United States Department of Grain: Agriculture Foreign ... · 1/12/2018 · With bumper supplies, Russian grain exports overall are forecast to reach record levels in 2017/18. The

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service January 2018

Rising Russian Grain Supplies Drive Record Exports

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With bumper supplies, Russian grain exports overall are forecast to reach record levels in 2017/18. The expansion is primarily driven by record wheat exports, set to exceed both the United States and the European Union. Corn and barley exports are forecast to be the second-highest on record. Russian barley and wheat exports each account for nearly one-fifth of global trade, while corn exports account for a small share in the world market. Russia’s ability to export has been assisted by favorable exchange rates and low prices compared to other traditional wheat and barley exporters. Another key advantage is geographic proximity to rapidly growing markets in the Middle East and North Africa. Recent investments have been made in Russian port capacity, and the country has the flexibility to use smaller vessels to accommodate infrastructure constraints in nearby countries. Ports on the Black and Caspian Seas give it easy access to the Middle East and North Africa where feed demand has grown in burgeoning poultry industries. Russia’s wheat sales are booming to Egypt, the top importer, while barley exports are strong to Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Libya. Plentiful supplies have enabled it to expand exports to reach markets farther afield in Africa, Asia, and even to Mexico, demonstrating Russia’s growing influence in the global grain market. See pages 5 and 20 for additional details. As recently as the early 2000s, Russia was a net grain importer. Even as its production grew, its reliability as a global exporter was uncertain. For example, from time to time the government enacted export bans – often on short notice – to secure domestic supplies when production was low. In the past few years, production has expanded rapidly with higher yields, particularly for wheat and corn. Because of surplus production, the government is now supplying a much more supportive framework for exports. Just last month, the Russian government began providing subsidies to facilitate grain transportation from production regions. See GAIN report “Decree on Grain Transportation Subsidies” for further information.

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https://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/Decree%20on%20Grain%20Transportation%20Subsidies_Moscow_Russian%20Federation_1-10-2018.pdf

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4

Rice .................................................................................................................. 12

Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 19

Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 40

Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 59

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FAS Reports and Databases:

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Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):

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Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

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Export Sales Report:

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Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

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Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

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Economic Research Service:

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National Agricultural Statistics Service:

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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA January 2018Office of Global Analysis


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All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/16

Production

United States (Jun-May) 56.1 62.8 47.4 6.1 7.1 5.7 345.5 384.8 371.0

Other 679.2 687.6 709.6 466.9 480.0 479.0 628.0 691.2 673.6

World Total 735.3 750.4 757.0 473.0 487.1 484.7 973.5 1,076.0 1,044.6

Domestic Consumption


Other 676.9 703.4 710.7 462.5 472.7 476.7 688.9 720.8 742.6

World Total 708.8 735.2 741.0 466.1 476.9 480.5 987.7 1,034.7 1,061.3

Ending Stocks


Other 215.1 220.6 241.1 131.1 136.6 140.2 170.9 170.4 143.7

World Total 241.7 252.7 268.0 132.6 138.1 141.1 215.0 228.7 206.6

TY Imports


Other 165.5 176.0 176.0 36.8 43.5 42.8 136.6 138.1 145.8

World Total 168.6 179.3 180.2 37.6 44.3 43.6 138.4 139.6 147.1

TY Exports


Other 150.2 152.8 156.9 36.8 43.4 42.9 93.7 86.2 102.3

World Total 172.0 182.3 182.9 40.2 46.8 46.2 144.9 141.7 150.8

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2017/18, global production is raised to a new record based on a larger crop for Russia.

Global trade is forecast down slightly from last month but remains a record. Imports are forecast

higher for China but lower for Algeria, India and Saudi Arabia. Higher exports for Argentina

and Russia are offset by lower forecasts for Australia and the European Union. The U.S. season-

average farm price is unchanged at $4.60 per bushel.

PRICES

Domestic: Overall, U.S. wheat prices were up marginally during December on concerns over

weather conditions in competitor countries. Soft Red Winter (SRW) rose slightly by $1/ton to

$183, while Hard Red Spring (HRS) rose $3/ton to $277 and Soft White Winter (SWW)

improved $3/ton to $200. Hard Red Winter (HRW) moved up $7/ton to $224 based on concerns

of drought conditions in the Southern and Northern Plains.

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U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS


5

FEATURE

Black Sea Region Gains Market Share from Traditional Wheat Exporters

The traditional major wheat exporters are Australia, Canada, the European Union (EU), and the

United States, but in recent years the Black Sea region–Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine – has

emerged as a strong player in the global wheat market. Wheat from Australia, the EU, and the

United States is marketed on its high quality, while the Black Sea has been successful at

competing on lower price and location. This dynamic has increased competition rapidly and has

affected all major suppliers in the global market. The Black Sea region will continue to challenge

its competitors, with this year’s record crop in Russia dampening prospects for the traditional

exporters.

Expansion of market share by Black Sea suppliers is most prominent in nearby price-sensitive

markets. The United States has been affected by increased competition from the Black Sea,

exemplified by the falling market share in Egypt, the largest wheat importer in the world, and

Nigeria. Russia and Ukraine, combined, currently hold around 82 percent of the Egyptian

market, while the United States only carries a 1 percent market share, down from 8 percent 5

years ago. Not only has the United States lost its share in the Egyptian market, it has also lost

share in Nigeria. For decades, Nigeria purchased more than 80 percent of its import supply from

the United States, buying mostly on quality. But with the down turn in the Nigerian economy,

they turned to purchasing wheat more on price. Just 5 years ago, the United States supplied

nearly three-quarters of wheat imports, with Russia only 1 percent. In 2016/17, those shares were

radically different at 33 percent and 26 percent, respectively.

10%

15%

14%

32%

29%

Australia European Union United States Black Sea Other

Black Sea forecast to be top supplier of

wheat to the global market in 17/18

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2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18*

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Emerging Black Sea vs ROW


6

Australia primarily supplies Asia for wheat, since the variety of wheat Australia produces is

excellent for local preferences. Over the last 5 years, however, Ukraine has gained market share

in the Indonesian market, which is Australia’s main customer and the second-largest wheat

importer. In 2012/13, Ukraine supplied just 1 percent of the Indonesian wheat imports; today its

market share has reached 16 percent. Despite Indonesian preference for Australian wheat for its

milling quality, the competitive price for Black Sea wheat has prompted increased purchases to

blend with higher-quality milling wheat.

Alternatively, the impact on the European Union has not been as drastic as the Australian and

U.S. market share. The European Union has been rivaling with the Black Sea region for market

share. The European Union is competing heavily to regain its share of the Middle Eastern and

African markets, after last year’s poor wheat crop. Canada as a high-quality exporter has seen

relatively limited effects on its export market during this time period.


7

FEATURE

North Africa Wheat Consumption Growth Drives Imports

North Africa’s wheat imports continue

to grow as the gap between

consumption and production widen.

Consumption growth in North Africa

has been steady for much of the last

decade at about 2 percent a year.

Rising populations in the region have

kept consumption growth on a steady

upward trend. In many of these

countries, bread is considered a staple

with prices often subsidized by the

government. This is especially the case

in Egypt. Egypt accounts for nearly

half of the region’s total consumption.

Its subsidy system allows low-income

consumers to purchase “baladi” bread

at a low price, while other wheat-based

products are available without subsidy

through the private sector.

Wheat production across this arid

region has shown very little growth as

it is prone to large weather-induced

fluctuations. For example, in 2017/18,

Morocco rebounded from drought

conditions, more than doubling

production from the previous year.

Egypt’s production has been relatively

high in recent years with substantial

government support. The policy,

however, changed from government-

supported prices to world prices,

which would result in lower

compensation and the possibility of

reduced plantings.

Across the region, imports have filled the growing gap between production and growing

domestic consumption. Egypt and Algeria, the world’s first-and third-largest importers

respectively, represent about 70 percent of the region’s imports. More importantly, they

represent nearly all of North Africa’s import growth over the last decade.

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Consumption Growing; Production Erratic

Consumption Production

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North Africa Wheat Imports

Egypt Algeria Morocco Tunisia Libya


8

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18

Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Algeria Imports 8,200 7,700 -500 Slow purchases year-to-date

Argentina Exports 12,500 13,000 500 Strong sales to Brazil and competitive

pricing

Australia Exports 19,000 17,500 -1,500

Smaller crop production data for the

previous year and high prices at the

beginning of the current trade year

Bangladesh Imports 6,000 6,200 200 Large recent purchases from Black Sea

China Imports 3,500 4,000 500 Strong imports from the United States

European

Union Exports 28,500 27,000 -1,500

Slower-than-expected trade and Black Sea

competition

India Imports 3,000 2,500 -500 Increased wheat import tariff

Russia Exports 33,500 35,000 1,500 Larger crop and improved competitiveness

Saudi

Arabia Imports 3,800 3,300 -500 Slower-than-expected trade

United

Arab

Emirates Imports 1,700 1,900 200 Strong pace of trade

United

States Imports 4,100 4,200 100 Increased imports of HRW, HRS and Durum


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

TY Exports

13,00012,50012,2758,7504,2001,675 Argentina

17,50019,00022,06115,78016,57518,339 Australia

22,00022,00020,25622,11924,88322,156 Canada

27,00028,50027,31934,68635,45532,032 European Union

7,5007,5007,2507,6005,5078,000 Kazakhstan

1,4001,4001,1191,5681,1041,322 Mexico

35,00033,50027,80925,54322,80018,609 Russia

1,1001,1001,0438805931,198 Serbia

6,5006,5006,1775,6054,1354,293 Turkey

17,00017,00018,10717,43111,2699,755 Ukraine

8,9148,7649,35810,23412,35613,571 Others

156,914157,764152,774150,196138,877130,950 Subtotal

26,00026,00029,48821,81123,02331,529 United States

182,914183,764182,262172,007161,900162,479 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,6002,6002,7002,7002,0002,050 Afghanistan

7,7008,2008,4148,1537,2577,484 Algeria

6,2006,0005,5564,7203,9293,354 Bangladesh

8,0008,0007,7885,9225,8697,061 Brazil

4,0003,5004,4103,4761,9266,773 China

2,1502,1502,1102,0321,6271,746 Colombia

12,00012,00011,23611,92511,30010,150 Egypt

6,0006,0005,2866,9165,9793,976 European Union

2,5003,0006,14730127322 India

11,50011,50010,17610,0457,4777,391 Indonesia

3,5003,5002,4472,2182,2533,246 Iraq

5,8005,8005,9115,7155,8786,123 Japan

4,6004,6004,6674,4203,9424,288 Korea, South

5,4005,4005,3704,8054,4714,639 Mexico

4,8004,8005,1914,5034,0863,928 Morocco

5,1005,1004,9724,4104,2444,580 Nigeria

2,1002,1502,0201,7991,9072,114 Peru

5,6005,6005,7044,9185,0543,476 Philippines

3,3003,8003,7162,9313,4993,441 Saudi Arabia

2,6002,6002,4582,0212,6322,664 Sudan

3,0003,0003,6894,8723,4921,759 Thailand

4,5004,5004,5424,4055,9604,147 Turkey

2,8002,8002,7002,6622,2302,224 Uzbekistan

4,0004,0005,5483,0702,2922,157 Vietnam

3,4003,4003,2783,3323,2453,425 Yemen

52,87152,57149,93553,29151,97653,421 Others

176,021176,571175,971165,562154,798155,639 Subtotal

2,6933,0932,9943,3913,1132,055 Unaccounted

4,2004,1003,2973,0543,9894,785 United States

182,914183,764182,262172,007161,900162,479 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

Production

17,50017,50018,40011,30013,93010,500 Argentina

21,50021,50030,36322,27523,74325,303 Australia

30,00030,00031,72927,59429,42037,530 Canada

130,000130,000128,845130,190126,208121,930 China

8,1008,1008,1008,1008,3008,250 Egypt

151,600152,500145,248160,480156,912144,583 European Union

98,38098,38087,00086,53095,85093,506 India

15,00015,00015,50015,00013,00014,500 Iran

14,00014,00014,98513,74812,99613,941 Kazakhstan

6,2506,2502,7318,0645,1166,934 Morocco

26,50025,70025,60025,10025,97924,211 Pakistan

85,00083,00072,52961,04459,08052,091 Russia

21,00021,00017,25019,50015,25018,750 Turkey

26,50026,50026,80027,27424,75022,278 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,2007,2007,1506,800 Uzbekistan

51,10551,20555,32955,79055,34055,860 Others

709,635707,835687,609679,189673,024656,967 Subtotal

47,37147,37162,83356,11755,14758,105 United States

757,006755,206750,442735,306728,171715,072 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,45010,45010,35010,25010,0509,850 Algeria

12,10012,10012,20011,10010,70011,400 Brazil

8,7008,70010,4007,9249,0969,395 Canada

116,000116,000118,500112,000116,500116,500 China

19,70019,70019,40019,20019,10018,500 Egypt

128,750128,750128,000129,850124,677117,300 European Union

100,000100,00097,12088,55193,10293,848 India

10,70010,70010,0009,1007,3657,165 Indonesia

18,35018,35018,10017,80017,50017,000 Iran

10,30010,30010,2009,8009,0009,000 Morocco

25,00024,80024,50024,40024,50024,100 Pakistan

45,00044,00040,00037,00035,50034,100 Russia

17,90017,90017,40018,00017,50017,750 Turkey

9,8009,80010,30012,20011,50011,500 Ukraine

9,9009,9009,7009,3508,9008,400 Uzbekistan

168,129168,204167,313160,377154,153150,704 Others

711,439711,200707,647679,642673,873663,710 Subtotal

30,26430,91731,75331,94231,32834,260 United States

741,703742,117739,400711,584705,201697,970 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,6356,6356,8355,1787,10110,398 Canada

128,249127,754111,04997,04276,10565,274 China

12,62212,01910,77215,55712,6979,938 European Union

10,18010,6809,80014,54017,22017,830 India

5,1945,1944,5446,8564,2814,317 Morocco

5,2624,6624,3323,8293,7102,191 Pakistan

16,33016,83010,8305,6076,2875,177 Russia

56,62658,50962,42366,51370,07463,792 Others

241,098242,283220,585215,122197,475178,917 Subtotal

26,92126,13432,13126,55220,47716,065 United States

268,019268,417252,716241,674217,952194,982 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2017/18

Jan

2017/18

TY Imports none

9,839 North America 9,004 8,378 9,177 10,000 10,100

1,833 Central America 1,834 1,834 1,993 2,025 2,025

14,879 South America 13,132 13,342 16,308 16,645 16,695

3,976 European Union - 28 5,979 6,916 5,286 6,000 6,000

1,858 Other Europe 1,760 1,828 1,970 1,860 1,860

7,528 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,678 7,402 7,358 7,960 7,960

28,447 Middle East 26,928 24,499 22,774 24,020 23,720

25,246 North Africa 25,430 27,873 28,334 28,350 27,850

20,405 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,963 22,865 22,223 24,265 24,265

19,465 East Asia 14,114 16,226 17,355 16,380 16,880

6,722 South Asia 8,164 8,823 15,469 12,771 12,471

17,176 Southeast Asia 20,576 25,483 27,763 26,950 26,950

3,050 Others 3,225 3,147 3,258 3,445 3,445

160,424 Total 158,787 168,616 179,268 180,671 180,221

Production none

98,992 North America 88,237 87,422 98,425 80,921 80,921

19,803 South America 24,581 21,688 28,646 24,538 24,538

144,583 European Union - 28 156,912 160,480 145,248 152,500 151,600

4,228 Other Europe 4,088 4,359 4,749 4,235 4,235


41,708 Middle East 35,414 42,905 39,791 42,615 42,615

19,661 North Africa 17,029 19,976 14,081 18,150 18,150


123,248 East Asia 127,650 131,515 130,148 131,454 131,454

125,917 South Asia 130,057 119,676 120,688 132,180 132,980

25,716 Oceania 24,157 22,689 30,781 21,920 21,920

188 Others 187 199 181 171 171

715,072 Total 728,171 735,306 750,442 755,206 757,006

Domestic Consumption none

50,305 North America 47,274 46,866 50,053 47,317 46,664

27,321 South America 27,090 27,665 28,565 28,790 28,790

117,300 European Union - 28 124,677 129,850 128,000 128,750 128,750

4,857 Other Europe 4,875 4,935 5,035 5,035 5,035


58,764 Middle East 58,357 60,110 60,436 62,190 62,215

42,475 North Africa 42,726 43,666 44,570 45,075 45,075


130,201 East Asia 129,523 125,274 132,255 129,615 129,615

132,041 South Asia 132,306 128,914 139,104 142,821 143,121

16,610 Southeast Asia 19,295 23,131 26,375 25,305 25,305

8,280 Oceania 8,564 8,505 8,740 8,420 8,220

3,480 Others 3,574 3,582 3,834 3,930 3,930

690,772 Total 700,471 708,844 735,236 740,571 741,043

Ending Stocks none

26,988 North America 28,290 32,390 39,840 33,365 34,280

6,776 South America 8,639 4,295 4,836 4,273 4,110

9,938 European Union - 28 12,697 15,557 10,772 12,019 12,622

1,009 Other Europe 1,321 1,598 1,962 1,767 1,767


18,834 Middle East 18,474 19,868 15,957 13,067 12,742

14,045 North Africa 13,216 16,628 13,922 14,662 14,162


68,314 East Asia 79,217 100,404 114,270 131,064 131,559

21,661 South Asia 23,109 21,040 16,637 17,557 17,757

3,491 Southeast Asia 3,921 5,413 5,859 6,504 6,504

4,826 Oceania 4,925 4,080 4,534 4,461 3,424

424 Others 445 418 438 449 449

194,982 Total 217,952 241,674 252,716 268,417 268,019

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


12

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global rice production is raised this month on larger crops in Pakistan and the Philippines but remains below last year. Trade is forecast higher but still lower than last year’s record. Imports are forecast up for Bangladesh and Nigeria, which more than offset a cut to the Philippines. Export prospects are raised this month for India and China, while reduced for the United States.

PRICES

Export quotes for major suppliers were mostly steady over the past month, with the exception of the United States. The U.S. quotes edged up $20/ton to $585/ton, the highest quote since 2014, continuing the trend of rising prices throughout the year amid a much smaller crop. Meanwhile, the Uruguayan quotes are slightly lower at $545/ton. The premium for Western Hemisphere over Asian origins remains large with quotes from the latter between $375 and $425/ton for the past few months. Demand remains strong from Bangladesh, China, and other major importers, with supplies abundant from recent harvests in Asia.

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

$/MT Weekly Price Quotes: Last 4 Years

U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100B VIETNAM 5%

INDIA 5% PAKISTAN 5% URUGUAY 5%


13

FEATURE

Bangladesh 2017 Rice Imports at Near Record

Bangladesh’s smaller rice production in 2017 triggered a surge in rice imports at the end of the year, causing global rice exports to swell. With near-record imports, it became the world’s third-largest rice importer in 2017. This is a major reversal from near self-sufficiency in 2016. Although the world’s fourth-largest producer, imports are typically a small proportion of total consumption. However, when poor weather reduces the crop, it intermittently becomes a significant importer. This was the case in 2017/18 when the crop fell by more than 1.5 million tons to 33.0 million (see September 2017 World Agricultural Production page 8 for details). As a result, the government purchased large quantities through both government-to-government agreements and public tenders. The purchases were largely from traditional suppliers, such as India, but also new origins such as Vietnam. In addition, the reduction of the import tariff from 28 percent to 2 percent facilitated large private sector imports. For 2018, imports are forecast down slightly at 1.6 million tons. The size of the upcoming harvests will greatly influence the import demand, and, in fact, Bangladesh’s imports often decline after a year of large purchases. For the time being, however, the government has continued purchasing and keeping the import tariff low.

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MM

T


http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/fas/worldag-production/2010s/2017/worldag-production-09-12-2017.pdf

14

FEATURE

Peru Seeks to Abate Low-Priced Thai Rice Imports in New Price Band

Peru recently raised its price band on rice to curb low-priced Thai imports. The new price band may not only discourage imports but also redistribute the market share of suppliers. Peru is the third-largest producer of rice in the Western Hemisphere and just under 90 percent of consumption is met by domestic production. Yet even as production has been growing, imports have also been rising. Of particular concern for Peruvian producers have been low-cost Thai imports, which have steadily expanded from a marginal amount a few years ago to nearly one-fifth market share. Thailand has become competitive as its rice export prices dropped in 2014 and have since averaged about 20 percent below Uruguayan prices. The new price band was raised to now be reflective of the Uruguayan price. The lower bound of the price band (import price + duty) is now set at $599-$669/ton, rather than $408-$480/ton. This is much closer to wholesale prices for locally-produced rice. In addition, this upward shift will make it more viable for Western Hemisphere rice to compete, particularly Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. U.S. rice is not subject to the price band through the U.S.-Peru Trade Promotion Agreement. In the past few years, U.S. exports to Peru have been minimal as they could not compete with Thai prices. However, since the lower bound of the new price band is closer to current U.S. price levels, prospects for U.S. rice exports to Peru have improved. For additional details, see GAIN report “New Price Band for Rice Imports.”

$400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900

$1,000

U.S. Dollar

Peru Rice Prices (Peru Wholesale vs Imported)

Uruguay United StatesBrazil ArgentinaThailand Peru

050

100150200250300350400

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Nov2017

TMT

Peru Rice Imports (Milled Equivalent)

Uruguay Brazil Thailand

United States Argentina Others


https://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/New%20Price%20Band%20for%20Rice%20Imports_Lima_Peru_12-21-2017.pdf

15

TRADE CHANGES IN 2018


Bangladesh Imports 1,200 1,600 400 Strong recent purchases to compensate for lower production

Nigeria Imports 2,300 2,600 300 Growth in demand for imported parboiled rice in urban regions

Philippines Imports 1,700 1,300 -400 Reduced need for imports amid larger domestic production

Vietnam Imports 300 400 100 Additional imports from Cambodia

China Exports 1,100 1,500 400

Competitive sales of old crop, especially to West Africa. Increased ability to expand exports to the region as Thai old crop government stocks are nearly depleted

India Exports 11,600 12,000 400 Strong sales to Bangladesh

United States Exports 3,400 3,300 -100 Reduced exportable supplies

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017


Bangladesh Imports 1,350 2,200 850 Strong recent purchases to compensate for lower production

Ghana Imports 600 700 100 Higher imports from China

Vietnam Imports 300 500 200 Additional imports from Cambodia

Exports 6,200 6,400 -200 Based on near-final trade data

China Exports 1,100 1,200 100 Continued sales to West Africa

India Exports 11,600 12,000 400 Based on near-final trade data

Thailand Exports 11,000 11,250 250 Based on near-final trade data


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

TY Exports

430430500527310494 Argentina

325325180165323404 Australia

650650600641895852 Brazil

3,0003,0003,1001,3001,7351,688 Burma

1,2501,2501,1501,1501,1501,000 Cambodia

1,5001,1001,200368262393 China

280280320270251284 European Union

460460440431486446 Guyana

12,00011,60012,00010,04011,04611,588 India

3,8003,8003,6004,1004,0003,700 Pakistan

520520500557371380 Paraguay

160160180198163187 Russia

10,20010,20011,2509,8679,77910,969 Thailand

8108101,000996718957 Uruguay

6,5006,5006,4005,0886,6066,325 Vietnam

1,0571,0571,0281,1341,1731,509 Others

42,94242,14243,44836,83239,26841,176 Subtotal

3,3003,4003,4003,3733,3812,947 United States

46,24245,54246,84840,20542,64944,123 World Total

none

TY Imports

650650600470450500 Angola

1,6001,2002,200355981,335 Bangladesh

600600800786363586 Brazil

575575550500500525 Cameroon

5,2505,2505,3004,6005,1504,450 China

1,5001,5001,3501,3001,150950 Cote d'Ivoire

540580500544575377 Cuba

1,9001,9001,8751,8161,7861,556 European Union

600550600700580590 Ghana

800800725650420520 Guinea

540500540431447387 Haiti

1,3001,3001,6001,1001,3001,400 Iran

1,1001,1001,0509301,0001,080 Iraq

685685685685688669 Japan

700700675500450440 Kenya

9009001,0008231,051989 Malaysia

850850870731719685 Mexico

700700750625575590 Mozambique

600600550530530520 Nepal

2,6002,3002,5002,1002,1003,200 Nigeria

1,3001,7001,1008002,0001,800 Philippines

1,4501,4501,4001,3001,6011,459 Saudi Arabia

1,1001,0501,000980990960 Senegal

9509501,000954912910 South Africa

825825750670580560 United Arab Emirates

13,21713,14713,57812,29112,92713,365 Others

42,83242,36243,54836,85139,44240,403 Subtotal

2,6352,4202,5402,5862,4502,965 Unaccounted

775760760768757755 United States

46,24245,54246,84840,20542,64944,123 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2017/18 is calendar year 2018, 2016/17 is calendar year 2017, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

Milled Production

33,00033,00034,57834,50034,50034,390 Bangladesh

7,8207,8208,3837,2108,4658,300 Brazil

12,95012,95012,65012,16012,60011,957 Burma

5,0005,0004,9504,8474,7004,725 Cambodia

146,000146,000144,953145,770144,560142,530 China

4,3004,3004,8004,0004,5304,750 Egypt

107,500107,500110,150104,408105,482106,646 India

37,00037,00037,15036,20035,56036,300 Indonesia

7,6007,6007,7807,6707,8497,931 Japan

3,9723,9724,1974,3274,2414,230 Korea, South

3,6543,6543,6543,5283,4653,038 Nigeria

7,2006,9006,8506,8006,9006,798 Pakistan

11,97011,20011,68611,00011,91511,858 Philippines

20,40020,40019,20015,80018,75020,460 Thailand

28,45028,45027,40027,58428,16628,161 Vietnam

42,23442,05941,58041,02740,60140,514 Others

479,050477,805479,961466,831472,284472,588 Subtotal

5,6595,6647,1176,1337,1066,117 United States

484,709483,469487,078472,964479,390478,705 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,20035,00035,00035,10035,10034,900 Bangladesh

7,9507,9508,1007,9007,9257,900 Brazil

10,20010,20010,20010,40010,50010,450 Burma

3,7503,7503,7503,7003,6153,650 Cambodia

142,450142,150141,448140,799140,334139,770 China

4,4004,4004,3003,9004,0004,000 Egypt

97,75098,00096,78193,56898,24498,727 India

37,30037,30037,50037,80038,30038,500 Indonesia

8,4508,4508,5008,6008,6008,380 Japan

4,8004,8004,7284,2124,1974,422 Korea, South

3,8503,8503,7543,3533,7703,831 Nepal

6,4006,2006,2006,0005,9005,800 Nigeria

12,90012,90012,90012,90013,00012,850 Philippines

11,50011,50011,7509,10010,00010,600 Thailand

22,30022,10022,10022,50022,00022,000 Vietnam

67,48767,08765,71662,69961,93661,420 Others

477,935477,103477,427464,535469,372471,505 Subtotal

3,8113,6524,1713,5804,2843,978 United States

481,746480,755481,598468,115473,656475,483 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

94,00094,50086,50078,50069,00060,500 China

1,3241,3241,474924924610 Egypt

18,30018,45020,55018,40017,80022,800 India

3,4193,4193,4393,5094,1115,501 Indonesia

2,2372,2372,4622,5522,8213,007 Japan

2,3661,9961,9962,1102,4101,695 Philippines

3,8033,8034,8538,40311,27011,999 Thailand

14,70014,01415,37616,75917,89514,912 Others

140,149139,743136,650131,157126,231121,024 Subtotal

9269821,4621,4751,5521,025 United States

141,075140,725138,112132,632127,783122,049 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2017/18

Jan

2017/18

TY Imports none

1,801 North America 1,838 1,855 1,980 1,980 1,995

911 Caribbean 1,174 1,135 1,235 1,235 1,235

1,814 South America 1,686 2,015 1,871 1,656 1,596

132 Other Europe 128 136 140 140 140

626 Former Soviet Union - 12 571 457 566 555 555

6,711 Middle East 6,464 5,716 6,695 6,605 6,605

470 North Africa 396 483 565 485 485


6,044 East Asia 6,686 6,097 6,946 6,896 6,896

2,576 South Asia 1,693 945 3,910 2,600 3,000

5,023 Southeast Asia 5,677 3,883 3,630 3,955 3,655

2,392 Others 2,531 2,768 2,755 2,735 2,765

41,158 Total 40,199 37,619 44,308 43,122 43,607

Production none

6,248 North America 7,285 6,289 7,294 5,849 5,844

1,054 Caribbean 979 869 884 933 933

16,519 South America 16,783 15,783 16,978 16,280 16,472

1,937 European Union - 28 1,954 2,050 2,068 2,090 2,090


2,417 Middle East 2,245 2,392 2,455 2,475 2,475

4,776 North Africa 4,553 4,044 4,837 4,340 4,340


157,701 East Asia 159,486 160,179 159,674 160,266 160,266

154,255 South Asia 153,156 152,263 157,145 153,875 154,175

116,867 Southeast Asia 115,367 111,317 116,807 118,821 119,591

1,339 Others 1,204 815 1,278 1,293 1,261

478,705 Total 479,390 472,964 487,078 483,469 484,709


5,217 North America 5,522 4,814 5,447 4,942 5,101

1,195 Central America 1,199 1,301 1,326 1,342 1,342

1,992 Caribbean 2,051 2,004 2,084 2,203 2,188

14,818 South America 14,980 15,067 15,320 15,133 15,388

3,250 European Union - 28 3,400 3,550 3,650 3,750 3,750


9,140 Middle East 9,000 8,562 8,928 9,215 9,215

4,452 North Africa 4,407 4,279 4,774 4,875 4,875


156,184 East Asia 156,400 156,433 157,851 158,515 158,815

143,331 South Asia 143,183 138,819 142,381 144,075 144,125

102,763 Southeast Asia 102,357 101,520 103,381 102,976 103,176

717 Others 558 553 575 585 585

471,178 Total 471,705 466,111 476,898 479,289 480,498

Ending Stocks none

1,184 North America 1,717 1,602 1,633 1,178 1,122

201 Central America 219 267 273 293 261

264 Caribbean 223 234 191 146 161

1,852 South America 2,211 1,710 1,982 1,655 1,793

1,163 European Union - 28 1,151 1,183 1,115 1,075 1,075

1,777 Middle East 1,742 1,134 1,299 1,114 1,114

610 North Africa 924 924 1,474 1,324 1,324


64,694 East Asia 73,483 83,126 90,966 98,381 97,881

24,920 South Asia 21,428 21,471 22,976 20,871 21,221

21,976 Southeast Asia 21,060 18,008 13,049 11,804 12,024

241 Oceania 223 77 228 259 259

166 Others 187 159 157 132 147

122,049 Total 127,783 132,632 138,112 140,725 141,075




19

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

$/M

T

Corn Daily FOB Export Bids

Argentina Up River Black Sea Brazil Paranagua US Gulf

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

There are few changes this month for 2017/18 global corn and supply use. Corn production is

marginally lower this month with reductions for Russia, the Philippines, and Vietnam more than

offsetting gains for the United States and Pakistan. Global corn trade is fractionally lower driven

by reduced imports for Iran and exports for Brazil. The U.S. season-average farm price is up

$0.05 to $3.25 per bushel.

PRICES

Global corn prices continued to trend upward from last month’s WASDE mainly amid South

America weather concerns, disruptions in the Mississippi waterway, and positioning ahead of the

January WASDE and grains stocks reports. Argentine bids rose $8/ton to $163 and Brazilian

bids were up $4/ton to $165. Black Sea bids were raised $4/ton to $168. U.S. quotes reflected

the strongest growth, up $9/ton to $165.


20

FEATURE

Russia Becomes Major Player In Global Coarse Grain Trade

Barley Exports Diversify

Ample supplies of corn and barley have positioned Russia as a prominent exporter. Corn and

barley exports for 2017/18 are expected to be the second-highest on record. Russia has gone

from a small player to a top-five exporter in the last decade. Burgeoning supplies, low global

prices, and competitive prices have improved prospects for Russia’s exports to supply both

traditional and new markets.

Historically, the Middle East

has been the primary

destination for both barley and

corn, particularly Saudi Arabia,

Iran, and Turkey. The region’s

strong demand for barley is

utilized for sheep and camel

feed, while corn is used in the

region’s growing poultry

industries. Russia’s access to

the Black Sea and Caspian Sea

provides for timely and low-

cost transportation. Starting

December 2017, the

government began subsidizing grain transportation, particularly in regions adjacent to both seas

to dispel any capacity constraints.

Russia’s outreach is spanning to Asia, threatening market opportunities for major exporters,

including the United States. Record corn exports to East Asia and Vietnam in 2016/17 have

underpinned Russia’s diverse network of destinations compared to 5 years ago. Shipments to

Japan were a record, in addition to South Korea being the third-largest destination for Russian

corn. Vietnam was the fourth-largest – no exports were recorded to the country in the past 20

years – supported by a free trade agreement between Russia and Vietnam that went into effect in

late 2016. Rising production, competitive logistics, and low prices could further spur Russia’s

influence on global coarse grain trade.

56% 18%

5%

3%

18% Saudi Arabia

Iran

Libya

Jordan

Other

32%

23% 7%

6%

32% Saudi Arabia

Iran

Libya

Jordan

Other

Corn Exports and Destinations Expand

2012/13 (Oct – Sep) 2016/17

MMT

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Other

Vietnam

Korea South

Turkey

Iran


21

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18

Country Commodity Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Brazil Corn Exports 36,000 35,500 -500 Reflects slower-than anticipated shipments

during October- December

Iran Corn Imports 10,000 9,000 -1,000 Reflects a continued decline in imports from

2016/17

Russia Corn Exports 5,000 4,800 -200 Production cut

Turkey Barley Imports 50 250 200 On stronger demand at the beginning of the

trade year

Ukraine Barley Exports 4700 4900 200 Strong demand from the Middle East


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

TY Exports

29,40529,30526,10525,29021,00316,630 Argentina

6,8256,72510,2656,3897,2867,004 Australia

35,51536,01519,80035,41521,95422,059 Brazil

4,7504,7504,9974,6933,6045,482 Canada

8,5058,5058,17410,97515,0687,841 European Union

1,3001,3001,5391,559792501 Mexico

2,5152,5151,7672,6633,0312,718 Paraguay

9,6609,8609,2618,4659,1557,074 Russia

1,9101,9102,1357647622,128 South Africa

25,61025,41026,86821,45724,20824,125 Ukraine

6,8706,6708,8867,95210,58913,004 Others

132,865132,965119,797125,622117,452108,566 Subtotal

55,36555,36561,79859,23056,41956,776 United States

188,230188,330181,595184,852173,871165,342 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,4255,4254,4735,2244,8634,946 Algeria

1,3501,3503,1762,1211,0231,184 Brazil

2,1802,1801,5381,7441,7071,621 Chile

16,10016,00016,05517,49925,69912,445 China

5,3355,3355,0344,8244,7474,795 Colombia

1,4001,4001,2941,3511,2021,011 Dominican Republic

10,10010,1008,7928,7957,9388,840 Egypt

16,70516,70515,90114,2879,40816,355 European Union

10,40011,30010,0008,3008,0006,600 Iran

1,7851,7851,9251,5051,6012,072 Israel

16,72016,72016,99917,07016,72617,501 Japan

1,7001,7001,5881,7131,4481,443 Jordan

1,3001,3001,106309717444 Kenya

9,7709,7709,29610,19210,24510,499 Korea, South

2,1002,1001,7851,9051,6851,493 Libya

4,0004,0003,5284,0803,2213,485 Malaysia

16,90016,90015,23814,88111,64011,312 Mexico

3,0003,0002,5263,1822,2172,858 Morocco

3,4203,4203,3383,0832,8632,336 Peru

13,01013,01011,83013,99211,11511,332 Saudi Arabia

4,6004,6004,2674,7813,9384,346 Taiwan

1,9001,9001,7451,7131,5251,449 Tunisia

1,2551,0551,7177132,7191,977 Turkey

1,6001,6001,2401,7382,4332,627 Venezuela

9,5009,5008,5008,6006,7004,300 Vietnam

18,97118,70121,57422,54120,60718,809 Others

180,526180,856174,465176,143165,987156,080 Subtotal

4,1043,8743,7084,7284,5885,939 Unaccounted

3,6003,6003,4223,9813,2963,323 United States

188,230188,330181,595184,852173,871165,342 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

Production

49,10449,00448,56938,43936,78235,665 Argentina

11,49611,49616,61812,54412,60512,158 Australia

97,78697,786101,57568,64987,67182,634 Brazil

26,20526,20525,79425,61921,99228,745 Canada

223,931223,931227,437231,402222,405225,062 China

13,03513,03512,70013,03514,44213,078 Ethiopia

150,795150,795152,591152,665170,670159,212 European Union

42,24042,24043,89038,70143,07643,216 India

11,35011,35010,90010,5009,0009,100 Indonesia

31,62531,62533,31532,37832,68932,065 Mexico

18,85018,85019,33516,68118,91714,633 Nigeria

41,99542,30040,76537,42740,38635,735 Russia

12,96312,96318,0378,67511,11015,518 South Africa

13,04313,04310,89314,2439,39313,074 Turkey

34,99034,99039,25533,38739,38940,022 Ukraine

160,561160,931161,777158,909164,615156,343 Others

939,969940,544963,451893,254935,142916,260 Subtotal

384,255383,372402,612367,009377,234367,089 United States

1,324,2241,323,9161,366,0631,260,2631,312,3761,283,349 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

17,38417,38416,34414,32114,23213,695 Argentina

64,89264,89264,03259,82360,00958,053 Brazil

23,24523,24521,65221,25121,29022,345 Canada

261,480261,380252,940238,740228,709223,196 China

16,85816,85816,02715,80314,83214,122 Egypt

160,100160,100160,690157,250162,592164,401 European Union

43,55043,55042,70040,17040,45037,600 India

16,92017,72014,62013,82012,02011,320 Iran

17,06217,06217,24617,25716,87417,570 Japan

48,19048,19046,89544,71542,17540,935 Mexico

19,15019,15019,58016,64118,77614,668 Nigeria

32,71532,60032,12529,71531,13928,219 Russia

14,10514,60513,72514,10511,90511,411 Saudi Arabia

13,71813,51813,09314,09313,02313,414 Turkey

13,40013,40012,90012,2009,4008,200 Vietnam

255,076255,481255,790250,144251,671244,178 Others

1,023,2021,024,7931,029,290942,357965,495931,223 Subtotal

329,030329,282327,479312,597311,339305,044 United States

1,352,2321,354,0751,356,7691,254,9541,276,8341,236,267 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7,3707,3326,9503,1794,2743,169 Argentina

10,7659,76511,0367,0088,23514,265 Brazil

4,1844,1844,9144,6433,3344,648 Canada

80,96380,965102,492112,051101,91782,544 China

14,00614,01415,11115,45218,88515,565 European Union

6,8546,3547,1147,1747,1345,094 Iran

5,0465,0466,0115,8894,8323,487 Mexico

39,25440,34645,97948,97351,61348,545 Others

168,442168,006199,607204,369200,224177,317 Subtotal

65,32564,23362,16848,11246,94834,313 United States

233,767232,239261,775252,481247,172211,630 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2017/18

Jan

2017/18

TY Imports none

15,349 North America 16,649 19,953 19,579 21,560 21,560

2,923 Central America 3,456 3,938 3,799 4,000 4,000

2,330 Caribbean 2,444 2,597 2,659 2,840 2,840

13,180 South America 13,355 13,876 14,945 14,660 14,730

16,355 European Union - 28 9,408 14,287 15,901 16,705 16,705


26,241 Middle East 27,608 29,730 30,657 31,775 31,075

19,586 North Africa 18,228 20,819 19,321 22,525 22,525


44,865 East Asia 56,655 49,576 46,709 47,140 47,240

12,814 Southeast Asia 14,694 15,779 13,944 15,115 15,215

1,819 Others 1,872 2,888 2,767 3,176 3,276

159,403 Total 169,283 180,124 177,887 184,456 184,126

Production none

427,899 North America 431,915 425,006 461,721 441,202 442,085

133,105 South America 139,745 123,258 163,349 160,627 160,727

159,212 European Union - 28 170,670 152,665 152,591 150,795 150,795

8,992 Other Europe 10,927 9,271 11,328 7,337 7,337


22,274 Middle East 17,931 23,165 19,700 21,681 21,681

11,581 North Africa 10,927 12,289 9,263 10,807 10,807


227,452 East Asia 225,083 233,945 230,092 226,503 226,503

54,221 South Asia 54,182 50,176 56,351 54,774 54,974

31,006 Southeast Asia 30,949 31,992 34,035 34,808 34,238

12,794 Oceania 13,283 13,236 17,193 12,066 12,066

5,046 Others 4,760 4,392 4,935 4,909 4,909

1,283,349 Total 1,312,376 1,260,263 1,366,063 1,323,916 1,324,224


368,324 North America 374,804 378,563 396,026 400,717 400,465

95,385 South America 98,562 98,752 103,759 107,045 107,045

164,401 European Union - 28 162,592 157,250 160,690 160,100 160,100

7,803 Other Europe 8,347 8,551 8,917 8,047 8,047


45,989 Middle East 45,620 51,726 51,275 54,989 53,889

28,059 North Africa 30,168 32,142 31,073 33,183 33,183


257,340 East Asia 262,458 272,906 286,344 295,300 295,400

48,965 South Asia 52,095 53,185 56,200 57,704 57,804

39,043 Southeast Asia 41,183 43,943 45,857 46,900 46,900

5,754 Oceania 5,846 6,429 6,824 6,131 5,826

10,060 Others 10,340 10,897 11,323 11,686 11,686

1,228,371 Total 1,260,436 1,272,645 1,327,838 1,348,417 1,346,875

Ending Stocks none

42,448 North America 55,114 58,644 73,093 73,463 74,555

21,572 South America 16,017 14,673 21,745 20,503 21,657

15,565 European Union - 28 18,885 15,452 15,111 14,014 14,006

818 Other Europe 1,102 963 1,627 989 1,017


11,819 Middle East 12,617 14,302 11,747 11,673 10,969

5,703 North Africa 5,412 5,875 3,686 3,830 3,825


86,556 East Asia 105,819 116,410 106,718 84,983 84,981

4,025 South Asia 5,187 3,156 4,437 2,901 3,233

4,324 Southeast Asia 4,149 5,021 3,874 3,428 3,402

1,119 Oceania 1,639 1,594 1,820 1,091 1,080

961 Others 1,123 1,134 1,194 1,237 1,237

211,630 Total 247,172 252,481 261,775 232,239 233,767




World Corn Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

TY Exports

27,00027,00022,95121,67818,44812,846 Argentina

35,50036,00019,79435,38221,90922,041 Brazil

1,2001,2001,1001,0001,2501,100 Burma

1,3001,3001,5381,7673951,939 Canada

2,0002,0002,1711,9494,0272,404 European Union

1,3001,3001,5391,559784501 Mexico

2,5002,5001,7572,6623,0122,714 Paraguay

4,8005,0005,5894,6913,2134,194 Russia

1,9001,9002,1107597462,104 South Africa

20,50020,50021,33416,59519,66120,004 Ukraine

4,3154,2156,2905,7138,11410,292 Others

102,315102,91586,17393,75581,55980,139 Subtotal

48,50048,50055,53551,15646,83150,691 United States

150,815151,415141,708144,911128,390130,830 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,7004,7003,9154,3294,1164,156 Algeria

1,1001,1001,1761,042482488 Bangladesh

1,0001,0008279491,536678 Canada

2,0002,0001,4841,5391,5161,456 Chile

3,0003,0002,4643,1745,5163,277 China

5,0005,0004,7484,4584,4964,436 Colombia

1,0001,000964853886928 Cuba

1,4001,4001,2941,3511,2021,011 Dominican Republic

10,00010,0008,7738,7227,8398,791 Egypt

16,00016,00015,24113,7948,90816,014 European Union

1,0001,0009511,027881767 Guatemala

9,00010,0007,8006,6006,1005,500 Iran

1,4001,4001,5151,1521,2941,651 Israel

15,00015,00015,16915,20114,65715,121 Japan

1,2001,200976200600350 Kenya

9,7009,7009,23110,12110,16810,406 Korea, South

4,0004,0003,5284,0803,2213,485 Malaysia

16,50016,50014,56914,01111,34110,949 Mexico

2,5002,5002,1642,2241,9412,349 Morocco

3,3003,3003,1692,9852,7412,232 Peru

4,5004,5003,4203,5832,9042,684 Saudi Arabia

4,5004,5004,1634,6563,8104,179 Taiwan

1,3001,3001,2441,0171,042993 Tunisia

1,6001,6001,2381,7382,4332,626 Venezuela

9,5009,5008,5008,6006,7004,300 Vietnam

15,60515,43519,67219,20018,46516,863 Others

145,805146,635138,195136,606124,795125,690 Subtotal

3,7103,4802,0636,5232,7864,413 Unaccounted

1,3001,3001,4501,782809727 United States

150,815151,415141,708144,911128,390130,830 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

Production

42,00042,00041,00029,50029,75026,000 Argentina

95,00095,00098,50067,00085,00080,000 Brazil

14,10014,10013,19313,55911,48714,194 Canada

215,891215,891219,552224,632215,646218,489 China

6,0006,0006,0006,0005,9605,800 Egypt

6,5006,5006,3506,8007,2356,492 Ethiopia

60,09160,09161,45358,74875,73464,931 European Union

25,00025,00026,26022,57024,17024,259 India

11,35011,35010,90010,5009,0009,100 Indonesia

26,20026,20027,56525,97125,48022,880 Mexico

10,50010,50010,7559,54010,7918,423 Nigeria

8,2008,3008,1316,9707,6717,532 Philippines

13,50014,00015,30513,16811,32511,635 Russia

12,50012,50017,4758,21410,62914,925 South Africa

25,00025,00028,00023,33328,45030,900 Ukraine

101,764102,034100,775101,441103,93399,318 Others

673,596674,466691,214627,946662,261644,878 Subtotal

370,960370,286384,778345,506361,091351,272 United States

1,044,5561,044,7521,075,992973,4521,023,352996,150 World Total

none

Total Consumption

12,50012,50011,2009,3009,3008,800 Argentina

61,50061,50060,50057,50057,00055,000 Brazil

14,00014,00012,70012,38112,82012,675 Canada

240,000240,000232,000217,500202,000208,000 China

15,90015,90015,10014,85013,90013,200 Egypt

74,80074,80073,70073,50077,88076,796 European Union

25,80025,80025,00023,55022,35019,600 India

12,20012,20012,30012,10012,20011,900 Indonesia

12,10013,10010,1008,8007,4006,800 Iran

15,10015,10015,20015,20014,60015,000 Japan

9,8009,8009,41010,12310,2509,891 Korea, South

42,30042,30040,40037,30034,55031,700 Mexico

10,90010,90011,1009,60010,7008,500 Nigeria

11,70011,70013,12510,97011,65011,500 South Africa

13,40013,40012,90012,2009,4008,200 Vietnam

170,637170,837166,130164,086162,691157,559 Others

748,074748,974748,349669,447686,099661,861 Subtotal

318,658319,039313,854298,785301,792292,958 United States

1,066,7321,068,0131,062,203968,232987,891954,819 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,2676,2675,7621,4592,8981,408 Argentina

10,3699,36910,5696,7697,84213,972 Brazil

79,55479,556100,713110,774100,47281,323 China

6,8336,8417,5426,7199,6266,891 European Union

5,7365,7366,2966,0565,7164,476 Iran

4,5084,5085,4085,2134,0902,603 Mexico

2,1962,1962,9961,0962,4482,198 South Africa

28,18227,68931,21032,75132,67430,116 Others

143,645142,162170,496170,837165,766142,987 Subtotal

62,92861,91558,25344,12343,97431,292 United States

206,573204,077228,749214,960209,740174,279 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2017/18

Jan

2017/18

TY Imports none

12,354 North America 13,686 16,742 16,846 18,800 18,800

2,922 Central America 3,456 3,938 3,799 4,000 4,000

12,025 South America 12,042 12,462 13,609 13,270 13,340

16,014 European Union - 28 8,908 13,794 15,241 16,000 16,000


13,438 Middle East 15,157 14,886 17,100 20,000 19,000

17,101 North Africa 15,622 16,873 16,796 19,300 19,300


33,057 East Asia 34,198 33,186 31,119 32,250 32,250

12,768 Southeast Asia 14,680 15,763 13,927 15,100 15,200

2,330 Caribbean 2,444 2,597 2,657 2,840 2,840

1,468 Others 1,588 2,378 2,173 2,550 2,550

126,417 Total 125,604 138,388 139,645 147,935 147,105

Production none

388,346 North America 398,058 385,036 425,536 410,586 411,260

118,260 South America 127,572 110,079 149,973 148,181 148,181

64,931 European Union - 28 75,734 58,748 61,453 60,091 60,091

7,297 Other Europe 9,132 7,427 9,407 5,484 5,484


8,763 Middle East 7,785 9,213 8,587 9,128 9,128

5,919 North Africa 6,058 6,096 6,130 6,201 6,201


220,582 East Asia 217,995 226,883 221,906 218,150 218,150

34,100 South Asia 34,100 32,861 37,463 36,286 36,486

3,878 Central America 3,588 3,278 3,789 3,810 3,810

30,724 Southeast Asia 30,655 31,697 33,745 34,518 33,948

1,321 Others 1,453 1,280 1,411 1,298 1,298

996,150 Total 1,023,352 973,452 1,075,992 1,044,752 1,044,556


337,333 North America 349,162 348,466 366,954 375,339 374,958

84,206 South America 87,426 88,171 91,958 95,405 95,405

76,796 European Union - 28 77,880 73,500 73,700 74,800 74,800

5,897 Other Europe 6,297 6,522 6,878 5,995 5,995


19,966 Middle East 21,738 23,502 25,368 29,480 28,480

20,800 North Africa 22,100 22,990 23,420 25,200 25,200


239,185 East Asia 233,127 249,279 263,066 271,650 271,650

29,782 South Asia 32,773 35,140 37,190 38,590 38,690

38,754 Southeast Asia 40,849 43,634 45,547 46,600 46,600

6,625 Central America 6,760 7,180 7,520 7,740 7,740

3,581 Others 3,984 3,909 4,012 4,135 4,135

948,079 Total 970,483 987,745 1,034,719 1,062,876 1,061,295

Ending Stocks none

35,495 North America 49,466 51,549 65,702 68,264 69,277

19,028 South America 13,813 12,332 19,720 18,761 19,861

6,891 European Union - 28 9,626 6,719 7,542 6,841 6,833

529 Other Europe 896 849 1,477 888 916


5,970 Middle East 7,050 7,492 7,549 7,106 7,102

3,175 North Africa 3,259 2,988 2,446 2,737 2,737


84,864 East Asia 103,922 114,710 104,556 83,258 83,256

2,937 South Asia 3,834 2,444 3,418 2,104 2,489

4,318 Southeast Asia 4,143 5,015 3,874 3,428 3,402

634 Central America 759 791 851 906 906

396 Others 459 432 423 359 371

174,279 Total 209,740 214,960 228,749 204,077 206,573




World Barley Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

TY Exports

1,8001,7002,6962,8361,5992,829 Argentina

5,8005,8009,1935,4015,2666,261 Australia

1,5001,5001,7701,1471,3861,714 Canada

6,2006,2005,6838,64410,6424,926 European Union

700600823807479596 Kazakhstan

125125143598126 Moldova

4,8004,8003,6293,7355,8072,791 Russia

505033333718 Serbia

15015020049 Turkey

4,9004,7005,3374,6734,3323,827 Ukraine

858512791170589 Others

26,11025,71029,45427,42629,80323,586 Subtotal

130130125161291336 United States

26,24025,84029,57927,58730,09423,922 World Total

none

TY Imports

700700533864723778 Algeria

1001001097111 Belarus

650650737551489337 Brazil

6,5006,5008,1045,8699,8594,891 China

280280285301249253 Colombia

10010014729846 Egypt

50050044731526958 European Union

4003003246721 India

1,4001,3002,2001,7001,9001,100 Iran

350350376319278304 Israel

1,1001,1001,1971,1541,0971,294 Japan

700700759902759997 Jordan

200200502511412436 Kuwait

1,3001,3001,0851,3241,001681 Libya

500500358958276471 Morocco

8,5008,5008,40010,4008,2008,500 Saudi Arabia

1501502502020100 Syria

600600501696483456 Tunisia

25050291146332596 Turkey

400400400668393468 United Arab Emirates

1,0161,0161,3061,1531,5611,251 Others

25,69625,29628,17827,99728,40223,029 Subtotal

1941941,184-7621,262370 Unaccounted

350350217352430523 United States

26,24025,84029,57927,58730,09423,922 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

Production

2,8502,7503,3004,9402,9004,750 Argentina

8,0008,00012,9218,9938,6469,174 Australia

1,9001,9001,2531,8491,9881,674 Belarus

7,9007,9008,7848,2267,11910,237 Canada

2,1002,1002,0001,8701,8101,700 China

2,0702,0702,0501,9501,9531,908 Ethiopia

58,68058,68059,86062,09560,60959,674 European Union

1,7401,7401,4401,6131,8311,752 India

3,1003,1003,0003,0003,2002,800 Iran

1,3251,3251,5501,5501,000944 Iraq

2,7002,7003,2312,6752,4122,539 Kazakhstan

2,0002,0006203,4001,6382,723 Morocco

20,20020,50017,54717,08320,02615,389 Russia

6,4006,4004,7507,4004,0007,300 Turkey

8,7008,7009,9008,7519,4507,561 Ukraine

8,9088,9089,6669,4969,1799,523 Others

138,573138,773141,872144,891137,761139,648 Subtotal

3,0903,0904,3534,7503,9534,719 United States

141,663141,863146,225149,641141,714144,367 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,8501,8502,0502,1502,0502,050 Algeria

2,8003,0003,5003,3003,0002,800 Australia

2,0002,0001,4001,8502,0001,800 Belarus

7,0007,0006,7626,9606,4717,718 Canada

8,9008,9009,8007,90011,6006,300 China

2,0752,0752,0251,9901,9751,925 Ethiopia

53,50053,50055,00051,37550,93753,400 European Union

2,0502,0501,9001,5201,4001,200 India

4,8004,6004,5005,0004,6004,500 Iran

2,2002,2002,2502,0002,0001,900 Kazakhstan

2,4502,4502,2003,3502,6382,300 Morocco

15,50015,70014,70013,70014,10012,700 Russia

9,3259,8259,82510,2258,5258,625 Saudi Arabia

6,1005,9005,6006,9005,3506,950 Turkey

4,1004,3004,9004,3005,5005,100 Ukraine

17,52817,52818,39618,60516,76017,079 Others

141,824143,124145,900143,221138,070136,183 Subtotal

4,2904,2904,3754,4084,2354,775 United States

146,114147,414150,275147,629142,305140,958 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,4781,4782,0281,4491,2171,950 Canada

5,1295,1295,6496,0605,8345,621 European Union

1,1186188181,1181,418618 Iran

8039038537411,522880 Russia

1,5292,7292,3444,0593,0743,389 Saudi Arabia

761761361961332899 Turkey

9689681,2631,6091,5652,071 Ukraine

4,8244,9146,7638,2257,7607,805 Others

16,61017,50020,07924,22222,72223,233 Subtotal

1,3341,3342,3162,2231,7111,791 United States

17,94418,83422,39526,44524,43325,024 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2017/18

Jan

2017/18

TY Imports none

640 North America 779 615 293 500 500

886 South America 1,169 1,157 1,252 1,115 1,115

58 European Union - 28 269 315 447 500 500

158 Other Europe 124 81 121 120 120


12,537 Middle East 12,399 14,798 13,503 11,725 12,025

2,432 North Africa 2,581 3,914 2,491 3,200 3,200

116 Sub-Saharan Africa 138 31 75 135 135

6,320 East Asia 11,080 7,136 9,413 7,710 7,710

11 South Asia 22 133 339 351 451

46 Oceania 32 7 25 25 25

23,552 Total 28,832 28,349 28,395 25,646 26,046

Production none

15,550 North America 11,918 13,711 14,115 11,725 11,725

5,807 South America 3,794 5,925 4,714 3,842 3,942

59,674 European Union - 28 60,609 62,095 59,860 58,680 58,680

1,228 Other Europe 1,241 1,258 1,333 1,286 1,286


12,043 Middle East 8,653 12,558 9,725 11,235 11,235

4,739 North Africa 3,913 5,275 2,203 3,676 3,676


1,991 East Asia 2,134 2,158 2,297 2,409 2,409

2,261 South Asia 2,340 2,116 1,972 2,262 2,262

9,580 Oceania 9,052 9,430 13,266 8,340 8,340

144,367 Total 141,714 149,641 146,225 141,863 141,663


13,243 North America 11,556 12,293 12,087 12,190 12,190

3,578 South America 3,398 3,633 3,574 3,365 3,365

53,400 European Union - 28 50,937 51,375 55,000 53,500 53,500

1,334 Other Europe 1,414 1,373 1,404 1,387 1,387


24,410 Middle East 22,186 26,775 24,468 24,136 24,036

6,282 North Africa 7,120 8,203 6,697 7,028 7,028


8,009 East Asia 13,162 9,481 11,441 10,486 10,486

1,713 South Asia 1,923 2,053 2,468 2,638 2,638

3,240 Oceania 3,450 3,750 3,900 3,360 3,160

141,122 Total 143,141 145,533 149,183 147,168 146,468

Ending Stocks none

3,974 North America 3,326 4,058 4,759 3,162 3,162

867 South America 792 1,060 662 444 504

5,621 European Union - 28 5,834 6,060 5,649 5,129 5,129

237 Other Europe 160 79 97 66 66


5,781 Middle East 5,508 6,755 4,154 4,528 3,828

2,505 North Africa 2,105 2,838 1,186 1,039 1,034


1,038 East Asia 1,090 904 1,173 806 806

247 South Asia 259 274 214 249 189

747 Oceania 1,173 1,115 1,311 701 716

25,024 Total 24,433 26,445 22,395 18,834 17,944




World Sorghum Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

TY Exports

600600457772954953 Argentina

6006005427171,701408 Australia

30303423911 China

202015257575 Ethiopia

5050247412288 India

1001001005010050 Nigeria

150150164120156229 Ukraine

100100243116199219 Others

1,6501,6501,5791,8973,3162,033 Subtotal

6,7006,7006,0907,8719,2695,714 United States

8,3508,3507,6699,76812,5857,747 World Total

none

TY Imports

1501504213498109 Chile

6,3006,3005,2098,28410,1624,161 China

50500640104 Colombia

150150194119131184 European Union

5505505616499031,003 Japan

10010013010511794 Kenya

20020054866129162 Mexico

80801001208661 South Africa

150150501987108 South Sudan

20020010020012075 Sudan

350350463593416652 Others

8,2808,2807,39710,94812,1496,713 Subtotal

2020228-1,2784091,031 Unaccounted

50504498273 United States

8,3508,3507,6699,76812,5857,747 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

Production

3,5003,5003,4003,3753,5004,400 Argentina

1,9001,9009911,7912,2091,282 Australia

1,8061,8061,8651,0322,0551,890 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6801,4361,7081,880 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1501,260 Cameroon

1,1001,1001,4601,266922800 Chad

3,8503,8503,8002,7502,8852,892 China

3,7653,7653,6003,9004,3393,829 Ethiopia

4,5004,5004,5704,2385,4455,542 India

1,3001,3001,3941,5271,272820 Mali

4,6004,6004,7005,5876,2708,500 Mexico

1,7001,7001,8081,8771,4261,320 Niger

6,5506,5506,8875,6646,7415,300 Nigeria

4,5004,5005,8642,3886,2814,524 Sudan

800800800820883832 Tanzania

7,3077,3077,0397,4318,1647,509 Others

50,12850,12851,00846,23255,25052,580 Subtotal

9,2429,03312,19915,15810,9889,966 United States

59,37059,16163,20761,39066,23862,546 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9002,9003,1002,9002,8002,700 Argentina

1,0001,005675905505905 Australia

1,8001,8001,7001,1502,0002,000 Brazil

1,7601,7601,6401,4651,7001,900 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1801,1751,1751,275 Cameroon

1,1601,1601,4701,270930900 Chad

10,20010,2008,80011,00012,9006,800 China

3,8003,8003,7504,1004,1003,900 Ethiopia

4,5004,5004,5004,6005,1005,200 India

1,3501,3501,3941,5271,200950 Mali

4,8004,8005,3506,3006,6008,300 Mexico

1,8501,8501,9001,8201,4501,300 Niger

6,4506,4506,7875,5646,6915,258 Nigeria

8408407608301,050790 South Sudan

4,8004,8005,8143,1006,0004,600 Sudan

8,5628,5628,2178,8849,5069,046 Others

57,04557,05057,17156,13463,52656,929 Subtotal

2,9222,7946,2126,1872,4594,130 United States

59,96759,84463,38362,32165,98561,059 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8528528529529711,202 Argentina

200191100234252177 Australia

21121121551194152 Brazil

812812892717706568 China

184184184286338647 Mexico

190190190180130180 Nigeria

196196301226743357 Sudan

1,2641,2571,5391,7232,4281,830 Others

3,9093,8934,2734,3695,7625,113 Subtotal

617538850930468864 United States

4,5264,4315,1235,2996,2305,977 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2017/18

Jan

2017/18

TY Imports none

165 North America 56 759 592 250 250

240 South America 114 212 48 235 235

184 European Union - 28 131 119 194 150 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

233 Middle East 24 34 45 30 30

41 North Africa 1 1 5 0 0


5,281 East Asia 11,142 9,011 5,823 6,905 6,905

46 Southeast Asia 14 16 17 15 15

15 Others 32 231 42 50 50

6,716 Total 12,176 11,046 7,441 8,330 8,330

Production none

18,466 North America 17,258 20,745 16,899 13,633 13,842

327 Central America 326 337 326 335 335

112 Caribbean 125 123 118 91 91

7,468 South America 6,967 5,682 6,179 6,428 6,428

703 European Union - 28 887 674 639 659 659

706 Middle East 821 697 695 625 625

767 North Africa 809 752 755 755 755


2,895 East Asia 2,887 2,752 3,802 3,852 3,852

5,661 South Asia 5,548 4,383 4,700 4,630 4,630


1,282 Oceania 2,209 1,791 991 1,900 1,900

354 Others 224 191 275 250 250

62,546 Total 66,238 61,390 63,207 59,161 59,370


12,430 North America 9,059 12,487 11,562 7,594 7,722

317 Central America 321 345 321 335 335

112 Caribbean 125 123 120 91 91

6,062 South America 6,362 5,409 5,843 6,016 6,016

880 European Union - 28 995 800 790 800 800

828 Middle East 976 740 742 660 660

813 North Africa 785 752 755 755 755


7,951 East Asia 13,882 11,733 9,417 10,807 10,807

5,334 South Asia 5,235 4,956 4,646 4,680 4,680


905 Oceania 505 905 675 1,005 1,000

75 Others 75 75 100 105 105

59,954 Total 66,166 62,777 63,249 59,721 59,844

Ending Stocks none

1,511 North America 806 1,216 1,034 722 801

21 Central America 26 13 13 8 8

1,548 South America 1,310 1,140 1,122 1,134 1,134

18 European Union - 28 27 16 31 35 35

27 Middle East 39 35 24 19 19

22 North Africa 47 48 53 53 53


627 East Asia 765 772 944 864 864

364 South Asia 587 151 198 141 148

177 Oceania 252 234 100 191 200

76 Others 69 65 59 54 54

5,977 Total 6,230 5,299 5,123 4,431 4,526




World Oats Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

TY Exports

350250455214264267 Australia

1,8001,8001,5571,6671,7341,732 Canada

303027268449 Chile

200200179220231291 European Union

101012506 Kazakhstan

10101416146 Russia

50501948466 Ukraine

1010681010 Others

2,4602,3602,2692,2042,3832,367 Subtotal


2,4902,3902,3132,2402,4082,396 World Total

none

TY Imports

252525312412 Algeria

556443 Bosnia and Herzegovina

101018111227 Canada

300200278172162116 China

551122 Colombia

303030382121 Ecuador


505048504746 Japan

100100119778693 Mexico

5537438 Norway

5511411 Russia

550122 Serbia

303024314619 South Africa

505054414951 Switzerland

555040 Turkey

5596107 Others

635535634483478441 Subtotal

15515514022516289 Unaccounted

1,7001,7001,5391,5321,7681,866 United States

2,4902,3902,3132,2402,4082,396 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

660660785553525445 Argentina

1,1001,1002,1261,3001,1981,255 Australia

500500390492522352 Belarus

682682828351307380 Brazil

3,7003,7003,1953,4282,9793,906 Canada

670670713533421610 Chile

190190185180255235 China

8,0738,0738,0367,5247,8218,380 European Union

270270335244226305 Kazakhstan

909072859391 Mexico

300300330286283224 Norway

5,4404,9004,7504,5275,2674,932 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

500500500498610467 Ukraine

328328344320291319 Others

22,82322,28322,90920,64121,11822,221 Subtotal

7177179401,3001,019938 United States

23,54023,00023,84921,94122,13723,159 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135132141126118 Algeria

690690760550525425 Argentina

9501,0501,5001,025950950 Australia

500500400500500375 Belarus

705705775345305375 Brazil

1,9001,9001,8141,6111,6761,660 Canada

660660655485355570 Chile

480380440370400350 China

7,8007,8008,0007,4007,7308,075 European Union

275275274245225275 Kazakhstan

190190195190175185 Mexico

320320315295295245 Norway

5,4004,9004,8004,6005,2004,900 Russia

215215210210215215 Turkey

450450450450600475 Ukraine

510510519482466492 Others

21,31020,81021,43919,05919,74519,905 Subtotal

2,7122,7122,5392,7022,4472,757 United States

24,02223,52223,97821,76122,19222,662 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

11416131414393105 Australia

7007006909306731,054 Canada

707090622745 Chile

657657579690770894 European Union


182142147199289230 Russia

656565433867 Ukraine

221227291193228198 Others

2,0692,0822,2512,2872,1512,627 Subtotal

431431731824780359 United States

2,5002,5132,9823,1112,9312,986 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2017/18

Jan

2017/18

TY Imports none

1,986 North America 1,866 1,620 1,676 1,810 1,810

29 South America 30 45 36 40 40

3 European Union - 28 4 9 3 5 5

94 Other Europe 62 53 63 65 65


0 Middle East 4 0 5 5 5

12 North Africa 24 31 29 25 25


162 East Asia 209 222 326 250 350

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,307 Total 2,246 2,015 2,173 2,235 2,335

Production none

4,935 North America 4,091 4,813 4,207 4,507 4,507

1,478 South America 1,281 1,478 2,372 2,055 2,055

8,380 European Union - 28 7,821 7,524 8,036 8,073 8,073

359 Other Europe 411 418 464 423 423


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

156 North Africa 147 166 175 175 175


237 East Asia 257 181 186 191 191

1,283 Oceania 1,233 1,329 2,163 1,135 1,135

23,159 Total 22,137 21,941 23,849 23,000 23,540


4,602 North America 4,298 4,503 4,548 4,802 4,802

1,447 South America 1,245 1,445 2,273 2,138 2,138

8,075 European Union - 28 7,730 7,400 8,000 7,800 7,800

435 Other Europe 479 484 506 506 506


215 Middle East 215 210 210 215 215

164 North Africa 163 197 201 200 200


400 East Asia 450 420 490 430 530

978 Oceania 985 1,054 1,535 1,085 985

22,442 Total 22,190 21,601 23,778 23,392 23,892

Ending Stocks none

1,417 North America 1,459 1,758 1,425 1,135 1,135

129 South America 102 141 241 164 158

894 European Union - 28 770 690 579 657 657

52 Other Europe 46 35 53 35 35


8 Middle East 6 6 6 6 6

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


23 East Asia 39 22 44 55 55

105 Oceania 93 143 316 163 116

2,986 Total 2,931 3,111 2,982 2,513 2,500




World Rye Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

TY Exports

202082400 Belarus

1501501321128997 Canada

100100139160167201 European Union

5050292312183 Russia

101014211359 Ukraine

000011 Others

330330322340391441 Subtotal


335335326346394447 World Total

none

TY Imports


15154121833 Israel

202024162237 Japan

554548 Korea, South

101042621 Norway

554555 Russia

552366 Switzerland

0031661 Others

11011061109163207 Subtotal

25259320-3136 Unaccounted

200200172217262204 United States

335335326346394447 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Dec

2017/18

Jan

none

Production

828279619752 Argentina

800800651753867648 Belarus

320320415226218223 Canada

7,5177,5177,4937,8338,86410,151 European Union

2,5402,5002,5382,0843,2793,360 Russia

350350350350300365 Turkey

450450390394475638 Ukraine

155155145178176130 Others

12,21412,17412,06111,87914,27615,567 Subtotal

246246342295183194 United States

12,46012,42012,40312,17414,45915,761 World Total

none

Total Consumption

828279619752 Argentina

262625221919 Australia

800800700800850700 Belarus

160160169119134107 Canada

7,6007,6007,7008,0258,6009,650 European Union


525223674635 Norway

2,6002,4002,4002,1503,2503,100 Russia

350350350350325350 Turkey

460460380420475625 Ukraine

1031039490108142 Others

12,28912,09011,97412,16313,97414,815 Subtotal

448447499515406424 United States

12,73712,53712,47312,67814,38015,239 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

30305099166149 Belarus

165165155514244 Canada

6846848171,0841,3861,204 European Union

7712448 Kazakhstan

181341286155264344 Russia

141414141433 Turkey

53537375106128 Ukraine

001234 Others

1,1341,2941,4081,4841,9851,914 Subtotal


1,1491,3091,4261,4962,0001,921 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2017/18

Jan

2017/18

TY Imports none

204 North America 262 217 172 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

96 European Union - 28 96 50 16 50 50

28 Other Europe 12 5 6 15 15


33 Middle East 24 12 4 15 15


45 East Asia 26 21 28 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

411 Total 425 326 233 310 310

Production none

417 North America 401 521 757 566 566

59 South America 106 69 91 94 94

10,151 European Union - 28 8,864 7,833 7,493 7,517 7,517

57 Other Europe 83 108 64 84 84


365 Middle East 300 350 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 22 25 26 26

15,761 Total 14,459 12,174 12,403 12,420 12,460


531 North America 540 634 668 607 608

59 South America 106 69 91 94 94

9,650 European Union - 28 8,600 8,025 7,700 7,600 7,600

86 Other Europe 97 112 69 99 99


383 Middle East 343 362 354 365 365


48 East Asia 27 22 29 26 26

19 Oceania 19 22 25 26 26

15,244 Total 14,375 12,656 12,452 12,515 12,716

Ending Stocks none

51 North America 57 63 173 180 180

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,204 European Union - 28 1,386 1,084 817 684 684

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


33 Middle East 14 14 14 14 14


4 East Asia 3 2 1 0 0

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,921 Total 2,000 1,496 1,426 1,309 1,149




40

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR

SELECTED REGIONS AND

COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 41

China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 42

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 43

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 44

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 48

Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 50

Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 52

Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 53

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..54

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 55

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 56

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 57

World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 58

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.56.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.5 129.959.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 15.6

145.2 128.056.027.35.35.327.3 2016/17 10.8

151.6 128.857.027.06.05.726.5 2017/18 12.6

Coarse Grains

140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1

165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3

158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3

143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1

159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6

170.7 162.6121.614.09.25.530.8 2014/15 18.9

152.7 157.3117.113.114.35.130.2 2015/16 15.5

152.6 160.7120.18.115.85.229.4 2016/17 15.1

150.8 160.1119.58.516.75.129.5 2017/18 14.0

Wheat and Coarse Grains

265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5

259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9

279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8

288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3

280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8

303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5

327.6 287.3176.649.415.25.757.5 2014/15 31.6

313.1 287.1176.147.821.25.557.0 2015/16 31.0

297.8 288.7176.135.421.15.356.7 2016/17 25.9

302.4 288.9176.535.522.75.456.0 2017/18 26.6


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.50.73.55.424.1 2015/16 97.0

128.8 118.516.50.74.45.324.2 2016/17 111.0

130.0 116.013.00.84.05.424.2 2017/18 128.2

Coarse Grains

158.8 153.2104.75.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

158.8 157.6106.40.91.25.031.8 2007/08 39.5

172.1 160.9108.80.21.75.332.2 2008/09 52.1

169.4 172.9118.80.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.2

183.5 188.1128.40.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.3 195.9131.70.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.3

211.8 209.3145.70.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.3

225.1 223.2157.40.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.5

222.4 228.7158.40.025.75.739.2 2014/15 101.9

231.4 238.7166.40.017.55.840.2 2015/16 112.1

227.4 252.9174.30.116.15.839.0 2016/17 102.5

223.9 261.5179.00.116.15.937.7 2017/18 81.0


267.2 255.2108.78.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.5

268.1 263.6114.43.71.24.855.5 2007/08 78.5

284.6 266.4116.80.92.15.155.8 2008/09 97.9

284.5 279.9128.81.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.6

298.6 298.6141.41.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

315.7 318.4155.71.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.2

332.9 334.3170.71.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.2

347.0 339.7173.40.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.8

348.6 345.2174.40.827.65.563.2 2014/15 178.0

361.6 350.7176.90.821.05.664.3 2015/16 209.1

356.3 371.4190.80.920.55.663.2 2016/17 213.5

353.9 377.5192.00.920.15.761.9 2017/18 209.2


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.71.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.2 4.91.21.31.94.60.9 2013/14 1.0

4.1 4.91.20.71.84.11.0 2014/15 1.3

4.4 4.91.21.01.84.70.9 2015/16 1.6

4.7 5.01.31.32.04.81.0 2016/17 2.0

4.2 5.01.31.31.94.60.9 2017/18 1.8

Coarse Grains

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.4

9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.0 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.83.22.1 2012/13 0.6

9.0 7.86.41.90.94.52.0 2013/14 0.8

10.9 8.37.03.10.86.01.8 2014/15 1.1

9.3 8.67.21.60.85.11.8 2015/16 1.0

11.3 8.97.62.50.76.31.8 2016/17 1.6

7.3 8.06.70.80.94.11.8 2017/18 1.0


13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.6

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.9

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.38.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.4

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

13.2 12.77.63.12.74.52.9 2013/14 1.8

15.0 13.28.13.72.55.32.8 2014/15 2.4

13.6 13.58.42.62.65.02.7 2015/16 2.6

16.1 14.08.83.82.75.82.8 2016/17 3.6

11.6 13.17.92.02.74.32.7 2017/18 2.8


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.6

77.8 71.721.625.47.31.844.1 2012/13 14.5

103.8 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.8

112.4 75.024.540.27.72.446.6 2014/15 20.7

118.0 77.826.751.57.42.448.9 2015/16 16.8

130.5 79.128.054.47.42.650.6 2016/17 21.1

141.3 84.032.560.58.02.850.3 2017/18 25.8

Coarse Grains

78.6 53.938.024.61.12.927.0 2011/12 6.3

68.3 49.634.919.80.82.527.5 2012/13 6.0

87.9 56.440.730.90.83.029.4 2013/14 7.4

91.8 58.342.233.90.83.030.3 2014/15 7.9

82.6 53.438.331.30.52.928.0 2015/16 6.2

92.2 55.940.536.60.83.327.9 2016/17 6.7

89.5 55.440.336.40.73.327.6 2017/18 5.2


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.3

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

15.0 6.92.17.40.11.212.4 2016/17 3.4

14.0 6.92.17.50.11.211.8 2017/18 3.0

Russia

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 40.017.027.80.52.727.0 2016/17 10.8

85.0 45.021.535.00.53.127.2 2017/18 16.3

Ukraine

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.25.117.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.3

26.8 10.33.618.10.04.26.5 2016/17 1.8

26.5 9.83.417.00.04.06.6 2017/18 1.5

Uzbekistan

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.42.30.22.75.11.4 2015/16 2.5

7.2 9.72.40.22.75.11.4 2016/17 2.5

7.2 9.92.50.22.85.11.4 2017/18 2.4

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.4 12.33.30.44.52.53.3 2014/15 3.2

8.7 12.33.30.73.82.73.2 2015/16 2.7

9.0 12.22.90.94.02.73.4 2016/17 2.6

8.6 12.43.00.84.62.63.3 2017/18 2.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

112.4 75.024.540.27.72.446.6 2014/15 20.7

118.0 77.826.751.57.42.448.9 2015/16 16.8

130.5 79.128.054.47.42.650.6 2016/17 21.1

141.3 84.032.560.58.02.850.3 2017/18 25.8



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.3

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

3.2 2.32.00.80.01.71.9 2016/17 0.3

2.7 2.21.90.70.01.32.1 2017/18 0.2

Russia

20.0 14.19.25.30.12.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.79.04.20.12.18.0 2015/16 0.7

17.5 14.79.92.90.22.28.0 2016/17 0.9

20.2 15.510.74.80.12.67.7 2017/18 0.8

Ukraine

9.5 5.54.04.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.6

8.8 4.32.84.40.02.93.0 2015/16 1.6

9.9 4.93.55.40.03.23.1 2016/17 1.3

8.7 4.12.84.90.03.32.7 2017/18 1.0

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2015/16 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2017/18 0.0


3.5 3.62.80.10.22.61.3 2014/15 0.4

3.9 3.72.90.10.02.91.3 2015/16 0.5

3.2 3.42.50.10.12.61.3 2016/17 0.3

3.7 3.93.10.10.22.81.3 2017/18 0.2


35.6 25.517.910.40.32.315.3 2014/15 3.8

32.6 24.016.69.60.12.314.5 2015/16 3.0

34.1 25.518.19.20.42.414.2 2016/17 2.8

35.6 26.018.710.50.32.613.8 2017/18 2.1



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.70.60.00.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

0.8 0.70.60.00.05.60.1 2016/17 0.2

0.8 0.80.70.10.05.60.1 2017/18 0.1

Russia

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.7

13.2 8.77.84.70.04.92.7 2015/16 0.6

15.3 9.68.75.60.15.52.8 2016/17 0.7

13.5 8.98.04.80.14.92.8 2017/18 0.6

Ukraine

28.5 8.67.219.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.5

23.3 6.95.516.60.05.74.1 2015/16 1.4

28.0 6.55.121.30.06.64.3 2016/17 1.6

25.0 5.13.820.50.05.64.5 2017/18 1.0

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2017/18 0.0


3.4 3.43.10.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8

2.5 2.92.60.20.32.90.9 2015/16 0.5

3.1 3.02.70.20.23.60.9 2016/17 0.6

3.4 3.43.10.20.33.70.9 2017/18 0.7


44.0 20.818.123.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.2

39.9 19.316.621.50.45.17.8 2015/16 2.6

47.3 20.017.227.20.35.98.1 2016/17 3.1

42.8 18.415.725.60.45.18.3 2017/18 2.4


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

13.9 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.8

11.3 5.70.29.60.02.93.9 2015/16 0.8

18.4 5.20.113.80.03.35.6 2016/17 0.2

17.5 5.50.111.90.03.15.6 2017/18 0.3

Australia

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.7 7.23.816.60.21.912.4 2014/15 4.7

22.3 7.13.716.10.22.011.3 2015/16 3.9

30.4 7.43.922.60.12.611.7 2016/17 4.4

21.5 6.83.416.00.21.712.5 2017/18 3.2

Canada

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.14.024.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 7.92.822.10.52.99.6 2015/16 5.2

31.7 10.45.420.20.53.68.9 2016/17 6.8

30.0 8.73.522.00.53.39.0 2017/18 6.6

European Union

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.56.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.5 129.959.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 15.6

145.2 128.056.027.35.35.327.3 2016/17 10.8

151.6 128.857.027.06.05.726.5 2017/18 12.6

Kazakhstan

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.3

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

15.0 6.92.17.40.11.212.4 2016/17 3.4

14.0 6.92.17.50.11.211.8 2017/18 3.0

Russia

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 40.017.027.80.52.727.0 2016/17 10.8

85.0 45.021.535.00.53.127.2 2017/18 16.3



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.25.117.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.3

26.8 10.33.618.10.04.26.5 2016/17 1.8

26.5 9.83.417.00.04.06.6 2017/18 1.5

Total Wheat Competitors

306.2 192.174.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.3

320.8 201.182.1121.17.73.495.4 2014/15 44.5

323.7 206.786.9133.18.53.495.9 2015/16 37.0

340.1 208.288.1137.36.63.499.2 2016/17 38.2

346.1 211.591.0136.47.23.599.2 2017/18 43.7



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

29.8 9.36.019.00.08.53.5 2014/15 2.9

29.5 9.36.021.60.08.03.7 2015/16 1.5

41.0 11.27.525.50.08.44.9 2016/17 5.8

42.0 12.58.529.00.08.15.2 2017/18 6.3

Brazil

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8

67.0 57.549.014.03.44.216.0 2015/16 6.8

98.5 60.551.035.00.85.617.6 2016/17 10.6

95.0 61.552.034.00.35.417.7 2017/18 10.4

China

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 217.5153.50.03.25.938.1 2015/16 110.8

219.6 232.0162.00.12.56.036.8 2016/17 100.7

215.9 240.0166.00.13.06.135.4 2017/18 79.6

South Africa

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7

14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2

10.6 11.76.20.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.4



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


8.2 11.05.70.82.23.72.2 2015/16 1.1

17.5 13.17.12.50.15.83.0 2016/17 3.0

12.5 11.75.81.70.14.32.9 2017/18 2.2

Total Corn Competitors

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.1

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.8

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

341.0 280.0200.254.17.85.759.4 2014/15 113.7

329.3 295.3214.236.58.85.560.0 2015/16 120.1

376.5 316.8227.663.13.36.062.3 2016/17 120.0

365.4 325.7232.364.83.46.061.2 2017/18 98.4



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.6 3.01.75.20.02.14.1 2014/15 1.1

9.0 3.32.05.70.02.24.1 2015/16 1.1

12.9 3.52.29.20.02.84.6 2016/17 1.3

8.0 2.81.55.80.02.13.9 2017/18 0.7

Canada

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.31.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 7.05.81.20.23.52.4 2015/16 1.4

8.8 6.85.51.50.14.02.2 2016/17 2.0

7.9 7.05.81.50.13.82.1 2017/18 1.5

European Union

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.6 50.935.79.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.8

62.1 51.436.510.80.35.112.2 2015/16 6.1

59.9 55.040.15.70.44.912.3 2016/17 5.6

58.7 53.538.66.20.54.812.3 2017/18 5.1



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.4 2.92.50.50.04.50.8 2015/16 1.0

3.4 3.12.70.40.04.90.7 2016/17 0.9

3.5 2.92.50.60.04.60.8 2017/18 0.9

Australia

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.2 0.50.51.60.03.00.7 2014/15 0.3

1.8 0.90.90.90.03.40.5 2015/16 0.2

1.0 0.70.50.50.02.70.4 2016/17 0.1

1.9 1.00.80.80.03.00.6 2017/18 0.2


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

26,55231,9424,06521,81121,1683,0543,06856,117nr319,149 2015/16

32,13131,7534,25929,48828,7163,2973,21562,833nr417,746 2016/17

26,92130,2642,72226,00026,5354,2004,21847,371nr315,211 2017/18

Corn

44,123298,785129,90951,15648,2881,7821,716345,506nr1132,680 2015/16

58,253313,854138,86655,53558,2421,4501,448384,778nr1135,106 2016/17

62,928318,658140,97648,50048,8971,3001,270370,960nr1133,469 2017/18

Sorghum

9306,1872,7077,8718,6269811715,158nr53,177 2015/16

8506,2123,2916,0906,111444412,199nr52,494 2016/17

6172,9221,6516,7006,60450519,242nr52,042 2017/18

Barley

2,2234,4089661612353524054,750nr41,278 2015/16

2,3164,375847125952172104,353nr41,038 2016/17

1,3344,2907621301093503273,090nr4791 2017/18

Oats

8242,7021,59136291,5321,4751,300nr3516 2015/16

7312,5391,43444501,5391,556940nr2397 2016/17

4312,7121,57930291,7001,724717nr2324 2017/18

Rye

1251519565217222295nr2148 2015/16

1849915944172167342nr2168 2016/17

154489955200204246nr2116 2017/18

Rice, Milled

1,4753,580nr3,3733,3967687666,1338,76181,046 2015/16

1,4624,171nr3,4003,7047607457,11710,16781,253 2016/17

9263,811nr3,3003,1757757915,6598,0848961 2017/18

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,218.0 338.81,301.7619.4203.32.2541.8 1988/89

1,327.1 320.01,345.9644.3208.92.4548.0 1989/90

1,417.5 368.01,369.5669.8190.12.6545.5 1990/91

1,355.5 357.61,365.9653.4207.52.5543.2 1991/92

1,431.7 398.11,388.4664.2205.22.6545.8 1992/93

1,356.4 365.41,389.1657.1188.22.5535.9 1993/94

1,393.0 362.41,395.9670.6200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.9 319.51,381.8641.8187.52.5527.2 1995/96

1,490.2 367.91,441.9674.8198.32.7545.7 1996/97

1,490.8 415.11,443.5685.8190.42.8535.1 1997/98

1,481.4 447.81,448.6685.4198.72.8520.3 1998/99

1,465.5 442.91,469.9690.3214.02.9506.1 1999/00

1,446.2 418.11,470.9699.1204.82.8509.1 2000/01

1,479.8 402.51,495.4713.4208.32.9511.5 2001/02

1,444.9 341.41,506.0711.4209.22.9504.1 2002/03

1,473.3 279.01,535.7718.0205.82.9511.1 2003/04

1,642.7 335.61,586.1756.2214.43.2514.7 2004/05

1,598.4 318.01,616.1757.9222.53.1520.4 2005/06

1,585.1 272.61,630.5749.5229.93.1518.2 2006/07

1,694.9 289.11,678.4764.2244.73.2535.0 2007/08

1,795.8 360.31,724.6773.9253.53.3539.1 2008/09

1,802.5 396.31,766.5783.9254.13.4531.7 2009/10

1,748.6 359.51,785.4775.4249.83.3522.5 2010/11

1,854.3 360.91,852.9809.3287.03.5536.4 2011/12

1,793.9 342.41,812.3808.6279.63.4532.5 2012/13

1,998.4 406.61,934.2864.6327.83.7545.5 2013/14

2,040.5 465.11,982.0887.1335.83.7547.4 2014/15

1,995.6 494.21,966.5903.6356.93.7546.6 2015/16

2,116.5 514.52,096.2946.8363.93.9545.8 2016/17

2,081.2 501.82,093.9958.6371.13.8540.9 2017/18

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

537.5 155.8545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 164.4572.7101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.9576.7106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 209.3579.1109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 209.1587.7104.6111.92.8212.6 1999/00

582.8 206.1585.8109.8102.02.7215.3 2000/01

583.9 203.3586.6111.9107.92.7214.2 2001/02

569.7 169.1603.9116.1106.52.7213.4 2002/03

555.7 135.9588.9101.7103.52.7207.9 2003/04

626.7 156.4606.2110.7113.22.9215.7 2004/05

618.8 153.3622.0117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.5616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

611.9 128.2617.2105.0116.02.8216.9 2007/08

684.2 169.4643.0123.9143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.3 203.8652.9122.2135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.6 199.2654.2116.6134.03.0216.9 2010/11

697.3 199.1697.5148.6153.63.2221.0 2011/12

658.8 177.9680.0138.3147.23.1215.9 2012/13

715.1 195.0698.0126.7162.53.3219.7 2013/14

728.2 218.0705.2131.7161.93.3221.5 2014/15

735.3 241.7711.6136.5172.03.3223.7 2015/16

750.4 252.7739.4147.1182.33.4221.6 2016/17

757.0 268.0741.7143.3182.93.4219.8 2017/18

Coarse Grains

801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

909.0 203.5869.2573.494.32.9318.6 1996/97

880.6 217.2866.9579.685.82.9308.8 1997/98

890.9 238.5869.5575.996.73.0301.2 1998/99

878.0 233.8882.2585.7102.13.0293.4 1999/00

863.4 212.1885.1589.2102.82.9293.8 2000/01

895.9 199.2908.8601.4100.43.0297.3 2001/02

875.2 172.3902.2595.2102.73.0290.7 2002/03

917.7 143.1946.8616.3102.33.0303.2 2003/04

1,016.0 179.2979.8645.5101.23.4299.0 2004/05

979.6 164.7994.1640.2108.43.2302.9 2005/06

988.4 139.11,014.0636.4114.53.2305.9 2006/07

1,083.0 160.91,061.3659.2128.73.4318.1 2007/08

1,111.6 190.81,081.6650.1110.43.5314.9 2008/09

1,115.2 192.51,113.6661.8118.83.6306.1 2009/10

1,099.0 160.31,131.2658.8115.83.6305.6 2010/11

1,157.0 161.81,155.5660.7133.33.7315.4 2011/12

1,135.1 164.51,132.4670.3132.43.6316.6 2012/13

1,283.3 211.61,236.3738.0165.33.9325.9 2013/14

1,312.4 247.21,276.8755.4173.94.0325.9 2014/15

1,260.3 252.51,255.0767.1184.93.9322.9 2015/16

1,366.1 261.81,356.8799.7181.64.2324.3 2016/17

1,324.2 233.81,352.2815.3188.24.1321.1 2017/18

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

516.7 133.3536.8365.264.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 166.3559.9387.866.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.2 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.2 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.7404.368.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.1 194.4605.0422.472.04.4138.8 1999/00

591.5 175.1610.8427.375.94.3137.0 2000/01

601.8 151.4625.5436.372.74.4137.1 2001/02

604.1 126.9628.6433.376.84.4137.7 2002/03

627.8 104.7650.0445.879.04.4141.6 2003/04

716.9 131.1690.6476.076.04.9145.3 2004/05

700.2 123.4707.8479.682.54.8145.1 2005/06

715.6 108.8730.2480.091.34.8149.6 2006/07

795.7 127.7776.8500.998.25.0160.2 2007/08

800.2 143.2784.7482.883.65.1158.0 2008/09

824.8 140.9827.2493.892.75.3157.0 2009/10

836.3 122.6854.6506.191.75.1164.0 2010/11

891.5 128.2885.8509.8103.75.2172.7 2011/12

874.3 132.9869.5521.3100.74.9179.6 2012/13

996.2 174.3954.8574.9130.85.4182.8 2013/14

1,023.4 209.7987.9587.3128.45.6182.2 2014/15

973.5 215.0968.2601.8144.95.4181.0 2015/16

1,076.0 228.71,062.2631.9141.75.8185.6 2016/17

1,044.6 206.61,066.7650.6150.85.7184.6 2017/18

Barley

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.299.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.553.0 2000/01

143.5 29.2136.995.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.2 27.6135.894.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.9 23.5147.0103.314.82.458.4 2003/04

152.3 33.1142.7100.217.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.097.417.42.555.2 2005/06

136.7 21.5143.598.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.5133.691.018.52.455.7 2007/08

154.9 32.3143.199.718.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.2146.1102.317.32.854.1 2009/10

123.0 24.3135.891.015.22.647.1 2010/11

133.4 22.5135.392.121.42.749.2 2011/12

129.1 21.6130.087.622.22.650.2 2012/13

144.4 25.0141.097.323.92.950.6 2013/14

141.7 24.4142.398.130.12.949.7 2014/15

149.6 26.4147.6100.727.63.050.3 2015/16

146.2 22.4150.3104.329.63.048.6 2016/17

141.7 17.9146.1101.926.23.047.6 2017/18

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

490.8 111.6325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.411.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.5 126.6345.412.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.9 126.7353.314.4353.33.5147.6 1991/92

524.0 123.1357.414.9353.93.6146.4 1992/93

526.0 118.9358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.219.7368.83.7148.3 1995/96

563.8 120.3378.218.9380.43.8150.2 1996/97

575.2 127.7379.927.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

586.9 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.3 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.8 1999/00

594.0 146.7395.624.3399.23.9152.8 2000/01

594.2 132.9413.127.9399.43.9151.6 2001/02

562.9 103.0408.027.5378.13.8147.6 2002/03

585.3 81.6413.827.3392.53.9149.5 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.4 2004/05

622.3 76.5415.429.0417.94.0154.2 2005/06

625.1 75.4421.231.8420.14.0154.6 2006/07

643.6 80.9428.129.6433.64.2154.9 2007/08

669.5 93.2437.629.4449.94.2158.5 2008/09

655.2 95.2438.031.8440.04.2155.8 2009/10

671.8 99.9445.536.5450.24.2158.3 2010/11

697.4 109.2458.540.0467.74.4159.8 2011/12

706.5 118.8464.139.5473.84.4159.6 2012/13

713.9 122.0475.544.1478.74.4161.8 2013/14

714.8 127.8473.742.6479.44.4161.0 2014/15

705.2 132.6468.140.2473.04.4159.4 2015/16

726.5 138.1481.646.8487.14.5160.8 2016/17

723.2 141.1481.746.2484.74.5160.5 2017/18

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


59

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

REGIONAL TABLES

North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama.

Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British

Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies,

Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique,

Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the

Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S.

South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas

Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark,

Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta,

Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar,

Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,

Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,

Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.

Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa.

East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan.

South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives.

Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore,

Thailand, Vietnam.

Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


60

OTHER NOTES

Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main

harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed

begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2016/17 starts in 2016); except for summer grains

in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second

year begins the LMY (2016/17 starts in 2017). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website

(http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx).

Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local

marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in

time.

Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed,

industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local

marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however,

reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only.

Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables

contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for

analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye

are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year.

EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union

(Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through

1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for

grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10,

plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00.

Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain

equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and

mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

61

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries,

and trade to countries outside the USDA database.

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural

Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from

official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S.

agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information.

Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448.

Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade December 2017.

For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production January

2018.

This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home

Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat

Shelbi Knisley (202) 690-2361 [email protected] Wheat

Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice/Wheat

Eric Mullis (202) 690-0752 [email protected] Rice

Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Graham Soley (202) 772-4235 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Olutayo Akingbe (202) 690-1624 [email protected] Coarse Grains


https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/world-agricultural-production

http://www.fas.usda.gov/

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