Upload
dwain-moody
View
216
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Yesterday 、 Today and Tomorrow of CODATA
-Our Missions and Roles of DSAO-
Shuichi IWATA
CODATA President16th DSAO at Bangkok, Thailand
Abstract• Productivity of data has been increasing drastically in these 40 years since the beginn
ing of CODATA. The number of substances registered in 1965 is 211,934, which have been piled up to 78,289,324 substances on file at 2004 year end. On December 29th of 2005 at 06:33:37 EST, CAS Registry System have 27,122,081 organic and inorganic substances, and 57,070,162 sequences. These substances and materials can create a wide variety of products and reactions, which can create a wide variety of environments, which can create different issues, e.g., divides between the north and the south and sustainable developments.
• As a consequence of market mechanisms, decreasing returns from data and increasing values of mining methods are going in parallel, which reconfirm the importance of data quality as well as the customization of data even if calculated ones. Thus as Henri Poincare pointed out in his book “Science et Methode” about one hundred years ago, universality of data and models become important. This trend activate developments of visualization and data mining methods, and also computational methods.
• As Asian and Oceanic areas have big diversities with respect to economical and cultural contents if compared with US and European countries, there are new challenges to go beyond industrial capitalisms by taking advantage of collected and compiled data. Fusion of two big movements WSSD and WSID, and regional implementations require us to work together, which may create new paradigms for this century.
Abstract of Abstract
• Mass Production Paradigms from Manufacturing to Data & Information
• Value Additions on “Mass”
• Innovations beyond “Average and Universality” based on “Limits” and “Diversities”
Changes from Yesterday to Today
C : Velocity of Light
• Georg Simon Ohm• James Clerk Maxwell• Jean-Baptiste-Joseph de Fourier• Peter Gustav Lejeune-Dirichlet• Felix Klein• David Hilbert• Wilhelm Eduard Weber• Bernhard Riemann• …
Human beings 、 Energy and Time
Discovery Trends of Energy Resources (Oil)
Oil, Gas and Carbon DioxidesC. Campbell & Global Commons Institute: 2003
Serendipity in Materials Design
1 100MN(B)
CN 1-3 CN 4
CN 6 (-11) CN 12 (-13) CN 14(-18)
Non-former Former (no 1:1)
MN
(A)
100
不射而射
Post-competitive actions Education and Training
How to solve issues at competitive phases? Rules of games!
Get-the-Smaller-Picture
Get-the-Smaller-Picture
Get-the-Smaller-Picture
Get-the-Precise-Picture
Get-the-Precise-Picturehttp://www.pref.kagawa.jp/haitai/teshima/project/epdf.htm
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Reduce by half the proportion of people living on less than a dollar a dayReduce by half the proportion of people who suffer from hunger
Achieve universal primary educationEnsure that all boys and girls complete a full course of primary schooling
Promote gender equality and empower womenEliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005, and at all levels by 2015
Reduce child mortalityReduce by two thirds the mortality rate among children under five
Improve maternal healthReduce by three quarters the maternal mortality ratio
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseasesHalt and begin to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDSHalt and begin to reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases
Ensure environmental sustainabilityIntegrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programmes; reverse loss of environmental resourcesReduce by half the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking waterAchieve significant improvement in lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers, by 2020
Develop a global partnership for developmentDevelop further an open trading and financial system that is rule-based, predictable and non-discriminatory. Includes a commitment to good governance, development and poverty reduction—nationally and internationally Address the least developed countries’ special needs. This includes tariff- and quota-free access for their exports; enhanced debt relief for heavily indebted poor countries; cancellation of official bilateral debt; and more generous official development assistance for countries committed to poverty reduction Address the special needs of landlocked and small island developing States Deal comprehensively with developing countries’ debt problems through national and international measures to make debt sustainable in the long term In cooperation with the developing countries, develop decent and productive work for youth In cooperation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs in developing countries In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies—especially information and communications technologies
Lessons from Failures
(1994-2003)Hull Losses per Million Sectors by IATA Region
0.460.46NANA
0.590.59
EUEU
3.773.77
NENE
1.1. 22 44
10.1910.19
2.562.56
SASA
AFAF
FEFE
Global Average 1.1
Human Dimensions
クソ-!
ちゃ
んと
やれ
んの
か!
リソース・マネジメントなんて簡単さ。おまえがリソースで、俺がマネジメントだ!
We are repeating mistakes.
Is it our intrinsic feature?
To be brave enough for making challenges (=mistakes and/or
challenges) .
Successes by total quality control let people stop thinking together and differently.
How to go beyond a domain differentiated discipline ensuring universal access to scientific knowledge ?
System of collected surgical events
LAN
Surgical events recording serverVPN-LAN
Strategic desk
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40℃
36
34
32
28
30
34
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40℃
32
30
28
Comparison between the Present Time and the Edo Era by Murakami
Distributions of Ground Surface Temperature
(2) Present(1) Edo Era( summer,3:00 p.m. )
Visions for Future
Evolution of Society
• Controllable?• Invisible hands?• Moral?• Workmanship?• Mission?• Digital Technology?
• Sharing Scientific Data and Information and in situ Decision Making for better governance
Rearrangement of Three Buildings for Increasing the Wind Velocity at the Space of Ventilation Path by Murakami
How to link scientific contents and social needs?Someone(system) needs to take care for solution.
280
300
320
340
360
380
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000280
300
320
340
360
380
CO
2 [
ppm
v]
濃度
年
Atm
osph
eric
Con
cent
ratio
n
2000
(ppm)
YearSource: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Organization
Wor
ld C
onsu
mpt
ion
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20000
2
4
6
1
3
5
8
7
10
9
(billion tonnes, oil equivalent)
YearSources: UN Statistical Yearbook, BP Statistical Review of the World Energy
Nuclear
Hydro
Natural Gas
Coal
Oil
Get-the-Practical-Picture-Holistic Approaches
• 3R(Reduce, Reuse and Recycle) and “Mottainai” projects– Challenge to Establish a Sound Material-Cycle Society
– Promotion of Science and Technology Suitable for 3R
s • Green Design and Green Product
– Eco-”Brand”– Innovative Design
• “Open” Access– Information Sharing and Networking
MISSING LINKS FOR THE SUSTAINABLITY
• Leaving Problems to the next generation
• Exporting “Public Bads” to “Outsides”
• Big changes are required– Industrial CapitalismNeo Capitalism?
• Industrial Ecology• Natural Captalism• …….
Problem Definition-Design of Environments-
• Commons of 10G people– Earth, Environment, Community…
• Collaboration of 10G people
• Commitments of 10G people
• Connections of 10G people
• Emergences by 10G people
岩田修一
Toward Global Knowledge Sharing
• Not to simply continue compiling data but….
• It may happen if you feel it is necessary to get– Mission: environment – Users: empowerment– Values: energy, economy– Good stories: ethics
TOWARD THE FUTURE
• Global Promotion of 3Rs
• Spirit of “mottainai” “もったいない”
• Global Establishment of Sound Materi
al-Cycle Societies
Linkage among specialized domains Linkage among specialized domains through data and ITthrough data and IT
EXPLICIT
TACIT
INDIVIDUAL GROUP
Knowing(as action)
We have a role here!
Bridging Epistemologies( J.S.Brown)
Connections
岩田修一
Eudaimonea?
Communications are made through heart to heart resonance! -------Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
→Incentives
→Views(atmosphere/environment+mission)
→Design and Working Together
→Commitments
→Stories
→Histories and Cultures
Articulation of Design Problems on Environment
• Get-the-Big-Picture• Get-the-Precise-Picture• Get-the-Relational-Picture• Get-the-Practical-Picture
– Bottom-up and top-down approaches– Reactive and proactive actions– Economical incentives
岩田修一
Not transcendental by A.Sen(1)
• Assume that my wife and I have had dinner allone as we usually do. For dessert two cakes have been purchased. They are very different, but both are very fine cakes and expensive-according to our standard. My wife hands me the tray and suggests that I help myself. What shall I do?
Not transcendental by A.Sen(2)
• By looking up my own utility function I find that I very much would like to devour one particular one of the two cakes. I will profound that this introspective observation is completely irrelevant for the choice problem I face.
Not transcendental by A.Sen(3)
• The really relevant problem is:which one of the two cakes does my wife prefer? If I knew that the cake would be easy. I would say “yes please” and take the other cake, the one that is her second priority.
----Ragnar Frisch:The originator of Econometrics,
We have been emerging with mistakes and successes, and we need to make our experiences into public goods.It starts from our collaboration fighting against public bads!
Abstract of Abstract
• Mass Production Paradigms from Manufacturing to Data & Information
• Value Additions on “Mass”
• Innovations beyond “Average and Universality” based on “Limits” and “Diversities”
• Let’s start to work together from now!