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Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of Variability: the Dynamics motivation of the study Attempt to specify and understand a principal mode in the global circulation fields ( teleconnection patterns in hemispheric fi elds) previous studies show that: near zonally uniform pattern (superrotational flow) (e.g. Kang & Lau 1994) coherence with AAM (e.g. Anderson & Rosen 1983; Rosen & Salstein 198 3) found in intraseasonal time scale (e.g. Weickmann et al. 1997) • outline observational data analysis AGCM simulation linear model diagnoses AGS in Seoul , July 200 M. Watanabe 1 , M. Kimoto 1 , and F.-F. Jin 2 1: CCSR, University of Tokyo, 2: Dpt. Meteorology, U niversity of Hawaii

Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of Variability: the Dynamics

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AGS in Seoul , July 2001. Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of Variability: the Dynamics. M. Watanabe 1 , M. Kimoto 1 , and F.-F. Jin 2 1: CCSR, University of Tokyo, 2: Dpt. Meteorology, University of Hawaii. motivation of the study - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of Variability: the Dynamics

• motivation of the study– Attempt to specify and understand a principal mode in the global circulati

on fields ( teleconnection patterns in hemispheric fields)

• previous studies show that:– near zonally uniform pattern (superrotational flow) (e.g. Kang & Lau 1994)

– coherence with AAM (e.g. Anderson & Rosen 1983; Rosen & Salstein 1983)

– found in intraseasonal time scale (e.g. Weickmann et al. 1997)

• outline– observational data analysis

– AGCM simulation

– linear model diagnoses

AGS in Seoul , July 2001

M. Watanabe1, M. Kimoto1, and F.-F. Jin2

1: CCSR, University of Tokyo, 2: Dpt. Meteorology, University of Hawaii

Page 2: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

principal mode in

EOF1(23%) for monthly300, 1949-99

AGS in Seoul , July 2001

Tropical Axisymmetric Mode (TAM)= ‘global mode’ (Higgins et al. 2000; Bell & Halpert 2000) = ‘tropical mode’ (vonStorch 1999)

Page 3: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

A

GS

in S

eoul

, Jul

y 20

01

tim

e se

ries

P

C1

GAM

L

OD

N

iño3

P

C1

.8

3

.5

3

.4

7G

AM

.

58

.

57L

OD

.41

Niñ

o3

Page 4: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

structure of TAM

Regression of monthly NCEP anomalies on the 300 PC1

Page 5: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

TAM in the zonal-mean winds

ResidualTAM

R EOF1 explains19% of total variance,significantly correlatedwith LOD (0.31)

Page 6: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

A

GS

in S

eoul

, Jul

y 20

01

spec

tral

ch

arac

teri

stic

s

Page 7: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

persistence of the TAM

(=TAM index)

Page 8: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

TAM simulated by an AGCM

T42L20 CCSR/NIES AGCM, 50yr run with climatological SST

・ AGCM reproduced an overall feature of the obs. TAM・ spectrum of the coefficient is much whiter than obs.・ TAM may essentially be an internal atmospheric mode

Page 9: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

simulated TAM

AGCM Linear model

Page 10: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

IAMAS in Innsbruck 07/17/01

detection of zonal-mean free modes

• T21L20 steady linear model (truncated at m=5)

• zonal structure of TAM separation between zonally symmetric (Xa) and asymmetric (Xa

*) components

• calculate singular vectors of L

( ) (1) ( ) (2)

L X X F X X fL X X F X X f

c a c a

c a c a

( , )( , )

* *

* * * * *

(3)

(4)

1 2 3

1 2 3

L U V

X L f

U u u u

V v v v

u fa

v

T

, , ,

T

( , , ,...),( ...),( , , ,...),

( , )

1 2 3

1

ii

i

i

Page 11: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

neutral mode

Leading singular mode + associated stationary waves, v1+L*-1F*(Xc*,v1)

・ much prevailing zonal structure in 300

・ low-level features less similar to obs./AGCM TAM・ decay time ~  dissipation timescale of the free troposphere

(< month)

Page 12: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

zonal asymmetry

observed TAM

neutral mode

Ua

・ neutral mode seems consistent with the observed TAM in a considerable part except for the Pacific

Page 13: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

on the neutrality of the mode

Zonal-mean zonal momentum budget

close to neutrality

Page 14: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

role of the basic state vorticity

NCEP zonal-mean wind regressed on the PC1 300

Coincidence between Ua and c further suggests themomentum feedback actively working for the neutrality

Page 15: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

origin of the neutral mode

eigenmodes of the zonal-mean shallow-water eqs.

・ basic state is not crucial for the presence of the mode・ scattering on i=0, geostrophic degeneracy?

Page 16: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

conclusions

• Tropical Axisymmetric Mode (TAM):– tightly related to the AAM variability and LOD

– contains a signature of El Niño (may suggest ENSO forces TAM)

• dynamics of the TAM– AGCM with climatological SST does reproduce the observed TAM

– A near-neutral mode found in the singular mode computation of the linear model is considerably similar to the observed/AGCM TAM

– The essence of the TAM can be interpreted as an internal atmospheric mode which is easily excited by forcing

– The neutrality partially arises from a positive momentum feedback in the zonal mean state (i.e. coupling between Ua and Hadley circulation) , although the origin of mode seems to come from the geostrophic degeneracy

• implication and further question– TAM may be responsible to a part of the upstream ENSO teleconnection

– need to include an interaction between dynamics and convection

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

Page 17: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

AGS in Seoul, July 2001

convection associated with TAM

Composite OLR anomaly based on the TAM index

AGCM

NOAA

Page 18: Tropical Axisymmetric Mode of  Variability: the Dynamics

Regression of Ua on PCs for monthly 300 EOF