing of Export Oriented Projects (LTF-EOP)

    44. The second major scheme sponsored by the SBP, and initiated in 2004, enablesfinancial institutions to provide credit at attractive terms to export oriented firms who requirefinancing for imports of raw materials, machinery, plant and equipment not manufactured

    locally. The scheme was announced as a follow up to incentives for exporters announced in

    the Trade Policy for 2003-04. Under the scheme, the SBP provides refinance facilities for

    banks lending to manufacturers who export at least 50 percent of their output. Rates of

    refinancing are determined on the basis of the weighted average yields on 12 month T-bills

    and 3 to 5 years Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs). Banks are permitted to earn a maximum

    spread of 2 percent under the scheme.23

    45. While banks make decisions on who to lend to, they are constrained to make choicesfrom amongst clients who fulfill certain criteria, and who make specific requests for

    machinery import. The scheme is also supposed to encourage SME participation initially50 percent of funds allocated by the SBP to specific banks for refinancing purposes were

    supposed to be used for refinancing of loans given to SMEs. This condition has now been

    done away with, but banks are encouraged to prioritize the needs the SMEs. Funds loaned

    under the scheme can also be utilized to import equipment necessary to acquire a brand name

    or franchise.

    3.2.3 Scheme for Locally Manufactured Machinery

    46. The scheme was initiated in 1987 and provides concessionary finance for export oflocally manufactured machinery. The scheme is applicable to the manufacture of plant,

    23 This was previously 3 percent, but was reduced by a percentage point in FY2007.

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    equipment, transport equipment, cargo vessels, ships, fixtures, fittings, accessories and

    consumer durables which are to be used for industrial applications and which undergo

    processing in Pakistan for value addition.24 The scheme does not cover machinery and

    equipment that uses more than 80 percent imported components, and it provides for both pre

    and post shipment finance.

    3.2.4 Scheme for pre and post Shipment Under FE25

    47. Foreign exchange deposits were made available for trade financing under the FE-25scheme after the 1998 freezing of foreign currency accounts. The scheme started operating in

    August 2002, and works on a self-liquidating basis. Authorized foreign exchange dealers

    extend pre-shipment finance to exporters, and are then allowed to adjust the loan against the

    proceeds of the post-shipment facility, like discounting of foreign bills in foreign currency.

    The scheme was considered feasible in that it enabled banks to earn higher returns than they

    were earning by placing the funds in foreign countries at rates of barely 2 percent. It also

    facilitated exporters who could obtain finance at 4 percent interest rather than the 8 percentthey were charged on local currency loans under even concessionary finance schemes. There

    was no currency risk involved as export proceeds were being used to pay off the loans.

    48. The Ministry of Commerce offers a range of incentives to exporters including freightsubsidy, support for marketing and research and development (R&D), as well as a range of

    fiscal incentives. These are discussed as follows.

    3.2.5 Freight Subsidy Scheme

    49. The scheme was announced in the trade policy for FY2003, and consisted of a 25percent freight subsidy on export of new goods, and goods going to new markets. The

    scheme has since undergone some modifications, and is currently tenable for exports toAfrica, Eastern Europe (non EU countries), Central Asia and the Pacific Islands. In addition,

    the subsidy is available to exports which fall in the developmental category, even if they

    are going to established export markets. The export of leather goods is also eligible for a 25

    percent freight subsidy.

    3.2.6 Skill Development and R&D Support for the Textile Sector

    50. The Ministry of Commerce sponsored the establishment of the Textile SkillDevelopment Board to facilitate training for workers in the textile industry. In 2005, the

    Government extended the facility of a 6 percent compensatory rebate to the garment and

    knitwear industry. The scheme has been extended to June 2008 at a lower rate of rebate.

    3.2.7 Quality Standards Certification

    51. The Ministry covers 50 percent of the costs of acquisition of certain quality standardsby exporting firms. In addition to the ISO certifications, this scheme now covers eco labeling

    and certification of organic foods.

    24 See the website of the Export Promotion Bureau, www.epb.gov.pk.

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    3.2.8 Financial Incentives

    52. There are a number of financial incentives for exporters including taxing export proceedsat concessional rates of withholding tax; concessional corporate tax rates for SMEs; sales tax

    exemptions on gas and electricity for five export industries, as well as exemptions on imports of

    certain items of machinery and some kinds of plants; and sales tax exemption on purchase of rawmaterials for certain industries among other things.

    53. The TDAP is the new face of the Export Promotion Bureau (EPB)the Authority cameinto being as a result of a Presidential order issued in November 2006. As was the case with the

    EPB, the TDAP is mainly concerned with export marketing and facilitation. Some of the key

    incentives offered by the TDAP are as follows.

    3.2.9 Support for Participation in Trade Fairs

    54. The TDAP provides full funding for participation of women entrepreneurs in trade fairsabroad. This is in addition to the 50 percent subsidy on airfare and per diem given to business

    delegations.

    3.2.10 Support for Certification

    55. TDAP provides an interest subsidy on loans acquired for the establishment of certificationand accreditation facilities, and also supports the full cost of consultancy services for the

    establishment of such facilities. It also bears 75 percent of the cost of product listing in a lab

    specified by a foreign importer, under a plan to provide financial support for mandatory

    certifications.

    3.2.11 Support for Establishment of Retail Outlets Abroad

    56. The TDAP provides financial support to meet rental costs of retail outlets established inother countries for a period of three years. For the first year, the TDAP meets 50 percent of rental

    cost, while in the second and third years 25 percent and 10 percent of rental costs are covered by

    TDAP.

    3.3 Imp act on Domest ic Comm erce

    57. The purpose of the above listing is to assess the possible impacts of agricultural and tradesubsidies on domestic commerce, particularly on retail and wholesale trade, transport, storage and

    real estate. Agricultural subsidies in general have little direct impact on these sectors beyond theresidual effects they may have based on their effects on production. The only area of domestic

    commerce directly affected by agricultural subsidies is storage, given the federal governments

    support for the Pakistan Agricultural Storage and Services Corporation (PASSCO), the prime

    public sector agency responsible for the storage of grains, particularly wheat. In addition to

    PASSCO, provincial Food Departments also manage public sector grain storage facilities. Until

    some years ago, grain storage was exclusively the preserve of the public sector, but in 2001, with

    the government increasingly under pressure from international agencies to deregulate the wheat

    market, the private sector was allowed to participate in the procurement and storage of wheat.

    However, in spite of the federal government agreeing to conditionalities of at least one

    multilateral donor, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), to phase out provincial food

    departments and restructure PASSCO and restrict its role, little progress has been made on eitherof these initiatives.

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    Innovative Development Strategies (Pvt) 23

    58. With regard to trade subsidies, the key impacts on domestic commerce come through theeffects of subsidies on production. An analysis of whether trade subsidies do indeed boost local

    production and export is beyond the scope of this study. However, our hypothesis would be that

    if these effects are indeed observed, trade subsidies would indirectly boost the domestic

    commerce sector, particularly wholesale trade, storage and transport. Data limitations, however,

    do not permit us to quantify these effects.

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    Section 4Conclusions and Recommendations

    59. Compiling an exhaustive list of subsidies and incentives to domestic commerce is anarduous task given that there are few subsidies explicitly directed towards these sectors. The

    bulk of our study has concentrated on analyzing the effects of hidden subsidies given to

    certain institutions or sectors, many of which actually function as taxes on the domesticcommerce sector. Thus, differential utility rates act as taxes on domestic commerce, as does

    preferential treatment given to certain public sector corporations. There is little by way of

    direct subsidization of commerce beyond the few financial incentives we have listed here.

    This is perhaps appropriate in a policy environment that is increasingly moving away from

    subsidization. However, in the same spirit, it is advisable to review policies which

    discriminate against the private sector in domestic commerce. Our recommendations are

    summarized as follows.

    4.1 Pol icy Recommendat ions

    60. Medium Term: In the medium term, there is a need to resolve issues of negativetaxation in the commercial sector, in addition to a need to make subsidies explicit in budget

    documents.

    Utility and fuel pricing regimes need to be carefully reviewed as part of the ongoingrestructuring of the energy sector. While the need for some degree of cross-subsidization

    may be necessary given equity considerations and the need to supply basic services to low

    income households, the commercial sector cannot pay a price for the lack of efficiency

    and mismanagement in utility providers.

    The subsidization of freight prices may benefit the commercial sector in terms of ensuringcheap transport, but entails environmental costs and hinders the adoption of fuel efficient

    technology and better maintenance practices in road transport. Given the recent meteoric

    increases in oil prices, it is not advisable to urge a rationalization of diesel prices at this

    stage, but the cost of the diesel subsidy should be clearly identified in budget documents

    to give the government a clear idea of its expenses in this regard, and to facilitate a

    possible review of the policy at a later stage, perhaps when more fuel efficient

    technologies gain prominence.

    61. Long Term: In the long term, there is a need to ensure a level playing field for allstakeholders in the trade and commerce sector. The performance of the NLC and the PNSC

    needs to be reviewed in addition to PASSCO, to assess the feasibility of allowing the public

    sector to operate in areas where private sector capability is increasingly available. While it is

    true that the role of the NLC has been substantially reduced in recent years, the PNSC has notbeen subjected to similar scrutiny. In the real estate sector, an effort must be made to provide

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    a level playing field to developers with transparent systems for provision of infrastructure.

    There is also a need to develop an integrated model on the effects of trade subsidies on the

    domestic economy.