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Trolley Bus System Evaluation April 2011 Trolley Bus System Evaluation Preliminary Findings

Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

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Page 1: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

April 2011

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Preliminary Findings

Page 2: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Presentation Agenda

1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation2. Auxiliary Power Unit (APU) Review3. Environmental Analysis Summary4. Life Cycle Cost Analysis Summary5. Preliminary Findings6. Next Steps

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Page 3: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Purpose of the Evaluation

2009 transit performance audit required evaluation

Establish budget plan for fleet replacement(2012-2013 biennial budget)

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Page 4: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Evaluation Schedule

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Page 5: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Metro’s Trolley Bus Network

14 routes and 159 trolley buses

70 miles of two-way overhead wire

Carries 20% of Metro’s weekday riders

One of five trolley systems in USA

1. Seattle, WA2. San Francisco, CA3. Dayton, OH4. Philadelphia, PA5. Boston, MA

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Page 6: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Status of Metro’s Trolley Buses

Buses need to be replaced

Outdated electrical systems

Cracked trolley bus frames

Obsolete parts

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Page 7: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Bus Technologies Eliminated from Further Consideration

Diesel Less fuel efficientGreater environmental impact than diesel hybrids

Electric Battery Not commercially availableReduced travel range

Compressed Natural Gas

High costsGreater environmental impacts than diesel hybrids

Hydrogen Fuel Cell

Not commercially availableHigh costsReduced travel rangeReduced reliability

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Page 8: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Bus Technologies Included in the Evaluation

Photo by John Perlic

Diesel Hybrid Bus Electric Trolley Bus

Reworked transmission to travel on steep grades

Added auxiliary power unit (APU) for off-wire travel

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Page 9: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Electric Trolley Bus Auxiliary Power Unit (APU) Review

BatteryAPU

DieselAPU

San Francisco, CADayton, OHBoston, MA

Vancouver, BC

Philadelphia, PA

Range (Miles) Up to 2.5 Up to 150

Max speed, Level 40 mph 25 mph

Max grade As required 6%

Acceleration Better Worse

Switch from electric power Slower

Fuel required None Yes

APUs in operation

Mea

sure

s

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Faster

Page 10: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Environmental Comparative Analysis Summary

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Page 11: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Annualized Life-Cycle Cost Summary

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Electric Trolley Bus technology costs $3.7 million less than Diesel Hybrid

Page 12: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Traffic

No travel limitations from trolley wire

May operate at slower speeds on steep grades

Low gearing for steep hills limits top speed on level grades

Off-wire travel limited by APU range

Can operate at faster speeds on steep grades

No speed limitations on level grades

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Page 13: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Noise

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Page 14: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Climate Change

Annual Fleet-wide CO2e Emissions

Met

ric To

nnes

6,625

3040

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Diesel Hybrid

Electric Trolley Bus

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Page 15: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

86,681

59,710

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

Energy

Annual Fleet-wide Energy Consumption(million BTU)

Milli

on BT

Us

Diesel Hybrid

Electric Trolley Bus

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Page 16: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Environmental Justice: Minority and Low-Income Population Distribution along Electric Trolley Bus Routes

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Areas with high concentrations of low-income population

Areas with high concentrations of minority population

Page 17: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Environmental Justice: Impacts to Low-Income and Minority Populations

Higher impacts from noise and air pollution

Lower visual impacts with wire removal

Lower impacts from noise and air pollution

Higher visual impacts from wires and power supply system

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Page 18: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Visual Quality

Improved visual quality with removal of wires

(Varies depending on location)

Impacts from trolley wires

(Highest in view corridors and residential neighborhoods)

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Page 19: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Visual Simulation: Rainier Valley Before

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Page 20: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

After

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Visual Simulation: Rainier Valley

Page 21: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Visual Simulation: Downtown from Beacon Hill

Before

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Page 22: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation 22

Visual Simulation: Downtown from Beacon Hill

After

Page 23: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Life-Cycle Cost Model Data

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Page 24: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Key Life-Cycle Cost Model Assumptions

Vehicle useful life (FTA, 2008) Electric Trolley Bus: 15 years Diesel Hybrid: 12 years

60 foot vehicle costs Electric Trolley Bus: $1,285,000 Diesel Hybrid: $785,000

Real Discount Rate (King County): 7% future value of today’s dollars

Annualized cost is calculated over one life-cycle for each vehicle type.

Differential in fixed guideway grant amount is assumed in the analysis.

Decommissioning trolley infrastructure: $37 million

Expanding fuel capacity at base for hybrids: $5 million

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Page 25: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Annualized Life-Cycle Cost Summary

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Electric Trolley Bus technology costs $3.7 million less than Diesel Hybrid

Page 26: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Influence of Fixed Guideway Funding on Total Annualized Cost

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If FTA fixed guideway funding falls below 31% of current funding, the Diesel Hybrid technology is favored

Page 27: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation 27

Input Ability to Switch ResultsFixed guideway funding Reduce to 31% of current level

Gas price Not possibleElectricity price Increase 20% per year

Diesel Hybrid life span Increase from 12 to 17 yearsElectric Trolley Bus purchase price Increase by 34%

Diesel Hybrid purchase price Decrease by 48%

What would be required to make Diesel Hybrid more cost effective?

Base Case

Sensitivity of Major Cost Variables

Page 28: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

Built environment elements favor Electric Trolley BusCost elements favor Electric Trolley Bus

Metro preliminary findings favor Electric Trolley Bus

Wrap-up

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Page 29: Trolley Bus System Evaluation - King County Metrometro.kingcounty.gov/up/projects/pdf/TrolleyBus...Trolley Bus System Evaluation. Presentation Agenda. 1. Background / Purpose of Evaluation

Trolley Bus System Evaluation

April 27: Public meeting

April and May: Collect public feedback and finalize report

June: Study findings incorporated into Metro’s 2012 – 2013 budget

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Next Steps