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Copyright BakerRisk. All rights reserved. Authors: Karen Vilas & Robert Magraw Presenter: Robert Magraw Hazards30 - VIRTUAL Process Safety Conference 26-27 November 2020 Why Proactive Risk Assessment of Hydrogen Fuelling Risks is Essential

Why Proactive Assessment of Hydrogen Fuelling Risks is ... · Center for Hydrogen Safety, 15-17 September 2020 8 Yes –According to Historical Events 1989 Polysar Sarnia Canada •700

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  • Copyright BakerRisk. All rights reserved.

    Authors: Karen Vilas & Robert Magraw

    Presenter: Robert Magraw

    Hazards30 - VIRTUAL

    Process Safety Conference

    26-27 November 2020

    Why Proactive Risk Assessment of Hydrogen Fuelling Risks is Essential

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 2

    Current H2 Fuelling

    Landscape

    Introduction to H2fuelling technology.

    Safety Concerns &

    Historical Events

    What is the industry

    facing in obtaining

    widespread adoption?

    Assessing Risk for H2Fuelling Technology

    Current practice and a

    proactive way to move

    forward.

    Conclusions /

    Discussion

    Challenges for future H2fuelling planning relating

    to risks.

    Presentation Overview

  • Zero emissions reached when human-caused GHG emissions are balanced by removing GHGs from the

    atmosphere.

    Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 3

    Top 10 Solutions: Includes a shift to zero emissions

    vehicles according the World Resources Institute.

    Introduction – Reaching Zero Emissions

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 4

    A 2017 survey of 1,000 global auto executives concluded hydrogen fuel cell technology will

    ultimately outperform battery-powered electric vehicles.

    Introduction – Vehicle Technology

    Tesla Model S – Battery vs. Toyota Murai - Hydrogen

    Elon Musk: Statements about “fool cells” including “success is simply not possible” and “[they are]

    mind-bogglingly stupid”

  • In the right market circumstances, FCEV may prove to be viable by 2030.

    FCEVs have great

    performance, low

    maintenance, and are

    eligible for rebates and incentives.

    Clean, safe fuel alternative

    with zero emissions that

    don’t create greenhouse

    gases or pollutants.

    Economies of scale and

    infrastructure are key to

    FCEV becoming a

    viable replacement alternative.

    Fueling Station Locations – January 2020 (H2Stations.org)

    Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 5

    Introduction – Current H2 Outlook

    Hard to change the public’s “normal”.

  • • Public perception of hydrogen

    o “Bombs” and disastrous explosions

    • Hydrogen safety concerns are

    different but not necessarily more

    severe

    o Primary hazard is the production of

    flammable or explosive mixture in air

    Hindenburg Disaster (1937) and H-Bomb Testing Marshall Islands (1946-1958)

    Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 6

    Public Perception of Safety Concerns

    Ignition

    • Easily ignited

    • Wider flammability range than most hydrocarbons

    Areas of Emphasis

    • Containment, leak detection, and ventilation

    • Layers of protection

    Areas of Concern

    • Public as operators

    • Colorless, odourless, and hydrogen cannot be odorized

  • Are Unconfined H2 VCEs Credible?

    Zalosh and Short (1978):

    • Reviewed > 400 H2 accidents (1965 – 1977)

    • Slightly > ½ of incidents were explosions

    • 3/4 of incidents involved H2gas (v. liquid releases)

    • Significant portion of those documented were gas explosions

    Center for Hydrogen Safety, 15-17 September 2020 7

    Ordin (1974):

    •Reviewed incidents from NASA operations

    •62% of releases to environment ignited (i.e., 38% did not) & some ignitions were delayed (explosions)

    • Prompt ignition is not guaranteed

  • Center for Hydrogen Safety, 15-17 September 2020 8

    Yes – According to Historical Events

    1989 Polysar Sarnia Canada

    •700 psi release from partially failed gasket

    •Est. 60 lbm release with 10-15s ignition delay

    •Building damage consistent with a detonation of 50 lbm of H2

    1992 Sodegaura Japan

    •H2 Release from heat exchanger

    •10 fatalities, 7 injuries

    •Significant damage to facility

    2007 Muskingum River Plant, OH, USA

    • Rupture disc failure on outdoor storage tank

    • 3-10 sec. ign. delay

    • 1 fatality

    • Heavy damage to adjacent buildings

    2009 Silver Eagle Refinery, UT, USA

    •10-inch H2 release at 630 psi

    •Explosion caused

    •severe damage to 2 homes

    •minor damage to others

    2010 - Present reviewed on

    following slides

  • Accidental H2 VCEs at Fuelling Stations

    • Nel/ Uno-X hydrogen fuel station, 10 June 2019o Sandvika, Norway, explosion

    o Minor airbag injuries (drivers passing station)

    o Leak from inadequately tightened bolts attaching bush to high pressure cylinder

    • Airgas filling station, 12 December 2019o Waukesha, Wisconsin, USA

    o Explosion

    o Hydrogen fuel plant supplying bulk high pressure H2 from facility

    o 1 injury, reports of offsite impact

    o “Video that shows a large H2 vapor cloud released from a storage tank. The vapor cloud did find an ignition source in or around the base of the tank…”• https://www.jsonline.com/story/communities/waukesha/news/waukesha/2019/12/23/waukesha-airgas-

    explosion-still-under-investigation/2715005001/

    9Center for Hydrogen Safety, 15-17 September 2020

    https://www.jsonline.com/story/communities/waukesha/news/waukesha/2019/12/23/waukesha-airgas-explosion-still-under-investigation/2715005001/

  • • Air Products Santa Clara (2019)o 3-4 month shutdown for the only provider in

    the Bay Area region

    o Disruption of distribution resulted in FCEV owners abandoning their vehicles

    • Gangwon Technopark (2019)o Destroyed facility half the size of a soccer

    field, killing 2 and injuring 6 more

    o Public protests, refusal to incorporate in stations, etc. delay rollout of FCEV tech

    • Uno-X Norway (2019)o Leak from improperly installed plug

    o Closed 10+ Uno-X stations around Europe due to lack of public trust

    South Koreans Protest Gangneung Storage Tank Explosion

    Air Products Santa Clara Valley – Supply Disruption

    Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 10

    Introduction – Public Perception

  • Uno-X Station Explosion in Norway

    Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 11

    • H2 fuelling station safety

    o Regulated internationally and country-by-

    country

    o Studies done based on local regulatory

    requirements (inconsistency)

    o PSI transfer from vendor to

    owners/operators may be limited or

    contain communication gaps

    • Unique safety concerns

    o Hydrogen explosion energy can result in

    catastrophic events

    Summary – H2 Technology Safety

  • • Hydrogen Mobility Europe

    o Flagship Programme giving FCEV drivers

    access to pan-European network of

    refuelling stations

    • Hydrogen USA

    o US Department of Energy (DOE)

    o Public-private partnership with FCEV

    equipment manufacturers

    • The Canadian Hydrogen Fuel Cell

    Association

    o Raise awareness to accelerate

    commercialisation

    H2ME Flagship Program, 45+ Stations Planned

    H2USA, 50+ Stations Online

    Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 12

    Introduction – Current Initiatives

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 13

    • Hazards/risks are

    addressed based on

    local regulatory

    requirements

    • Regulations differ

    from country to

    country

    o Lack of consistency

    • Standardisation of

    technology

    Differing Regulations

    • Some situations

    require detailed

    modelling

    o Sensitive

    neighbouring

    property

    o Potential worst-case

    event

    o Public concern

    • Company guidelines /

    best practice

    • International

    o SAE TIR J2601

    Hydrogen Fuel

    Dispensers

    o ISO/TS 19880-

    1:2016 Minimum

    Design Characteristics

    o ISO/FDIS 19880-1

    Hydrogen Technologies

    • USA

    o See next 2 slides

    • Looks at operational

    risks of fuelling

    stations

    • Applies order of

    magnitude

    consequences and

    frequency

    • Doesn’t look at an

    overall risk profile for

    facility or

    location

    Spacing Distances

    HAZOP / LOPASelect Detail Modeling1 2 3 4

    Current Practices – Assessing Risk

  • • Risk reviews typically involve a PHA/LOPA approacho Scenario-based operational risks

    o “Worst-case” events typically reviewed to determine required level of safeguards

    • Availability of PSI for package unitso Multiple vendors may own IP –

    communication limited or difficult

    o Safety studies done differently/ not available; understanding of full system

    • Properties of hydrogeno Ignition and explosion characteristics

    o Public perception and safe handling

    Public Influence – Inherently Safe Systems

    Selecting the Right Location for Fuelling

    Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 14

    Current Practices - Limitations

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 15

    US EPA – Fuel Handling and

    Storage

    - Gasoline storage and fuellingoperations

    - Regulated by individual States

    TSSA – Propane RSMP

    - Reactive to LPG BLEVE events

    - QRA of propane fuelling stations

    - Reactively looking at site compliance

    • Completely normal to go to the fuel

    station to fill our tank with petrol or

    diesel, right? Nobody thinks twice!

    Lessons Learned - Be Proactive About Risks!

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 16

    In operation and under construction.

    Some stations have H2 Production

    Equipment –additional concerns.

    Light-duty vehicles

    10,000 psi compressed H2

    Stations generally have the same

    equipment.

    Heavy-duty vehicles

    5,000 psi compressed H2

    Different designs based on

    production, delivery, storage, and dispensing.

    Objective QRA Approach – The Stations

    Storage Equipment

    •Can be stored as liquid, LP gas, or HP gas

    •Based on station’s location, capacity, and purpose

    Compressor(s)

    •H2 compressed to reduce volume and increase pressure

    •Used to replenish buffer tank storage

    Chiller(s)

    •Not to exceed temperature threshold of industry standard fueling protocol

    Dispenser(s)

    •Look similar to gasoline dispensers

    •May share an island or have an independent island

    Station equipment (at a minimum):

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 17

    Selection of station location by leveraging “generic” risk model

    Optimization of station layout for risk minimisation

    Risk-based selection of safeguards

    Determine and document as-built risk profile

    Evergreen Risk Model - update as needed per MOC process

    •Define representative set of hazard scenarios for “typical” fuelling station equipment for decision making purposes.

    •For chosen location, “typical” equipment scenarios revised for existing PSI and iterated to review impact on risk.

    •Review risk reduction options available and quantify the risk impact for implementation.

    •Update preliminary QRA to reflect the as-built layout, design, and safety systems.

    •Formally document risk profile.

    •Update fuelling station QRA to capture relevant changes in operations, throughputs, or exposed populations.

    Objective QRA Approach – The Process

    Staged Risk Review Cycle – Design Efficiently for Safety

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 18

    • Project team decides on

    the site, plot, facilities,

    and infrastructure

    requirements.

    o Identify permitting/

    safety requirements.

    • Risk assessment based

    on “conceptual risk

    profile”:

    o Site selection

    o Layout optimization

    Select Front End Loading

    • Updated periodically as

    needed to capture:

    o Deviation from

    operating

    parameters.

    o Throughput changes.

    o Population creep and

    encroachment.

    o Regulatory review

    cycle & MOCs.

    • “Small” changes can

    have large impact on risk

    profile.

    • FEED is completed and

    schedule is finalised.

    o P&IDs, layout, and

    project execution

    plan are completed.

    • Changes in scope are

    minimal – detailed

    engineering is completed.

    • Risk model based on

    updated site PSI.

    o No longer

    “conceptual”

    • Project closed out.

    o Facility, data, and

    documents handed

    over to operations.

    • Final updates to

    consequence and risk

    modelling to reflect as-

    built design and input.

    o Finalised, fully

    documented report/

    results.

    Detailed Design Update

    Operational Risk Model

    Evergreen Risk Model1 2 3 4

    Objective QRA Approach – Staged Reviews

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 19

    Be Proactive, Not ReactivePublic opinion matters – especially around

    hydrogen, which is associated with past disasters.

    As such, it is important to proactively address risk

    rather than react to guidelines/standards written in

    response to incidents (e.g., gasoline and propane

    fuelling stations).

    1

    3

    2

    4

    Prebuilt “Concepts”Hydrogen fuelling stations have similar

    equipment. As such, early stage risk reviews

    can be efficiently conducted to optimise site

    selection and layout to reduce future safety

    expenses.

    Siting is EvergreenAddressing issues such as network integration,

    increases in throughput, and population

    distributions can have an impact on the site risk

    profile.

    Ownership/ResponsibilityFuelling stations lend themselves to modular

    packages, sometimes provided by different

    companies / vendors. Ensuring transfer of PSI and

    ongoing communications is essential to risk

    understanding and ongoing safe operation.

    Objective QRA Approach – Key Points

  • Hazards30 VIRTUAL, 26-27 November 2020 20

    With a shift towards clean energy, many governments and companies are investing in

    hydrogen technology to support agendas and diverse portfolios.

    Moving towards carbon neutrality.

    To achieve a publicly accepted shift, FCEVs need to be cost competitive, renewable

    energy costs need to drop, and public must accept techology as safe and reliable.

    Achieve widespread public adoption.

    Public exposure to hydrogen and ongoing education. Hydrogen is different and this

    needs to be communicated for safe handling and widespread understanding.

    Establish the new normal as FCEVs.

    Can ensure that when incidents do happen, impacts are limited due to preplanning with

    respect to infrastructure design and site selection and layout.

    Proactive & objective risk assessment.

    1

    2

    3

    4

    Conclusions

  • Copyright BakerRisk. All rights reserved.

    www.BakerRisk.com

    Questions? Discussion.

    Contact Email: [email protected] & [email protected]

    https://www.bakerrisk.com/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]