VandenBroek Introducing PPP May2010

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    V!"#$"B%&$'C&"()*+,"-GLOBAL SOLUTIONS FOR PUBLIC PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS

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    Preface

    IamanindependentconsultantspecializedinPublicPrivatePartnershipscommonly

    referredtoasPPP.

    IbelievethatPPPcansignificantlyenhancetheeffec

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    Contents

    I. DefiningPPP

    II. Accelera

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    I. DefiningPPP

    II. Accelera

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    NoCommonDefini

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    PPPisanAlterna

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    ModesofPPP

    7

    Definedbynatureofriskalloca

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    ContractualStructure

    8

    Structureisgeneric,thoughpaymentmechanismdifferspermodeofPPP

    PPPCompany

    (orSpecial

    PurposeVehicle)

    Contrac

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    I. DefiningPPP

    II. Accelera

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    InfrastructureDeficit

    10

    4.0%2.9% 2.6%

    7.5-9.0%

    5.5-7.0%

    3.0%

    LowIncomeCountries

    MiddleIncomeCountries

    HighIncomeCountries

    Actual Needed

    November26,2007Canadas$123billionmunicipalinfrastructuredeficitisnotthefinalprice

    tagforallitsinfrastructureneeds,saysaconstruc

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    FiscalConstraints

    11

    Limitpossibilitytoincreaseinfrastructurespending

    Sources:CIAFactbook2007and2010,Visualeconomics

    2.5%

    Canada:60.8%

    $814billion

    11.9%

    US:60.8%

    $8.7trillion

    1.3%

    Argen

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    PrivateInfrastructureFinance

    12

    Significantgrowthinthedevelopingworldtosupportfundingofinfrastructuredeficit

    0

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    140,000

    160,000

    1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008

    InvestmentinPhysica

    lAssetsinUSDmillion

    EastAsiaandPacific EuropeandCentralAsia La

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    PrivateInfrastructureFinance

    13

    andalsoinsomeofthematuredeconomies

    1.29 1.05 0.70

    4.95

    8.92

    7.37 7.35

    4.96

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    e.g.mainlandEurope e.g.UK

    0.431.17

    2.21 2.48 2.4

    4.73

    3.32

    8.19

    3.46

    5.254.26

    9.61

    7.326.54

    19951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008

    Sources:PublicPrivateFinance

    CAGR

    21%CAGR

    17%

    Valueofprojectscontractedinbillion) Valueofprojectscontractedinbillion

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    PPPLeaders

    14

    Deliveringsome10-30%oftheirinfrastructureservicesthroughPPP

    100

    5055

    50

    32

    935

    450400

    215

    126100

    19

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    UK2008 India2009 Korea2010 MainlandEurope2001-2008

    Australia2005 Canada2010 SouthAfrica2009

    Numberof

    Projects

    Valueofprojects

    inbillionUSD

    ValueofProjects( inUSDbil lion) NumberofProjects

    Sources:www.pppindindiadatabase.com,UniversityofSydney,IFSL,The

    ConferenceBoardofCanada,Na

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    I. DefiningPPP

    II. Accelera

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    InfrastructureRisks

    16

    90%

    73%

    40%

    Flyvbjerg'sReview

    of258projects

    worldwide

    NAO'sreviewofcostoverrunsinthe

    UK

    KPMG'sreviewof

    1,035projectsin

    India

    Costoverruns

    82%

    70%

    60%

    KPMG'sreviewof

    1,035projectsin

    India

    NAO'sreviewof

    delaysintheUK

    EIBreviewof50

    projectswithdelay

    >1year

    Delays Lessdemand(e.g.roads)

    PercentageofProjects PercentageofProjects

    Deliveringinfrastructurethroughtradi

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    Effec

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    CostSavings

    18

    11%

    20%

    28%

    Netherlands

    UK

    Australia

    AverageCostSavingsofPPPversusTradiJonal

    PublicSectorComparatorOutcome

    Pros

    Ra

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    PerformanceImprovement

    19

    12percentincreaseinresiden

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    Transac

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    CostofCapital

    21

    Costofpublicfinanceappeartobelowerthancostofprivatefinance,butaretheyreally?

    PublicFinance

    Costofcapitalisdefinedbytheriskfreeinterestrate

    approximatedbytheinterestrate

    ongovernmentbonds

    PrivateFinance

    Costofcapitalisdefinedbytheriskfreerateplusariskpremiuminvestors

    andbanksrequirefortherisksthey

    incur

    Atfirstsight

    creditworthinessoftherespec

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    I. DefiningPPP

    II. Accelera

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    PPPscanFail

    23

    TollRoadsinMexico

    Between1987and1995,52projects(25compe

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    PPPscanFail

    24

    HospitalsinAustralia

    TheVictoriagovernmentcontractedwithconsor

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    PPPscanFail

    25

    EurotunnelbetweenUKandFrance

    In1986,theEurotunnelgroupwasfoundedtocarryoutajointprojectbetweentheUnited

    KingdomandFrancetobuildarailtunnelundertheEnglishChannel.

    Thees

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    I. DefiningPPP

    II. Accelera

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    PPPPolicy

    27

    Ensureacohesive,coherentandcomprehensivepolicytailoredtoyourobjec

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    PPPLifeCycle

    28

    EnsurebankableandaffordablePPPsthatprovidevalueformoneyandapplytransparentand

    compe

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    Disclaimer

    Theinforma

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