Upload
shona
View
39
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
The U.S. Federal R&D Budget: Overview and Outlook. Matt Hourihan February 20, 2014 for the Australian Trade Commission AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd. Emergent Budget Tendencies. Discretionary spending tends to be constrained… - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Citation preview
The U.S. Federal R&D Budget: Overview and Outlook
Matt HourihanFebruary 20, 2014for the Australian Trade Commission
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Programhttp://www.aaas.org/spp/rd
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
DefenseDiscretionary
NondefenseDiscretionary
Mandatory
Net Interest
Federal Spending as a Percent of GDP, 1962 - 2018
Source: Budget of the U.S. Government FY 2014.© 2013 AAAS
Emergent Budget Tendencies Discretionary spending tends to be constrained…
Early 1980s: nondefense constraints under Reagan Late 1980s/early 1990s: spending caps 2011 Budget Control Act caps
While mandatory spending tends to grow Health care costs Expanding beneficiaries, aging population Medicare Part D, Affordable Care Act… …versus failed efforts at control/constraint/reform
And, of course, anti-tax politics
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Federal R&D in the Budget and the EconomyOutlays as share of total, 1962 - 2014
R&D as a Shareof the FederalBudget (LeftScale)
R&D as a Shareof GDP (RightScale)
Source: Budget of the United States Government, FY 2014. FY 2013 data do not reflect sequestration. FY 2014 is the President's request.© 2013 AAAS
Recent R&D Budget History R&D down by 8.4 percent between FY10 and FY12
August 2011: Budget Control Act AAAS estimated ~$50 billion R&D cuts in first 5
years
January 2013: American Taxpayer Relief Act
FY 2013: Sequester cuts nearly $10 billion more
Summer 2013: Appropriators operate under two different spending baselines
December 2013 budget deal: 50% sequester rollback for FY14
Positive outcomes Physical Sciences did
well Defense S&T Department of Energy
Technology programs and Science
NSF facilities, EPSCoR, political science
NASA Science and Exploration
Defense contractors NIH overall
Better for translational science, IDeA, BRAIN
Environmental R&D But cuts avoided
High-performance rail
Less positive
Select International Programs
Fogarty IC (NIH) keeps pace with most other institutes (3%)
International Ocean Discovery Program (NSF) funding matched request
USAID Global Health programs boosted above request ITER below request
Looking ahead… President’s budget to be released March 4 (and beyond)
Priorities: manufacturing, clean energy, climate, IT and computing, biological innovation, neuroscience, STEM Ed
Discretionary spending in FY 2015 has already been agreed And will increase hardly at all 25% of sequester reductions rolled back Beyond FY 2015: back to sequester levels
Big-picture fiscal challenges remain largely unchanged