United States Department of Agriculture Foreign …...2018/10/05 · Office of Global Analysis Wheat Page 3 WHEAT OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global production is forecast at 748 million

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United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

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Record Global Grain Consumption Drives Stocks Down

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May 2018

Grain: World Markets and Trade

For 2018/19, global corn production is projected up from last year due to larger crops in China, Brazil, and Argentina. Global consumption outpaces production for the second consecutive year as demand expands in China as well as for countries in South America. Tighter world supplies of barley also underpin growth in global corn use. Trade is forecast higher boosted by greater exportable supplies in major exporting countries including Argentina, Brazil, Ukraine, and Russia. Global ending stocks are set to fall sharply once more, led by declining inventories for China and the United States. Global wheat production is forecast lower than the 2017/18 record. Lower production in Russia, the European Union, and India is only partially offset by larger crops in the United States, Australia, and Canada. Global consumption is projected up based on higher food use, despite marginally weaker feed use. Record global trade is once again projected due to strong import demand from Asia and Africa. Russia is forecast to be the largest exporter. Global stocks are projected down, but are primarily held by China, whose stocks are actually forecast higher. Rice production is forecast at a record, with the most significant increase in Bangladesh. Consumption is forecast to rise marginally with the largest gain in China. Trade is projected up slightly, with import demand rising in Sub-Saharan Africa. India will remain the top exporter, followed by Thailand. Among the major grains, only rice stocks are forecast to rise marginally, as growth in China more than offsets reductions in top exporters.



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Table of Contents

World Markets and Trade: Commodities and Data

Wheat ................................................................................................ 3 Rice ................................................................................................. 13 Coarse Grains ................................................................................. 22 Selected Data Tables ...................................................................... 27 Endnotes ......................................................................................... 52

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains.

FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online) Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports) Export Sales Report Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports) Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Economic Research Service National Agricultural Statistics Service

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WHEAT

OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global production is forecast at 748 million tons, down 11 million from the record set last year, and the third-largest on record. Production among the top exporting countries is projected down a combined total of 6 million tons as smaller crops, particularly in the European Union and Russia, more than offset larger crops in Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the United States. The European Union is down 1 million tons to 150 million with lower area more than offsetting rebounding yields. Russia is down 13 million tons to 72 million (still the third-largest on record) based on lower area and yield. U.S. wheat production is forecast up at 50 million tons as a larger spring wheat crop is expected to more than offset reduced winter wheat output. Wheat area is seen expanding in Argentina and Canada, driving production higher. Australia wheat area is projected down slightly, but average yield is expected to be better than the drought-affected 2017/18 crop. Kazakhstan’s wheat output is projected lower on reduced area. Ukraine is forecast down slightly on lower expected yields. Outside of the major exporting countries, production is also projected lower. China is slightly lower at 129 million tons. India is down 4 million tons to 95 million on reduced area. Pakistan is projected 1 million tons lower at 26 million. Turkey’s crop is down 1 million tons to 20 million, but would still be its second-largest. Brazil’s production is seen rebounding slightly after hitting a 10-year low in 2017/18. Favorable weather in North Africa has led to expectations of larger crops in Algeria, Morocco, and Tunisia. Wheat production in Egypt and Ethiopia is expected the same as last year, while South Africa’s crop is expected to rebound after being affected by drought last year.

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Global consumption is projected at a record in 2018/19, driven mainly by rising food demand. Consumption is forecast to exceed production for the first time in 6 years. Food, Seed, and Industrial (FSI) consumption makes up the bulk of wheat use and exhibits a steady trend upwards over time. In 2018/19, FSI is forecast to rise to a record level with growth seen across nearly all regions of the world. Growth is particularly significant in Southeast Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. In these regions, food consumption of wheat continues to surge with population growth and changing tastes and preferences. Consumers continue to move toward a more wheat-based diet as incomes rise and populations become more urban. In most other regions of the world, wheat consumption is more established and is rising mainly due to population growth. Feed and residual use, on the other hand, is generally more variable and depends on price relationships with other grains. In 2018/19, feed and residual use is forecast nearly unchanged. Feed and residual is projected up in Canada and the United States with larger crops, but lower for the European Union and Russia, where output is seen down from 2017/18. In the European Union, wheat feeding is expected lower on a rebound in barley supplies. Further, 2017/18 EU wheat feeding was unusually high based on problems with crop quality in some Member States, as well as tight competition in export markets.

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Major Exporter Stocks Decline Again

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Global ending stocks for 2018/19 are projected down 6 million tons from the previous year to 264 million. Stocks in the major exporting countries collectively are projected to decrease again in 2018/19 after reaching a 6-year high in 2016/17. With a smaller crop and strong export demand, U.S. ending stocks are forecast down once again this year. Stocks in Australia and Canada are also forecast lower based on strong demand for high quality wheat. Stocks in the European Union are forecast lower with larger exports. Black Sea stocks are forecast lower with smaller crops in all three countries: Russia, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine. Stocks in Argentina are forecast to remain tight despite a larger crop as higher export demand drives use. China remains the largest holder of global wheat stocks, accounting for over half of global stocks. China’s wheat stocks are forecast up almost 12 million tons.

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China Forecast to Hold over Half of Global Wheat Stocks, but Global Stocks Are Down

China Rest Of World


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Selected Importers Global trade is forecast up 2 percent to a record 188 million tons with larger imports expected across many regions. The region showing the largest year-to-year import boost is South Asia, driven by smaller crops in Afghanistan and India as well as rising consumption in Bangladesh. Sub-Saharan Africa shows the next largest growth as long-term consumption trends continue based on rising population and changing tastes and preferences. Similarly, the rising prominence of wheat-based foods in Southeast Asia is supporting higher trade.

• Indonesia is unchanged at 12.5 million tons with wheat feeding expected to be lower due to expanded corn production and feeding. Food consumption of wheat continues to trend higher.

• Egypt is up 500,000 tons to 12.5 million on rising consumption in line with population growth and stagnant production.

• Algeria is down 500,000 tons to 7.5 million on a larger domestic crop.

• Brazil is up 800,000 tons to 7.5 million on continued demand growth and another relatively small domestic crop.

• Bangladesh is up 600,000 tons to 7.0 million based on diets shifting toward greater wheat consumption.

• Japan is down 200,000 tons to 5.8 million on increased use of corn in feed rations.

• Philippines is unchanged at 5.8 million tons in order to drive down stocks from the previous year. U.S. market share is expected to remain unchanged as competition from the Black Sea region continues to put pressure on U.S. exports, despite continued consumption growth.

• European Union is unchanged at 5.5 million tons on steady demand for both high-quality milling and feed wheat.

• Mexico is up 300,000 tons to 5.5 million in light of growing demand and a smaller domestic crop.

• Nigeria is up 300,000 tons to 5.5 million as population growth and urbanization continue to support higher wheat demand.

• South Korea is up 200,000 tons to 4.6 million mainly on rising feed consumption.

• Turkey is down 1.5 million tons to 4.5 million as the country is expecting another relatively large crop and stocks are ample. Further, with flour exports constrained by Iraq’s tariff, slightly less wheat is likely to be imported for re-export.

• Vietnam is up 300,000 tons to 4.5 million on a growing food and feed industry.

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• China is unchanged at 4.0 million tons based on production levels and large stocks. China traditionally imports higher quality wheat to blend with domestic production.

• United States is down 500,000 tons to 3.7 million on rebounding spring wheat production. With high-protein wheat in abundant supply, less is needed from Canada.

• Iraq is down 200,000 tons to 3.6 million with the expectation of improved crop quality. In 2017/18, imports were unusually high in response to the lower quality of the domestic crop.

• Afghanistan is up 900,000 tons to 3.5 million based on a smaller domestic crop.

• Morocco is down 500,000 tons to 3.0 million with larger production.

• Yemen is unchanged at 3.4 million tons as continued economic and political uncertainty constrains growth in the market.

• Saudi Arabia is up 100,000 tons to 3.4 million. Demand in this market has been reduced by expatriates departing the country but is expected to be offset by increased tourism.

• Thailand is up 100,000 tons to 3.1 million due to a rise in consumption. Thailand maintains its restrictions on feed wheat to support domestic corn.

• Uzbekistan is up 200,000 tons to 3.2 million on a smaller crop.

• Sudan is up 100,000 tons to 2.7 million as wheat demand continues to trend higher.

• Kenya is up 100,000 tons to 2.5 million on rapid consumption growth, fueled by growing population, rising incomes, and urbanization.

• Peru is unchanged at 2.1 million tons as growth in domestic consumption is expected to be met with a slightly larger crop.

• United Arab Emirates is down 100,000 tons to 1.8 million as imports of wheat for re-export are expected to slow.

• Colombia is up 100,000 tons to 2.0 million on rising food and feed use.

• Malaysia is up 100,000 tons to 2.0 million on rising food consumption with the popularity of Western-style products.

• India is up 1.0 million tons to 2.0 million on a smaller crop and tighter stocks.

• Ethiopia is up 400,000 tons to 1.9 million on growing demand and relatively tight stocks.

• Tunisia is down 100,000 tons to 1.8 million on a larger crop.

• South Africa is down 300,000 tons to 1.7 million as domestic production rebounds after last year’s drought.


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Selected Exporters

With global trade forecast at another record and exporter supplies still relatively large, competition for market share will continue to be intense in 2018/19. Russia’s exports are forecast to be down from the current year on a smaller crop. However, it is expected to remain the world’s leading wheat exporter, supported by large carryin supplies. The European Union is forecast to be the next largest exporter, taking advantage of growing global trade and reduced competition from Russia. Exports for the United States are projected up only slightly as large competitor supplies will make it difficult for U.S. wheat to expand its share of global trade. Canada is projected to have a larger crop and greater exports, which will provide more competition for U.S. exports in key Latin American and Asian markets.

• Russia is down 3.0 million tons 36.5 million. Production is forecast down substantially from the previous year (still the third-largest on record) and carryin supplies are expected to be abundant.

• The European Union is forecast up 5.0 million tons to 29.0 million. The crop is slightly down, but supplies are still abundant based on large beginning stocks. Exports dipped in 2017/18 based on competition with Russia and greater use of wheat in feed rations. However, the smaller Russian crop this year should provide an opportunity for the European Union to retake market share in major markets in Africa and the Middle East.

• The United States is forecast up 1.0 million tons to 25.0 million. Production is forecast to rebound slightly and total supplies will be ample in light of large stocks.

• Canada is forecast up 700,000 tons to 23.5 million, supported by a large crop and competitive pricing with U.S. wheat.

• Australia is projected up 1.0 million tons at 17.0 million based on a larger crop.

• Ukraine is projected down 200,000 tons to 17.0 million on a smaller crop.

• Argentina is forecast down 800,000 tons to 13.5 million. Marketing year (December-November) exports are forecast up by more than a million tons based on a larger crop. The July-June trade year, however, is forecast lower based on the expected timing of shipments. Argentina’s 2017/18 trade year exports are estimated to be a record,

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supported by large July-November 2017 shipments of wheat from the previous marketing year, as well as strong exports from the new crop in December onwards.

• Kazakhstan is forecast down 500,000 tons to 8.0 million on smaller production and tighter stocks.

• Turkey is projected down 200,000 tons to 6.0 million based on Iraq’s imposition of a duty on imports of Turkish wheat flour.

• Serbia is forecast up 600,000 tons to 1.4 million based on large carryin stocks and a bumper crop.

• China is projected up 200,000 tons to 1.2 million on large supplies.

• Iran is forecast up 200,000 tons to 1.0 million based on efforts to expand wheat flour exports. Iran’s competitiveness in shipping flour to Iraq is improved in light of the duty in place on Turkey’s wheat flour shipments.

• Mexico is forecast unchanged at 1.0 million tons based on a smaller crop.

• Pakistan is projected down 200,000 tons to 1.0 million based on a smaller crop.


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PRICES Domestic: Overall, U.S. wheat prices rose during the month of April, underpinned by continued drought conditions in Hard Red Winter producing regions as well as dry conditions in some other exporting countries. Hard Red Winter (HRW) rose $17/ton to $247, while Soft Red Winter (SRW) jumped $27/ton to $231. Hard Red Spring (HRS) gained $18/ton to $302, underpinned by a slow pace of planting. Soft White Wheat (SWW) gained $11/ton to $233.

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OVERVIEW FOR 2017/18 For 2017/18, global production is lowered slightly this month, but remains a record. Global trade is forecast lower as reduced imports for Brazil, India, and Morocco more than offset an increase for Turkey. Exports are projected lower for Australia and the United States but higher for Russia. The U.S. season-average farm price is raised $0.05 to $4.70 per bushel.


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Global: Overall, exporter prices were up ending in April. Supplies in the Black Sea and Argentina have become tighter, due to strong exports. Meanwhile, concerns of drier conditions in the wheat growing areas of Australia and the United States put upward pressure on export prices. Argentina’s wheat, which only a few months ago was priced at a deep discount to others, remains just below U.S. and Australian quotes. Notably, Black Sea milling quotes were at a premium to EU quotes for much of the past month. Month Ending Argentina Australia Black Sea EU US April $234 $246 $214 $207 $247 March $222 $229 $209 $205 $230 February $195 $236 $207 $207 $255 Month Ending Prices for Major Wheat Exporters Source: IGC *Note on FOB prices: Argentina- 12.0%, up river; Australia- average of APW; Fremantle, Newcatle, and Port Adelaide ; Black Sea- milling; EU- France grade 1, Rouen; US- HRW 11.5% gulf **Please note that the calculation of Australian wheat price has changed since last month. Using an average price for APW is a better representation of Australian wheat prices.

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TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 (1,000 MT)

Country Attribute Previous Current Change ReasonArgentina Exports 14,500 14,300 -200 Slowing pace of trade; prices risingAustralia Exports 17,000 16,000 -1,000 Competition from the Black Sea RegionBrazil Imports 7,000 6,700 -300 Slower-than-expected trade to dateCanada Exports 22,500 22,800 300 Fast pace of shipments, competitive pricingEthiopia Imports 1,700 1,500 -200 Tender cancellation and slow trade to dateIndia Imports 1,500 1,000 -500 Slower-than-expected importsIraq Imports 3,600 3,800 200 Continued fast pace of tradeKazakhstan Exports 8,000 8,500 500 Strong pace of trade

Mexico Exports 1,200 1,000 -200 Slow pace of trade and expectations of a smaller 2018/19 crop

Morocco Imports 4,000 3,500 -500 Slow pace of imports and expectations of record 2018/19 production

Russia Exports 38,500 39,500 1,000 Record crop and rapid pace of exportsTurkey Imports 5,700 6,000 300 Rapid pace of imports from RussiaUnited Arab Emirates Exports 300 100 -200 Lower re-exports of wheat

United States Exports 24,500 24,000 -500 Weak pace of shipments and salesUruguay Exports 300 50 -250 Smaller crop and minimal exports to dateUzbekistan Imports 2,800 3,000 200 Increased consumption and pace of trade


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RICE

OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global rice production in 2018/19 is forecast at a record, up modestly from the prior year on greater area. The largest year-to-year increase is for Bangladesh, which is expected to recover from recent drought and untimely floods. Both area and yield are expected to return to more normal levels. Likewise, Indonesia is projected to produce more with a slightly higher yield. For Thailand, an increase in double-cropping will lead to more production. The United States is forecast to have larger planted area, particularly for long-grain rice. These gains are partially offset by reductions for the two largest-producing countries. Production in China is forecast lower, as reduced minimum support prices lead to lower planted area. Production in India is forecast down on a return to trend yield. The crop in Egypt is expected to be sharply lower on account of anticipated enforcement of the planted area limitations set by the government. World consumption is set to increase slightly by 1 percent. The largest increase in consumption is forecast for China, the top consumer, while the biggest decline is for Thailand where old crop rice for feed and industrial use has dwindled as stocks decline. Food use accounts for the bulk of rice consumption. In some regions where rice per capita consumption has traditionally been high, particularly in Asia, people are consuming less rice as their diets diversify. In contrast, in many African countries, rice consumption is rising especially in urban areas. A limited amount of rice is used for feed among rice producing countries, such as Thailand.


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Global production continues to exceed consumption, and therefore global 2018/19 ending stocks are projected to continue their upward trend. Ending stocks have increased every year for the past 11 years, though the expected increase in 2018/19 is smaller than in recent years. As in recent years, China is primarily responsible for this growth. Its ending stocks are forecast to rise more than 3 million tons. Domestic policies have simultaneously led to burgeoning government reserves while also encouraging lower-priced imports from neighboring countries. Consequently, China has the largest production, imports, and stocks in the world. In contrast, India is forecast to reduce its stocks by 10 percent or 2 million tons. Other top exporters are forecast to see marginal changes in ending stocks, but India’s reduction will keep the trend downward for the top six exporters (India, Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan, Burma, and United States). Collectively, the top six exporters have been decreasing their ending stocks for the last 5 years. In contrast, this year U.S. ending stocks are forecast up sharply by 18 percent on higher production. For 2019, trade is forecast up 1.2 percent to a record of nearly 50 million tons. The largest import demand growth is forecast in Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Middle East, whereas imports for both South and Southeast Asia are expected to decline. India will remain the top exporter, though its year-to-year decline is more than offset by projected gains for Thailand and China. In the Western Hemisphere, U.S. exports are projected to rise, along with Paraguay, whereas Argentina is forecast flat and both Brazil and Uruguay are expected to decline.


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China is forecast to continue to import 5.5 million tons. Despite a smaller crop, total supplies are expected to be up from the prior year, due to larger beginning stocks in the government’s temporary reserve. The sales from government auctions are assumed to continue, which will supply lower-priced multi-year-old crop onto the market. Nonetheless, private sector imports from neighboring countries and government-to-government purchases are expected to continue.

Nigeria is projected to rise 400,000 tons to 3.0 million as demand for imported parboiled rice remains strong. Domestic production is forecast to remain unchanged despite government efforts to see it expand. Meanwhile, consumption will rise as the population grows, urbanization expands, and the economy stabilizes. Although the government has restricted the use of foreign exchange for rice imports, transshipment through nearby countries will likely remain robust.

European Union is forecast up 100,000 tons to 2.0 million on moderate growth. India is the largest supplier to the European Union, but other countries, such as Cambodia, Guyana, and Burma, continue to gain market share through the Everything but Arms initiative. The lowering of the maximum residue level for tricyclozole has decreased India’s market share, while Pakistan’s share has expanded.

Cote d’Ivoire is projected up 150,000 tons to 1.7 million as consumption rises. Despite increases in domestic production, import demand continues to grow for Asian milled and broken rice. The country has a relatively high per capita consumption.

Iran is forecast up 100,000 tons to 1.4 million on growing demand amid slightly lower domestic production. The country has been seeking higher levels of self-sufficiency, but basmati imports are still desired by consumers.

Saudi Arabia is forecast up 50,000 tons to 1.3 million on expected expansion in tourist visits offsetting slight declines in the foreign worker population. Imports are primarily basmati rice, but also other fragrant rice, parboiled long grain, and milled medium grain.


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Senegal is projected up 100,000 tons to 1.3 million, reflecting continued demand for broken rice shipments, primarily from Asia. Senegal is the largest importer of broken rice.

Indonesia is forecast down 600,000 tons to 1.2 million as larger domestic production and stocks dampen the need for imports. Consumption is up only marginally, as consumers continue to shift to consuming more instant noodles and other wheat-based products.

Iraq is expected to increase 50,000 tons to 1.2 million on a smaller crop. The Ministry of Trade continues to import rice for the Public Distribution System through public tenders and direct purchases. Notably, the private sector supplements the consumer-subsidized goods with additional imports.

Philippines is down 300,000 tons to 1.1 million on more abundant domestic supplies. This forecast is subject to change, particularly in light of ongoing government decisions related to Quantitative Restrictions on imports.

Bangladesh is forecast down 700,000 tons to 1.1 million on an expected return to normal production levels. Area and yield are anticipated to rebound following the weather-inflicted losses of the prior year.

South Africa is flat at 1.0 million tons, as the preferred staple of white maize remains readily available.

Malaysia is forecast up 100,000 tons to 1.0 million to rebuild dwindling stocks.

The United Arab Emirates is projected to rise 75,000 tons to 900,000 as the population and tourism industry expand.

Mexico is forecast up 20,000 tons to 880,000 due to higher domestic consumption and continued exports to Venezuela.

United States is forecast to remain at 825,000, primarily fragrant varieties.

Guinea is projected up 25,000 tons to 800,000 as demand for Indian rice expands.

Kenya is up 50,000 tons to 750,000 on account of growing population and dietary shifts toward rice.

Mozambique is forecast up 25,000 tons to 750,000 on strong consumption growth.

Japan remains stable at 685,000 tons to fulfill its WTO minimum import commitments.

Brazil is forecast up 50,000 tons to 700,000 on a smaller crop and steady demand.

Cuba is forecast up 10,000 tons to 550,000 on expected consumption growth.

Haiti is forecast up 20,000 tons to 560,000 due to flat production and slight consumption growth.

South Korea is steady at 410,000 tons to fulfill WTO minimum import commitments.

Sri Lanka is projected flat at 400,000 to maintain an adequate level of stocks.

Venezuela is forecast down 90,000 tons to 300,000 on limited purchases due to financial challenges.


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Canada is forecast up 10,000 tons to 380,000 on increasing consumption trends.

Turkey is projected to remain at 350,000 tons as consumption grows moderately. Though it typically imports medium grain paddy, it has recently shifted to importing more milled rice.

Madagascar is forecast down 200,000 tons to 300,000 as the crop is forecast larger. Consumption is expected up modestly.

Peru is forecast down 30,000 tons to 300,000 on steady production and new import policies. Peru recently raised its import price band to be more in line with prices for locally produced rice.

Jordan is projected up 10,000 tons to 230,000 on moderate growth in consumption.

Russia is expected to stay at 260,000 tons with stable consumption.

Tanzania is projected down 30,000 tons to 230,000 as growing consumption is largely met by a much larger crop.

Egypt is expected up 150,000 tons to 200,000 on the expectation that imported rice will partly offset the reduced available supply amid a significantly smaller crop. Exports are at negligible levels.

Taiwan is forecast at 120,000 tons, reflecting WTO minimum import commitments.

Colombia is forecast up 40,000 tons to 150,000, which will likely primarily be met by filling the tariff rate quota under the Colombia-U.S. Free Trade Agreement.


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Selected Exporters for 2019

India is forecast down 200,000 tons to 13.0 million. The crop is expected to be smaller, while consumption is rising. Notably, import demand from neighboring Bangladesh is projected lower. Typically, it receives a majority of its imports from India. Stocks are forecast to tighten somewhat, but still remain well above desired buffer stock levels. With ample stocks, exports are not expected to be restricted in any way by the government. India is anticipated to be the top exporter for the eighth consecutive year.

Thailand is forecast up 500,000 tons at 11.0 million due to slightly larger production and continued strong demand. Regional demand will remain strong even though Thailand has nearly depleted all of its government-held stocks. The private sector is expected to compensate by holding more pipeline stocks.

Vietnam is forecast unchanged at 6.8 million tons on a larger crop and ample supplies. Though trade with neighboring China is still anticipated to be robust, this exporter is increasingly seeking diversified markets in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. Additionally, it is steadily increasing its fragrant and glutinous exports.

Pakistan is projected to remain at 4.0 million tons due to slightly lower production and continued competition from other major rice exporters in the region. Pakistan exports primarily to neighboring countries, the Middle East, and Africa. China is also a large recipient of Pakistani rice.

Burma is forecast steady at 3.5 million tons with relatively low stocks constraining larger exportable supplies. Burma supplies neighboring markets, but also the European Union and Africa. While Burma was once the top rice exporter, it lost this position in the 1960s. Over the past couple of years, Burma’s shipments have surged, and it is projected to be the fifth-largest exporter.


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United States is forecast up 150,000 tons to 3.3 million as more ample domestic supplies enable the country to regain market share. The United States primarily ships rough and milled rice to the Western Hemisphere, while also reaching medium-grain East Asian and medium- and long-grain Middle Eastern markets. Exports represent roughly half of production.

China is up 200,000 tons to 1.8 million as old-crop rice shipments are expected to continue. Over the past couple of years, low-priced exports have dramatically increased, expanding beyond the neighboring East Asia region to supply Africa and the Middle East. These would be its largest exports since 2003.

Cambodia is projected up 50,000 tons to 1.3 million on a larger crop and continued demand from neighboring countries and the EU. Cambodia can access the EU market duty-free under the Everything but Arms initiative. Exports to neighboring countries are mostly in the form of paddy rice. The country has been expanding its exports, notably in fragrant varieties and parboiled. (Note: the milling rate has been revised to reflect current milling conditions.)

Uruguay is forecast down 60,000 tons to 800,000 on lower production levels and beginning stocks from the previous year. Large rice supplies in the region have kept rice prices down, causing some farmers to exit the sector. Although total exports are down, exports to Mexico and Cuba have been growing the last few years.

Brazil is projected down 50,000 tons to 700,000 due to a slightly smaller crop and increased competition from neighboring exporters. Total rice area in Brazil has declined for 8 of the last 10 years. Farmers are replacing rice with more profitable crops such as corn and soybeans as rice prices have been kept down in the region due to excess supplies.

Paraguay is forecast up 100,000 tons to 650,000 on a large crop and increased focus on new export markets. Roughly 80 percent of Paraguay’s rice exports are destined to Brazil, but Paraguay is actively pursuing new markets.

Guyana is forecast up 10,000 tons to 470,000 on larger production and continued exports to newer markets such as Mexico.

Argentina is forecast to remain at 400,000 tons due to strong regional competition. Argentina has a high cost of production making it less competitive in the international market.

Australia is projected flat at 300,000 tons as another large crop provides sufficient exportable supplies. The country is a significant medium-grain exporter.


R i c e

Page 20

RICE PRICES Global: U.S. FOB export quotes for long-grain milled rice (bagged) rose this month to the highest level in 4 years at $620/ton. South American quotes remained constant since last month with the onset of harvest. Uruguayan quotes remain at $522/ton. Thai quotes rose this month to $446/ton. Interestingly, two origins that tend to have lower quotes, Vietnam and Pakistan, saw their quotes rise higher than Thai quotes this month to $462/ton and $455/ton, respectively. Consistent demand from Indonesia and the Philippines has continued pushing Vietnamese and Pakistani quotes higher. Meanwhile, Indian quotes remained flat rising marginally to $415/ton.

*Note on FOB prices: United States - #2/4 (long grain), Vietnam - 5%, Uruguay - 5%, Thailand - 100B, India - 5%, Pakistan - 5%

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

5/6/2014 5/6/2015 5/6/2016 5/6/2017 5/6/2018

$/M

T

Weekly FOB Export Quotes

United States Thailand Vietnam

India Pakistan Uruguay

OVERVIEW FOR 2017/18 Global rice production rose again to a new record this month, with higher production in South and Southeast Asia as well as Sub-Saharan Africa. Imports are also at a record level, led by higher purchases by Indonesia, which in turn leads to larger exports from Vietnam. Global stocks are down marginally this month with the largest reductions in Southeast Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa.


R i c e

Page 21

TRADE CHANGES IN 2018 (1,000 MT)

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017 (1,000 MT)

Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Burkina Imports 420 550 130 Continued growth in per capita consumption

Indonesia Imports 1,300 1,800 500 Large recent government purchases

Mali Imports 100 250 150 Continued growth in per capita consumption

Sri Lanka Imports 500 400 -100Increased import tariff in response to larger

domestic crop

Vietnam Exports 6,700 6,800 100 Increased demand from Indonesia

Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Burkina Imports 380 500 120 Final Trade Data

China Imports 5,500 5,900 400 Final Trade Data

European Union Imports 1,875 1,985 110 Final Trade Data

Iran Imports 1,600 1,500 -100 Final Trade Data

Madagascar Imports 475 680 205 Final Trade Data

Malaysia Imports 1,000 900 -100 Final Trade Data

Mali Imports 100 200 100 Final Trade Data

Saudi Arabia Imports 1,300 1,195 -105 Final Trade Data

Senegal Imports 1,000 1,100 100 Final Trade Data


C o a r s e G r a i n s

Page 22

COARSE GRAINS

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Other Corn

Global Trade To Expand

MM

T

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

NorthAmerica

SouthAmerica

China Asia* MENA Europeand FSU

2017/18 2018/19

Feed Use To Grow

MM

T

$150

$170

$190

$210

$230

$250

$270

$290

$310

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Global Stocks Australia Feed (FOB)Black Sea Feed (FOB) EU (France) Feed (FOB)

Declining Barley Stocks Prop Up Global Prices*

MM

T

OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global coarse grain production is projected to rise, driven by corn, barley, and sorghum. However, ending stocks are projected to fall. Global corn production is projected up with larger crops for Argentina, Brazil, China, Russia, and Ukraine more than offsetting a reduction for the United States. U.S. production is projected to fall based on smaller planted area in the March Prospective Plantings report and a decline in yield, while other countries expand area responding to relatively strong prices and rising demand for feed and industrial uses. Consumption is expected to outpace production for the second year in a row, driven by the livestock and poultry sectors particularly for Southeast Asia and South America. Greater consumption draws down global ending stocks to their lowest level since 2012/13. World barley production is projected up with gains for the European Union, Australia, and Turkey more than offsetting reductions for Ukraine and Russia. Global consumption is forecast down largely due to Ukraine and Russia reacting to more favorable export prospects. Global trade is projected slightly higher, driven by steady growth for countries in the Middle East and rising demand from China. China is expected to remain the world’s top importer, as the country turns to barley to partially offset a decline in sorghum imports from the United States. Global ending stocks are set to fall to the lowest since 1983/84.

$/M

T

*Note: “Asia” includes all countries in East, Southeast, and South Asia excluding China. Prices are yearly FOB averages dating from October to the following September for the respective year. For 2017/18, this reflects averages from October to April.



Page 23

Selected Importers

China corn is projected up 1.0 million tons to 5.0 million, reflecting continued strong demand for competitively priced feed grains particularly in southern provinces. The release of corn stocks to tame rising domestic corn prices is not expected to limit imports as auctioning stocks has mainly been in the northern provinces. Barley imports are expected to rise 1.3 million tons to 9.5 million, partially offsetting demand for sorghum. Sorghum imports are projected to fall sharply by 3.4 million tons to 1.1 million without supplies from the United States.

Iran corn is projected up 500,000 tons to 9.0 million with strong feed demand.

Mexico corn is projected up 500,000 tons to a record 16.7 million on growing feed demand for the livestock sector. The country mainly produces white corn that is used for food, while importing yellow corn for feed use primarily from the United States. Sorghum is expected to double to 2.0 million tons to satisfy growing feed demand.

Vietnam corn is projected up 1.5 million tons to a record 11.0 million on a lower domestic crop and prospects for continued growth in feed use for the swine and poultry industries.

Saudi Arabia corn is forecast up 500,000 tons to 5.0 million with government efforts to modernize the feed industry by boosting compound feed production drive this growth. Barley imports are expected to remain flat.

Turkey barley is projected to fall 500,000 tons to 100,000 on a large crop and a re-imposition of barley tariffs. Feed demand is still projected to grow.

Japan sorghum is forecast up 800,000 tons to 1.4 million on expected shifts in feed rations and as a result of U.S. sorghum pricing itself back into traditional markets.

Selected Exporters

U.S. corn is projected 4.0 million tons lower to 53.0 million on strong competition primarily from Ukraine and Russia as well as South America. Sorghum is forecast down 1.0 million tons to 4.2 million because of China’s high preliminary anti-dumping duty on U.S. sorghum. China had been the top destination.

Argentina corn is projected to surge 2.0 million tons to a record 27.0 million on a crop expected to match the record harvest of 2 years prior. Rising global demand for feed in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), as well as in Vietnam and Bangladesh is expected to underpin record shipments.

Global sorghum production is forecast higher with gains for Australia, Burkina Faso, Sudan, China, and Nigeria more than offsetting reductions for the United States, Mali, and Niger. Global consumption is expected at the same level as last year led by the United States. Global trade is projected smaller with lower imports for China based on China’s preliminary anti-dumping duty on U.S. sorghum. Global ending stocks fall to the lowest level since 2006/07.



Page 24

Brazil corn is forecast up 2.0 million tons to 31.0 million on expected record second crop production and strong demand in developing countries. Imports are expected at 0.8 million tons, the same level as the previous year, reflecting relatively tight supplies in southern states where animal production is concentrated.

EU corn is projected down 500,000 tons to 1.5 million while imports are lowered by the same amount to 16.0 million on large carryin supplies and greater barley production. Barley exports are forecast up 800,000 tons to 7.0 million reflecting a larger crop and expectations for robust global demand.

Ukraine corn is forecast up 4.0 million tons to a record 24.0 million on expected demand growth in China and MENA in addition to tighter exportable supplies in CY 2018 from major exporters in South America. Barley exports are projected down 900,000 tons to 4.0 million on smaller crop prospects.

Russia corn is forecast up 2.7 million tons to 7.5 million with expected robust demand from MENA and East Asia. Barley is forecast up 100,000 tons to 5.5 million even with a smaller expected crop, due to lower exportable supplies from other major exporters.

Australia barley is forecast up 1.2 million tons to 7.0 million on a large crop and robust demand from Asia, particularly China, and the Middle East. Sorghum is forecast up 900,000 tons to 1.1 million on a larger crop and China demand.

Canada barley is forecast down 500,000 tons to 1.5 million. Despite a larger expected crop, malting barley volumes are projected to be smaller and ample global supplies increase competition for feed barley exports.

Note: For 2018/19, several countries have been added to the PSD system for barley and oats. For barley, Vietnam and Thailand were included to reflect notable growth in feed and malting barley consumption. Respectively, Vietnam recently opened the largest malting facility in Southeast Asia with expectations for growth in domestic beer production. For oats, South Korea and India were added owing to the countries’ growing roles in oats global trade. Oats consumed as food for human consumption has been the primary driver behind recent demand growth for both countries.



Page 25

CORN PRICES Global: Corn prices are mostly unchanged from the previous WASDE. Argentine bids rose $1/ton to $191, while Brazil prices were recorded for the first time since January ending at $193. Black Sea bids and U.S. prices were mostly unchanged at $205 and $195 respectively, reflecting incoming Argentina supplies capping a rise in global prices amidst robust foreign demand.

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

$/M

T

Axis Title

Corn Daily FOB Export Bids

Argentina Up River Black Sea Brazil Paranagua US Gulf

OVERVIEW FOR 2017/18 For 2017/18, global corn production is up fractionally from last month as gains for many Sub-Saharan Africa countries virtually offset large reductions for Brazil and Iran. Global consumption and trade are changed slightly as stepped-up exports for Argentina and the United States offset a reduction for Brazil. The U.S. season-average farm price is up $0.05 to $3.40 per bushel.



Page 26

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 (1,000 MT)

Country Commodity Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Argentina Corn Exports 24,000 25,000 1,000 Expected to displace Brazil exports

Brazil Corn Exports 31,000 29,000 -2,000 Smaller crop

Canada Barley Exports 1,500 2,000 500Strong demand particularly from

China

Barley Imports 7,200 8,200 1,000Stronger purchases to date from

Canada and Australia

Sorghum Imports 5,600 4,500 -1,100 Prohibitive duty on U.S. sorghum

Ecuador Corn Imports 400 150 -250 Slower pace to date

Egypt Corn Imports 10,000 9,400 -600 Larger crop and slower pace to date

European

UnionCorn Imports 16200 16500 300 Customs data implies a strong pace

Jordan Corn Imports 1,000 800 -200Slower pace to date and weaker

demand from poultry feed sector

Libya Barley Imports 1,300 1,000 -300 Slower pace to date

Mexico Sorghum Imports 200 1,000 800

On expectations of redirected sales

and shipments amid China's

prohibitive duty

Tunisia Corn Imports 1,300 1,100 -200 Slower pace to date

United States Corn Exports 56,000 57,000 1,000Stronger sales and shipments, as well

as reduced second crop corn in Brazil

China


All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2018/192017/182016/172018/192017/182016/172018/192017/182016/17

Production

United States (Jun-May) 62.8 47.4 49.6 7.1 5.7 6.5 384.8 371.0 356.6

Other 687.7 711.0 698.2 479.6 482.5 483.0 693.5 665.7 699.5

World Total 750.5 758.4 747.8 486.7 488.2 489.5 1,078.3 1,036.7 1,056.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 702.9 713.3 719.1 472.6 477.7 481.8 722.9 745.6 769.5

World Total 734.7 743.1 750.3 476.8 481.5 485.7 1,036.8 1,064.1 1,086.8

Ending Stocks


Other 223.8 241.4 238.3 135.3 142.7 143.4 169.2 139.4 116.4

World Total 255.9 270.5 264.3 136.8 143.8 144.7 227.5 194.8 159.1

TY Imports


Other 175.9 176.3 181.2 44.5 45.6 45.7 138.1 145.4 152.0

World Total 179.2 180.5 184.9 45.3 46.4 46.5 139.6 146.7 153.3

TY Exports


Other 152.7 159.7 162.6 44.7 45.7 46.2 86.2 93.3 104.6

World Total 182.2 183.7 187.6 48.1 48.9 49.5 141.7 150.3 157.6

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

TY Exports

13,50014,30012,2758,7504,2001,675 Argentina

17,00016,00022,06115,78016,57518,339 Australia

23,50022,80020,23522,11824,88322,156 Canada

1,2001,000748729803889 China

29,00024,00027,31934,68635,45532,032 European Union

8,0008,5007,2507,6005,5078,000 Kazakhstan

36,50039,50027,80925,54322,80018,609 Russia

1,4008001,0438805931,198 Serbia

6,0006,2006,1775,6054,1354,293 Turkey

17,00017,20018,10717,43111,2699,755 Ukraine

9,4589,3549,72311,07312,65714,004 Others

162,558159,654152,747150,195138,877130,950 Subtotal

25,00024,00029,48821,81123,02331,529 United States

187,558183,654182,235172,006161,900162,479 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,5002,6002,7002,7002,0002,050 Afghanistan

7,5008,0008,4148,1537,2577,484 Algeria

7,0006,4005,5564,7203,9293,354 Bangladesh

7,5006,7007,7885,9225,8697,061 Brazil

4,0004,0004,4103,4761,9266,773 China

2,0001,9002,1102,0321,6271,746 Colombia

12,50012,00011,23611,92511,30010,150 Egypt

5,5005,5005,2866,9165,9793,976 European Union

12,50012,50010,17610,0457,4777,391 Indonesia

3,6003,8002,4472,2182,2533,246 Iraq

5,8006,0005,9115,7155,8786,123 Japan

2,4502,3501,7741,6341,5071,473 Kenya

4,6004,4004,6674,4203,9424,288 Korea, South

5,5005,2005,3704,8054,4714,639 Mexico

3,0003,5005,1914,5034,0863,928 Morocco

5,5005,2004,9724,4104,2444,580 Nigeria

2,1002,1001,9611,8791,9221,853 Peru

5,8005,8005,7044,9185,0543,476 Philippines

3,4003,3003,7162,9313,4993,441 Saudi Arabia

2,7002,6002,4582,0212,6322,664 Sudan

3,1003,0003,6894,8723,4921,759 Thailand

4,5006,0004,5424,4055,9604,147 Turkey

3,2003,0002,7002,6622,2302,224 Uzbekistan

4,5004,2005,5463,0702,2922,157 Vietnam

3,4003,4003,2783,3323,2453,425 Yemen

56,03152,87154,25751,92350,74351,970 Others

181,181176,321175,859165,607154,814155,378 Subtotal

2,6773,1333,0793,3453,0972,316 Unaccounted

3,7004,2003,2973,0543,9894,785 United States

187,558183,654182,235172,006161,900162,479 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

Production

19,50018,00018,40011,30013,93010,500 Argentina

24,00021,50030,36322,27523,74325,303 Australia

32,50030,00032,14027,64729,44237,589 Canada

129,000129,770128,845130,190126,208121,930 China

8,4508,4508,1008,1008,3008,250 Egypt

150,400151,581145,369160,480156,912144,583 European Union

95,00098,51087,00086,53095,85093,506 India

14,50014,00014,50014,50013,00014,000 Iran

14,00014,80214,98513,74812,99613,941 Kazakhstan

8,2007,0922,7318,0645,1166,934 Morocco

25,50026,67425,63325,08625,97924,211 Pakistan

72,00084,99272,52961,04459,08052,091 Russia

20,00021,00017,25019,50015,25018,750 Turkey

26,50026,98126,79127,27424,75022,278 Ukraine

6,0006,9006,9407,2007,1506,800 Uzbekistan

52,63850,75856,08056,90355,33555,878 Others

698,188711,010687,656679,841673,041656,544 Subtotal

49,56847,37162,83356,11755,14758,105 United States

747,756758,381750,489735,958728,188714,649 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,60010,45010,35010,25010,0509,850 Algeria

12,20012,00012,20011,10010,70011,400 Brazil

9,6009,00010,8287,9729,1189,454 Canada

120,000117,000118,500112,000116,500116,500 China

20,00019,70019,40019,20019,10018,500 Egypt

129,500130,900128,000129,850124,677117,300 European Union

98,00097,31097,12088,55193,10293,848 India

12,50012,10010,0009,1007,3657,165 Indonesia

17,10016,90016,75016,60016,40016,250 Iran

10,50010,30010,2009,8009,0009,000 Morocco

25,30025,00024,50024,40024,50024,100 Pakistan

42,00045,00040,00037,00035,50034,100 Russia

18,00018,00017,40018,00017,50017,750 Turkey

9,6009,90010,30012,20011,50011,500 Ukraine

9,7009,7009,3009,3508,9008,400 Uzbekistan

174,496170,025168,102160,931154,100150,622 Others

722,673713,982707,085678,999672,726663,198 Subtotal

31,21729,82831,75331,94231,32834,260 United States

753,890743,810738,838710,941704,054697,458 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,2355,3356,8355,1787,10110,398 Canada

138,619126,819111,04997,04276,10565,274 China

10,47413,07410,89315,55712,6979,938 European Union

10,35411,7549,80014,54017,22017,830 India

5,4264,7764,5446,8564,2814,317 Morocco

5,72211,72210,8305,6076,2875,177 Russia

4,6274,1271,3273,1182,7673,129 Turkey

57,89663,73168,48469,79272,29062,963 Others

238,353241,338223,762217,690198,748179,026 Subtotal

25,97729,12632,13126,55220,47716,065 United States

264,330270,464255,893244,242219,225195,091 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

May

2018/19

TY Imports none

9,839 North America 9,004 8,373 9,173 9,900 9,700

1,833 Central America 1,834 1,834 1,993 2,000 2,075

14,678 South America 13,217 13,437 16,276 15,210 16,260

3,976 European Union - 28 5,979 6,916 5,286 5,500 5,500

1,858 Other Europe 1,760 1,838 1,986 1,850 1,875

7,528 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,678 7,402 7,338 8,190 8,720

28,447 Middle East 26,928 24,499 22,774 25,130 24,370

25,246 North Africa 25,430 27,873 28,334 26,850 26,275

20,345 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,894 22,810 22,153 25,955 27,170

19,465 East Asia 14,114 16,226 17,355 16,920 16,865

6,722 South Asia 8,164 8,823 15,469 11,171 13,691

17,176 Southeast Asia 20,576 25,483 27,761 28,350 28,830

3,050 Others 3,225 3,147 3,258 3,495 3,550

160,163 Total 158,803 168,661 179,156 180,521 184,881

Production none

99,051 North America 88,259 87,475 98,838 80,871 85,338

19,803 South America 24,587 21,601 28,835 25,137 27,654

144,583 European Union - 28 156,912 160,480 145,369 151,581 150,400

4,228 Other Europe 4,088 4,359 4,749 4,139 4,930


41,208 Middle East 35,414 42,405 38,791 41,525 40,860

19,661 North Africa 17,029 19,976 14,081 19,246 21,100


123,248 East Asia 127,650 131,515 130,148 131,198 130,383

125,900 South Asia 130,150 119,663 120,837 133,099 127,491

25,751 Oceania 24,157 22,689 30,822 21,909 24,460

188 Others 187 199 181 136 131

714,649 Total 728,188 735,958 750,489 758,381 747,756

Domestic Consumption none

50,364 North America 47,296 46,914 50,481 46,578 48,717

27,321 South America 27,065 27,715 28,645 28,340 29,010

117,300 European Union - 28 124,677 129,850 128,000 130,900 129,500

4,857 Other Europe 4,875 4,940 5,045 5,050 5,140


58,014 Middle East 57,257 58,910 59,061 60,585 60,730

42,475 North Africa 42,726 43,666 44,550 45,075 45,775


130,201 East Asia 129,523 125,274 132,255 130,495 133,785

132,024 South Asia 132,399 128,915 139,220 140,531 141,967

16,610 Southeast Asia 19,295 23,131 26,375 27,030 28,215

8,280 Oceania 8,564 8,505 8,740 8,220 8,655

3,480 Others 3,574 3,582 3,834 3,970 4,045

689,999 Total 699,340 708,246 734,703 743,113 750,313

Ending Stocks none

26,988 North America 28,290 32,390 39,842 35,287 31,908

6,397 South America 8,376 3,990 4,735 3,713 3,711

9,938 European Union - 28 12,697 15,557 10,893 13,074 10,474

1,009 Other Europe 1,321 1,603 1,970 1,929 2,014


19,284 Middle East 20,024 22,118 18,582 17,597 14,962

14,045 North Africa 13,216 16,628 13,951 14,157 15,072


68,314 East Asia 79,217 100,404 114,270 130,263 141,879

21,661 South Asia 23,109 21,026 16,656 18,839 16,544

3,491 Southeast Asia 3,921 5,413 5,857 6,142 5,697

4,861 Oceania 4,960 4,115 4,610 4,489 4,509

424 Others 445 418 438 414 420

195,091 Total 219,225 244,242 255,893 270,464 264,330

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

TY Exports

400400392527310494 Argentina

325325187165323404 Australia

700750594641895852 Brazil

3,5003,5003,3501,3001,7351,688 Burma

1,3001,2501,1501,0501,1501,000 Cambodia

1,8001,6001,173368262393 China

300300369270251284 European Union

470460440431486446 Guyana

13,00013,20012,56010,04011,04611,588 India

4,0004,0003,6424,1004,0003,700 Pakistan

650550500557371380 Paraguay

170160175198163187 Russia

11,00010,50011,6159,8679,77910,969 Thailand

8008601,051996718957 Uruguay

6,8006,8006,4885,0886,6066,325 Vietnam

9911,1051,0221,2091,2381,568 Others

46,20645,76044,70836,80739,33341,235 Subtotal

3,3003,1503,3843,3733,3812,947 United States

49,50648,91048,09240,18042,71444,182 World Total

none

TY Imports

1,1001,8002,348355981,335 Bangladesh

650550525450400350 Benin

700650768786363586 Brazil

600550500420350330 Burkina

700650600500500525 Cameroon

5,5005,5005,9004,6005,1504,450 China

1,6501,5001,3501,3001,150950 Cote d'Ivoire

2,0001,9001,9851,8161,7861,556 European Union

680700650700580590 Ghana

800775700650420520 Guinea

1,2001,8003501,0501,3501,225 Indonesia

1,4001,3001,5001,1001,3001,400 Iran

1,1501,1001,0609301,0001,080 Iraq

685685679685688669 Japan

750700675500450440 Kenya

1,0009009008231,051989 Malaysia

880860910731719685 Mexico

750725710625575590 Mozambique

600600534530530520 Nepal

3,0002,6002,5002,1002,1003,200 Nigeria

1,1001,4001,2008002,0001,800 Philippines

1,3001,2501,1951,2601,6011,459 Saudi Arabia

1,2501,1501,100980990960 Senegal

1,0001,0001,054954912910 South Africa

900825750670580560 United Arab Emirates

14,34514,11914,08511,89412,23812,707 Others

45,69045,58944,52836,88939,38140,386 Subtotal

2,9912,4962,7772,5232,5763,041 Unaccounted

825825787768757755 United States

49,50648,91048,09240,18042,71444,182 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2017/18 is calendar year 2018, 2016/17 is calendar year 2017, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

Milled Production

34,70032,65034,57834,50034,50034,390 Bangladesh

8,0248,0758,3837,2108,4658,300 Brazil

13,40013,20012,65012,16012,60011,957 Burma

5,5005,3995,2564,9314,9254,960 Cambodia

144,500145,989144,953145,770144,560142,530 China

109,000110,000109,698104,408105,482106,646 India

37,30037,00036,85836,20035,56036,300 Indonesia

7,6007,5867,7807,6707,8497,931 Japan

3,8503,9724,1974,3274,2414,230 Korea, South

3,3303,3103,4802,8633,1903,361 Nepal

3,7803,7803,7803,9413,7823,038 Nigeria

7,4007,5006,8496,8027,0036,798 Pakistan

12,35012,30011,68611,00011,91511,858 Philippines

21,00020,37019,20015,80018,75020,460 Thailand

28,67528,58027,40027,58428,16628,161 Vietnam

42,63942,85942,80441,95341,67241,950 Others

483,048482,570479,552467,119472,660472,870 Subtotal

6,4525,6597,1176,1337,1066,117 United States

489,500488,229486,669473,252479,766478,987 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,60035,20035,00035,10035,10034,900 Bangladesh

8,1508,1008,0007,9007,9257,900 Brazil

9,9009,90010,00010,40010,50010,450 Burma

4,2004,1004,0003,9003,9004,000 Cambodia

145,000142,700141,448140,799140,334139,770 China

4,2004,4004,3003,9004,0004,000 Egypt

98,00097,35095,77693,56898,24498,727 India

38,20038,00037,80037,85038,30038,500 Indonesia

8,4008,4508,5008,6008,6008,380 Japan

4,5004,8704,7064,2124,1974,422 Korea, South

3,9303,9104,0103,3533,7703,831 Nepal

6,9006,7006,5506,4006,1005,800 Nigeria

13,40013,20012,90012,90013,00012,850 Philippines

10,00011,17012,0009,10010,00010,600 Thailand

22,20022,00022,00022,50022,00022,000 Vietnam

69,24467,64065,63262,45061,52661,424 Others

484,756477,380478,486464,897469,578471,902 Subtotal

3,8743,8114,1713,5804,2843,978 United States

488,630481,191482,657468,477473,862475,880 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,9951,8958491,2051,592966 Bangladesh

97,28993,98986,50078,50069,00060,500 China

18,00020,00020,55018,40017,80022,800 India

4,0113,7132,9153,5094,1115,501 Indonesia

2,0972,2622,4912,5522,8213,007 Japan

2,5462,4961,9962,1102,4101,695 Philippines

3,4383,1884,2388,40311,27011,999 Thailand

14,02315,18315,77516,61017,43314,592 Others

143,399142,726135,314131,289126,437121,060 Subtotal

1,2851,0881,4621,4751,5521,025 United States

144,684143,814136,776132,764127,989122,085 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

May

2018/19

TY Imports none

1,801 North America 1,838 1,855 2,061 2,055 2,085

892 Caribbean 1,154 1,109 1,132 1,220 1,265

1,814 South America 1,686 2,015 1,915 1,784 1,710

132 Other Europe 128 138 124 130 130

628 Former Soviet Union - 12 572 452 573 580 605

6,711 Middle East 6,464 5,683 6,390 6,455 6,785

470 North Africa 396 483 459 490 650


6,044 East Asia 6,686 6,097 7,528 7,140 7,140

2,576 South Asia 1,693 945 4,009 3,250 2,575

5,023 Southeast Asia 5,677 3,933 3,676 5,255 4,460

1,556 European Union 1,786 1,816 1,985 1,900 2,000

41,141 Total 40,138 37,657 45,315 46,414 46,515

Production none

6,248 North America 7,285 6,289 7,292 5,847 6,657

1,054 Caribbean 979 865 981 1,021 1,018

16,519 South America 16,783 15,633 16,698 16,588 16,420

1,937 European Union - 28 1,954 2,050 2,078 2,037 2,004


2,417 Middle East 2,245 2,392 2,284 2,446 2,360

4,776 North Africa 4,553 4,044 4,837 4,340 3,342


157,701 East Asia 159,486 160,179 159,674 160,235 158,688

154,255 South Asia 153,259 152,213 156,927 156,296 157,386

117,102 Southeast Asia 115,592 111,401 116,821 120,670 122,096

478,987 Total 479,766 473,252 486,669 488,229 489,500


5,212 North America 5,517 4,807 5,440 5,093 5,186

1,194 Central America 1,196 1,296 1,294 1,280 1,355

1,981 Caribbean 2,029 1,975 2,066 2,173 2,233

14,790 South America 14,928 14,967 14,901 15,203 15,119

3,250 European Union - 28 3,400 3,550 3,600 3,650 3,700


9,140 Middle East 9,000 8,449 8,788 8,945 9,085

4,452 North Africa 4,407 4,279 4,724 4,880 4,692


156,184 East Asia 156,400 156,433 157,818 159,145 161,125

143,331 South Asia 143,183 138,767 141,641 143,735 144,930

103,113 Southeast Asia 102,642 101,770 103,895 103,596 103,181

471,532 Total 471,780 466,512 476,793 481,501 485,698

Ending Stocks none

1,184 North America 1,717 1,602 1,634 1,298 1,550

201 Central America 219 267 276 262 261

264 Caribbean 223 231 286 342 382

1,852 South America 2,211 1,610 1,858 1,955 1,801

1,163 European Union - 28 1,151 1,183 1,183 1,170 1,174

1,777 Middle East 1,742 1,214 1,133 1,034 1,034

610 North Africa 924 924 1,426 1,326 606


64,694 East Asia 73,483 83,126 91,060 97,877 100,770

24,920 South Asia 21,531 21,576 23,160 23,862 21,793

22,012 Southeast Asia 21,036 17,973 11,819 11,971 12,644

241 Oceania 223 77 208 229 214

122,085 Total 127,989 132,764 136,776 143,814 144,684




World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

TY Exports

30,00528,05526,10525,29021,00316,630 Argentina

8,8256,62510,2656,3897,2867,004 Australia

31,01529,01519,79735,41521,95422,059 Brazil

4,8005,0504,9974,6933,6045,482 Canada

8,8058,5058,17410,97515,0687,841 European Union

2,0152,0151,7672,6633,0312,718 Paraguay

13,06010,2659,2588,4659,1557,074 Russia

1,5507502,4471,5933,0011,799 Serbia

2,1101,9102,1357647622,128 South Africa

28,21025,11026,86821,45724,20824,125 Ukraine

8,4758,2758,0487,9588,37511,706 Others

138,870125,575119,861125,662117,447108,566 Subtotal

57,33563,46561,79859,23056,41956,776 United States

196,205189,040181,659184,892173,866165,342 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,5755,3254,4735,2244,8634,946 Algeria

2,0001,5001,1761,042482488 Bangladesh

1,5501,3513,1772,1231,0231,184 Brazil

2,1301,8301,5741,7201,7071,621 Chile

16,10017,20016,05517,49925,69912,445 China

5,5355,3355,0344,8244,7474,795 Colombia

1,4001,4001,2941,3511,2021,011 Dominican Republic

9,7209,4208,7928,7957,9388,840 Egypt

16,55517,25515,90114,2879,40816,355 European Union

11,90011,40010,0008,3008,0006,600 Iran

1,6851,6851,9251,5051,6012,072 Israel

17,57016,77016,99917,07016,72617,501 Japan

1,5001,5001,5881,7131,4481,443 Jordan

9,8359,8159,31910,21310,27410,515 Korea, South

1,8001,8001,7641,9051,6851,493 Libya

4,0003,5003,5284,0803,2213,485 Malaysia

18,81017,33015,23814,88111,64011,312 Mexico

2,9023,0022,5263,1822,2172,858 Morocco

3,5603,4103,3383,0832,8632,336 Peru

13,01012,60011,83013,99211,11511,332 Saudi Arabia

4,1004,1004,2674,7813,9384,346 Taiwan

1,7751,7001,7451,7131,5251,449 Tunisia

2,3052,6051,7177132,7191,977 Turkey

1,6001,6001,2401,7382,4332,627 Venezuela

11,1759,6758,6508,6796,7524,353 Vietnam

19,08818,82321,58321,80920,88418,801 Others

187,180181,931174,733176,222166,110156,185 Subtotal

5,5253,8293,5044,6894,4605,834 Unaccounted

3,5003,2803,4223,9813,2963,323 United States

196,205189,040181,659184,892173,866165,342 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

Production

48,55339,79148,56938,43936,78235,665 Argentina

13,75610,89616,62712,54412,60512,158 Australia

98,95789,792101,57568,64987,67182,634 Brazil

27,37526,20526,62325,76922,10728,817 Canada

232,805223,391226,867231,487222,405225,062 China

14,18013,96015,09415,14914,44213,078 Ethiopia

154,440153,077152,815152,665170,670159,212 European Union

44,10045,20043,47038,70143,07643,216 India

11,90011,40010,90010,5009,0009,100 Indonesia

31,89032,62633,26332,37832,68932,065 Mexico

19,30019,05019,11119,05218,34114,633 Nigeria

44,92541,71240,76537,42740,38635,735 Russia

14,55813,95018,1168,67511,11015,518 South Africa

13,05112,97110,77614,1819,31113,001 Turkey

38,75034,07139,21733,38739,38940,022 Ukraine

162,757164,339162,516156,405164,317155,996 Others

971,297932,431966,304895,408934,301915,912 Subtotal

369,802384,255402,612367,009377,234367,089 United States

1,341,0991,316,6861,368,9161,262,4171,311,5351,283,001 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

16,55314,22416,04414,32114,23213,695 Argentina

68,99265,46164,03259,82360,00958,053 Brazil

23,23523,44522,08421,25221,29022,353 Canada

267,830262,180252,948238,790228,709223,196 China

16,97816,77716,02715,80314,83214,122 Egypt

14,08514,13515,14215,21513,68013,424 Ethiopia

163,070161,520160,840157,125162,592164,401 European Union

44,72544,62542,62540,20140,47437,615 India

16,52015,82013,82014,02012,02011,520 Iran

17,91417,11117,24617,25716,87417,570 Japan

51,24049,10046,84544,71542,17540,935 Mexico

19,50019,25019,45618,99018,13214,668 Nigeria

32,12531,81532,07529,71531,13928,219 Russia

15,71115,03112,89114,02112,95113,326 Turkey

14,57513,57513,04012,2799,4528,253 Vietnam

260,473257,308257,905250,025250,468242,325 Others

1,049,5861,026,2911,028,275945,809965,304931,471 Subtotal

328,742328,830327,479312,597311,339305,044 United States

1,378,3281,355,1211,355,7541,258,4061,276,6431,236,515 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,4684,4686,6013,1794,2743,169 Argentina

9,9599,75914,4927,0108,23514,265 Brazil

4,5594,6095,6394,9713,5134,712 Canada

61,28580,280101,949112,086101,91782,544 China

14,73715,61715,31015,57718,88515,565 European Union

3,5205,5606,0095,8894,8323,487 Mexico

2,0711,9862,9973,1713,2913,638 Ukraine

37,99442,47345,94547,95352,04247,352 Others

140,593164,752198,942199,836196,989174,732 Subtotal

44,85357,92362,16848,11246,94834,313 United States

185,446222,675261,110247,948243,937209,045 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

May

2018/19

TY Imports none

15,349 North America 16,649 19,953 19,579 21,870 22,920

2,923 Central America 3,456 3,938 3,799 3,950 4,000

2,330 Caribbean 2,444 2,597 2,659 2,840 2,840

13,180 South America 13,355 13,854 14,977 14,206 15,140

16,355 European Union - 28 9,408 14,287 15,901 17,255 16,555


26,241 Middle East 27,608 29,730 30,817 32,816 33,426

19,586 North Africa 18,228 20,819 19,300 21,247 21,772


44,881 East Asia 56,684 49,597 46,732 47,935 47,615

12,888 Southeast Asia 14,764 15,853 14,153 14,970 17,255

1,834 Others 1,896 2,919 2,762 3,296 3,996

159,508 Total 169,406 180,203 178,155 185,211 190,680

Production none

427,971 North America 432,030 425,156 462,498 443,086 429,067

133,041 South America 139,743 122,016 163,180 143,191 161,815

159,212 European Union - 28 170,670 152,665 152,815 153,077 154,440

8,992 Other Europe 10,927 9,271 11,328 7,181 9,276


21,605 Middle East 17,036 21,605 18,083 20,582 20,025

11,581 North Africa 10,927 12,289 9,263 11,177 12,032


227,452 East Asia 225,083 234,030 229,507 225,952 235,474

54,406 South Asia 54,388 50,412 56,367 58,737 58,038

31,006 Southeast Asia 30,949 31,992 34,050 34,218 34,243

12,804 Oceania 13,283 13,236 17,244 11,376 14,388

5,046 Others 4,760 4,392 4,927 4,938 4,996

1,283,001 Total 1,311,535 1,262,417 1,368,916 1,316,686 1,341,099


368,332 North America 374,804 378,564 396,408 401,375 403,217

95,335 South America 98,737 98,552 103,104 104,564 111,286

164,401 European Union - 28 162,592 157,125 160,840 161,520 163,070

7,803 Other Europe 8,347 8,551 8,917 8,062 8,197


45,993 Middle East 45,556 51,650 50,428 53,761 55,121

28,059 North Africa 30,168 32,142 31,043 32,602 33,403


257,356 East Asia 262,487 272,977 286,375 295,844 302,357

49,151 South Asia 52,267 53,492 56,559 60,023 61,120

39,117 Southeast Asia 41,253 44,041 45,968 46,650 48,785

5,764 Oceania 5,846 6,429 6,829 5,466 5,391

10,060 Others 10,340 10,897 11,328 11,676 11,936

1,228,719 Total 1,260,368 1,276,149 1,330,499 1,350,207 1,372,268

Ending Stocks none

42,512 North America 55,293 58,972 73,816 68,092 52,932

21,659 South America 15,927 13,535 24,325 16,941 19,015

15,565 European Union - 28 18,885 15,577 15,310 15,617 14,737

818 Other Europe 1,102 963 1,627 866 1,200


9,032 Middle East 8,999 9,200 5,912 5,834 4,269

5,703 North Africa 5,412 5,875 3,695 3,506 3,997


86,556 East Asia 105,819 116,445 106,160 84,123 64,785

4,039 South Asia 5,259 3,188 4,151 4,516 3,940

4,324 Southeast Asia 4,149 4,997 3,870 3,193 3,291

1,145 Oceania 1,665 1,620 2,057 1,112 1,154

961 Others 1,123 1,141 1,198 1,213 1,098

209,045 Total 243,937 247,948 261,110 222,675 185,446




World Corn Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

TY Exports

27,00025,00022,95121,67818,44812,846 Argentina

31,00029,00019,79435,38221,90922,041 Brazil

1,5501,3001,5381,7673951,939 Canada

1,5002,0002,1711,9494,0272,404 European Union

1,5001,3001,5391,559784501 Mexico

2,0002,0001,7572,6623,0122,714 Paraguay

7,5004,8005,5894,6913,2134,194 Russia

1,5007002,4141,5602,9641,780 Serbia

2,1001,9002,1107597462,104 South Africa

24,00020,00021,33416,59519,66120,004 Ukraine

4,9305,2855,0045,1486,4009,612 Others

104,58093,28586,20193,75081,55980,139 Subtotal

53,00057,00055,53551,15646,83150,691 United States

157,580150,285141,736144,906128,390130,830 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,0004,7003,9154,3294,1164,156 Algeria

2,0001,5001,1761,042482488 Bangladesh

2,0001,7001,4841,5391,5161,456 Chile

5,0004,0002,4643,1745,5163,277 China

5,2005,0004,7484,4584,4964,436 Colombia

1,0001,000964853886928 Cuba

1,4001,4001,2941,3511,2021,011 Dominican Republic

9,7009,4008,7738,7227,8398,791 Egypt

16,00016,50015,24113,7948,90816,014 European Union

1,0001,0009511,027881767 Guatemala

9,0008,5007,8006,6006,1005,500 Iran

1,4001,4001,5151,1521,2941,651 Israel

15,00015,00015,16915,20114,65715,121 Japan

1,0001,2001,000200600350 Kenya

9,7009,7009,23110,12110,16810,406 Korea, South

4,0003,5003,5284,0803,2213,485 Malaysia

16,70016,20014,56914,01111,34110,949 Mexico

2,6002,5002,1642,2241,9412,349 Morocco

3,4003,3003,1692,9852,7412,232 Peru

5,0004,5003,4203,5832,9042,684 Saudi Arabia

4,0004,0004,1634,6563,8104,179 Taiwan

1,1001,1001,2441,0171,042993 Tunisia

2,2002,0001,4215672,3771,381 Turkey

1,6001,6001,2381,7382,4332,626 Venezuela

11,0009,5008,5008,6006,7004,300 Vietnam

15,97815,20319,00919,53317,62416,160 Others

151,978145,403138,150136,557124,795125,690 Subtotal

4,3023,5822,1366,5672,7864,413 Unaccounted

1,3001,3001,4501,782809727 United States

157,580150,285141,736144,906128,390130,830 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

Production

41,00033,00041,00029,50029,75026,000 Argentina

96,00087,00098,50067,00085,00080,000 Brazil

15,30014,10013,88913,68011,60614,191 Canada

225,000215,891219,552224,632215,646218,489 China

6,4006,4006,0006,0005,9605,800 Egypt

7,1007,0007,3007,3007,2356,492 Ethiopia

61,00062,09761,73958,74875,73464,931 European Union

26,00027,15025,90022,57024,17024,259 India

11,90011,40010,90010,5009,0009,100 Indonesia

26,00026,80027,57525,97125,48022,880 Mexico

11,00011,00010,75510,56210,0598,423 Nigeria

8,3008,0408,1316,9707,6717,532 Philippines

19,00013,22915,30513,16811,32511,635 Russia

14,00013,50017,5518,21410,62914,925 South Africa

30,00024,11527,96923,33328,45030,900 Ukraine

101,434104,980101,47099,159103,59498,861 Others

699,434665,702693,536627,307661,309644,418 Subtotal

356,632370,960384,778345,506361,091351,272 United States

1,056,0661,036,6621,078,314972,8131,022,400995,690 World Total

none

Total Consumption

12,0009,80011,2009,3009,3008,800 Argentina

65,50062,00060,50057,50057,00055,000 Brazil

14,20014,20013,10012,38112,82012,675 Canada

249,000241,000232,000217,500202,000208,000 China

16,10015,90015,10014,85013,90013,200 Egypt

76,50076,00074,00073,50077,88076,796 European Union

26,50026,50024,90023,55022,35019,600 India

12,50012,20012,30012,10012,20011,900 Indonesia

10,3009,8009,3008,8007,4006,800 Iran

15,10015,10015,20015,20014,60015,000 Japan

43,20042,30040,40037,30034,55031,700 Mexico

11,30011,30011,20010,6009,9008,500 Nigeria

11,4008,7009,5508,7008,1007,100 Russia

12,60012,30013,12510,97011,65011,500 South Africa

14,40013,40012,90012,2009,4008,200 Vietnam

178,893175,039168,170165,796165,381160,571 Others

774,507750,809746,900670,780685,839662,087 Subtotal

317,261318,530313,854298,785301,792292,958 United States

1,091,7681,069,3391,060,754969,565987,631955,045 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,4863,4815,2761,4592,8981,408 Argentina

9,6199,41914,0196,7697,84213,972 Brazil

2,4242,3742,5742,4501,5181,597 Canada

60,50479,554100,713110,774100,47281,323 China

7,1258,1257,5286,7199,6266,891 European Union

1,7841,8081,8321,9361,8601,860 Korea, South

2,8184,8185,4185,2134,0902,603 Mexico

26,65229,83431,91230,52234,43731,002 Others

116,412139,413169,272165,842162,743140,656 Subtotal

42,73455,43558,25344,12343,97431,292 United States

159,146194,848227,525209,965206,717171,948 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

May

2018/19

TY Imports none

12,354 North America 13,686 16,742 16,846 18,700 18,500

2,922 Central America 3,456 3,938 3,799 3,950 4,000

12,025 South America 12,042 12,462 13,613 12,970 13,765

16,014 European Union - 28 8,908 13,794 15,241 16,500 16,000


13,438 Middle East 15,157 14,886 17,159 19,400 20,600

17,101 North Africa 15,622 16,873 16,775 18,500 19,200


33,057 East Asia 34,198 33,186 31,119 32,750 33,710

12,768 Southeast Asia 14,680 15,739 13,965 14,755 17,055

2,330 Caribbean 2,444 2,597 2,657 2,840 2,840

1,468 Others 1,588 2,378 2,178 2,625 3,540

126,417 Total 125,604 138,339 139,600 146,703 153,278

Production none

388,343 North America 398,177 385,157 426,242 411,860 397,932

118,260 South America 127,570 108,837 149,824 131,022 148,430

64,931 European Union - 28 75,734 58,748 61,739 62,097 61,000

7,297 Other Europe 9,132 7,427 9,407 5,334 7,395


8,075 Middle East 6,904 7,791 6,995 7,786 6,866

5,919 North Africa 6,058 6,096 6,130 6,601 6,551


220,582 East Asia 217,995 226,883 221,893 218,140 227,356

34,100 South Asia 34,137 33,006 37,534 39,464 38,735

3,878 Central America 3,588 3,278 3,780 3,840 3,850

30,724 Southeast Asia 30,655 31,697 33,760 33,928 33,953

1,321 Others 1,453 1,280 1,429 1,262 1,373

995,690 Total 1,022,400 972,813 1,078,314 1,036,662 1,056,066


337,333 North America 349,162 348,466 367,354 375,030 374,661

84,206 South America 87,601 87,971 91,623 93,395 99,910

76,796 European Union - 28 77,880 73,500 74,000 76,000 76,500

5,897 Other Europe 6,297 6,522 6,878 5,995 6,150


19,966 Middle East 21,738 23,502 24,628 26,910 28,020

20,800 North Africa 22,100 22,990 23,390 25,000 25,700


239,185 East Asia 233,127 249,279 263,066 272,300 280,360

29,782 South Asia 32,773 35,290 37,535 40,539 41,641

38,754 Southeast Asia 40,849 43,634 45,497 46,150 48,300

6,625 Central America 6,760 7,180 7,520 7,740 7,910

3,581 Others 3,984 3,909 4,012 4,135 4,185

948,300 Total 970,223 989,032 1,036,799 1,064,069 1,086,754

Ending Stocks none

35,492 North America 49,582 51,786 66,245 62,627 47,976

19,135 South America 13,743 11,220 22,186 15,305 17,300

6,891 European Union - 28 9,626 6,719 7,528 8,125 7,125

529 Other Europe 896 849 1,477 766 1,086


3,528 Middle East 3,727 2,747 2,011 2,192 1,543

3,175 North Africa 3,259 2,988 2,455 2,546 2,587


84,864 East Asia 103,922 114,710 104,543 83,083 63,739

2,937 South Asia 3,871 2,476 3,176 3,426 2,925

4,318 Southeast Asia 4,143 4,991 3,860 3,183 3,281

634 Central America 759 794 850 868 793

396 Others 459 432 441 378 376

171,948 Total 206,717 209,965 227,525 194,848 159,146




World Barley Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

TY Exports

2,5002,5002,6962,8361,5992,829 Argentina

7,0005,8009,1935,4015,2666,261 Australia

1,5002,0001,7701,1471,3861,714 Canada

7,0006,2005,6838,64410,6424,926 European Union

1,3001,100823807479596 Kazakhstan

150150143598126 Moldova

5,5005,4003,6263,7355,8072,791 Russia

1002014049 Turkey

4,0004,9005,3374,6734,3323,827 Ukraine

12050111424336 Uruguay

100854982164571 Others

29,27028,20529,44527,42629,80323,586 Subtotal

100130125161291336 United States

29,37028,33529,57027,58730,09423,922 World Total

none

TY Imports

550600533864723778 Algeria

1001001097111 Belarus

650550737551489337 Brazil

10050741311659 Canada

9,5008,2008,1045,8699,8594,891 China

280280285301249253 Colombia

30050044731526958 European Union

2,9002,9002,2001,7001,9001,100 Iran

250250376319278304 Israel

1,1001,1001,1971,1541,0971,294 Japan

700700759902759997 Jordan

200200502511412436 Kuwait

1,0001,0001,0851,3241,001681 Libya

300500358958276471 Morocco

1501001699812287 Peru

8,0008,0008,40010,4008,2008,500 Saudi Arabia

1501502502020100 Syria

675600501696483456 Tunisia

400400501668393468 United Arab Emirates

175175150795253 Vietnam

1,0111,7211,7371,2041,7241,819 Others

28,49128,07628,47428,07128,47223,103 Subtotal

47929879-8361,192296 Unaccounted

400230217352430523 United States

29,37028,33529,57027,58730,09423,922 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

Production

1,4009681,0001,3001,3001,500 Algeria

3,7003,2003,3004,9402,9004,750 Argentina

9,8008,00012,9218,9938,6469,174 Australia

1,7001,4201,2531,8491,9881,674 Belarus

8,0007,9008,8398,2577,11710,282 Canada

1,8501,8001,7521,8701,8101,700 China

2,1702,1002,0252,0471,9531,908 Ethiopia

61,50059,09059,97862,09560,60959,674 European Union

2,0001,7501,4401,6131,8311,752 India

3,1003,1003,0003,2003,2003,000 Iran

3,5003,3053,2312,6752,4122,539 Kazakhstan

2,5002,0006203,4001,6382,723 Morocco

18,50020,18317,54717,08320,02615,389 Russia

7,4006,4004,7507,4004,0007,300 Turkey

7,5008,6959,8748,7519,4507,561 Ukraine

9,7519,97010,6399,5519,1488,932 Others

144,371139,881142,169145,024138,028139,858 Subtotal

3,2013,0904,3534,7503,9534,719 United States

147,572142,971146,522149,774141,981144,577 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,9501,8502,0502,1502,0502,050 Algeria

2,8002,8003,5003,3003,0002,800 Australia

1,8001,5001,4001,8502,0001,800 Belarus

6,7006,8006,7626,9606,4717,718 Canada

11,10010,3009,8007,90011,6006,300 China

2,1252,0752,0251,9901,9751,925 Ethiopia

54,70053,70055,10051,37550,93753,400 European Union

2,0002,0001,9001,5201,4001,200 India

6,2006,0004,5005,2004,6004,700 Iran

2,3002,2002,2002,0002,0001,900 Kazakhstan

2,4502,4502,2003,3502,6382,300 Morocco

13,20014,90014,70013,70014,10012,700 Russia

8,8258,8259,82510,2258,5258,625 Saudi Arabia

7,3006,7005,5006,9005,3506,950 Turkey

3,6004,1004,9004,3005,5005,100 Ukraine

17,31017,67918,75518,58617,04317,122 Others

144,513143,128146,057143,304138,283136,352 Subtotal

3,9184,0724,3754,4084,2354,775 United States

148,431147,200150,432147,712142,518141,127 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7176178991,3131,3041,178 Algeria

1,2071,3072,1571,5231,2601,995 Canada

5,4575,3575,6676,0605,8345,621 European Union

8587584587581,058258 Iran

7141,5292,3444,0593,0743,389 Saudi Arabia

818718338961332899 Turkey

8479371,2371,6091,5652,071 Ukraine

5,6005,4636,9207,7408,0467,519 Others

16,21816,68620,02024,02322,47322,930 Subtotal

1,0301,4212,3162,2231,7111,791 United States

17,24818,10722,33626,24624,18424,721 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

May

2018/19

TY Imports none

640 North America 779 615 293 290 510

886 South America 1,169 1,133 1,276 1,025 1,150

58 European Union - 28 269 315 447 500 300

158 Other Europe 124 81 121 140 150


12,537 Middle East 12,399 14,798 13,604 13,275 12,775

2,432 North Africa 2,581 3,914 2,491 2,720 2,545

116 Sub-Saharan Africa 138 31 75 85 85

6,320 East Asia 11,080 7,136 9,413 9,430 10,750

11 South Asia 22 133 339 351 151

46 Oceania 32 7 25 25 25

23,626 Total 28,902 28,423 28,691 28,306 28,891

Production none

15,595 North America 11,916 13,742 14,170 11,994 12,201

5,743 South America 3,794 5,925 4,714 4,283 5,035

59,674 European Union - 28 60,609 62,095 59,978 59,090 61,500

1,228 Other Europe 1,241 1,258 1,333 1,280 1,302


12,242 Middle East 8,896 12,674 10,118 11,690 12,088

4,739 North Africa 3,913 5,275 2,203 3,646 4,553


1,991 East Asia 2,134 2,158 2,047 2,108 2,159

2,375 South Asia 2,461 2,121 1,943 2,247 2,457

9,590 Oceania 9,052 9,430 13,285 8,296 10,180

144,577 Total 141,981 149,774 146,522 142,971 147,572


13,243 North America 11,556 12,293 12,087 11,882 11,668

3,528 South America 3,398 3,633 3,474 3,315 3,436

53,400 European Union - 28 50,937 51,375 55,100 53,700 54,700

1,334 Other Europe 1,414 1,373 1,404 1,402 1,397


24,609 Middle East 22,369 26,961 24,767 25,614 25,984

6,282 North Africa 7,120 8,203 6,697 6,647 6,748


8,009 East Asia 13,162 9,481 11,441 11,905 12,705

1,813 South Asia 2,023 2,093 2,423 2,583 2,483

3,250 Oceania 3,450 3,750 3,900 3,150 3,200

141,365 Total 143,424 145,714 149,492 147,951 148,278

Ending Stocks none

4,019 North America 3,369 4,132 4,888 3,142 2,611

847 South America 772 1,040 745 582 611

5,621 European Union - 28 5,834 6,060 5,667 5,357 5,457

237 Other Europe 160 79 97 65 70


5,421 Middle East 5,208 6,385 3,856 3,587 2,666

2,505 North Africa 2,105 2,838 1,186 904 1,354


1,038 East Asia 1,090 904 923 556 760

261 South Asia 294 274 230 195 270

773 Oceania 1,199 1,141 1,356 727 732

24,721 Total 24,184 26,246 22,336 18,107 17,248




World Sorghum Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

TY Exports

500550457772954953 Argentina

1,1002005427171,701408 Australia

757575757575 Ethiopia

5050247412288 India

505090307351 Kenya

1001001005010050 Nigeria

150150164120156229 Ukraine

105115175104130179 Others

2,1301,2901,6271,9423,3112,033 Subtotal

4,2006,3006,0907,8719,2695,714 United States

6,3307,5907,7179,81312,5807,747 World Total

none

TY Imports

1001005413498109 Chile

1,1004,5005,2098,28410,1624,161 China

50500640104 Colombia

200200194119131184 European Union

1,4006005616499031,003 Japan

10010013010511794 Kenya

2,0001,00054866129162 Mexico

60801001208661 South Africa

150150501987108 South Sudan

20020010020012075 Sudan

364464428593416652 Others

5,7247,4447,37410,94812,1496,713 Subtotal

60696299-1,2334041,031 Unaccounted

0504498273 United States

6,3307,5907,7179,81312,5807,747 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

Production

3,1503,0003,4003,3753,5004,400 Argentina

2,0001,3001,0001,7912,2091,282 Australia

1,8901,8701,8651,0322,0551,890 Brazil

1,8001,3661,6631,4361,7081,880 Burkina

1,4001,4001,3391,2171,1501,260 Cameroon

950880991835922800 Chad

3,4503,2002,9852,7502,8852,892 China

4,1004,0504,7524,7664,3393,829 Ethiopia

4,6004,6604,5704,2385,4455,542 India

1,3001,7051,3941,5271,272820 Mali

4,8004,7504,6385,5876,2708,500 Mexico

1,7001,9441,8081,9181,4261,320 Niger

6,8006,5506,8877,0056,8835,300 Nigeria

4,0003,7436,4662,7446,2814,524 Sudan

800800756677883832 Tanzania

7,0056,9696,6297,3097,9487,383 Others

49,74548,18751,14348,20755,17652,454 Subtotal

8,7139,24212,19915,15810,9889,966 United States

58,45857,42963,34263,36566,16462,420 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,7002,7002,9002,9002,8002,700 Argentina

1,9001,9001,7001,1502,0002,000 Brazil

1,7001,4001,6401,4651,7001,900 Burkina

1,4251,4251,3691,2421,1751,275 Cameroon

950950950850930900 Chad

4,7007,9008,30011,00012,9006,800 China

4,1004,2004,7004,7004,1003,900 Ethiopia

4,5004,6004,5004,6005,1005,200 India

1,4006005616509011,030 Japan

1,4001,6501,4001,5001,200950 Mali

6,8005,6005,3006,3006,6008,300 Mexico

1,8001,8502,0002,0001,4501,300 Niger

6,7006,4506,7876,9056,8335,258 Nigeria

8508007608301,050790 South Sudan

4,3004,3006,4503,1006,0004,600 Sudan

8,3428,5707,8788,8648,8948,783 Others

54,36455,16657,37657,65463,45256,791 Subtotal

4,5733,1766,2126,1872,4594,130 United States

58,93758,34263,58863,84165,91160,921 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6396898899529711,202 Argentina

180280280234252177 Australia

177347577717706568 China

309364569577561314 Ethiopia

258208198151587364 India

322322172286338647 Mexico

190190190180130180 Nigeria

1,3601,4631,7951,7392,2291,673 Others

3,4353,8634,6704,8365,7745,125 Subtotal

693744850930468864 United States

4,1284,6075,5205,7666,2425,989 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

May

2018/19

TY Imports none

165 North America 56 759 592 1,050 2,000

240 South America 114 212 60 170 185

184 European Union - 28 131 119 194 200 200

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

233 Middle East 24 34 45 121 31

41 North Africa 1 1 5 0 0


5,281 East Asia 11,142 9,011 5,823 5,155 2,555

46 Southeast Asia 14 16 17 15 0

15 Others 32 231 7 50 25

6,716 Total 12,176 11,046 7,418 7,494 5,724

Production none

18,466 North America 17,258 20,745 16,837 13,992 13,513

327 Central America 326 337 326 325 327

112 Caribbean 125 123 118 91 106

7,468 South America 6,967 5,682 6,159 5,922 6,157

703 European Union - 28 887 674 647 667 640

599 Middle East 646 505 394 485 470

767 North Africa 809 752 755 755 755


2,895 East Asia 2,887 2,752 2,987 3,202 3,452

5,661 South Asia 5,560 4,399 4,719 4,790 4,740


1,282 Oceania 2,209 1,791 1,000 1,300 2,000

354 Others 224 191 275 183 200

62,420 Total 66,164 63,365 63,342 57,429 58,458


12,430 North America 9,059 12,487 11,512 8,776 11,373

317 Central America 321 345 326 325 330

112 Caribbean 125 123 120 91 106

6,062 South America 6,362 5,409 5,623 5,786 5,817

880 European Union - 28 995 800 790 820 820

721 Middle East 801 550 438 611 491

813 North Africa 785 752 755 755 755


7,951 East Asia 13,882 11,733 8,917 8,557 6,157

5,334 South Asia 5,247 4,972 4,665 4,780 4,665


905 Oceania 505 905 675 800 800

75 Others 75 75 100 55 55

59,816 Total 66,092 64,243 63,407 58,071 58,140

Ending Stocks none

1,511 North America 806 1,216 1,022 1,066 1,015

21 Central America 26 17 17 12 9

1,548 South America 1,310 1,132 1,151 914 894

18 European Union - 28 27 16 39 81 96

27 Middle East 39 33 25 20 30

22 North Africa 47 48 53 53 53


627 East Asia 765 772 629 399 229

364 South Asia 587 151 198 208 258

177 Oceania 252 234 280 280 180

76 Others 69 65 59 37 32

5,989 Total 6,242 5,766 5,520 4,607 4,128




World Oats Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

TY Exports

650550455214264267 Australia

1,6001,6001,5571,6671,7341,732 Canada

303027268449 Chile

200200179220231291 European Union

101012506 Kazakhstan

10151416146 Russia

50501948466 Ukraine

1010381010 Others

2,5602,4652,2662,2042,3832,367 Subtotal


2,5902,4952,3102,2402,4082,396 World Total

none

TY Imports

252525312412 Algeria

556443 Bosnia and Herzegovina

101018111227 Canada

500500278172162116 China

551122 Colombia

303021382121 Ecuador


252525312415 India

505048504746 Japan

252523212916 Korea, South

100120119778693 Mexico

5537438 Norway

550122 Serbia

202024314619 South Africa

505054414951 Switzerland

17182612158 Others

877898674537531472 Subtotal

113979717110958 Unaccounted

1,6001,5001,5391,5321,7681,866 United States

2,5902,4952,3102,2402,4082,396 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

600492785553525445 Argentina

1,4501,1002,1261,3001,1981,255 Australia

460500390492522352 Belarus

745634828351307380 Brazil

3,6003,7003,2313,4252,9773,928 Canada

675670713533421610 Chile

305300290265255235 China

8,2008,1078,0497,5247,8218,380 European Union

300285335244226305 Kazakhstan

907272859391 Mexico

300300330286283224 Norway

4,8005,4414,7504,5275,2674,932 Russia

230250225250210235 Turkey

475481510498610467 Ukraine

335327350320291319 Others

22,67522,76923,09420,76321,11622,268 Subtotal

9587179401,3001,019938 United States

23,63323,48624,03422,06322,13523,206 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135132141126118 Algeria

550525760550525425 Argentina

7008001,5001,025950950 Australia

450500400500500375 Belarus

705675775345305375 Brazil

2,0002,1001,8141,6111,6761,660 Canada

655660655485355570 Chile

830780560420400350 China

8,0507,9007,9507,4007,7308,075 European Union

300275274245225275 Kazakhstan

190190195190175185 Mexico

300320315295295245 Norway

4,8005,4004,8004,6005,2004,900 Russia

240240240240225225 Turkey

450450450450600475 Ukraine

554550572534519523 Others

20,98421,60321,55019,13719,75519,915 Subtotal

2,4932,6042,5392,7022,4472,757 United States

23,47724,20724,08921,83922,20222,672 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

965189656567 Argentina

1585830814393105 Australia

582368161017 Brazil

7637537439476931,076 Canada

609654642690770894 European Union


173178147199289230 Russia

257304322269223241 Others

2,1792,0962,3942,3562,1762,664 Subtotal

381308731824780359 United States

2,5602,4043,1253,1802,9563,023 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

May

2018/19

TY Imports none

1,986 North America 1,866 1,620 1,676 1,630 1,710

29 South America 30 47 28 41 40

3 European Union - 28 4 9 3 5 5

94 Other Europe 62 53 63 65 65


0 Middle East 4 0 5 5 5

12 North Africa 24 31 29 27 27


178 East Asia 238 243 349 575 575

15 South Asia 24 31 25 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,338 Total 2,299 2,069 2,213 2,398 2,477

Production none

4,957 North America 4,089 4,810 4,243 4,489 4,648

1,478 South America 1,281 1,478 2,372 1,839 2,063

8,380 European Union - 28 7,821 7,524 8,049 8,107 8,200

359 Other Europe 411 418 464 423 435


235 Middle East 210 250 225 250 230

156 North Africa 147 166 175 175 173


237 East Asia 257 266 291 301 306

0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

1,283 Oceania 1,233 1,329 2,169 1,134 1,482

23,206 Total 22,135 22,063 24,034 23,486 23,633


4,602 North America 4,298 4,503 4,548 4,894 4,683

1,447 South America 1,245 1,445 2,273 1,943 1,993

8,075 European Union - 28 7,730 7,400 7,950 7,900 8,050

435 Other Europe 479 484 506 506 491


225 Middle East 225 240 240 240 240

164 North Africa 163 197 201 200 200


416 East Asia 479 491 633 855 909

15 South Asia 24 31 25 25 25

978 Oceania 985 1,054 1,540 835 730

22,483 Total 22,253 21,733 23,931 24,104 23,402

Ending Stocks none

1,439 North America 1,479 1,775 1,478 1,067 1,150

129 South America 102 143 243 140 210

894 European Union - 28 770 690 642 654 609

52 Other Europe 46 35 53 35 44


23 Middle East 11 21 6 21 16

1 North Africa 1 1 1 3 3


23 East Asia 39 57 64 85 57

0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

105 Oceania 93 143 311 60 162

3,023 Total 2,956 3,180 3,125 2,404 2,560




World Rye Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

TY Exports

202082400 Belarus

1501501321128997 Canada

100100139160167201 European Union

5050292312183 Russia

101014211359 Ukraine

000011 Others

330330322340391441 Subtotal


335335326346394447 World Total

none

TY Imports


15154121833 Israel

202024162237 Japan

554548 Korea, South

101042621 Norway

554555 Russia

552366 Switzerland

0031661 Others

11011061109163207 Subtotal

25259320-3136 Unaccounted

200200172217262204 United States

335335326346394447 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

none

Production


650670651753867648 Belarus

300320436226218223 Canada

7,8007,5217,4527,8338,86410,151 European Union

2,2002,5442,5382,0843,2793,360 Russia

320320300330300365 Turkey

400510394394475638 Ukraine

160163145178176130 Others

11,92512,13511,99511,85914,27615,567 Subtotal

298246342295183194 United States

12,22312,38112,33712,15414,45915,761 World Total

none

Total Consumption


262625221919 Australia

650650700800850700 Belarus

160160180119134107 Canada

7,7007,6007,6007,9008,6009,650 European Union


525223674635 Norway

2,3002,5002,4002,1503,2503,100 Russia

320320300330325350 Turkey

410510380420475625 Ukraine

1021029490108142 Others

11,87112,06311,83512,01813,97414,815 Subtotal

497448499515406424 United States

12,36812,51112,33412,53314,38015,239 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

30505099166149 Belarus

165175165514244 Canada

9228721,0011,2091,3861,204 European Union


140285286155264344 Russia

141414141433 Turkey

47677775106128 Ukraine

001234 Others

1,3341,4791,6061,6091,9851,914 Subtotal


1,3491,4941,6241,6212,0001,921 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

May

2018/19

TY Imports none

204 North America 262 217 172 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

96 European Union - 28 96 50 16 50 50

28 Other Europe 12 5 6 15 15


33 Middle East 24 12 4 15 15


45 East Asia 26 21 28 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

411 Total 425 326 233 310 310

Production none

417 North America 401 521 778 566 598

59 South America 106 69 91 98 107

10,151 European Union - 28 8,864 7,833 7,452 7,521 7,800

57 Other Europe 83 108 64 84 84


365 Middle East 300 330 300 320 320


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 22 25 26 26

15,761 Total 14,459 12,154 12,337 12,381 12,223


531 North America 540 634 679 608 657

59 South America 106 69 91 98 107

9,650 European Union - 28 8,600 7,900 7,600 7,600 7,700

86 Other Europe 97 112 69 99 99


383 Middle East 343 342 304 335 335


48 East Asia 27 22 29 26 25

19 Oceania 19 22 25 26 26

15,244 Total 14,375 12,511 12,313 12,490 12,347

Ending Stocks none

51 North America 57 63 183 190 180

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,204 European Union - 28 1,386 1,209 1,001 872 922

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


33 Middle East 14 14 14 14 14


4 East Asia 3 2 1 0 0

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,921 Total 2,000 1,621 1,624 1,494 1,349




E n d n o t e s

Page 52

Endnotes

REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea


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OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2016/17 starts in 2016); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2016/17 starts in 2017). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database.


http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

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The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade April 2018. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production May 2018. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Shelbi Knisley (202) 690-2361 [email protected] Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice/Wheat Eric Mullis (202) 690-0752 [email protected] Rice Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains Graham Soley (202) 772-4235 [email protected] Coarse Grains Olutayo Akingbe (202) 690-1624 [email protected] Coarse Grains


https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/world-agricultural-production

http://www.fas.usda.gov/

mailto:[email protected]







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United States Department of Agriculture Foreign …...2018/10/05 · Office of Global Analysis Wheat Page 3 WHEAT OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global production is forecast at 748 million