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Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective Modelling Tomorrows World Llewelyn Morgan Oxfordshire County Council

Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

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Page 1: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective

Modelling Tomorrows World

Llewelyn Morgan Oxfordshire County Council

Page 2: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Oxfordshire Growth to 2031:100000 Homes85000 Jobs

Growth is concentrated along the “Knowledge Spine”

Page 3: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Our tool for modelling this growth

Page 4: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM
Page 5: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM
Page 6: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM
Page 7: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM
Page 8: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Wider development from AV Tech

Page 9: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

What will AV impact be?

25% increase in capacity on existing network.

We are/have run out of space for increased trips into Oxford.

Source: Automotive Council

Page 10: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM
Page 11: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM
Page 12: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Mobility Data – Machine LearningBig Data Analytics combined with Machine Learning providing new Insights and predictive analytics – early warning systems

Google pilot projects showed big data from floating data sources –anonymised and analysed to give insight as good as physical sensors. http://googlepolicyeurope.blogspot.co.uk/2015/11/tackling-urban-mobility-with-technology.html

Page 13: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

New Data Sources; Refining Social Media Data

Source: OII; NEXUS Project

Page 14: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Network User Data: Waze

Page 15: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM
Page 16: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Countywide multi partner, multi sector project;• User centric mobility Journey PA

• Building block for MaaS

• Local Gov. Platform interface and potential for RT modelling

Page 17: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Platform

• Collaboration uses open, private and commercially sensitive

data sources both historically and in real time

• Inputs include:

- operational data (e.g. live bus, road and rail movements)

- environmental data (e.g. weather, events, tourism)

- human behavioural data (e.g. mobile phone, social sentiment,

customer intent, demographic profiling)

Page 18: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Platform

• Outputs mapped to live running services at a vehicle and

passenger level, with all interventions measured

• 2.5 years of historical data already processed

• Online advertising technology creates self-learning profiles of

every user and tailors ALL content on an individual basis

• Machine learning used to identify and predict issues

Page 19: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Current load examples

• 3.5m tweets per month mapped to individual trains

• 2m tweets per month mapped to individual buses

• 100m facebook interactions per month analysed

• 6,000 weather and conditional inputs per minute

• All processed, normalised and stored indefinitely

Page 20: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Capitalising on AV/Robotics in Oxfordshire Culham City

• Closed real world living lab site based on Culham site –Smart Cities Lab - focus on Robotics and AV

• Initial Partners:-• UKAEA – Site Owners• RACE • Oxbotica • MobOx• Smart Oxford• Local Authorities and LEP

Page 21: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM
Page 22: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

1974 2014 2054?

Page 23: Tomorrows Society: A Local Authority Perspective...PowerPoint Presentation Author llewelyn.morgan Created Date 12/3/2016 6:08:33 PM

Get In TouchTransport Research & Innovation

Oxfordshire County Council, Speedwell House, Oxford

Llewelyn Morgan – [email protected]

Laura Peacock – [email protected]