Panelists “Summary Perspectives”WORD CLOUD

• How consumers perceive uncertainty, use it to take action very important – social science assist

• Ops Verification first• Uncertainty thresholds to take

action must be understood –requires users do their homework (risk management, known objectives)

• “Probability” confusing – need more (e.g., risk, tolerance)

• One size does not fit all –tailored uncertainty guidance needed

• Weather-side is just the start of it – drop that uncertainty into operations….yikes!

• Scenario from ensembles• Lessons learned from specific

weather events, actions / activities in other areas

• How to measure / describe forecast performance – let’s count the ways…

• Improvements manage uncertainty – can’t lose sight of this

• Communicating risk to propel action

• ATM Ops vs. Dispatch Ops vs. Pilots Ops – different scales / priorities

• Uncertainty with ALL weather hazards

• Low probability / high impact events – incredibly important

TRACONRNAV STAR OPD

RNAV STAR OPD

Terminal Metering Coupled

Scheduling

Enterprise Enablers• Air-Ground Data

Communications• Enhanced Weather

Data, Reporting, and Integrated Products

ARTCC

Notional Graphic

TM Coordination and Planning

Airborne Rerouting

Pre-Departure Rerouting

Departure Metering

Tower Data Communications for

Pre-Departure Clearance

Vectoring

Ground Delay

Program for Arrival Airports

TBO Overview: Gate-to-Gate Operations

Metroplex with PBN Procedures

Airport ConfigurationManagement

TRACON Other Controller

Aids

Departure Metering Into Arrival Stream

Terminal Airspace

Airspace Flow Program

Departure MeteringInto En Route Stream

ArrivalMetering

CoupledScheduling

SpeedAdvisories

ExtendedMetering

CoupledScheduling

Established on RNP (EoR)RNP with RF Leg

In-Trail Final Approach Spacing Indicators

Holding

Collaborative Trajectory Options

Program

En Route Time of Arrival Control

Path StretchAdvisories

Runway/Surface Balancing

Surface Scheduling and Metering

Tower Electronic Flight Data

Arrivals (STARs)Departures (SIDs)En RouteSpeed or Time ControlTop of Descent

TRACON Meter PointXMP – Extended Meter PointCMP – Coupled Meter PointArrival Meter PointDeparture Meter Point

As NeededCurrent Capabilities/OpsNew Capabilities/Ops

Legend

Slot Markers, SpeedAdvisories, and Sequence

Enhanced Departure

Route Planning

TRACONRNAV STAR OPD

RNAV STAR OPD

Terminal Metering Coupled

Scheduling

Enterprise Enablers• Air-Ground Data

Communications• Enhanced Weather

Data, Reporting, and Integrated Products

ARTCC

TM Coordination and Planning

Airborne Rerouting

Pre-Departure Rerouting

Departure Metering

Tower Data Communications for

Pre-Departure Clearance

Vectoring

Ground Delay

Program for Arrival Airports

Metroplex with PBN Procedures

Airport ConfigurationManagement

TRACON Other Controller

Aids

Departure Metering Into Arrival Stream

Terminal Airspace

Airspace Flow Program

Departure MeteringInto En Route Stream

ArrivalMetering

CoupledScheduling

SpeedAdvisories

ExtendedMetering

CoupledScheduling

Established on RNP (EoR)RNP with RF Leg

In-Trail Final Approach Spacing Indicators

Holding

Collaborative Trajectory Options

Program

En Route Time of Arrival Control

Path StretchAdvisories

Runway/Surface Balancing

Surface Scheduling and Metering

Tower Electronic Flight Data

Arrivals (STARs)Departures (SIDs)En RouteSpeed or Time ControlTop of Descent

TRACON Meter PointXMP – Extended Meter PointCMP – Coupled Meter PointArrival Meter PointDeparture Meter Point

As NeededCurrent Capabilities/OpsNew Capabilities/Ops

Legend

Slot Markers, SpeedAdvisories, and Sequence

Enhanced Departure

Route Planning

TBO: Highly Susceptible to Weather

“It is consistency of information that matter for a good story,not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowinglittle makes it easier to fit everything you know in a coherentpattern.” -Daniel Kahneman