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Ch. 13

Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13. UNEMPLOYMENT INFLATION A closer look…

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Introduction  When people are unemployed, they experience uncertainty… on a larger scale, unemployment causes uncertainty in the American economy as a whole causing it to malfunction

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Page 1: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Ch. 13

Page 2: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

UNEMPLOYMENT

INFLATION

A closer look….

Page 3: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

When people are unemployed, they experience uncertainty…

on a larger scale, unemployment causes uncertainty in the American economy as a whole causing it to malfunction

Page 4: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Unemployment rate:the % of the civilian work force out of a job but actively looking for work

important point: maintaining a low unemp. rate is one of the major goals in stabilizing the economy

Page 5: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Those who have stopped looking for work

Those who work in family businesses without pay

Page 6: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Cyclical: Associated with ups/downs of the business cycle

Characteristics

Up during recessions

Down during recoveries or booms

Page 7: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Structural:

Unemp. caused by changes in the economy such as tech advances or discoveries of natural resources

Characteristics occurs when

workers are replaced by machines

Occurs when workers’ skills no longer match those needed to do a job

Page 8: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Seasonal Caused by changes in the

seasons or weather

CharacteristicsAffects construction workers in the north

Affects farm workers

Page 9: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Frictional Temporary unemp. between jobs

*firings*layoffs*retraining

Characteristics Always exists to some degree

Page 10: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Zero unemployment is NOT achievable or desireable

A rate of 4%-6% is generally considered acceptable

Many who have a job are underemployed…they work in jobs below their skills/training

Page 11: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…
Page 12: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Defined: prolonged rise in the general level of prices

Page 13: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

High inflation is a major economic problem, especially when inflation rates change greatly from year to year.

Purchasing Power Your money buys less

Income If wage increases match the inflation rate, a worker's

real income stays the same. If income is fixed income, or income that does not increase even when prices go up, the economic effects of inflation can be devastating

Page 14: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Economists use price indexes…an average price of a standard group of items and how that avg. price changes over time

Page 15: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

CPI based on a “market basket” of typical consumer products (see chart on p. 339)

1982-84 prices are the base year

Inflation of 1-3% is acceptable

Page 16: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

PPI is similar to CPI, but tracks prices producers charge their customers

(EG, how much a steel producer charges GM for sheet metal)

Page 17: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Food and energy prices are volatile … can and do spike up sharply now and again.

To accurately study long-term trends in the inflation rate, economists exclude food and energy from the

“core inflation rate”

Page 18: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

The worst kind of inflation…inflation out of control

Can be 100-500% monthly…money loses most of its value

Only occurs rarely, but when it does, it can lead to total economic collapse:

e.g. Post WWI Germany

Page 19: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…
Page 20: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

2 main reasons why inflation occurs:

Page 21: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Prices rise as a result of excessive business and consumer demand.

what causes excessive demand???

3 causes:

Page 22: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

If money supply grows too fast, consumers spend add’l money on a limited supply of goods/svcs.

If taxes are reduced, consumers have extra money to spend

If gov’t increases its spending

Page 23: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

The bottom line:

Whatever the causes, excessive demand PULLS prices higher

(“demand – pull” inflation)

Page 24: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Prices go up because producers’ costs increase:

For example:1. higher costs for raw materials

2. Wage demands of labor unions

In general, as costs to produce increase, producers pass along costs to consumers…result is higher prices

Page 25: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…
Page 26: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

The Census Bureau collects data about how many families and households live in poverty.

The Poverty Threshold …is an income

level below which income is insufficient to support a family or household.

The Poverty Rate …is the % of

people in a particular group who live in households below the official poverty line.

Page 27: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Lack of Education The median income of high-school dropouts in 1997 was

$16,818, which was just above the poverty line for a family of four.

Location On average, people who live in the inner city earn less

than people living outside the inner city.Shifts in Family Structure Increased divorce rates result in more single-parent

families and more children living in poverty.Economic Shifts Workers without college-level skills have suffered from

the ongoing decline of manufacturing, and the rise of service and high technology jobs.

Racial and Gender Discrimination Some inequality exists in wages between whites and

minorities, and men and women.

Page 28: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Income Gap A 1999 study showed that the richest 2.7

million Americans receive as much income after taxes as the poorest 100 million Americans…

Differences in skills, effort, and inheritances are key factors in understanding the income gap.

Page 29: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

The Income Gap

Page 30: Unemployment and Inflation Ch. 13.  UNEMPLOYMENT  INFLATION  A closer look…

Productivity is up…but who benefits?