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Deborah Bathke National Drought Mitigation Center • School of Natural Resources University of Nebraska-Lincoln Climate & Weather Information for New England Water Utilities & Stormwater Managers July 16, 2020 Google Meet The U.S. Drought Monitor

The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

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Page 1: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

D e b o r a h B a t h k e N a t i o n a l D r o u g h t M i t i g a t i o n C e n t e r • S c h o o l o f N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e sU n i v e r s i t y o f N e b r a s k a - L i n c o l nC l i m a t e & We a t h e r I n f o r m a t i o n f o r N e w E n g l a n d W a t e r U t i l i t i e s & S t o r m w a t e r M a n a g e r sJ u l y 1 6 , 2 0 2 0G o o g l e M e e t

The U.S. Drought Monitor

Page 2: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Help build drought resilience by providing usable, actionable, and policy informing tools and products.

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

Increases ability to cope

Planning

Translates science

Education & OutreachMonitoring

Provides the foundation

Page 3: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Takeaway #1

The map synthesizes a lot of information.

droughtmonitor.unl.edu

Page 4: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Map colors indicate drought intensity

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

None

D0 Abnormally DryNot Drought

D4 Exceptional Drought

D1 Moderate DroughtD2 Severe Drought

D3 Extreme DroughtDrought

Page 5: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

Intensity is based on historical likelihoodMost

Least

100 years of ranked data

None 31-100

D0 Abnormallydry 21-30

D1 Moderate drought 11 - 20

D2 Severedrought 6 - 10

D3 Extreme drought 3 - 5

D4 Exceptionaldrought 1 - 2

Percentile

Page 6: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Map incorporates multiple types of data

Precipitation

Soil Moisture

Vegetation Health

Evaporation

Ground Water

Impacts

Surface Water

Page 7: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Length evaluated by examining a range of timescales

Monthly Seasonal Inter-annual

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

Page 8: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Map depicts short- and long-term conditions

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

S = short termtypically < 6 months

L = long term, typically > 6 months

separates drought timescales

Page 9: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Map results from a convergence of evidence

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

Objective Data

Subjective Expertise

Page 10: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Takeaway #2: The map is a partnership.

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

Page 11: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Authors interpret data & involve local experts in discussionNATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

Local ExpertsUSDM Authors

Page 12: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

droughtreporter.unl.edu

The public reports impacts to provide information on the effects of drought

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

cocorahs.org

Page 13: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

DRAFTMAPS

Local experts

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

Objectivedata Author

Impact reports

FINAL MAP RELEASED THURSDAY

USDMConvergence of Evidence

Page 14: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Providing Input into the USDM

cocorahs.org Droughtimpacts.unl.eduLOCAL CONTACTS

• Join the USDM listserv• Contact the NERCC

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

Page 15: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Takeway #3

It’s more than just a map

NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu

Page 16: The U.S. Drought Monitor - nrcc.cornell.edu · Map depicts short - and long-term conditions. NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. S = short term typically < 6 months L = long term,

Deborah [email protected]