26
TURKISH AIRLINES: TURKEY’S SOFT POWER TOOL IN THE MIDDLE EAST Orçun SELÇUK Abstract In recent years, Turkey has accelerated its efforts to further integrate with its neighborhood in the Middle East. Several instruments have been used in order to corroborate Turkey’s opening up to the region in political, economic and societal levels. As one of Turkey’s soft power tools, Turkish Airlines helps the fulfillment of Turkey’s goals in the region via facilitating trade and promoting people to people contact. In this article, the rise of Turkey as a regional power and the increasing activism of its national airline company are analyzed by focusing on Turkey’s bilateral political and economic relations with the countries in the Middle East. It is demonstrated that Turkey’s liberal visa regime and its vision for the region are complemented by the involvement of Turkish Airlines as a soft power instrument. The article consists of a theoretical discussion on the concept of power, the relationship between Turkish Airlines and politics, and the involvement of Turkish Airlines in the Middle East in line with the developments in Turkey’s foreign policy with more emphasis given to Iran, Iraq, Israel and the Gulf countries. Key Words: Soft Power, Middle East, Turkish Foreign Policy, Turkish Airlines. TÜRK HAVAYOLLARI: TÜRKİYE’NİN ORTA DOĞU’DAKİ YUMUŞAK GÜÇ ARACI Özet Son yıllarda Türkiye Orta Doğu’daki komşularıyla daha fazla entegre olabilmek için çabalarını artırdı. Şu ana kadar Türkiye’nin bölgeye siyasi, ekonomik ve toplumsal açılımlarını desteklemek için birçok araç kullanıldı. Türkiye’nin yumuşak güç araçlarından biri olan Türk Hava Yolları (THY) da ticaret ve turizm potansiyeline olumlu katkıda bulunarak Türkiye’nin bölgedeki amaçlarını kolaylaştırıcı bir rol oynamaktadır. Bu makalede, Türkiye’nin bölgesel güç olarak yükselişi ve eş zamanlı olarak ulusal havayolu olan THY’nin bölgedeki artan etkinliği bölge ülkeleriyle ikili siyasi ve ekonomik ilişkiler bağlamında incelenmiştir. THY’nin bir yumuşak güç aracı olarak Türkiye’nin liberal vize politikasını ve bölge için sahip olduğu vizyonu desteklediği makale boyunca anlatılmıştır. Makalede güç kavramı üzerine teorik bir tartışmanın ardından THY ile siyaset arasındaki ilişki ve THY’nin Türkiye’nin dış politikasındaki gelişmelere paralel olarak Orta Doğu’daki varlığı İran, Irak, İsrail ve Körfez ülkeleriyle olan ikili ilişkiler üzerinden anlatılmıştır. Anahtar Kelimeler: Yumuşak Güç, Orta Doğu, Türkiye Dış Politikası, Türk Hava Yolları. Boğaziçi University, The Atatürk Institute for Modern Turkish History, graduate student

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Page 1: TURKISH AIRLINES: TURKEY’S SOFT POWER TOOL IN THE … · desteklediği makale boyunca anlatılmıtır. Makalede güç kavramı üzerine teorik bir tartımanın ardından THY ile

TURKISH AIRLINES: TURKEY’S SOFT POWER TOOL IN

THE MIDDLE EAST

Orçun SELÇUK

Abstract

In recent years, Turkey has accelerated its efforts to further integrate with its

neighborhood in the Middle East. Several instruments have been used in order to

corroborate Turkey’s opening up to the region in political, economic and societal

levels. As one of Turkey’s soft power tools, Turkish Airlines helps the fulfillment of

Turkey’s goals in the region via facilitating trade and promoting people to people

contact. In this article, the rise of Turkey as a regional power and the increasing

activism of its national airline company are analyzed by focusing on Turkey’s bilateral

political and economic relations with the countries in the Middle East. It is

demonstrated that Turkey’s liberal visa regime and its vision for the region are

complemented by the involvement of Turkish Airlines as a soft power instrument. The

article consists of a theoretical discussion on the concept of power, the relationship

between Turkish Airlines and politics, and the involvement of Turkish Airlines in the

Middle East in line with the developments in Turkey’s foreign policy with more

emphasis given to Iran, Iraq, Israel and the Gulf countries.

Key Words: Soft Power, Middle East, Turkish Foreign Policy, Turkish Airlines.

TÜRK HAVAYOLLARI: TÜRKİYE’NİN ORTA DOĞU’DAKİ YUMUŞAK

GÜÇ ARACI

Özet

Son yıllarda Türkiye Orta Doğu’daki komşularıyla daha fazla entegre olabilmek için

çabalarını artırdı. Şu ana kadar Türkiye’nin bölgeye siyasi, ekonomik ve toplumsal

açılımlarını desteklemek için birçok araç kullanıldı. Türkiye’nin yumuşak güç

araçlarından biri olan Türk Hava Yolları (THY) da ticaret ve turizm potansiyeline

olumlu katkıda bulunarak Türkiye’nin bölgedeki amaçlarını kolaylaştırıcı bir rol

oynamaktadır. Bu makalede, Türkiye’nin bölgesel güç olarak yükselişi ve eş zamanlı

olarak ulusal havayolu olan THY’nin bölgedeki artan etkinliği bölge ülkeleriyle ikili

siyasi ve ekonomik ilişkiler bağlamında incelenmiştir. THY’nin bir yumuşak güç aracı

olarak Türkiye’nin liberal vize politikasını ve bölge için sahip olduğu vizyonu

desteklediği makale boyunca anlatılmıştır. Makalede güç kavramı üzerine teorik bir

tartışmanın ardından THY ile siyaset arasındaki ilişki ve THY’nin Türkiye’nin dış

politikasındaki gelişmelere paralel olarak Orta Doğu’daki varlığı İran, Irak, İsrail ve

Körfez ülkeleriyle olan ikili ilişkiler üzerinden anlatılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler: Yumuşak Güç, Orta Doğu, Türkiye Dış Politikası, Türk Hava

Yolları.

Boğaziçi University, The Atatürk Institute for Modern Turkish History, graduate student

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176

Power

Power is a widely used concept among the social scientists. The

concept itself is a controversial one which has been fiercely debated by many

authors so far. Not surprisingly, a consensus has not been reached on how to

define power. Whether a widely-accepted definition is necessary or not, there is

a need to elaborate on power to enhance our understanding of international

politics. In this article, it is felt necessary to start with a brief theoretical

discussion considering the relevance of the broad concept (power) for our

specific topic (Turkish Airlines and Turkish foreign policy).

Although there have been many attempts to define power in the

simplest and most comprehensive way, certain ones have gained more

acceptance and circulated more compared to others. One well-known definition

of power was made by Max Weber who defined power as the “probability that

one actor within a social relationship will be in a position to carry out his own

will despite resistance, regardless of the basis on which the probability exists.” 1 Weber’s definition emphasizes conserving and defending your own position

against the influence and the pressure of another actor. A similar definition

was made by Robert A. Dahl which reverses Weber’s logic by underlying the

ability to break the resistance of the other actor. According to him, “A has

power over B to the extent that he can get B to do something that B would not

otherwise do.”2 His definition explains the actions taken by an actor in an

unwilling way just because an actor that is stronger desired so. If we apply this

definition to international politics, we can contend that the inability of a

country to change the position of another country that it openly opposes

demonstrates that it lacks the power that is required to achieve the goal. Hence,

it is assumed that the magnitude of power is relational to the actor that will

decide to comply or not.

Although Weber’s and Dahl’s definitions seem to be supported by

historical and contemporary evidence, it does not mean that they elucidate all

forms of power that we encounter at the international level. Alternative

definitions of power help us find out different perspectives depending on where

and how you look at it. For instance, identifying four different forms of power

in international politics (compulsory power, institutional power, structural

power and productive power) Michael Barnett and Raymond Duvall define

power as “the production, in and through social relations, of effects that shape

the capacities of actors to determine their own consequences and fate.”3 It is

1Max Weber, The Theory of Social and Economic Organization (New York: The Free Press,

1947), p.152. 2Robert A. Dahl, “The Concept of Power,” Behavioral Science 2, no.3 (1957), pp.202-203. 3 Michael Barnett and Raymond Duvall “Power in Global Governance,” in Power and Global

Governance, ed.Michael Barnett and Raymond Duvall (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,

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beyond the scope of this article to make a detailed analysis of the theoretical

debates among the scholars on the concept of power. For that reason, in the

upcoming sections more emphasis is given on the concept of soft power and its

implications for the case study of Turkish Airlines and Turkish foreign policy.

Soft power

The attempts to define power are not limited to the ones given above.

Several other authors have attempted to elaborate further to reinforce our

understanding of the concept. Defining power as “the ability to influence the

behavior of others to get the outcomes you want,”4 Joseph Nye coined the

concept of soft power that is widely used both in the academia and the policy-

making level. Soft power differs from military and economic might that is

traditionally seen as the only way “to get others to change their positions.”5 In

his book Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics, it is defined as

“getting others to want the outcomes that you want”6 through cooptation rather

than coercion.7 He considers a country’s cultural assets that are attractive to the

people in other countries such as literature, art, education and popular culture;

political values that are admired, and the positive perception of its foreign

policy as the main sources of soft power.8 Nye also underlines the importance

of commerce as a way of transmitting culture through personal contacts, visits

and exchanges.9 As an example, he lists some specific qualifications that make

Japan the strongest soft power in Asia. Those include Japan ranking first in the

world in number of patents, third in international air travel, second in book and

music sales, second in high-tech exports, first in development assistance and

first in life expectancy.10

In order to actively use the soft power instruments to win the hearts and

the minds of foreign publics, Nye proposes the increasing use of public

diplomacy as an effective tool.11

To make a country’s soft power potentials

better known by the target foreign publics, public diplomacy activities should

be given more importance.12

He cites many examples of public diplomacy tools

2005), p.8. 4 Joseph S. Nye, Jr., Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics (New York: Public

Affairs, 2004), p.2. 5 Ibid., p.5. 6 Ibid. 7 Ibid. 8 Ibid., p.11. 9 Ibid., p.13. 10 Ibid., p.85. 11Joseph S. Nye, Jr., “Public Diplomacy and Soft Power,” The ANNALS of the American

Academy of Political and Social Science 616, no.94 (2008), p.95. 12 Ibid., p.103.

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that promote soft power, including Voice of America, BBC World Service and

Hollywood.13

Thus, public diplomacy and soft power cannot be conceived as

separate from each other. To shape the perceptions of the foreign publics, states

engage in such deliberate activities through certain mechanisms. The receivers

of public diplomacy campaigns and soft power instruments may not always be

conscious of their influence on themselves and their way of thinking with

regard to that specific country. It creates an embedded affiliation through latent

power penetration. In other words, soft power instruments aim to enhance the

prestige and the perception of the nation through the promotion of its name,

culture, values and foreign policy.

There are other scholars that have put an effort to critically assess and

clarify the concept of soft power. For instance, Steven Lukes points out that

Nye's conception of soft power resembles to what he called power's third

dimension that is “the power to shape, influence or determine others' beliefs

and desires, thereby securing their compliance.”14

Apparently, what Nye calls

soft power and Lukes calls power's third dimension are inherently similar to

each other with their emphasis on intangible aspects of power. According to

Guilo M. Gallarotti,

Soft power represents a form of meta-power. Meta-power describes

situations in which power relations themselves are embedded within some

greater constellation of social relations that influence those power relations and

thereby influence final outcomes that derive from the interactions among

actors. The structures of the bargaining boundaries are determined by processes

going on in the greater social relations within which they are embedded (i.e.,

endogenous rather than exogenous).15

Because of this embeddedness and indirectness, the benefits of soft

power are difficult to measure especially in the short-term.16

One of the

scholars who raised a similar concern is David W. Kearn. There are limitations

of soft power for him that originates from its “inherently fuzzy nature.”17

In

that sense, Kearn put forward soft power's “hard truths” as its reliance on a

relationship of interdependency; assumption of common goals and values; and

the presence of a hegemonic power.18

13 Ibid., pp.94-109. 14 Steven Lukes, “Power and the Battle for Hearts and Minds,” Journal of International Studies

33, no.3 (2005), p.486. 15Guilio M. Gallarotti, “Soft power: what it is, why it’s important and conditions for its effective

use,” Journal of Political Power 4, no.1 (2011), p.28. 16 Ibid., p.40. 17 David W. Kearn, “The hard truths about soft power,” Journal of Political Power 4, no.1

(2011), p.71. 18 Ibid., p.81.

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Turkish Foreign Policy and Soft Power

The theoretical debates on soft power are not limited to the works that

are mentioned in this article. More specifically, a closer look into the use of

soft power by the scholars that aim to explain Turkey's foreign policy activism

would be essential for this article. Parallel to the increasing use of soft power

all around the world, the concept is used by scholars and policy-makers that

deal with the puzzling questions of Turkish foreign policy. Those works

mention about Turkey's rising soft power capacity and the tools behind this

achievement.

It was pointed out by Tarık Oğuzlu that the de-securitization of Turkish

foreign policy and its increased credibility among the eyes of the Western and

Middle Eastern countries could be considered as new developments that

contribute to Turkey's soft power potential. In addition, he put emphasis on the

economic diplomacy of AKP (Justice and Development Party) rule and its

multilateral and cooperative foreign policy based on a win-win approach in

contrast to the traditional zero-sum game approach.19

From a similar

perspective, Meliha Benli Altunışık contends that the perception of Turkey's

political and economic transformation process during the AKP period in the

eyes of the peoples of the Middle East could be a source of soft power.

Moreover, she gives emphasis on the role of Turkey's mediation efforts as an

honest broker in order to resolve the regional conflicts as another

source of soft power.20

By working on the data on the flow of people across borders during the

Cold War, Kemal Kirişci enunciates that Turkey's liberal visa system embodies

a peace building and a soft power aspect that enabled the free movement of

people across borders that were once considered spatially distant from each

other.21

Therefore, the new geographical imagination of Turkey that manifests

itself in its liberal visa regime adds up to Turkey’s positive image. As the Chief

Advisor to Prime Minister Erdoğan, İbrahim Kalın asserts that history, culture

and geography are the main tenets of Turkey's soft power potential. In order to

promote Turkey's soft power via public diplomacy as it is also suggested by

Nye, he drew attention to the roles played by many public institutions including

19 Tarık Oğuzlu,“Soft Power in Turkish Foreign Policy,” Australian Journal of International

Affairs 61, no.1 (March 2007), pp. 81-97. 20Meliha Benli Altunışık, “The Possibilities and Limits of Turkey’s Soft Power in the Middle

East”, Insight Turkey 10, no.2 (2008): pp. 41-54. 21 Kemal Kirişci, “A Friendlier Schengen Visa System as a Tool of „Soft Power‟: The

Experience of Turkey Soft Power,” European Journal of Migration and Law, no.7 (2005),

pp.355-356.

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TİKA (Turkish International Cooperation and Development Agency), Kızılay

(The Turkish Red Crescent) and TRT (Turkey's state television).22

National Airlines and Soft Power

The concept of national airlines is relevant to these theoretical debates

on soft power. I argue that the responsibility of national airlines to promote the

name, prestige and foreign policy of their nations fits well to the

conceptualization of soft power. Fulfilling a political goal to promote the

foreign policy objectives makes a national airline a soft power tool. A

successful national airline has many utilities. As the airline company’s ranking

and visibility increases among the airlines all over the world, it has positive

repercussions for its home country not only in the area of politics but also in

the area of commerce. For instance, if a national airline can achieve making its

city of origin an aviation hub, it adds up to the tourism and business potential

of that city and the country.

The more people use the airports in a country to transfer to other

international flights, the more the geographical location of the country will be

perceived as central. Perhaps, the availability of high quality airline

connections to a country is an asset to enhance that country’s political and

economic potential worldwide. National airlines that help their states achieve

certain goals in the area of culture, commerce and foreign policy can be

regarded as tools of soft power. In that sense, the theoretical debates on soft

power contribute to our understanding of national airlines and their relationship

with politics.

Similar to other national airlines such as Qatar Airways and Emirates,

Turkish Airlines can be seen as a soft power tool for Turkey. Primarily, as the

flag carrier airline of Turkey, Turkish Airlines promotes its name in the skies

and all over the world in airports. Its advertising campaigns in foreign media

and sponsorship deals with movie stars, football teams, basketball players and

tournaments not only promote its own brand but also enhance Turkey’s image

and prestige in the eyes of foreign publics. The President of Turkish Airlines

Board of Directors, Hamdi Topçu acknowledges that promoting Turkish

Airlines worldwide also promotes the image of Turkey.23

The development of

Turkish Airlines into a global airline network with a high number of transfer

passengers has made İstanbul Atatürk Airport an aviation hub at the crossroads

of Europe and Asia. As a consequence of this transportation network, İstanbul

has become more attractive for business people and tourists. Aware of this

22 İbrahim Kalın, “Soft Power and Public Diplomacy in Turkey,” Perceptions 16, no.3 (Autumn

2011), pp. 5-23. 23Turkish Airlines, Minutes of Ordinary General Assembly Meeting 2011, Turkish Airlines

Investor Relations, p.2.

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potential, the Turkish government is planning to build a new airport to the

European side of İstanbul to better meet this increasing demand.

In the realm of foreign policy, Turkish Airlines supports Turkey’s

foreign policy openings that aim to establish diplomatic and commercial

relations with countries in specific geographies. The availability of Turkish

Airlines flights shortens the spatial distances between countries and facilitates

the movement of business people and tourists on both sides. In the context of

the Middle East, Turkish Airlines complements to Foreign Minister Ahmet

Davutoğlu's ideal of increasing interdependence with the countries and

developing peaceful relations that value cooperation over conflict. More and

more people in the region are exposed to Turkish culture thanks to the

popularity of Turkish soap operas depicting the modern Turkish way of life.

The attraction of those soap operas results in an increasing demand among the

people of the region to visit Turkey. People’s desire to encounter the Turkish

experience by visiting the country is facilitated by the increasing number of

Turkish Airlines’ regular flights from İstanbul to the countries in the region.

Turkish Airlines as a high quality global airline represents Turkish culture and

values not only in the Middle East but also in other parts of the world. Thus, it

boosts Turkey’s potential to attract the others.

Turkish Airlines and Politics

In the civil aviation industry, without exception, political

developments, considerations and preferences always influence the policies

adopted by the managerial bodies of the airline companies. In the case of

national airlines, this influence is much more blatant. Politics, one way or

another, is one of the major factors influencing the decision-making process of

the state-affiliated airlines. Politics usually influences decisions such as route

openings and the purchase of new aircraft. Turkish Airlines as the national flag

carrier of Turkey since its establishment in 1933 has not been exempt from this

general trend.

Although the majority of its shares do not belong to the Turkish state

anymore, Turkish Airlines continues to act like a public institution especially in

the realm of foreign policy. With the latest (2006) wave of privatization, the

Turkish state possesses 49% of the shares of Turkish Airlines. On paper,

Turkish Airlines lost its status as a public entity, since the majority of its shares

are traded on the İstanbul Stock Exchange by private investors. Legally, it is

treated as a private company where the state holds a minority of its shares. In

practice, the Turkish state retains the golden share (49%) that enables it to

strongly influence the decision-making process of Turkish Airlines. The rest of

the Turkish Airlines’ shares that are traded on the İstanbul Stock Market belong

to investors of a strictly limited size. Those shareholders are unable and

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unwilling to come together to raise their voices in the management of the

company.

This stems from the fact that the privatization of Turkish Airlines in

2006 was made in such a way that no other shareholder could challenge the

dominance of the state in the decision-making process. According to Turkish

Airlines Inc. Articles of Association Article 10c,

In order to be able to nominate candidates for the Board of Directors by

the shareholders holding Group A shares open for public, they are required to

be represented at the rate of minimum 2% of the total issued share capital of

the Incorporation during the Shareholders Assembly in which the members of

the Board of Directors will be elected. Calculation of the aforementioned rate

of 2% will be based only on the Group A shares open for public.24

Although two of the seven members of the Turkish Airlines Board of

Directors can be nominated by the private investors25

, in practice it does not

often take place due to the majority vote principle to pass a resolution. It is very

rare that the small investors are able to come together in the Shareholders

Assembly and get their representatives elected to the Board of Directors.

Because of these factors, the members of the Turkish Airlines Board of

Directors are practically appointed by the Turkish government. In addition,

Turkish Airlines is no longer audited by the Prime Ministry Inspection Board

since it lost its status as a public economic enterprise after the shares of the

state had diminished below the 50% threshold. Hence, government influence in

the management of Turkish Airlines has not disappeared but present in a

different format.

In the preface of a book prepared for the 75th anniversary of the

establishment of Turkish Airlines in 2008, Prime Minister Erdoğan emphasized

the significance of Turkish Airlines for him by referring the developments in

the realm of foreign policy. He viewed Turkish Airlines as a flag carrier of

Turkey’s road to modernization and a symbol of multilateral foreign policy

serving for the purpose of a strong and prosperous Turkey.26

He stressed the

significance of the success of Turkish Airlines to contribute to the tourism

potential of Turkey. Considering that 70% of the tourists prefer air

transportation during their visits to Turkey, he emphasized the importance of

Turkish Airlines for Turkey’s growth and development.27

It should be

mentioned that the growth of the civil aviation sector in Turkey coincides with

the AKP period. A more liberal structure also enabled the development of

24 Turkish Airlines, Turkish Airlines Inc. Articles of Association, Turkish Airlines Investor

Relations, Article 10c. 25 Ibid., Article 10b. 26 Ibid. 27 Ibid., p.21.

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private airline companies that compete with Turkish Airlines both in domestic

and international markets. Perhaps, the growth of Turkish Airlines as a global

airline company can partly be attributed to the presence its domestic

counterparts.

A closer look at the strategies adopted by Turkish Airlines shows that

its vision is very similar to Turkey's foreign policy vision. Especially, Foreign

Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu's principles of rhythmic diplomacy, multi-

dimensional foreign policy, zero-problems with neighbors, order instituting

actor, international cooperation, proactive foreign policy28

coincides with

Turkish Airline's motto “globally yours.” Therefore, there is a political

background for Turkish Airlines’ aggressive expansion strategy all over the

world, increasing focus on Turkey's neighborhood and strategy that aims to

make İstanbul a global aviation hub.

Turkish Airlines in the Middle East

Turkish Airlines is a soft power tool that facilitates the achievement of

two main pillars of Turkish foreign policy in the Middle East: developing

business ties through free trade agreements and increasing tourism potential

through a liberal visa regime. Turkey aims to foster economic interdependence

at the macro level and cultural interaction at the personal level as part of its

general foreign policy agenda in the region. Thus, Turkey aims to win the

hearts and the minds of the people in the Middle East to be perceived as a

regional leader in politics, economy and culture.

Henceforth, Turkish Airlines’ aggressive expansion strategy in this

market is not independent from Turkey's foreign policy engagement in the

region. The sponsorship deals and the promotion of the Turkish Airlines brand

seem to have positively influenced the demand for Turkey’s national airline,

which also enhances Turkey's receptiveness in the region. As of October 2011,

Turkish Airlines was flying to 26 destinations in 13 countries in the Middle

East compared to 10 destinations in 9 countries in 2005. In six years, it added

four countries (Iraq, Qatar, Yemen and Oman) and 16 more cities to the list of

destinations (Table 1). More concrete examples are given in the country-

specific analysis of the tandem involvement of Turkey as an emerging regional

power and Turkish Airlines as one of its soft power assets.

28 Ahmet Davutoğlu, “Türk Dış Politikası’nın İlkeleri ve Bölgesel Yapılanma,” SAM Vision

Papers, no.3 (August 2012), p.4.

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Table 1. New Destinations Opened by Turkish Airlines since 2005 in the

Middle East

Country

City Date Country City Date

UAE

Abu

Dhabi

January

2006 Iran Mashhad March 2009

Yemen Sana'a

February

2006 Iran Shiraz March 2011

Iran Tabriz

February

2006 Iraq Arbil April 2011

Oman Muscaat March 2006 Iraq Basra May 2011

Qatar Doha March 2006 Iraq Najaf July 2011

Saudi

Arabia Medina

November

2007 Iraq

Sulaymaniya

h July 2011

Syria Aleppo May 2008 Iraq Mosul October 2011

Iraq Baghdad

October

2008

Saudi

Arabia Dammam October 2011

Data Obtained from Turkish Airlines Head Office

Turkey's involvement in the Middle East has never attracted such

attention on either the domestic or international level before. The rising

attraction of Turkish foreign policy in the Middle East can be considered one of

the soft power tools of the country. Turkish foreign policy in the region aims to

make borders in the Middle East meaningless through lifting visa requirements,

developing commercial ties and integrating infrastructure.29

Considering the figures of trade and tourism, this policy has succeeded

to a certain degree. In 2001, Turkey's trade volume with the countries in the

Middle East was 5.7 billion dollars. By 2010, this number had reached 35.9

billion dollars (Table 2). Moreover, the number of citizens of Middle Eastern

countries visiting Turkey in 2001 was around 850,000, which reached

approximately 3.5 million in 2010 (Table 3). Turkey aims to create a zone of

peace and stability through free trade agreements with its Middle Eastern

neighbors and lift visa requirements to facilitate the movement of people and

goods. Indeed, Turkey is integrated into the Middle Eastern region more than

ever in terms of economic interdependence through trade, investment and

tourism. Turkey's opening up to these countries in the context of this vision in

its foreign policy is complemented by Turkey’s use of Turkish Airlines as a

soft power tool.

29 International Crisis Group, “Turkey and the Middle East: Ambitions and Constraints,” Europe

Report, no.203 (7 April 2010), p.i.

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Table 2. Turkey's Trade with the Countries in the Middle East30

($ millions) Middle

East 2001

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Import 2811 2983 4030 5142 7391 9882 12,021 16,172 8556 14,932

Export

2

886 3100 4876 7309 9375

10,1

91 13,366 22,744 17,013 20,935

Total 5696 6083 8906 12,451 16,768

20,0

73 25,389 38,916 25,570 35,868

Note: Numbers are rounded. Sums may not match.

Data Obtained from Turkish Ministry of Economy

Table 3. Number of People Entered Turkey from Middle Eastern Countries

(in thousands)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Iran 327 432 495 632 957 866 1058 1135 1383 1885

Bahrain 2 4 4 3 4 4 6 8 9 9

UAE 3 5 7 7 9 12 13 20 22 30

Iraq 16 16 25 112

1

08 123 180 250 285 280

Israel 311 70 321 300 94 363 511 558 312 110

Qatar 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 6

Kuwait 5 7 8 7 11 2 13 22 27 27

Lebano

n 22 31 34 36 41 36 45 54 72 135

Syria 110 126 55 196 289 278 333 407 510 899

Saudi

Arabia 21 26 24 25 36 39 41 56 67 85

Oman 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 6 5 5

Jordan

2

7

3

3

3

7

4

0

4

4

4

7 1 4 88 97

Yemen 1 2 2 4 3 3 4 5 6 6

Total 850 957 1115 1366 1900 1787 2272 2602 2792 3577

Note: Numbers are rounded. Sums may not match. Data Obtained from Turkish Statistical Institute

One indication of how the growth of Turkish commercial relations had

a positive impact is the number of passengers carried by Turkish Airlines

between 2001 and 2010. In 2001, Turkish Airlines carried around 450,000

passengers in the Middle Eastern market compared to around 2 million

30 Countries in the Middle East include Syria, Iraq, Iran, Lebanon, Jordan, Israel, Kuwait, Qatar,

the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman and Yemen.

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passengers in 2010 (Table 4). There is a positive correlation between Turkey’s

trade volume with the region and the number of passengers carried by Turkish

Airlines. Therefore, the general trend is as follows: In the Middle East, the

more Turkey increases its trade potential, the more tourists come to Turkey and

the more people use Turkish Airlines to travel to and from Turkey. Aware of

this general trend, the Turkish celebrity Kıvanç Tatlıtuğ who appears in soap

operas that are very popular in the Arab world, has become the new face of

Turkish Airlines in the region.31

The combination of the attraction of Turkish

TV series and Turkish Airlines adds up to Turkey’s soft power in the region.

There is a reciprocal relationship between Turkish Airlines and Turkish

foreign policy. The CEO of Turkish Airlines, Temel Kotil, acknowledged that

Turkish Airlines benefits from the liberal visa regime of Turkey.32

Indeed, it

has become much easier for a person from a country in the Middle East to

board a Turkish Airlines flight and visit Turkey without any visa requirement.

The increase in Turkish Airlines flights also benefits Turkey in terms of

tourism income, foreign exchange earnings and the ability to attract and shape

the perception of the foreigners. However, it should be kept in mind that the

growth of Turkish Airlines in the Middle East is a fragile one. For instance, due

to the civil war in Syria, Turkish Airlines halted its flights to Damascus and

Aleppo. Further instability in the region and the possibility of the violence to

spread up to other countries may push Turkish foreign policy to a security-

based approach that will be detrimental for the interest of Turkish Airlines in

the region.

31Sabah, “THY’nin Ortadoğu’daki Yüzü Tatlıtuğ”, 3 April 2010. 32 Radikal, “THY Dış Politikadaki Gelişemelerden Memnun”, 9 Janurary 2011.

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Table 4. Passengers Carried by Turkish Airlines in the Middle East (in

thousands)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

201033

Total

Bahrain 10 11 10 10 11 11 21 44 56 58 241

Iran 54 76 78 87 91 104 132 200 314 326

1

462

Iraq 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 53 62 120

Israel 194 177 183 187 210 215 291 348 331 297 2434

Jordan 39 45 43 56 63 66 93 115 151 146 818

Kuwait 19 18 19 25 29 33 38 43 53 65 341

Lebanon 23 26 23 25 28 24 47 75 143 141 555

Oman 0 0 0 0 0 8 22 21 25 33 108

Qatar 10 11 9 10 10 18 28 40 61 58 255

Saudi

Arabia 56 88 95 102 115 108 112 214 250 304 1443

Syria 19 31 32 40 45 58 70 157 220 242 915

UAE 34 44 58 66 88 107 121 237 245 238 1237

Yemen 0 0 0 0 0 9 18 24 27 24 102

Total 460 528 552 610

6

92 763 997 1525 1931 1995

10,03

3

Note: Numbers are rounded. Sums may not match.

Data Obtained from Turkish Prime Ministry Public Diplomacy Office

Turkish Airlines and Turkish Foreign Policy in Iran

Since the Islamic Revolution of 1979, Turkey and Iran have

represented rival political systems. Therefore, the regimes in Ankara and

Tehran have abstained from pursuing close relations with each other. Mutual

distrust has been one of the main factors shaping the perceptions of “the other”

in Turkey and Iran. Especially in the 1990s, each side accused the other of

supporting dissident movements, Kurdish separatists and Islamist.34

However,

this started to change with the realization of a convergence in their common

economic interests and their opposition to any territorial break up of Iraq that

might lead to the establishment of an independent Kurdish state in the north.35

According to Mohammed Ayoob, “Turkish and Iranian interests converge more

332010 figures do not include December. 34 Robert Olson, “Turkey-Iran Relations, 1997 to 2000: The Kurdish and Islamist Question,”

Third World Quarterly 21, no.5 (2000), p.889. 35William Hale, “Turkey and the Middle East in the New Era,” Insight Turkey 11, no.3 (2009),

pp.153-154.

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than they diverge and there is a great realization of this fact in both Ankara and

Tehran now than there was 10 years ago.”36

For Turkey, Iran is a very important market for Turkish products with a

population that is comparable in size to that of Turkey. In addition, Turkey runs

a large trade deficit with Iran due to its energy imports.37

Hence, developing

commercial ties by increasing the volume of exports to Iran could help Turkey

balance its trade deficit. There is also an existing visa-free travel agreement

between the two countries that was introduced in 1964.38

Thanks to this, the

free movement of people on both sides has already been achieved. What is

needed is the political will to encourage and open the path for further

developing business and tourism ties. In this context, Turkish Airlines through

its regular flights contributes positively to the commercial and tourism potential

between Turkey and Iran, a goal which is set by both countries. In addition to

the existing Tehran route, Turkish Airlines has recently launched new flight

destinations in Iran in order to facilitate the movement of people and goods on

both sides. Since 2005, Turkish Airlines started to operate scheduled flights to

Tabriz (February 2006), Mashhad (March 2009) and Shiraz (March 2011)

(Table 1).

As of 2010, Turkey's exports to Iran reached three billion dollars. At

the same time, Turkey's imports from Iran were around seven billion dollars.

The total trade volume between the two countries was 10 billion dollars in

2010 with the potential to increase further (Table 5). This potential can be

fulfilled as more Turkish business people travel to Iran and Iranian business

people travel to Turkey.

Table 5. Turkey's Trade with Iran ( $ millions)

Iran 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Import 840 921 1861 1962 3470 5627 6615 8200 3406 7645

Export 361 334 534 813 913

1

067 1441

2

030 2025 3044

Total 1200 1255 2394 2775 4383 6694 8057

10,22

9 5431 10,689 Data Obtained from Turkish Ministry of Economy

Note: Numbers are rounded. Sums may not match.

36 Mohammed Ayoob, “Beyond the Domestic Wave: A Turko-Persian Future?” Middle East

Policy 18, no.2 (Summer 2011), p.118. 37 Kemal Kirişci, “Comparing the Neighborhood Policies of Turkey and the EU in the

Mediterranean,” in Turkey: Reluctant Mediterranean Power (Washington DC: The German

Marshall Fund of the United States, 2010), p.29. 38 Kemal Kirişci, “Comparing the Neighborhood Policies of Turkey and the EU in the

Mediterranean,” p.29.

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The tourism dimension also requires mention. Although the upward

trend in the number of Iranian tourists entering Turkey cannot be attributed to

the engagement of Turkish Airlines alone, its role should not be

underestimated. The number of tourists entering Turkey from Iran is the

highest among the Middle Eastern countries considering its geographical

proximity and size of its population (Table 3).

According to a paper written by Kirişci, Tocci and Walker,

The visa-free policy has also enabled large numbers of regime

opponents to flee the country and enjoy temporary protection in Turkey before

settling elsewhere in the West. Turkey is one of the few countries that the

Iranian middle-class can visit freely and in which they can enjoy the benefits of

a liberal economy and society.39

Turkey offering a more liberal and open society can be considered an

additional source of Turkey's soft power in the eyes of the Iranian population.

Moreover, Turkish Airlines acts as a soft power tool to present itself as the

modern airline company of a country that is attractive to Iranians. The fact that

Turkish Airlines flies to four destinations in Iran can also be used as a counter-

argument for those who claim that Turkey is leading a Sunni bloc in the Middle

East. Despite this, Turkish Airlines might be adversely affected by the conflict

of interest between Turkey and Iran in accordance with the new developments

in the region.

Turkish Airlines and Turkish Foreign Policy in Iraq

Traditionally, Turkey's relations with Iraq have been dominated by

security considerations. Economic relations have remained on a limited level.

However, Turkey has always been affected by the internal developments in its

neighbor Iraq. For instance, in the 1990s, Northern Iraq was a safe haven for

the PKK, which is considered to be a grave security threat to the territorial

integrity of Turkey. Thus, the escalation of terrorist attacks and the presence of

a Kurdish population in Northern Iraq were seen in terms of security in the

context of Turkey's policies towards Iraq.

The US invasion of Iraq in 2003 and the post-Saddam order have

changed the balance of power among the ethnic and religious groups in the

country. The Turkish parliament's refusal to allow American troops to use

Turkish soil to open a second front in 2003 perhaps reduced Turkey's say in

the future of Iraq. Currently, Turkey's policy in Iraq is to preserve the territorial

39 Kemal Kirişci et al., A Neighborhood Rediscovered: Turkey's Transatlantic Value in the

Middle East (Washington DC: The German Marshall Fund of the United States, 2010), p.22.

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integrity of the country and the prevention of sectarian divide in order to

prevent a further destabilization that might create an independent Kurdistan.

After the cross border military operation in 2008, Turkey started to

develop its relations with all parties in Iraq, but more specifically with the

Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG).40

From 2008-2009 onwards,

corresponding with the inauguration of Barack Obama as the new American

president, Turkey has developed its relations with Iraq. Thus, abandoning the

traditional security-only approach, the Turkish government has transformed its

relations with the KRG.41

Especially, Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu's visit

to Arbil in October 2009, with a delegation of around 70 officials and business

people including the trade minister Zafer Çağlayan, is considered to have been

contribution to the normalization of Turkey's relations with the KRG.42

Turkey's improvement of relations with the KRG was also praised by the

European Commission in Turkey's 2009 Progress Report.43

In this context, Turkish Airlines restarted scheduled flights to Baghdad

in October 2008 (Table 5), a route which had stopped operating for 17 years

due to the First Gulf War and its aftermath.44

According to a report published

by the International Crisis Group, “As of September 2009, 500 Turkish

companies had invested in Iraq, and Turkey as a country was among the top ten

foreign investors.”45

Table 6. Turkey's Trade with Iraq ( $ millions)46

Iraq 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Import 0 0 84 468 459 376 645 1321 952 1355

Export 0 0 718 1821 2750 2589 2845 3917 5124 6036

Total 0 0 802 2288 3209 965 490 5238 6076 7391

Data Obtained from Turkish Ministry of Economy

Note: Numbers are rounded. Sums may not match.

Turkey's volume of bilateral trade with Iraq reached 7 billion dollars by

2010 despite the global financial crisis that affected Turkey's bilateral trade

40Serhat Erkmen,“Türkiye-Irak İlişkileri,” Ortadoğu Analiz 1, no.4 (April 2009), p.6. 41 Kemal Kirişci, “Comparing the Neighborhood Policies of Turkey and the EU in the

Mediterranean,” p.28. 42 Ufuk Ulutaş, “Turkish Foreign Policy in 2009: A Year of Pro-activity,” Insight Turkey 12,

no.1 (2010), p.4. 43 European Commission, Turkey Progress Report 2009 (Brussels: European Union, 2009), p.30. 44 Mesut Özcan, “From Distance to Engagement: Turkish Policy towards the Middle East, Iraq

and Iraqi Kurds,” Insight Turkey 13, no.2 (2011), p.85. 45 International Crisis Group, “Turkey and the Middle East: Ambitions and Constraints,” p. 10. 46 There is no data for 2001 and 2002.

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with many countries negatively. Especially, in 2010 Turkish exports were

around 6 billion dollars, giving it a trade surplus with Iraq (Table 6). The

number of Iraqi tourists entering Turkey is also on the rise (Table 3). Turkish

nationals need visas to enter Iraq (Table 7), Iraqi nationals also need visa to

enter Turkey from land border but can get the visa at the airport easily if they

use air transportation (Table 8). If the visa requirements are lifted reciprocally,

that may increase the rate of people-to-people contact. Turkish Airlines in the

future can also play the role to expand commercial relations as well as

reciprocal tourism revenues. Another factor that can contribute to the people-

to-people contact is the reopening in February 2010 of the Istanbul-Baghdad

railway line that was built before the World War One.47

All these actions taken

by or with the encouragement of the Turkish government have had an impact

on developing relations on both the government and society level.

Table 7. Visa Requirements for Turkish Citizens

Bahrain Exempt Lebanon Exempt

UAE Needs Visa Oman Border Visa

Iraq Needs Visa Syria Exempt

Iran Exempt Saudi Arabia Needs Visa

Israel Needs Visa Jordan Exempt

Qatar Needs Visa48

Yemen Needs Visa

Kuwait Needs Visa - Data Obtained from Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Table 8. Visa Requirements for Entering Turkey

Bahrain Border Visa Lebanon Exempt

UAE Border Visa Oman Border Visa

Iraq49

Border Visa Syria Exempt

Iran Exempt Saudi Arabia Border Visa

Israel Exempt Jordan Exempt

Qatar Border Visa Yemen Needs Visa

Kuwait Border Visa

Data Obtained from the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs

47Kadri Kaan Renda, “Turkey's Neighborhood Policy: An Emerging Complex Interdependence,”

Insight Turkey 13, no.1 (2011), p.101. 48 Visa granted at the airport for Turkish citizens fulfilling some financial requirements. 49 Border visa granted at airport but for land crossings visa is required.

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Turkish Airlines has increased its presence by starting to operate five

new flight destinations in the country in addition to the capital. Especially the

start of the Arbil flights has been given wide coverage in the Turkish and Iraqi

media. It was initially the Foreign Minister, Ahmet Davutoğlu, who mentioned

Turkish Airlines’ plan to fly to Arbil in a bilateral meeting with the KRG leader

Mesud Barzani in June 2010 as a part of a common strategy in energy, trade

and transportation between the two countries.50

Within ten months, Turkish

Airlines launched its first flight to Arbil, the base of the KRG (Table 1).

This role is also praised by the President of Turkish-Iraqi Friendship

Council, which stated that Turkish Airlines' involvement in Arbil had

contributed to business people’s commercial activities in Iraq.51

It also should

be noted that Atlasjet Airlines, which is another airline company in Turkey,

started flying to Arbil as well as Suleymaniyah before Turkish Airlines.52

Pegasus Airlines, which is a private airline company in Turkey, started to

operate flights to Arbil by October 2011.53

Even though they also facilitate the

movement of people between the two countries, since they do not have any

kind of affiliation with the state, it is not possible to call them foreign policy

tools similar to Turkish Airlines. One thing that the involvement of all airline

companies in this market demonstrates is that there is also the demand side

behind the growth of airline companies in Iraq that has become possible in the

context of Turkey's developing relations with Iraq.

In addition to the new Arbil route, in 2011, Turkish Airlines added

Basra, Najaf, Mosul and Suleymaniyah to the list of cities to which it flies. The

political meaning behind these four destinations is to express Turkey's desire to

engage with all ethnic and religious groups in Iraq. It is not hard to guess the

political bargaining behind these decisions to start flying to new routes. Each

route opening has a symbolic meaning. As Arbil represents the political power

of Barzani, so does Suleymaniyah represents his archrival Talabani. Another

instance is Najaf which is considered to be the center of Shi'a political power.

The new route is expected to increase the flow of tourists and Shi'a pilgrims to

the city, home to the shrine of Imam Ali, Prophet Mohammed’s cousin and a

figure regarded by Shi'a Muslims as the first Imam.54

Basra, which is the

50 Sabah, “THY’den Erbil’e Sefer”, 3 June 2010. 51 Turkey-Iraq Friendship Association, 4 October 2010, “Türk Hava Yolları Erbil Ofisini

Ziyaret,” Accessed on 24 March 2012, Available [online] at:<http://tidd.org.tr/eng/Events/17-

turk-hava-yollari-erbil-ofisini-ziyaret> 52 Global Aviator, “Turkish Airlines Launches Flight to Iraq,” Accessed on 24 March 2012,

Available [online] at:<http://www.globalaviator.co.za/Countries/stories/turkishairlines.htm> 53Zaman, “Pegasus Erbil’e Uçmaya Başlayacak”, 11 October 2011. 54 Iraq Business News,“First Direct Flight from Istanbul to Najaf,” Accessed on 24 March 2012,

Available [online] at:<http://www.iraq-businessnews.com/2011/07/06/first-direct-flight-from-

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second largest city in Iraq, is also a major port city that has economic potential

value for Turkey's trade with Iraq.

Overall, the momentum change in Turkish foreign policy towards Iraq

has fostered Turkish Airlines as a tool in this context. It facilitates the

movement of people and goods to contribute to the achievement of Turkish

foreign policy. At the same time, as an airline company, it benefits from the

Iraqi market and increases its share in the Middle East civil aviation market.

However, it should also be noted that this growth is very much dependent on

the course of bilateral relations and the internal dynamics. Although business

people on both sides of the border objected a security-based approach55

, Turkey

has resolved neither the Kurdish issue nor the PKK problem yet. A possible

escalation of violence in Turkey's territories with regard to those issues bares

the potential to have a negative impact on Turkey's relations with Iraq.

Furthermore, the future of Iraq's territorial integrity remains an important issue

that has the potential to shake the dynamics in the bilateral relations. One needs

to be cautious rather than too optimistic before talking about a rosy picture yet.

On the other hand, if Turkey and Iraq resolve those issues, political, economic

and cultural potential between the countries will expand. It will also influence

the strategies adopted by Turkish Airlines.

Turkish Airlines and Turkish Foreign Policy in Israel

Turkey was one of the first countries to recognize the independence of

Israel.56

The fact that both countries were the allies of the United States in the

Middle East was the main determinant of the relations between Turkey and

Israel during the Cold War. Surrounded by hostile Arab neighbors, Israel

viewed Turkey's friendship as an asset in the region. However, those two

countries could not develop close relations due to the Arab-Israeli conflict until

the Oslo Process in the 1990s. Since the Oslo Process, two countries have

worked closely in the areas of commerce and military cooperation. Turkey's

threat perception from its neighbors Greece, Syria and the PKK pushed it

towards an alliance with Israel in order to counterbalance those actors. 57

However, as Turkey has improved its relations with Greece, Syria and the

leader of PKK Abdullah Öcalan was captured in 1999, alliance with Israel for

Turkey lost its relative significance compared to the 1990s. Despite this change

in the political conjuncture, Turkey and Israel have pursued good relations as

the two functioning democracies and developing economies in the Middle East.

istanbul-to-najaf/> 55 Özcan, p.86. 56 Dov Waxman, “Turkey and Israel: A New Balance of Power in the Middle East,” The Washington Quarterly 22, no.1 (Winter 1999), p.30.

57 Malik Muftu, “Daring and Caution in Turkish Foreign Policy,” Middle East Journal 52, no.1 (Winter 1998), p.35.

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In line with these close contacts, commercial relations and people-to-people

contact have been regarded as two important aspects of the relations between

the two countries.

The relations entered an era of continuous decline after Israel's military

operation in Gaza in December 2008. A series of events including the Turkish

prime minister's harsh criticism of Israel at the Davos World Economic Forum

and the so called “sofa crisis”58

further deteriorated the relations. Israel's

military operation in May 2010 against a flotilla carrying humanitarian aid to

Gaza and the death of nine Turkish activists in international waters caused the

relations to reach a nadir. Since Turkey's three conditions (an official apology

by Israel for the killings, compensation for the victims, and lifting the Gaza

blockade) to normalize the relations have not been met by the Israeli side, the

relations remain at a considerably low level.

Although Turkey has taken some steps to degrade the level of its

relations with Israel, including recalling its ambassador and suspension of

military agreements, nothing has been done to abrogate the free trade

agreement.59

In addition, the visa-free travel for Israeli citizens was not

questioned.60

Those two steps illustrate that Turkey still prioritizes commercial

relations, tourism and personal contact with Israeli people in a way to facilitate

the improvement of relations in the political arena. Indeed, Turkey's business

relations with Israel seem to be developing in spite of the tensions in the

political realm.61

Table 9. Turkey’s Trade with Israel (million $)

Israel 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Import 529 544 459 714 805 782 1082 1448 1075 1360

Export 805 861 1083 1315 1467 1529 1658 1935 1528 2080

Total 1335 1406 1542 2029 2272 2311 2740 3383 2603 3440

Data Obtained from the Turkish Ministry of Economy

Note: Numbers are rounded. Sums may not match.

At first glance, it might seem that Turkish Airlines as the only airline

company operating in İstanbul-Tel Aviv route62

could have been negatively

58 International Crisis Group, “Turkey's Crisis over Israel and Iran,” Europe Report , no.208 (8

September 2010), p.3. 59 Kemal Kirişci, “Comparing the Neighborhood Policies of Turkey and the EU in the

Mediterranean,” p.34. 60 Ibid. 61 New York Times, “Despite Raid, Mostly Business as Usual for Israel and Turkey”, 2 July 2010. 62 By June 2012, Pegasus Airlines started to fly between İstanbul and Tel Aviv as the second

Turkish airline company in this route. It is interesting that a Turkish company could get the slot

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affected by all these tensions. Especially considering the decline in the number

of Israeli tourists visiting Turkey since 2009, one might expect that the demand

for Turkish Airlines would have shrunk. Contrary to this assumption, it rather

has been the charter flights between Tel Aviv and Antalya63

that have been

affected negatively from the rising tension between the two countries.64

According to the CEO of Turkish Airlines, Temel Kotil, regular scheduled

flights continue without interruption since Turkish Airlines not only carries

Turkish passengers from İstanbul to Tel Aviv, but also transfer passengers from

other destinations such as New York-İstanbul-Tel Aviv route, which is used by

80 to 100 passengers on every New York-İstanbul Turkish Airlines flight.65

Turkish Airlines in the Gulf Countries66

Turkey's relations with the Arab states of the Persian Gulf traditionally

have been limited both politically and economically until recently. The sub-

region has been out of Turkey's direct sphere of influence mainly for

geographical reasons. With the exception of Saudi Arabia, which is significant

for the Muslim population in Turkey for religious reasons, Turkey's interest in

the sub-region has been to a limited extent. However, the rise of the AKP in

Turkey, which has Islamic roots, has provided new opportunities to improve

the relations with the Gulf countries.

Economic motives also have played an important part in this policy

change. Turkey's need for new markets and foreign capital has accelerated the

efforts to further develop the relations.67

Indeed, the fact that the Gulf countries

are mostly oil rich increases the potential of trade and investment. Turkey's

growing and dynamic economy has also been regarded as a positive factor

which increases the Arab capital inflow to Turkey. From 2001 to 2010,

bilateral trade between Turkey and six Gulf countries quadrupled. It reached its

peak in 2008 with 16.6 billion dollars, but had a decline of 50% due to the

global financial crisis (Table 10). In addition to the economic reasons, Turkey

aligns itself with Saudi Arabia and Qatar to topple the Assad regime in Syria

which is a considerably new development. In the near future, we may witness

Turkey's increasing cooperation with the countries of the Gulf region with

regard to the issues in the Middle East.

from the Israeli civil aviation authorities when there is a political crisis between the countries.

There is no Israeli company that operates in this route. 63 One of the largest cities in Turkey that is a holiday destination for Israelis as well as the

citizens of other countries. 64 Hürriyet, “İsrail Türkiye charter uçuşları iptal”, 14 September 2011. 65 Airkule, 14 September 2011, “İsrail Krizi THY'yi Etkiledi mi?” Accessed on 24 March 2012,

Available [online] at:<http://www.airkule.com/default.asp?page=haber&id=10031> 66 Gulf Countries: Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Oman and the United Arab Emirates. 67 Birol Başkan, “Turkey-GCC: Is There a Future?” Insight Turkey 13, no.1 (2011), p.163.

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Table 10. Turkey's Trade with Gulf Countries68

($ millions)

Data Obtained from the Turkish Ministry of Economy

Note: Numbers are rounded. Sums may not match.

The role played by Turkish Airlines in the Gulf is appreciated by

Turkish state officials. For instance, the president of Turkey, Abdullah Gül,

emphasizes how Turkish Airlines’ inauguration of a new flight route to Muscat

shortened the distances and increased interaction between Turkey and Oman.69

In addition to this role, a specific task has traditionally been assigned to the

national airline by the Turkish state to carry the Muslim pilgrims to Mecca and

Medina in Saudi Arabia. For instance, in 2010, 100,000 people were carried by

Turkish Airlines for this specific purpose alone.

Another factor that increases the significance of the Gulf for Turkish

Airlines is the existence of its regional competitor airlines. As Turkish Airlines

aims to make İstanbul an aviation hub, Emirates has the same purpose for

Dubai. It is also true for Etihad, Gulf and Qatar Airways, aiming to increase

their share in the world aviation market, to make their places of origin aviation

hubs (Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, Doha) in addition to representing their states by

carrying their flags worldwide. Qatar Airways, for example, represents a

micro-state like Qatar by flying airplanes with the country’s name into airports

around the world and the word Qatar appearing in its advertising.70

The strategies adopted by Turkish Airlines for promoting its own

brand, which at the same time promotes the image of Turkey, are similar to the

strategies adopted by the airlines of the Gulf.

To make a comparison, as a part of promoting its own brand, Turkish

Airlines sponsors sports teams, players and events such as FC Barcelona,

68 Gulf Countries: Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Oman and the United Arab Emirates. 69 Turkish Presidency, “Cumhurbaşkanı Gül Omanlı Bakanları Kabul Etti,” Accessed on 24

March 2012, Available [online] at: <http://www.tccb.gov.tr/haberler/170/49018/cumhurbaskani-

gul-omanli-bakanlari-kabul-etti.html> 70 J. E. Peterson, “Qatar and the World: Branding for a Microstate,” Middle East Journal 60, no.4

(Autumn 2006), p.747.

Gulf

Countries 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Import 939 951 1123 1478 2209 2774 3174 4360 2665 3638

Export 1036 1215 1677 2297 3012 3636 5568 12268 5390 6409

Total 1974 2165 2802 3776 5222 6410 8742 16628 8056 10049

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197

Manchester United FC, Kobe Bryant, Caroline Wozniacki and Turkish Airlines

Euroleague71

; Emirates sponsors Arsenal FC, AC Milan, Emirates Cup, Rugby

World Cup.72

Another parallel with Emirates is the role played by the both in

humanitarian relief. Recently, Turkish Airlines has involved in humanitarian

relief in Somalia, Japan and Libya. Compared to Turkish Airlines, which

operates on an ad hoc basis, Emirates is more institutionalized with its Emirates

Foundation specifically for the purpose of humanitarian, philanthropic aid and

services for children in need.73

As Turkish Airlines’ involvement in such areas

contributes to the image of Turkey worldwide as a soft power tool, so does

Emirates’ involvement for Dubai and the United Arab Emirates.

Conclusion

Although majority of its shares do not belong to the Turkish state

anymore, Turkish Airlines is used as a foreign policy tool due to the golden

share that the state retains. As one of Turkey’s soft power tools, Turkish

Airlines helps Turkey’s capacity to attract. Despite the fact that soft power is a

difficult term to measure, the strategies adopted by Turkish Airlines as a

national airline contribute to Turkey’s soft power potential. It promotes

Turkey’s name and flag all over the world and makes İstanbul a central

location through air transportation. In the case of the Middle East, Turkish

Airlines facilitates the goal of Turkish foreign policy that aims to establish a

region of peace and stability through a liberal visa regime and free trade

agreements. The route openings of Turkish Airlines in the Middle East

positively contribute to Turkey’s trade potential with the countries in the

region. As the number of passengers carried by Turkish Airlines increases,

more people from the Middle East visit Turkey and more Turkish citizens visit

the countries in the Middle East. In the medium run, this will positively

contribute to the perception of Arabs and Iranians in Turkey and vice versa. In

sum, Turkish Airlines makes Turkish foreign policy in the region to be more

receptive and credible. In an indirect way, it gets others what Turkey desires as

a soft power tool. Unless Turkey abandons its policy that emphasizes regional

cooperation in favor of a more security-based approach in the near future,

Turkish Airlines will continue to be an important instrument parallel to the

vision of its foreign policy.

71 Turkish Airlines, “Sponsorships,” Accessed on 24 March 2012, Available [online] at:

<http://www.turkishairlines.com/en-TR/sponsorships/index.aspx> 72 Emirates Airlines, “Sponsorships,” Accessed on 24 March 2012, Available [online]

at:<http://www.emirates.com/english/about/sponsorships/sponsorships.aspx> 73 Emirates Airlines, “The Emirates Airline Foundation,” Accessed on 24 March 2012, Available

[online] at: <http://www.emiratesairlinefoundation.org/english/index.aspx>

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