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1 | © 2016 Infinera Winning Through Disrup8on in the Transport Market Investor Overview May 2016

WinningThroughDisrup8oninthe TransportMarkets21.q4cdn.com/892601718/files/doc_presentations/2016/... · 2016. 5. 20. · 20"|"©"2016"Infinera Keys"to"WinningIn"Metro"! Follow"the"fiber"

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  • 1  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Winning  Through  Disrup8on  in  the  Transport  Market    

    Investor  Overview  May  2016  

  • 2  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    This  presenta8on  contains  "forward-‐looking"  statements  that  involve  risks,  uncertain8es  and  assump8ons.  If  the  risks  or  uncertain8es  ever  materialize  or  the  assump8ons  prove  incorrect,  our  results  may  differ  materially  from  those  expressed  or  implied  by  such  forward-‐looking  statements.  All  statements  other  than  statements  of  historical  fact  could  be  deemed  forward-‐looking,  including,  but  not  limited  to,  any  statements  about  future  market  performance  and  similar  statements;  any  statements  about  historical  results  that  may  suggest  trends  for  our  business;  any  statements  of  the  plans,  strategies,  and  objec8ves  of  management  for  future  opera8ons;  any  statements  of  expecta8on  or  belief  regarding  future  events,  poten8al  markets  or  market  size,  technology  and  product  developments,  or  enforceability  of  our  intellectual  property  rights;  and  any  statements  of  assump8ons  underlying  any  of  the  items  men8oned.    

     

    These  statements  are  based  on  es8mates  and  informa8on  available  to  us  at  the  8me  of  this  presenta8on  and  are  not  guarantees  of  future  performance.  These  risks  and  uncertain8es  include,  but  are  not  limited  to,  the  risks  of  compe88ve  responses  and  shiPs  in  the  market;  delays  in  the  release  of  new  products  or  updates  to  exis8ng  products;  fluctua8ons  in  customer  demand,  changes  in  industry  trends,  and  changes  in  the  macro  economic  market;  the  risk  that  Transmode’s  and  Infinera’s  businesses  will  not  be  integrated  successfully  and/or  the  risk  that  synergies  will  not  be  realized  or  realized  to  the  extent  an8cipated;  the  effect  that  changes  in  product  pricing  or  mix,  and/or  increases  in  component  costs  could  have  on  our  gross  margin;  our  ability  to  respond  to  rapid  technological  changes;  our  reliance  on  single-‐source  suppliers;  aggressive  business  tac8cs  by  our  compe8tors;  our  ability  to  protect  our  intellectual  property;  claims  by  others  that  we  infringe  their  intellectual  property;  war,  terrorism,  public  health  issues,  natural  disasters  and  other  circumstances  that  could  disrupt  the  supply,  delivery  or  demand  of  Infinera’s  products;  and  other  risks  and  uncertain8es  detailed  in  our  SEC  filings  from  8me  to  8me.  More  informa8on  on  poten8al  factors  that  may  impact  our  business  are  set  forth  in  Infinera’s  Annual  Report  on  Form  10-‐K  for  the  fiscal  year  ended  on  December  26,  2015  as  filed  with  the  SEC  on  February  23,  2016,  as  well  as  subsequent  reports  filed  with  or  furnished  to  the  SEC  from  8me  to  8me.  Our  SEC  filings  are  available  on  our  website  at  www.infinera.com  and  the  SEC’s  website  at  www.sec.gov.    Forward-‐looking  statements  are  subject  to  change,  and  we  may  not  inform  you  when  changes  occur.  We  assume  no  obliga8on  to,  and  do  not  currently  intend  to,  update  any  such  forward-‐looking  statements.  

     

    Safe  Harbor  

  • 3  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    ê  Redefining  what  the  network  will  be  •  Unique  technology  innova8on  with  PIC  •  Best-‐in  class  systems  with  Automa8on,  

    Convergence  and  Scalability  

    ê  Industry  leading  global  service  &  support  ê  Unmatched  reliability  ê  Right  tools  for  right  job  ê  Focused  on  customer  success  

    Infinera:  A  Differen8ated  Technology  Company  

    Enabling  An  Infinite  Pool  of  Intelligent  Bandwidth  

    DTN-‐X  XT  

    DTN  Cloud  Xpress  

    DTN-‐X    XTC  

    TM/TG-‐Series  

    Photonic  Integrated  Circuit  (PIC)  

  • 4  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    ê  A  leader  in  Intelligent  Transport  Network™  solu8ons  ê  Revenue  growth  for  past  3  years  of  greater  than  20%  YoY,  more  than  double  DWDM  market  growth*  ê  Diversified  customer  base  across  mul8ple  ver8cals  

    -‐  Several  Tier  1s  globally        -‐  3  of  top  4  Internet  Content  Providers  -‐  Several  major  global  Cable/MSOs    -‐  Mul8ple  top  Wholesale  and  Enterprise  Carriers  

    Infinera  –  A  Global  Business  

    *  Based  on  average  of  data  from  Ovum,  IHS,  Dell’Oro  and  ACG

  • 5  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Infinera  Differen8ators  

    PIC-‐enabled  Technology  •  PIC  enables  scalable,  intelligent  

    func8ons:  SDN,  integrated  switching,  sliceable  bandwidth  

    •  High  capacity  applica8ons:  Long-‐Haul,  Metro  Cloud,  Metro  Core  

    Infinera  differen:ates  due  to  its  technology,  market  expansion  opportuni:es  and  ver:cally  

    integrated  business  model  

    Infinera  PIC  Fab  

    Ver:cal  Integra:on    •  Lower  cost  structure  

    than  compe88on  •  Supply  chain  control  

    New  Purpose-‐Built  Products  •  Cloud  Xpress  for  DC  Interconnect  •  TM-‐Series  &  XTC-‐2  for  Metro  •  XT-‐500  for  Long  Haul  •  ~3x  TAM  expansion  to  >$15B  in  2019*  

    Cloud  Xpress   TM-‐Series  XTC-‐2  XT-‐500  

    *  Based  on  average  of  latest  forecasts  from  Ovum,  IHS,  Dell’Oro  and  ACG

  • 6  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Outpacing  Other  SP  Networking  Players  

    Based  on  latest  publicly-‐available  financials

    -‐20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    Jun  '12 Dec  '12 Jun  '13 Dec  '13 Jun  '14 Dec  '14 Jun  '15 Dec  '15

    INFN

    CIEN

    JNPR

    CSCO

    ADV

    Revenue  Growth:    Trailing  12-‐month  revenue  

    128%  

    DTN-‐X  for  100G  Long-‐Haul  

    Cloud  Xpress  for  100G  DCI  

    3x  Revenue  Growth  

    Mar  ‘16  

    New  Metro  PorXolio  introduced  

  • 7  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Disrup8ve  Technology  Innova8on:  The  Infinera  Way    

  • 8  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Uniquely  Delivers  Massive  Op8cal  Bandwidth  with  PICs  

    3rd  Party  Discrete  Op:cs   Industry’s  only  500G  large  scale  Photonic  Integrated  Circuit  

    500G  PIC  

    •  500G  “WDM  on  a  chip”  •  Integrates  over  600  op8cal  func8ons  

    Compe::on  

    Moore’s Law-like for Optical

  • 9  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    PIC  Leveraged  for  Disrup8ve  Systems  Intelligent  Transport  Network  

    Scalability,  Convergence,  Automa8on  Own  Key  Technologies  &  Processes  

    500+  patents  filed/granted  

    Purpose-‐Built  Systems  

    Switching  ASICs  

    Intelligent  So`ware  

    Photonic  Integrated  Circuits  500G  Super-‐Channels  

    Ver:cally  Integrated  

    XTC-‐2/2E  XTC-‐10/4   XT  DTN-‐X  

    Cloud  Xpress   DTN  

  • 10  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Industry’s  first  2.4  Tb/s  transport  technology  

    Introducing:  The  Infinite  Capacity  Engine  

    ê  Advanced  electronics  (DSP/ASIC):    Next-‐gen  FlexCoherent™  processor  

    ê  Cuyng-‐edge  photonics:  Fourth-‐gen  Photonic  Integrated  Circuit  (PIC)  

    The  next  step  func:on  in  op:cal  with  Infinite  Capacity  Engine  

    DSP  PIC  

    Infinera  Infinite  Capacity  Engine  

  • 11  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    A  Quantum  Leap  in  Op8cal  Transport  to  Terabits  

    Infinera    Infinite  Capacity  

    Engine  

    Bigger  ê Mul8-‐terabit  super-‐channels,    up  to  12x  bigger  

    ê Mul8-‐terabit  wire-‐rate  L1  encryp8on  

    Smaller    ê One  of  world’s  smallest  mul8-‐terabit  subsystems  

    ê  Lower  power:  82%↓  vs.  compe88on  

    Beeer  ê  Sliceable  photonics,  53%  lower  TCO  ê Advanced  coherent,  40-‐60%  improved  capacity-‐reach  performance  

  • 12  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Market  Expansion  Strategy    

  • 13  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Market  Inflec:ons  

    Transport  becoming  is  Strategic  

    •  Networks  Simplifying  to  New  Model  of  Cloud  Services  and  Intelligent  Transport  

    Vision:  Enable  An  Infinite  Pool  of  Intelligent  Bandwidth  

    100G  Long  Haul  

    2012  

    100G    Metro  Cloud  

    2014  

    100G  Metro  Aggrega:on  

    2016  

    •  Scalable  Op:cs  and  Integrated  Packet-‐Op:cal  Key  for  Simplifica8on  

    Accelerated  100G  uptake  &  40G  decline  

    1st  to  market  with  purpose-‐built  solu8on  

    Infinera  Core  +  Transmode  por|olio  

  • 14  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Poised  to  Benefit  from  ICP-‐driven  Bandwidth  Demand  

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Netflix Google Apple Facebook Microsoft Hulu Amazon Gnutella

    Cumulative  %  of  North  American  Internet  Traffic

    1H11 2H14

    Source:    Sandvine  Global  Internet  Traffic  Reports  Spring  2014  and  2H2014,  TeleGeography  

    Top  7  Cloud  &  Content  Providers:    >  67%  of  delivered  Internet  traffic  

    Private  backbones  replacing  Internet  transit  (i.e.,  massive  server-‐to-‐server  traffic  growth)  

    Private  

    Internet  

    Trans-‐Atlan8c  Bandwidth  

  • 15  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Data  Center  Interconnect    Capturing  emerging  cloud  infrastructures    

  • 16  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Cloud  Architecture  Drives  Network  Demands  

    sources:  google.com,  facebook.com  

    Search  Query  

    930x  Network  Traffic  

    Cloud  Data  Center  Network  

    1500  Miles  

    HTTP  request  

  • 17  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    •  500Gb/s  input  and  output  in  2  RU  •  500G  PIC  based  super-‐channel  line  side  •  500G  client  w/mix  of  10/40/100  GbE  •  Instant  Bandwidth™  

    Cloud  Xpress  PlaXorm  

    Hyper-‐Scale  Density  •  2RU,  smaller  than  most  servers  •  3X  to  10X  density  improvement  

    Simple  Opera:on  •  Simple  1-‐2-‐3  step  provisioning  

    •  Server-‐like  opera:onal  experience  

     Minimal  Power  •  ~100W  per  100G:  ALL  INCLUSIVE  •  50%  beeer  than  industry  leaders  

    Cloud  Xpress  –  Op8mized  for  DCI  

  • 18  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    The  Metro  Market  A  new  market  for  Infinera  as  100G  Metro  begins  to  ramp    

  • 19  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    0  

    50  

    100  

    150  

    200  

    250  

    300  

    350  

    400  

    CY12   CY13   CY14   CY15   CY16   CY17   CY18   CY19  

    400  

    350  

    300  

    350  

    200  

    150  

    100  

    50  

    0  

    Ports  (Th

    ousand

    s)  

    Infinera  Ready  for  100G  Coherent  Metro  Ramp  

    Source:  2015  IHS  100G  Coherent  Op8cal  Equip  Ports  Mkt  Fcst  

    100G  star:ng    to  ramp,  rapid  accelera:on  

    68% CAGR  

  • 20  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Keys  to  Winning  In  Metro  

    ê  Follow  the  fiber  •  Strong  shiP  from  copper  to  fiber    •  Fiber  is  founda8onal  for  mobile  fronthaul,  backhaul  and  5G  

    ê  Hiyng  the  right  power  and  cost  points    •  Metro  environments  are  fiber-‐constrained;  Modular  and  efficient  

    footprints  are  vital  to  ensure  network  and  cost  efficiencies  •  Low  power  is  impera8ve  to  minimize  customers’  opex  

    ê  Mee8ng  service  providers’  needs    •  Solu8on  Range:  Passive  &  semi-‐passive,  ac8ve  transparent  transport  

    of  range  of  L1  services  (OTN,  FC,  Eth)  •  Packet  Op8cal  integra8on;  increasing  network  efficiency    •  TDM  as  overlay;  smart  management  of  cost  of  legacy    •  Opera8ng  efficiency,  ease  of  use,  quick  response  8mes  on  supply  and  

    new  features  

  • 21  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    ê  1G  to  100G  Packet-‐Op8cal  ê  All  metro/regional  Layer  T  

    applica8ons  in  a  single  pla|orm  ê  Applica8on  specific  characteris8cs  

    •  Low  Power  •  High  Density  •  Superior  Sync  •  Low  latency  

    Metro  Solu8ons  from  Core  to  Access  

    30000+  

    Systems  

    650+  

    Customers  

    TM-‐Series  

    Metro Aggregation

    & Core Network

    Metro Access

    Metro Access

    Triple  Play  Broadband    

    Cable  Broadband    

    Mobile  Front/Backhaul  

    Business  Ethernet  

    TG-‐Series  Passive  CWDM,  DWDM  and  WDM-‐PON  access  infrastructure    

    20000+  

    Systems  

  • 22  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    XTC-‐2  Extends  DTN-‐X  to  Lower  Capacity  Sites  

    Spokane   Boise   Salt  Lake  City  

    XTC-‐10  

    Sea~le   Las  Vegas  

    E.g.  Right-‐sized  DTN-‐X  XTC  for  Smaller  Ci8es  

    500G  Super-‐channels  

    XTC-‐4  100G  

    100G  100G   100G  XTC-‐2  

    100G  

    Common  Hardware,  E2E  Network  Management  &  Automa8on  

  • 23  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    XTC-‐4  

    XTC-‐10  

    Pan-‐European  Network    500G  

    Super-‐channels  

    Large  LH  Core  

    Converged  Packet  Aggrega:on  &  OTN  Switched  Metro  Core  

    Frankfurt  Metro  Area,  Germany  

    XTC-‐2  100G  

    XTC-‐10  

    XT-‐500  

    Point-‐to-‐Point  Interconnect  

    Value  of  End-‐to-‐End  

    Mobile  Front/  Backhaul  

    Business  Ethernet  

    Triple  Play  Broadband    

    Cable  Broadband    

    Packet-‐Op:cal  Switching  Access  &  Aggrega:on  

    Infinera  DNA  

    TM-‐Series   DTN-‐X  Family  

    XTC-‐4  

    XTC-‐10  

    Pan-‐European  Network    500G  

    Super-‐channels  

    Large  LH  Core  

    XT-‐500  

    Point-‐to-‐Point  Interconnect  

    Frankfurt  Metro  Area,  Germany  

    XTC-‐2  100G  

    Converged  Packet  Aggrega:on  &  OTN  Switched  Metro    Core  

    XTC-‐10  

  • 24  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Infinera  Packet-‐Op8cal  =  Transport  Op8mized  Ethernet  

    Carrier    Ethernet    Switch  

    Infinera  Packet-‐Op:cal  

    Line  System  

    ROADM,    Add-‐Drop,    Amplifier  

    Layer  2  services  

    Transponders  

    EMXP

    Advantages  with  WDM  &  Ethernet  (L2)  integra8on  §  Op8miza8on  of  wavelength  u8liza8on  with  L2  aggrega8on  

    §  Minimiza8on  of  router/switch  hops  with  DWDM      §  Flexible  op8cal  layer  to  handle  capacity  needs  

    §  Single  management  system  WDM  +  Ethernet  §  Space,  Power,  Spares,  Training,  …  

    Single,  integrated  system  

  • 25  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    ê  Mobile  operators  are  increasingly  evalua8ng  and  adop8ng  Mobile  Fronthaul    •  Significant  cost  savings  -‐  Lower  power  and  less  equipment  than  tradi8onal  Backhaul    •  More  space  efficient  –  Fewer  Central  Offices,  less  equipment  at  cell  site  

    ê  Fronthaul  spending  expected  to  exceed  $1B  by  2020  (~$350m  today)*  ê  Infinera:  Won  3  Fronthaul  deals  to  date  and  in  trials  with  mul8ple  Tier  1s  

    Metro:  Mobile  Fronthaul  Opportunity  

    Cell  sitecabinet

    RRH

    RRH

    RRH

    RRH

    RRH

    RRH

    D-‐RoFFronthaul Backhaul IP  MPLS  Network

    Stacking  of  BBUsin  Central  Office

    CO

    CO

    CO

    COBBU

    Central  Office

    Load  balancing

    RRH

    RRH

    RRH

    Fiber  all  the  way  from  antenna  to  Central  Office

    Cell  sitecabinet

    Cell  sitecabinet

    *Source:  Ovum  “Mobile  Backhaul  and  Fronthaul  Forecast  Report:  2015-‐20  (September  2015  

  • 26  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Reasons  Infinera  Wins  in  the  Metro  Market    

    4.  Innova:ve  Solu:ons  in  the  Op:cal  Access  Market  

    2.  End-‐to-‐end  Packet-‐op:cal  Integra:on  from  Access  to  Metro  core  

    5.  Significant  opportunity  to  expand  rela:onships  with  exis:ng  Customer  Base  

    3.  Compe::ve  solu:ons  for  the  Mobile  Front/Backhaul  and  5G  Transport  

    1.  Cost  and  Power  Efficiency  Leadership  

  • 27  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Long  Haul  Adding  new  tools  to  solve  customer  needs    

  • 28  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Introducing  the  DTN-‐X  XT  Series  

    Long-‐Haul  Interconnect  Op:cally  Switched  (ROADM)  

    DTN-‐X  XT-‐500  

    Super-‐channel;  ILS  integra8on      Scalable  

    ~1W/Gig,  1Tb/s  IO  2RU      Efficient  

    Instant  Bandwidth,  SDN  enabled      Programmable  

  • 29  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    End-‐to-‐End  Solu8ons    

  • 30  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    The  Infinera  Unified  End-‐to-‐End  Por|olio  

    *  Based  on  average  of  latest  forecasts  from  Ovum,  IHS,  Dell’Oro  and  ACG

    $15B*  (2019)  –  Transport  Market  

  • 31  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Op8cal  Market  exceeds  $15  billion  by  2019  

    $4,764   $5,083   $5,398   $5,688   $5,934  

    $5,660   $6,220  $6,839   $7,529  

    $7,995  $517  

    $786  $1,093  

    $1,442  $1,843  

    $0  

    $2,000  

    $4,000  

    $6,000  

    $8,000  

    $10,000  

    $12,000  

    $14,000  

    $16,000  

    $18,000  

    CY15   CY16   CY17   CY18   CY19  

    Long  Haul*   Metro*   Incremental  DCI**  

    CAGR  9.0%  

    CAGR  5.6%  

    CAGR  37.4%  

    *  Long  Haul  and  Metro  forecasts  based  on  average  of  latest  forecasts  from  Ovum,  IHS,  Dell’Oro  and  ACG  **  We  es8mate  50%  of  DCI  market  to  be  incremental  to  Long  Haul  and  Metro  DWDM;  underlying  market  es8mate  from  ACG  WW  Op8cal  Forecast,  December  2015  

  • 32  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Infinera’s  Ascending  Global  Market  Posi8on  

    Source:    Dell’Oro  4Q  15  Market  Share  report  (Q1-‐15  to  Q4-‐15).  

    Revenu

    es  ($

    M)  

    Global  Long  Haul  +  Metro  WDM  –  2015  

    $2,000  

    $1,500  

    $1,000  

    $500  

    $0  

    $2,500  

    Cross-‐selling  and  revenue  synergies  create  opportunity  to  con:nue  to  ascend  

  • 33  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Differen8ated  Financial  Results    

  • 34  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Infinera  –  A  Growth  Story    

    $668  

    FY14  

    $544  

    FY13  

    $438  

    FY12  

    $888  

    FY15  

    44.0%  

    8.3%  41.6%  

    1.4%  

    47.8%  

    13.1%  

    -‐9.4%  

    37.9%  

    Revenue  (in  $m)  

    GM%:  

    OM%:  

    3  years  of  >20%    revenue  growth  

    All  figures  are  Non-‐GAAP  (reconcilia8on  to  GAAP  numbers  may  be  found  at  www.Infinera.com)  *  All  figures  as  of  end  of  Q1-‐FY2016  

    Q1  ‘16  Performance  ê  $245  million  revenue  (31%  y/y  growth)  ê  50.2%  gross  margin    ê  12.3%  opera8ng  margin    Q2  ’16  Guidance  ê  $250  -‐  $260  million  revenue  ê  47%  -‐  49%  gross  margin  ê  10%  -‐  12%  opera8ng  margin  ê  $0.15  -‐  $0.19  EPS  

    Industry  leading  profitable  revenue  growth    Solid  Balance  Sheet*  ê  $211M  net  cash    ê  8  consecu8ve  quarters  of  posi8ve  Cash  Flow  from  Ops  ê  Last  4  quarters  Cash  Flow  from  Ops  =  $123  million  ê  Last  4  quarters  Free  Cash  Flow/Revenue  =  8.2%    

  • 35  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Purpose-‐Built  Products:  Good  for  Customers  &  Infinera  

    Innova8ng  to  address  en8re  $15B*  opportunity  

    New  XTC-‐2/2E:      Packet-‐OTN  Switching    

    for  Regional  /  Metro  Core  

    New  XT-‐Series:    High  Capacity  LH  Data  Center  Interconnect  

    TM-‐Series:      Packet-‐Op8cal  for  Metro  Core,  Aggrega8on,  Access  

    *  Based  on  average  of  latest  forecasts  from  Ovum,  IHS,  Dell’Oro  and  ACG

  • 36  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Margin  Growth  Opportunity  

    $$$

    Margin  Drivers  

    Expanding  Markets  Drive  Margin  Growth  

    ê  Ver8cal  Integra8on   ê  Footprint  vs  Fill   ê  Instant  Bandwidth   ê  Purpose-‐Built  Products  

    Long-‐Haul  

    $ $Cloud  Xpress   $Metro   $$$

    $$$

    Infinera  PIC  Fab  

  • 37  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Great  Time  To  Be  In  Op8cal  For  Infinera  

     End-‐to-‐end  packet-‐op:cal    

    porXolio  

    Ver:cal  IP    ownership  

    Consolida:ng  market   TAM  >  $15B*  

    *  Based  on  average  of  latest  forecasts  from  Ovum,  IHS,  Dell’Oro  and  ACG

  • 38  |  ©  2016  Infinera  

    Thank  You  www.infinera.com