Tools and Methods 2011

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    Deep diving into the future of work

    John Moravec, PhD

    University of Minnesota

    [email protected]

    cehd.umn.edu/olpdeducationfutures.com

    July 2011

    http://www.educationfutures.com/mailto:[email protected]://www.educationfutures.com/http://www.educationfutures.com/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    An Introduction to Society 3.0:Global recession edition

    John Moravec, PhD

    Department of Organizational Leadership, Policy, and Development

    June 2011

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    Food for thought

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    A shift in paradigm.

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    Society 1.0

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    The 1.0 Paradigm

    Interpreted data

    Hierarchical

    Siloed jobs and roles

    Chaos and ambiguity avoided at all

    costs

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    career [kuh-reer]noun1.an occupation or profession, esp. one

    requiring special training, followed as

    ones lifework.

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    Society 2.0

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    Knowledge Age

    Interpreted information

    Personally-constructed meanings

    Socially-constructed meanings

    Chaos and ambiguity are managed

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    career [kuh-reer]noun2.a persons progress or general course of

    action through life or through a phase of

    life, as in some profession or undertaking.

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    Citizen Journalists

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    Citizen Scientists

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    140

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    The Pirates Dilemma

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    Blending in the Groundswell

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    How do schools make the most from a

    cut-and-paste society?

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    Society 3.0

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    The future is already here

    it is just unevenly distributed.

    William Gibson

    Past Future

    %o

    fpopulation

    withaccess

    I ti d D i A

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    Innovation and Design Age

    Contextually applied knowledge

    Horizontalized diffusion of

    knowledge

    Heterarchical relationships

    Chaos and ambiguity areembraced and attended to

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    career [kuh-reer]noun3.To be (re)defined.

    Th d i f S i t 3 0

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    Three drivers of Society 3.0

    1.Accelerating change

    2.Continuing globalization

    3.Innovation society fueled by

    knowmads

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    Accelerating changeAcceleratingChange

    The future is becoming impossible to predict

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    The future is becoming impossible to predict

    L

    eve

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    of

    Adv

    ancemen

    t

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    Time

    Technological Singularity

    Accelerating change impacts the half life of useful knowledge

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    Accelerating change impacts the half-life of useful knowledge.

    The amount of information available is

    doubling at an exponential rate

    The half-life of knowledge is

    decreasing exponentially

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    Earth

    Jupiter

    Callisto

    GanymedeEuropa

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    Sources of innovation in Society 3.0:

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    Everything is

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    Boundless d

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    Crowd

    sourcing

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    Pre-1.0 Nomads

    Workers 3 0: Knowmads

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    Workers 3.0: Knowmads

    Knowmads

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    Knowmads

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    From Information to Innovation.

    So

    what?

    So

    what?

    What can

    you

    imagine?

    What can

    you create?

    Howcan

    you

    contribute?

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    So?

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    Society 3.0 drives Education 3.0

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    Meet the Knowmads!

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    1.0 SCHOOLS

    CANNOTTEACH 3.0 KIDS

    ...and, 1.0 organizations cannot figureout what to do with 3.0 workers.

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    LEARNINGORGANIZATIONS

    NEED TO USE NEWTECHNOLOGIES

    PURPOSIVELY

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    DONT USE NEW

    TECHNOLOGIES

    TO TEACH THE

    SAME OLD STUFF.

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    In the knowmadic, experience-driven

    economy, awesomeness is the newcurrency.

    Challenges in Knowmad Society

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    g y

    Awesome fatigue : RT

    @edwardharran So much rich input

    prevents me (sometimes) from

    producing my own output

    We are not focusing on the broader

    use of ICT

    Challenges in Knowmad Society

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    g y

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    Adv

    ancemen

    t

    Silicon

    Time

    Meat

    Challenges in Knowmad Society

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    g y

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    We all co-invent the future.

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    Were allwhite belts.

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    We can design the future.

    To move from legacy millstones:

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    Leapfrog!

    To move from legacy millstones:

    Leapfroggingjust ahead of change

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    p gg g j g

    Leve

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    of

    Advancemen

    t

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    Are we thinking about the future?

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    Leapfrog learning outcomes:

    The New, New Basics for Careers 3.0

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    Thinksystemically

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    Thinksimulationally

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    Thrive in the midst of

    changes, challenges andunknowns

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    Create and manipulate

    alternative pasts, presents, andfutures

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    Develop and respond to

    goals and challenges

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    Understand and eff

    ectivelyutilize existing information

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    Construct and utilize

    personal knowledge

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    Construct and apply new

    knowledge related to contexts,processes, and cultures

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    Eff

    ectively utilize currentand emerging ICTs

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    Acquire and assess knowledge andunderstandings of global trends

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    Write and speak in a

    unique voice

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    Take personal responsibility foractions and performance quality

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    Use head, heart and hands

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    Innovate, baby, innovate!

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    [short break]

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    [think, pair, share]

    1.What is the relationship betweenindividuals and the collective? (and,what are the implications/

    consequences?)2.How might this impact our humancapital development thinking?

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    Lets dive deep...!

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    My take.

    http://www.educationfutures.com/resources/timeline/http://www.educationfutures.com/resources/timeline/http://www.educationfutures.com/resources/timeline/
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    Tools and methods

    for exploring humancapital futures

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    Futures thinking...

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    ...got us places.

    Its getting hard(er).

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    g g ( )

    J

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    eve

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    Advance

    men

    t

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    Time

    J

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    Do it yourself.

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    Bottom-up.

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    Edupunkand edupop.

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    Mindware.

    I C I

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    Implications

    for businessleaders.

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    Anticipatory

    thought leadershipas a soft skill.

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    Manifestations of anticipatorythought leadership.

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    Implications for knowmads.

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    Implications for humancapital developers.

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    How do we get the collective tothink about the future?

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    Now for some toolsand methods...

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    Normative forecasting.

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    Environmental scanning.

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    Scanning made easy...

    Twitter

    Digg

    Future Scanner

    ...

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    StoryTech.

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    1 State the future time and location (can

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    Step 1: Set-up

    1.State the future time and location (canbe near-term, mid-, or far-term).

    2.Briefly describe the market context.

    3.Briefly describe the performance of the

    organization.

    4.Briefly state the job title and/or role ofthe StoryTech writer.

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    Step 2: Writing/oral reporting

    Ask the writer to amplify how her/his work is important

    to the organization in terms of growth, problem-solving,innovation, future-proofing, etc. (choose ONE ORTWO).

    Ask why the writer is confident about the futureperformance of the organization and her/his role increating it.

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    Lets give it a go!

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    Thank you!