Yosef Lapid--The Third Debate

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    The Third Debate: On the Prospects of International Theory in a Post-Positivist EraAuthor(s): Yosef LapidSource: International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 33, No. 3 (Sep., 1989), pp. 235-254Published by: Wiley on behalf of The International Studies AssociationStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2600457 .

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    236 Prospects f nternational heoryn a

    Post-Positivistra

    it Bunge, 1983:270). One finds, n the other

    hand, a prescription ora rigorous

    philosophy-avoidancetrategy or the practicing

    ocial scientist. specially n the

    early tages

    f

    theorizing,o this rgument oes, misplaced ursuits f epistemology

    and

    philosophy

    f

    science re bound to be inconclusive nd are likely o come at the

    expense of actual research Rosenberg,1986).

    Be that s it may, t s hardly isputable hat hedemiseof theempiricist-positivist

    promise or cumulative ehavioral ciencerecently as forced cholars romnearly

    all the ocialdisciplineso reexamine heontological,

    pistemological,

    nd

    axiological

    foundations

    f

    their scientific ndeavors. As a result, the human sciences are

    currently ndergoing n acute bout of self-doubt

    nd heightenedmetatheoretical

    ferment.

    ndeed,

    some of the most

    highlyprized premises

    f

    Western

    cademic

    discourse concerning he nature of our social

    knowledge, ts acquisition, nd its

    utility-including hibboleths

    uch as

    truth, rationality, objectivity, reality,

    and

    consensus, -have come

    under

    renewed

    ritical

    eflection

    Fay, 1985).

    AnthonyGiddens (1979:238) has identified ourtypicalresponses to this re-

    awakeningof metatheoreticalmpulses following he collapse of the positivist

    orthodoxy: he despairing, he dogmatic, he celebratory, nd his own,thecall

    for

    a systematic econstruction f social theory.Alarmed by the conspicuous

    absence

    of a

    single shared

    conviction

    bout the nature and destination f social

    theory, he despairing esponse rticulates n instinctiveesirenot tobe disturbed

    by foundational,

    r

    meta -scientific,roblems.Noting hat xperts

    n

    metascience

    rarely gree among themselves, hisresponseclings o pre-Kuhnian erities bout

    objectivity,estability,nd falsificationnd encourages ocial scientistso go on with

    some

    useful

    or

    practical

    work.

    Unfortunately,

    his

    retreatist

    attern

    neither

    addresses

    nor

    settles he issues raised by the current

    ntellectual ransfiguration.

    Worse till, hecreative otential f the risis s ost

    n

    thehaste

    f

    wanting o

    know.

    The dogmatic esponse uffers rom imilar imitations.n theface ofexpanding

    confusion nd as a result f a foundationalistraving

    o

    restore ntellectualecurity,

    this

    response ppeals

    to an authoritative

    igure

    uch

    as Karl

    Marx or

    Max Weber.

    As Giddens indicates,however, his reversion o dogmatism voids rather than

    confronts he core problem. Certainty s perhaps

    artificiallyestored,

    but

    at an

    excessive scientific price.

    In sharpcontrast o the firstworesponses, he third ffirmsnd

    celebrates

    he

    supposedly liberating otential

    f

    the

    Babel

    of

    theoretical oices

    urrently

    ound-

    ing over the ruins of the positivist roject.

    t casts

    a

    new

    light

    on the

    endemic

    diversity

    f theories

    by questioning

    he

    assumption

    hat

    convergence

    f

    belief s

    necessary

    or

    maturity

    n

    science.

    t

    seriously

    xamines

    nsteadthe

    possibilityhat,

    within imits,diversity f viewpointsmightbe fully compatiblewithscientific

    rationality

    nd

    objectivity.

    his

    is an

    optimistic

    esponse,

    nd thus Giddens

    cau-

    tiously pproves. He insists, owever, hat imply

    mbracing-or compounding-

    this

    condition

    f

    theoretical luralismmay

    nadvertentlyggravate

    he

    crisis.

    His

    fourth

    esponse, ystematiceconstruction,

    ddresses his

    roblem ytrying

    o order

    and

    transcend

    diversity

    without

    ubstituting

    new

    orthodoxy

    for

    the

    old one

    (Giddens, 1979:240).

    As we shall see shortly,

    his

    far-reaching

    nd still

    volving

    ntellectualransition

    n

    the

    philosophical

    nd social

    disciplines

    has left

    ts markon international elations

    scholarship. ollowing

    he idealismversus

    realism chism

    f the

    1920s

    and

    1930s,

    and transcendinghe more recent history ersus cience exchange

    of

    the 1950s

    and

    1960s,

    n the ate 1980s the

    discipline

    tands n the midst f a third

    discipline-

    defining

    ebate

    (Maghroori

    nd

    Ramberg,1982;

    Holsti, 1985a; Banks, 1986).

    It

    is

    noteworthy

    hat

    n

    terms

    f

    methodological

    nd theoretical

    nnovations

    he field

    f

    international elationswas

    and still s an absorber

    nd

    importer,

    ot a

    producer

    n

    itsown

    right Halliday, 1985:408). Hence,

    prima

    acie,

    there re

    reasons to

    suspect

    that

    ust

    as the second debate -the

    history

    ersus science

    controversy-was

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    YOSEF LAPID

    237

    wedded to the ascendance of positivismn Western ocial science, o is the third

    debate linked, historically

    nd

    intellectually,

    o

    the

    confluence f diverse anti-

    positivistichilosophical

    nd

    sociological

    rends.

    Submittinghat the thirddebate

    in

    international

    elations

    heoryparallels the

    intellectual erment hat ther ocial sciences re presently ndergoing nd that his

    debate onstitutes diffuse nd stillmaturing isciplinaryffort

    o

    reassess heoretical

    options n a post-positivistra, this ssay xplores hedebate's tiology nd assesses

    its mplications or urrent nd future rospects

    or

    heoretical rowth. lthough ll

    fourresponses numeratedby Giddens are embryonicallyresent

    n

    the

    context

    f

    the third ebate,this tudy ingles ut one of them-the celebratory attern-as its

    main

    focus.' This

    optimistic

    eactionhas

    been

    chosen

    for

    three

    principal

    easons.

    First,

    t

    s

    a

    salient

    nd

    provocative esponse

    which

    merits

    pecial

    onsideration

    n

    view

    of

    a lingering uspicion that something s stillradicallywrong

    with

    nternational

    theory.2What,one might sk, s the nature nd

    the

    origin

    f this

    pparent urge

    of

    optimism? re we truly n theverge

    f

    a new

    ra n

    theory

    r are we

    simply itnessing

    an international elations ersion f the obsessive iscoverer's omplex ?3

    Second,

    from

    more

    practical oint

    of

    view,

    he

    celebratory attern

    s

    intriguing

    because

    of

    ts xplicit ocus

    on

    some putativemoments

    f

    specialproductivity

    hich

    are

    presumably mplicit

    n

    the current

    ntellectual

    ransition.

    t

    is

    interesting,

    n

    other words,to see what types

    f

    theoretical pportunities nd potentialities ave

    been attributed

    o

    the currentdebate

    and what

    kind of

    theoretical

    rojects

    re

    expected

    to

    best realize

    such

    promises.

    And

    finally,

    s hinted

    by Giddens's

    fourth

    pattern, ystematic econstruction,

    he

    celebratory esponse

    needs

    constructive

    critical elimitation

    n

    ordertoanticipate nd preempt hedangers f ndiscriminate

    theoretical lation.

    In

    direct nswer o thesequeries

    and

    concerns

    we

    posit

    hat he

    deeper roots nd

    implications f the current eason of hope in internationalelations heory re best

    explored

    in

    the context

    of

    a focused effort

    o

    understand ome

    seemingly

    ar-

    reaching ramifications

    f the

    new, post-positivisthilosophy

    nd

    sociology

    of

    science. The

    following nalysis

    s

    presented

    n four

    consecutive

    tages.

    The first

    acknowledges

    and

    explains

    the

    difficulty

    ome

    have

    in

    identifying

    coherent

    debate

    n

    the

    emerging

    Babel

    of

    discordant heoretical oices

    n

    the nternational

    relations ield.The second seeks to bring the

    third

    debate into sharper focus by

    highlightingts distinctive ost-positivistrofile.

    he thirddelimits he

    parameters

    of

    the

    celebratory esponse

    nd

    explores

    the

    grounds

    for he

    optimisticquation

    of

    the current

    ebate

    with

    promising rowth

    n

    international elations

    heory. he

    fourth

    section

    issues a

    general warning concerning

    some notable hazards

    of

    misplaced r extravagantheoretical opes.Whileacknowledginghe considerable

    '

    Brief reference will be made later to the despairing response. The orthodox Marxist attack on the

    dependency and world system

    pproaches provides good examples

    for the

    dogmatic pattern see

    Denemark

    and Thomas, 1988). The systematic

    econstruction esponse

    is

    certainly ery mportant

    nd deserves

    separate

    attention. But

    I

    agree with Preston that as formulated

    by

    Giddens

    it comes close to

    step

    number one in

    the

    direction of a new orthodoxy

    Preston, 1987:75). And like him

    I

    believe that having ust escaped from one

    straitjacket

    here s

    no point

    n

    pushing so early

    for

    new

    one

    (Preston, 1987).

    As an

    example, however,

    Hoffman's

    (1987) plea for dopting Critical

    Theory as the next tage

    n

    nternational elations heory ertainly ualifies

    for

    the systematic econstruction ategory.

    For an

    interesting xchange sparked by

    Hoffman's

    uggestion,

    ee

    articles

    by Renger (1988b) and Hoffman 1988).

    2

    See, for instance, Waltz's (1979:18) lament: Nothing seems to accumulate, not even criticism. Or see

    Rosenau's (1980:129) despair over

    the

    process

    of

    paradigm deterioration which,

    n

    his view,

    is

    underway

    n

    the

    study

    of world affairs.

    Reflecting

    his

    spirit,Gilpin (1984:287) has recently uggested that

    the

    discipline,

    no less

    than

    its

    object

    of

    study,

    s in a

    state

    of

    anarchy.

    '

    This complex originatesfrom

    orokin 1956:3-20) and refers o the periodic emergence n the ocial sciences

    of would-be

    new

    Columbuses who discover

    hereto undetected eaps

    of

    growth

    n

    social theory.

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    238 Prospects f nternational heoryn a Post-Positivistra

    promiseof the current ntellectual erment,he concluding section singlesout

    enhanced

    reflexivitys the most important

    ontribution o

    date

    of

    the current

    theoretical estructuring.

    The Third Debate: Disarray

    or Theoretical

    Restructuring?

    Few observers

    would

    seriously ontest he suggestion hat he field

    f international

    studies

    has

    experienced

    n

    recent

    years

    sustained theoretical ffervescence. ut

    beyond vague

    uneasiness ver the

    fact hat

    no

    reduction

    eems

    to be

    obtaining

    n

    the diversity

    f

    conceptualizations

    nd

    higher-orderheories,

    ne looks

    n

    vain for

    more

    specific

    onsensus

    on

    the current tate

    nd future

    irection

    f the

    discipline.

    Echoing Giddens's despairing response, we

    find at

    the pessimistic nd

    of

    the

    spectrum

    cholarswho are either eluctant

    r unable to

    detect coherent

    attern

    n

    the

    rampant heoretical peculation.

    uch observers

    eplore

    the

    dazing pace

    with

    which

    new deas are superficiallyntroduced

    nto

    nternationalelations heory, nly

    to be discarded subsequentlywith nexplicableurgency.They seem thoroughly

    confused by the amount of debris

    on

    the battlefield f international elations

    theory Der Derian, 1987:11) and feelunderstandablyrustrated

    t

    facing hisvast

    intellectualisarray

    with

    ewguides

    on

    making

    hoices

    Lyons,1986:643). Hence,

    they onclude that in both theory nd practice nternational olitics an bring n

    despair.

    This is an

    occupational

    hazard

    in

    the field

    for

    which

    here s

    no

    remedy

    (Morgan, 1987:301).

    Others,

    o be

    sure,

    would

    strongly isagree

    with

    uch

    a

    gloomy eading Holsti,

    1985a:4). They would counter hat he ively horus

    f

    contending heoretical oices

    in

    the field

    f international elations

    onstitutes

    dialogue

    or a debate with

    he

    power

    to transform

    he nternational elations iscipline. et evenamongthis roup

    there sconspicuouslyittlegreementboutwho sdebatingwhom, longwhat ines

    of

    contention,

    nd

    withwhat

    prospects

    f

    success.

    For

    in

    sharp

    contrast

    withboth

    previous debates, the residual

    confusion ver the

    source, nature,direction,

    nd

    potential onsequences

    of the current ntellectual ransition emains xtensive.

    t

    reaches far beyond technical isagreements ver nomenclature r head countsof

    would-beparadigmatic ombatants Holsti, 1985a:5).4

    At

    first

    ight

    t is

    therefore

    ifficult o avoid the

    conclusion

    that

    nternational

    relations

    heory

    has

    recently p-graded

    ts

    profile

    s a

    fundamentally

    ontested

    domain

    Biersteker, orthcoming).

    his

    perhapspartially xplains

    hereluctance

    o

    bring

    the current

    xchange

    nto focusas an

    intelligible

    debate.

    But, precisely

    n

    view

    of

    this

    reluctance,

    t

    is imperative

    o

    highlight ome notable commonalities

    among thosewho do acknowledge coherent nd consequentialpattern n the

    current

    ntellectual

    acophony

    n

    the nternationalelations ield.

    or

    at a minimum

    one

    finds,

    or

    xample,

    shared

    recognition

    hat he

    third ebate marks clear end

    to the

    positivistpistemological

    onsensus

    hatwas

    hardly

    haken

    n

    the ourse

    of

    the

    history

    ersus

    science controversy.Whereas

    the

    second debate was preoccupied

    with

    quarrels over methodologynarrowly efined,the third debate is typically

    expected

    to

    facilitate

    railblazing

    deas

    about the

    nature nd

    progression

    f knowl-

    4 The nature f the thirddebate may vary

    onsiderably long ontological, pistemological, nd axiological lines.

    Its scope may fluctuatewidely depending on whetherone opts for a restrictive escriptionof the debate-as a

    focused exchange

    betweenrealism and neorealism versus all comers and

    challengers Keohane, 1986)-or

    for a

    far

    broader

    characterization which

    specifies

    the

    emergence

    of

    a

    genuinely multiparadigmatic nternational

    relationsdiscipline as

    the

    outstanding novelty f

    the current ntellectual ransition Alker and Biersteker,1984;

    Holsti, 1985a). And finally,moving long the plane

    of knowledgeversus power, the significance f the debate may

    varydepending on whether ne sees it as a battlebetween good and bad ideas in an

    insuLlatedcienitificrenia

    r

    as a series of

    intenselypolitical happenings

    (Ashley, 1989) occur-ring etween vestedcuLltuLral,conomic, and

    political nterestsBiersteker,forthcoming).

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    YOSEF

    LAPID

    239

    edge

    in the international elations ield.One also finds shared

    appreciation

    hat

    theory n thisfield s in the process f beingrestructured, restructuring

    hich

    s

    recognizedmoreover s being linkeddirectly

    o a similar et

    of

    debates

    ccurring

    n

    contemporaryocialand political heory Hoffman, 988:91).

    The following nalysis makes no attemptto deny or expunge the possibly

    irreducible mbiguities f the current ntellectual ransition

    n

    the discipline. ts

    purpose s simply

    o

    refer o certain hemes

    n

    the

    new

    philosophy

    nd

    sociology

    f

    science

    n

    order

    to

    clarify

    he

    etiology

    f

    the current ebate

    and

    its

    promises

    nd

    limitations.

    The Third Debate:

    A

    Post-Positivist rofile

    Especiallywhencomparedwith he simplisticoherence f the positivist hilosophi-

    cal

    movement, ost-positivism

    s not a

    unitary hilosophical latform.

    t

    presents

    itself s a rather ooselypatched-up

    mbrella or

    confusing rray

    f

    only

    remotely

    related philosophical rticulations. ence, ifone wishesto refermeaningfullyo

    post-positivism

    s an

    alternative hilosophical osition-perhaps ushering

    n

    a new

    era

    in

    international elations

    heory-one

    first

    must

    dentify

    ome areas of con-

    vergence

    n

    the general deas presented y

    this new

    philosophy

    f

    science.

    A

    detailed analysis

    of

    such convergentpost-positivist

    iews

    is, however,

    well

    beyond

    the

    scope

    of

    this

    paper.5

    will

    deliberately

    estrict

    my

    attention o

    three

    themeswhich eem to have been particularlynfluential

    n

    determining he

    tone,

    agenda,

    and mood

    of

    the currentdebate

    in

    international elations

    heory. hese

    themes-the preoccupationwithmeta-scientificnits paradigmatism),he concern

    with

    underlying remises nd assumptions perspectivism),nd the drift

    owards

    methodologicalpluralism (relativism)-are,

    of

    course,

    interrelated.

    hey will,

    however, e treated eparately ere to elucidatemore learlyheir istinctmpact n

    the current

    heoretical ebate.

    The

    Concern

    ith

    Meta-Scientific

    nits

    Paradigmatism)

    Post-positivism

    as

    wrought

    notable

    change

    in

    the

    understanding

    nd choice of

    proper

    units f

    analysis

    n

    the study

    f

    scientific

    evelopment.6

    n

    sharp

    contrast o

    the

    positivist

    hoice

    of

    the

    empirically

    orroborated

    aw or

    generalization

    s the

    fundamental

    nit f

    scientific

    chievement,

    henew

    philosophy

    f

    science nsists

    hat

    only relativelyong-lived, arge-scale,

    nd multi-tieredonstructs-such s

    para-

    digms Kuhn, 1962), research-programmesLakatos,1970),

    research

    raditions

    (Laudan, 1984), super-theories Gutting, 980), globaltheories Hooker,1987),

    and

    weltanschauungen Wisdom, 1987)-should qualify

    as basic

    knowledge-

    producing, nowledge-accumulating,

    nd

    knowledge-conserving

    nits.

    For

    theories

    do

    not

    come to us

    separately;

    hence

    they

    hould not be handled as

    self-contained

    entities.

    Above

    all, the new philosophical ostureportrayscientific nowledge s a triadic

    complex consisting

    f

    1)

    a

    phenomenic

    xis

    covering

    he

    empirical

    ontent f

    scientific

    heories; 2)

    an

    analytic

    xis

    covering hypotheses, xplanations,

    nd

    theoretical

    models;

    and

    3)

    a thematic xis

    covering eality-defining

    ssumptions,

    epistemological remises,

    nd other

    types

    f

    distinctlyideological

    r

    metaphys-

    'There is now a voluminous body of literature which seeks to

    identify

    he

    basic themes of the dramatic

    revolutions n our

    understanding

    of

    science.

    See

    Laudan et al.

    (1986:141-224), in particular,for a readable

    summary f both

    convergent

    nd

    divergent

    hemes n the new

    philosophy

    f

    science.

    6This

    change is

    known n the philosophical iterature s the problem of choosing a proper unit of

    epistemic

    appraisal (Bernstein,1983:24; Pandit, 1983:19; Campbell,

    1984:28-30;

    Laudan et

    al., 1986:154).

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    240

    Prospects f

    nternational

    heory

    n a

    Post-Positivist

    ra

    ical ngredients.7he novelty

    f this

    nderlying ost-positivistroject-postulating

    an irreduciblyhree-dimensionalpace

    for scientific

    nowledge-is

    the

    explicit

    negationof the cardinal positivist remise

    which ffirms

    he eliminability

    f

    the

    human Margolis,1987:xxii) nd places or replaces)the

    scientist

    at

    the center

    f

    the social-intellectual-ethicalomplexknown s science Hooker, 1987:10).

    Paradigmatism

    hus

    sserts

    hatmeta-scientificonstructsome

    and

    go

    in

    complete

    packages.

    t

    follows

    hat

    nly

    broader

    conjunctures

    f

    interrelated

    heories,

    nclud-

    ing their nstated remises nd underlyingssumptions,

    an

    qualify

    s

    properunits

    of

    development nd appraisal

    in

    science.

    It

    follows, urthermore,

    hat

    empirical

    evidence

    n

    the

    usual

    sense

    of

    registering objectively

    hat one

    sees is

    of

    only

    limited utility

    n

    scientific valuative

    appraisal.

    For

    in

    sharp

    contrast

    with

    the

    phenomenic xis, the thematic xis-although challengeable

    erhaps

    n

    some

    other

    way (Wisdom, 1987:160)-is not refutable y direct empirical bservation. his

    partially xplains,

    s Holton

    pointsout, why

    cience

    s not

    one

    great

    totalitarian

    engine taking veryonerelentlessly

    o

    the same inevitable

    oal

    (quoted

    in

    Stent,

    1988:37). At the same time t also raises the challengeof formulatinglternative,

    rational riteria f evaluative ppraisal

    which

    cknowledge nd confront ather

    than

    deny

    or

    ignorethe non-empirical

    ature

    f

    at leastone

    integral omponent

    f

    all scientific

    nowledge Wisdom,1987:160).

    Returning

    o our

    principal oncern

    with

    nternational elations

    heory,

    submit

    that

    paradigmatism -in

    the

    specific

    ense

    of an

    enhanced

    post-positivist

    oncern

    withmeta-scientificonstructs hich ncorporatentegral hematic

    omponents s a

    precondition

    f

    scientific

    ntelligibility-presents

    tself

    s

    one

    of

    the most notable

    characteristics

    f

    the

    third

    ebate.

    For

    even

    a

    cursory lance

    t the

    iterature eveals

    that tudies nvolving ivariate nd multivariateelations, hich

    lourished hrough-

    out

    the 1960s and

    early1970s,

    now

    are held

    n

    generaldisreputeViotti

    nd

    Kauppi,

    1987:580). The intellectualxchange s no longerbetween ndividual cholarsor

    isolated theories, ut between models McKinlay

    nd

    Little,

    1986), paradigms

    (Banks, 1985; Holsti,1985a),

    research

    rograms Keohane, 1984;

    Kratochwil nd

    Ruggie, 1986; Hermann

    and

    Peacock, 1987),

    research traditions

    Biersteker,

    forthcoming),

    r discourses

    Ashley, 989).

    The

    chosen

    unitdiffers

    n

    accordance

    with

    respective references

    or

    Kuhnian, Lakatosian,Laudanian,

    or other

    more

    fashionally post-modernist

    onstructs. ut

    we

    find

    n

    each case a

    remarkable

    concurrencewith he

    underlying enet

    which

    postulates

    hat

    ignificant

    heoretical

    modifications

    nd choices must

    always

    take into account the

    supportive

    meta-

    scientific

    omains

    n

    which

    hey

    re

    holistically

    mbedded.

    It is

    in

    thisgeneral context, suggest,

    hatone can

    best

    understand he marked

    popularityf countless ffortso recastthefragmentedheoreticalurnout f the

    international elations

    field in

    terms

    of

    contendingmeta-theoreticalonstructs

    (Banks, 1985; Holsti, 1985a; McKinley

    nd

    Little,1986;

    Viotti

    nd

    Kauppi, 1987).

    There

    is

    also

    the

    related

    propensity

    o

    go beyond imple hopping

    ists f

    would-be

    paradigms

    or

    perspectivesby launching

    more ambitious

    projects

    of

    paradigm

    demolition

    Vasquez, 1983), paradigm ynthesisMaghroori

    nd

    Ramberg, 982),

    or

    paradigmproliferationRosenau, 1980). And, arguably,

    uch

    is

    the

    ogic

    that lso

    informs,

    or

    nstance.Kratochwil nd

    Ruggie's

    choice

    of

    the

    historicallyvolving

    research

    rogram internationalrganization)

    verthe solated

    heoryregimes)

    s

    their

    prime

    unit

    of

    evaluative

    ppraisal 1986).

    The commondenominatorof these endeavors is the implicit eliefthatthesubstitutionf newmeta-theoreticalonstructsormoretraditional nits fscientific

    7

    In this nalysis follow rguments presented by

    Holton (1987) and Wisdom 1987). Holton's triad consists f

    phenomentc,nalyttc,nd

    themattc

    xes (Stent,

    1988:36-37). Wisdom's roughly imilar onstruct onsists f empirical

    content,mbeddedntology,nd weltanschauungWisdom, 1987:140).

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    LAPID

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    appraisal is somehow essential

    to

    locating

    and stimulating

    enuine theoretical

    growth. ortunately-as

    ndicated y the tendency o up-grade

    heoretical evisions

    to would-be paradigm lashes r putative

    progressive r degenerative roblem-

    shifts -the mpact

    ofparadigmatismn current heoretical reoccupations

    n the

    internationalelations ieldhas started enetrating ellbeyond technical ecasting

    of its fragmented heoretical orpus

    into revamped nd more

    fashionably olistic

    blueprints.New

    questions are being raised about the dynamics

    f

    emergence,

    persistance, nd the decline

    of

    meta-theoretical

    onstructs

    n

    the field Biersteker,

    forthcoming). he extent

    to which contending paradigms are truly incom-

    mensurable -incompatible

    nd even incommunicable

    ith ne

    another-is more

    seriouslyxamined Krasner,1985).

    And

    thepotential

    orfruitful

    ialogue

    between

    or

    syntheses

    f contending aradigmaticpproaches s more ystematically

    xplored

    (Keohane and Nye, 1987; S. Smith,1987:201).

    Most mportant,

    n

    thisprocess

    f

    expanding

    paradigmatism

    he third ebate has

    progressivelyaken

    the format

    f a

    discourse

    bout

    the

    choice of analytic rame-

    works Banks,1985:20). In thismore ophisticatedenseparadigmatismocuses n

    the difficult ask

    of

    formulating

    nd

    applying

    valid-as opposed

    to invalid-

    evaluativeprocedures

    at

    the paradigmatic

    evel (McKinley

    nd

    Little,1986:269).

    Needless

    to

    say,

    for the timebeing these promising evelopments

    ave expressed

    themselves

    mainly

    n a far

    greater ensitivityo,

    rather

    han he ctual

    resolution f,

    new and hereto gnoredsets

    of

    meta-theoretical

    roblems.

    But

    giventhis,

    t

    s still

    possible

    o

    summarize

    yreiteratingheremarkable ole played

    bythepost-positivist

    reformulation

    f

    the unit

    of

    scientific

    ppraisal in determininghe specifically

    inter-paradigmatic rofile

    f

    the current

    ebate

    n

    international

    elations heory.

    This

    I

    submit

    ifferentiates

    n a

    fundamental ather

    han faddishwaythe current

    controversy

    rom

    ts

    two

    predecessors

    n the field.

    The

    ocus n

    Premises

    nd

    Assumptions:erspectivism

    In

    addition

    o

    the reformulation

    f

    the

    unit

    f

    scientific

    chievement, ost-positivism

    also invokes

    a

    deliberate

    shift

    to the

    thematic

    evel

    of

    underlying ntological,

    epistemological,

    nd

    axiological premises

    nd

    assumptions.8

    uch

    a

    refocusing

    s

    considered

    necessary

    n

    view

    f theremarkable

    willingness

    f

    bothnatural

    nd

    social

    scientists

    o

    disregardempirical

    data

    that

    appear

    to contradict heories hat

    for

    them)

    have reachedthematic tatus.

    ometimes, herefore,mpasses

    n

    the

    growth

    f

    knowledgemay

    be created

    and

    reproduced

    ess

    by

    observational

    mistakes

    in

    the

    phenomenic xis)

    or

    by narrowly

    efined heoretical

    laws

    in

    the

    analytic xis)

    than

    by generalized risesof basicpresuppositionsthethematicxis).9

    Once a

    set

    of

    guiding

    ssumptions

    s

    elevated

    o

    thematic

    tatus,

    he

    perspectivist

    argument uggests,

    t

    becomes

    highly

    esistant

    o

    both vidence

    nd

    logical

    riticism

    (Laudan

    et

    al.,

    1986:154).

    And

    occasionally,

    nderthefiat

    f

    premises

    hat ndure

    n

    the face

    of

    all negative tests, he entire process

    of

    theorizingmay

    be forced to

    preceed long

    unacceptably

    estrictive

    r

    misleading

    ines.For

    nstance,

    s indicated

    by

    the bizarre

    ack of

    interest

    manifested

    y

    Marxism owards

    nationalism,

    uch

    malfunctions

    ay

    result

    n an

    excessive

    reoccupation

    ith

    marginal roblems

    while

    even

    criticallymportant

    henomena

    re

    ignored.

    8See, however,Dawson's (1985:373-80) critical istinction etween strong nd weak perspectives nd their

    implications or the objectivity

    f the social sciences.

    For an

    interesting ttempt

    o differentiate etween paradigms

    and perspectives,

    ee DeMey

    (1982:222-26).

    9

    Gadamer's

    prejudgments,

    Holton's themata, Schumpeter's

    vision, Polanyi's tacitdimensioll,

    or Laka-

    tos's hard core are,

    n

    a sense,

    different rticulations f the same

    post-positivist

    nsightwhichposits hat, lthough

    it s often eft

    mplicit,what s assumed by

    a

    given

    theory an be far more significant

    han what s explicitlytated.

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    242

    Prospects f nternational heory

    n a Post-Positivist

    ra

    Highlighting ssumptions s an important ourceof our scientific

    gnorance s

    different, owever,

    from

    submitting

    hat

    they lways erve to distort heoretical

    inquiry.To the contrary,imilarsetsof assumptions nvariably erve

    as enabling

    sources

    of

    valid scientific

    nowledge.'0 erspectivismubmits,

    n

    short,

    hat

    we are

    encapsulated n setsof presuppositionswhichmay hinder

    or

    facilitateheoretical

    growth.And if guiding ssumptions re the source of bothour

    ignorance nd our

    knowledge,t follows hat thefocalpoint f challenge n science hould

    becomeour

    weltanschauungen Wisdom, 1987:154).

    It

    should

    not

    be

    difficult o

    establish

    hat the

    currentdebate

    in

    international

    relations heory lso is characterized y a shift

    f

    attention oward hedomain of

    thematic remises

    nd

    assumptionsHaas, 1986).

    This

    refocusing xpresses tself

    n

    a manifest

    agerness

    f nternationalelations

    cholars,

    rom

    ven

    radically pposed

    theoretical amps,

    to

    leave the phenomenic

    nd

    analytic lanes n order to devote

    more

    energetic ttention

    o

    the hidden

    domain

    of

    key underlying

    ssumptions.

    Perspectivisms implicit,

    or

    nstance,

    n

    insights oncerning he inescapabilityf

    theory nd in ensuingconcernswithbecoming theprisoner funstated ssump-

    tions Keohane, 1986:4).

    It

    is manifest lso

    in a

    moreexplicit ensitivityo theneed

    to

    become clearly ware

    of

    the perspective

    which

    gives rise to

    theorizing Cox,

    1981:128). As a result, ditors nd theorists

    n

    thefield eem farmorewilling ow to

    concede that

    readers

    re

    entitled

    o an

    exposition

    f

    underlyingresumptions

    n

    theoreticalnalyses Rosenau, 1986:854). Notably, ne even hears

    the echoes of

    perspectivism

    n

    the embattledbastion

    of

    international

    elations mpiricism, he

    data

    movement,

    ith

    prospective

    ustomers

    ow

    dutifullydvised

    o

    check

    which

    dataset is the most suitable

    n

    terms

    of

    the nature of its underlying

    heoretical

    assumptions Maoz, 1988:165).

    To

    be

    sure,

    he

    perspectivist

    ccent s most

    udible

    among

    a smallbut vocal

    group

    of post-positivist,post-structuralist,nd post-modernistritics fmainstream

    international elations heory.

    As indicated

    by

    Richard

    Ashley's ecentwork, hese

    rebels utilize deconstructive nd genealogical ools deliberately

    esigned

    to

    automaticallytarget ssumptive

    heoretical

    eadquarters.

    hese intellectual ech-

    nologies postulate

    hat

    meaning

    nd

    understanding

    re not intrinsic o the world

    but,

    n

    the

    contrary,

    re

    continuouslyonstructed,efended,

    nd

    challenged.

    heir

    main

    purpose

    s

    to

    problemize nswers,

    make

    strange

    whathas become

    familiar,

    and

    reverse he

    process

    of construction

    n

    order

    to

    reveal

    how

    problematic

    re the

    taken-for-granted

    tructures

    anarchy

    for

    instance)

    of our

    social

    and

    political

    world

    Ashley,1988, forthcoming; lker, orthcoming).

    The

    growing

    ascination

    ith

    he

    thematic

    omponent

    f our current

    nowledge

    of worldpolitics s byno means restrictedo an elitevanguardof post-modernist

    rebels. n a

    perfect xample

    of

    perspectivism,

    s that

    term s used

    in

    this

    essay,

    Robert

    Jervis a leading

    international elations

    modernist )

    as

    recently

    emon-

    strated hatmodernists an be

    quite effective-and,

    of

    course,

    far more accessible

    than their

    post-modernist olleagues-in exposing major assumptivetraps

    in

    current

    heoryJervis, 988).

    To

    be

    sure,

    unlike he

    rebels, ervis

    as no intention o

    deconstruct he

    anarchy

    ramework. n the

    contrary,

    e is

    evidentlympressed

    with ts

    upposedlyproven apacity

    o stimulate nd

    sustain alid theoretical

    rowth

    (Jervis, 1988:319).

    But

    he is nonethelessdetermined o demonstrate

    how

    the

    simplifications

    f

    the

    anarchy framework-especially

    when

    amplified

    by game

    theory implifications-lead s

    to

    concentrate

    n

    questions hat re

    not

    entral,whileat the same time,wemarginalizemany mportant ueries Jervis, 988:349).

    ' As Wisdom points out, What the Weltanschauung ffects s

    to promote what comes within he poinlt f view

    and

    discourage

    what falls

    outside it: what

    s discovered n its name can be

    valid

    if

    satisfactorilyested;

    what s

    not

    investigated s a loss. But what

    s

    gained

    s

    not herebynvaltd rdstorted Wisdom, 1987:138; my emphasis).

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    YOSEF LAPID

    243

    Although

    t is

    possible

    to

    argue

    that he preoccupationwithunderlying ssump-

    tions s anything ut new to

    international elations heory,my point s thatthis

    preoccupationhas acquired new significancen the contextof the third

    debate.

    Perspectivism,s defined n this

    tudy, enotes omethingmore fundamental han

    a ritualisticnsistence hat we must examine our assumptions bout the behavior

    of

    the actors n internationalrenas more carefully Young, 1986:121). It

    refers

    more to a

    rejection

    f

    empiricism

    n

    favor

    of a

    theoretical

    pproach

    that

    ccepts

    the place of data in a subordinate

    position Halliday, 1985:412). On the basisof

    these brief llustrations,t seemsreasonableto concludethatperspectivismn

    the

    sense

    of

    a

    strongpost-positivistocus

    on

    thematic remises nd assumptionshas

    been internalized

    s

    a

    foremost haracteristicf the third

    debate

    in

    international

    relations

    heory.

    The

    Drift

    oward

    Methodologicalluralism: elativism

    The currentfierce ttackon science,objectivity,ruth, nd even rationalitynd

    logic, says J.O. Wisdom, may

    well be the fiercest ver mounted in history

    (1987:159; also see Bernstein, 986). The new epistemologyssociatedwith

    Fleck,

    Polanyi, uhn,Feyerabend

    nd

    others s, ndeed, ften ttacked s having

    xtremely

    relativisticmplications Bunge, 1983:261). This new relativism, osits

    Robert

    D'Amico, s

    far

    moreradical

    than

    previous ersions ecause

    t

    s secondorder, hat

    is, itquestionsnot ndividual

    ssertions or their ack of evidencebut the

    mplied

    and

    embedded standards, riteria, orms nd principles hatmakeudgmentsossible

    and

    give

    them

    rivilegedtatus D'Amico, 1986:139; myemphasis).By

    undermining

    objectivity

    nd

    truth,

    his relativizationf

    philosophical hinking

    as

    greatly

    om-

    plicated he task

    of

    providing ffective

    egitimation

    f

    knowledge

    nd has

    rendered

    problematiche demarcation f sciencefromnon-science.

    The

    massivemove

    toward

    relativism

    as had at

    least

    three

    noteworthy

    amifica-

    tions.

    First,

    ll versions

    f

    methodological

    onism

    eeking

    o

    institutionalize

    tandard-

    ized, explicit, nd unchanging riteria or

    regulating

    cientific

    omains-including

    the positivist onception

    of

    the scientificmethod

    Tianji, 1985:415)-have

    been

    rendered uspect y thisnew ntellectuallimate. ar

    from

    onsenting

    hat

    pistemic

    criteria re destined

    o

    remain

    ssentially nchanged

    over time nd

    place,

    the

    new

    epistemology napologetically uggests

    hat t

    is itself

    ocially

    mutable nd

    histori-

    cally ontingent. nd, followingmethodologically

    rom uch

    epistemological

    elativ-

    ism,

    a

    vigorouspluralism

    s called for. When it comes to theoreticaldeas 'let the

    hundredflowers

    loom '

    (Hooker,

    1987:56).

    Second, thegrowingrecognition f a multitude f potentially ruitfulesearch

    strategies

    lso has facilitated better

    nderstanding

    f science s a

    polymorphic

    s

    opposed

    to monolithic

    ntity Wisdom, 1987:140).

    As the end

    product

    f

    scientific

    activity,

    ocial

    knowledge

    s now

    more

    typically

    een

    as

    a

    complex

    of

    equally

    privilegedbut only loosely ntegratable

    orms

    Margolis, 1987).

    And

    since these

    distinct

    ypes

    of

    knowledge

    are set

    apart by

    characteristic

    modes

    of

    theoretical

    growth,

    t s essential

    o

    differentiate

    hem

    ccordinglyWagner

    nd

    Berger,1985).

    Finally,

    he

    post-positivist

    ndorsement

    f

    epistemological

    nd

    methodological

    diversity

    as undermined heclassic ascination

    ith cientific

    onsensus, esulting

    n

    a

    new-wave

    preoccupation

    with

    scientific issensus

    Laudan, 1984:13)11

    This

    intriguingclipse

    of consensus s

    a

    prime

    desideratum

    n

    social cience

    s of

    primary

    importance,or tsignals collapseofthehighlynfluential uhnian quationofan

    This trend s fed partially y the post-modernist ortrayal f consensus as a horizon that s never reached

    (Lyotard, 1984:61).

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    244

    Prospectsf

    nternationalheory

    n

    a Post-Positivist

    ra

    inability

    o achieve

    paradigmatic

    onsensuswith

    n inability

    o achieve

    significant

    theoretical

    rowth.'

    Returning

    o

    our

    main focus of interest,

    we note

    that the post-positivist

    ent

    towardrelativism

    nd

    itsensuing

    methodological

    amifications

    ave clearly

    nflu-

    enced the toneand substance fthe third ebate n nternationalelationsheory.t

    is

    hardly ccidental,

    or

    nstance, hat

    despitehigh

    motional

    nd intellectual

    takes,

    the

    currentontroversy

    as

    not

    been

    characterized ythe

    focused

    ntransigence

    hat

    marked he two

    previous

    debates. n tune

    with he

    post-positivist

    plea

    for

    olerance

    in matters

    heoretical

    Ball,

    1987:34),

    scholars

    have resisted

    he temptationo seize

    upon

    the current

    ntellectual ransition

    s

    an

    opportunity

    o

    impose

    a new

    set

    of

    exclusive pistemological

    rinciples

    nd prescriptions.

    Reflecting

    deepening

    suspicion

    of methodological

    monism, ven

    scholars

    who

    are otherwise ympathetic

    o

    positivist

    rthodoxy

    ow

    feel obliged

    to concede

    the

    dangers f monolithic

    ogmatism

    J. Snyder,

    988:190).

    The

    discipline

    s a whole

    now seems

    favorably

    isposed

    to consider

    alternative

    pistemologies

    rather han

    replacement fone kindof scienceby nother R. Snyder, 985:531). In tunewith

    the newpolymorphic

    mage

    ofscience, t

    s nowpossible o posit

    hat

    both

    old

    and

    new

    willbe sciences

    lthough

    he

    purposes

    nd

    evaluations

    will e

    different

    or

    ach

    (R. Snyder,

    1985:531).

    The growing

    cceptance

    of

    methodological

    luralism

    lso

    is

    manifest,

    n the

    endorsement f pluralist

    igor

    s

    the

    most

    promising

    methodologicalosture

    for

    the fieldof

    international

    elations

    Jervis, 985),

    n

    the nsistence

    n

    openness

    to

    criticism

    t every

    turn

    (Ashley,

    1989:30),

    in the vision

    of thriving

    multiple

    disciplines

    f

    international

    elations Alker

    and

    Biersteker,

    984:123),

    or, even

    more explicitly,

    n

    promptings

    o adopt

    the

    dictum

    f

    let a thousandtheoretical

    flowers loom

    Beal, 1980:55).

    In

    summary,

    he present

    osition

    s indeed

    one of

    ferment nd transition,markedby pluralismn values,methods, echniques nd

    perspectives

    Dunn,

    1987:79).

    Finally,

    t

    was perhaps

    nevitable hat

    he

    expanding

    cceptance

    f

    a

    polymorphic

    image

    of

    science

    nd

    the

    growing

    opularity

    f

    methodological

    luralism

    lso would

    lead

    to

    reexamination

    f cientificissensus

    nd ts elationship

    o

    cientificrogress.

    As a result, he earch

    for un-Kuhnian

    ersions

    f

    progress

    s already

    well

    underway

    in

    international

    elations

    heory Beal,

    1980;

    Mansbach

    nd

    Ferguson,

    1986).

    Irre-

    spective

    f

    other

    disagreements

    oncerning

    he

    theoretical

    rospects

    f the

    field,

    ne

    now finds

    onsiderable

    onsensus hat

    the way

    forward or international

    elations

    theory] hat inds

    tself

    n

    difficultiess

    notto

    pursue

    normalcy'

    f

    the

    Kuhniankind

    but to

    work

    owards diversity

    f

    strong

    aradigms Halliday,

    1985:412).

    The

    Grounds

    for Post-Positivist

    ptimism

    Granted hat ome

    post-positivist

    essages

    have

    been

    trickling

    own

    from

    he new

    philosophy

    f science,

    why hould

    these enets

    ranslatentogreater

    ptimism

    bout

    the prospects f

    nternational

    elations heory?

    n

    what

    basis

    and

    in what ense

    can

    one posit

    hat he

    third ebate provides

    timulus,

    ope, and

    even

    excitement

    n

    the

    demandingbusiness

    of

    analyzing

    nternational

    elations ?Banks,

    1985:20).

    What

    are

    the new

    promises

    of

    international

    elations theory

    from a

    post-positivist

    standpoint,

    nd

    what

    s

    the

    post-positivist

    ubstitute

    or

    the embattled

    nd

    rapidly

    fadingEl Dorado ofpositivistcience?

    In

    seeking

    n

    answer

    o this

    uestion

    twillbe useful o take second ookat the

    threepost-positivist

    hemes

    hat urfaced

    n our

    previous

    iscussion.

    loser scrutiny

    12

    Ball

    (1987:15-16)

    identifies hree

    more or less distinct

    hases

    in Kuhn's reception

    by political cientists,

    ith

    the

    current tagebeing

    one

    of outright epudiation.

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    246 Prospects f

    nternational

    heory

    n a Post-Positivistra

    summarize,

    n

    both their

    hindering

    nd their

    nablingcapacity,

    hematic

    ssump-

    tions

    an

    inspire onsiderable ptimism

    bout

    the

    growth

    nd

    prospects

    f

    nterna-

    tionalrelations heory.

    The belief that social scientists re invariably

    etter

    quipped

    to

    cut through

    assumptive s opposed to empirical mpasses is perhaps overlyoptimistic.'5 y

    pointing, onetheless, o the nonempirical phere

    of

    thematic remises

    nd

    pre-

    suppositions,perspectivism

    as

    facilitated relative

    liberation

    f

    theory

    from

    observation Gergen, 1987:2). And this iberation

    was

    destined

    o

    be interpreted y

    at

    least some

    scholars s a

    good

    reason

    for renewed

    hopefulness. Having passed

    through

    a

    phase

    in

    which

    facts have

    dominated

    theory,

    ne of them

    notes

    approvingly,

    the

    ogic

    of

    our

    scholarship

    s

    carrying

    s into

    phase

    n which

    heory

    dominates

    acts

    Banks, 1986:9).

    This takes

    us

    directly

    o

    perhaps

    the

    richestmine

    of

    optimism

    mbedded

    n

    the

    post-positivistredosof the thirddebate. Like

    other

    socialscientists,nternational

    relations heorists

    an

    deriverenewed

    onfidence

    n

    their

    cientificredentials

    rom

    the post-positivist ove toward relativismnd methodological luralism.For the

    positivist cientific romise was arrogant

    nd brutal

    n

    its simplicity:This is the

    modelof a scientificnterprise,ake t

    or

    leave

    it

    Elias, 1987:xix).

    For too

    ong thetragedy

    f nternationalelations

    cholarswas,

    of

    course,

    hat

    hey

    proved incapable of either fruitfullydoptingor decisively ejecting he grail of

    positivist cience.

    Via

    positivism

    he

    discipline

    became locked

    in a

    sterile

    and

    frustrating orshipful elationship

    o

    the

    natural

    ciences. resentlymerging rom

    this elf-imposed ositivist rap,many cholars

    re

    favorablympressed y the new

    latitude

    f

    maneuver ffered y

    multitude f

    post-positivistdioms

    f

    enquiry.And

    althoughnotably acking he exclusive

    uster f the

    positivistmantle

    f

    science, he

    post-positivistounterpart-or counterparts-are

    far

    more ccommodating

    n

    their

    acknowledged ostureoftolerance nd humility.

    The endorsement

    f

    methodological luralism,

    he

    emergence

    f

    a

    polymorphic

    image

    of

    science,

    and the

    reassuring

    notion

    that

    in

    the social sciences even

    permanent

    issensus s

    not a

    scientific

    isasterhave

    neutralized

    he

    once

    intimidat-

    ing bite of the positivist anti-scientificabel. Small wonder thatcurrentlyssued

    verdicts

    f condemnation o a lifeof intellectual

    luralism Holsti, 1985b:695)

    no

    longer carrytheirtraditionalmessage

    of

    scientificespair. Following necessary

    period

    of

    digestion

    f

    post-positivistdeas,

    it s

    now

    more fashionable

    o

    posit

    that

    'much f the strength f the discipline omes

    from

    he pluralityf its theoretical

    orientations Walker,1987:8).

    Arguably

    t s this

    feeling

    f an

    exceptional openingup

    of international

    heory

    whichabove all sustainsthe hope that,by presenting nprecedented heoretical

    potentialities,

    he

    mpact

    f

    the

    third ebate

    may

    xceed

    by

    far

    he

    ignificance

    f

    the

    two

    previousones.

    For

    some the

    main

    opportunity

    s

    to overcomeU.S.-inspired

    nationalistic arochialism

    nd

    create genuinely nternationalheory pplicableto

    all

    (Holsti, 1985a;

    S.

    Smith,1987:204).

    Others eem

    more concerned

    with

    related

    problems

    f

    paradigmatic ectarianism,dentifyingpportunities

    or

    new

    and

    more

    energetic yntheses

    f

    realism

    nd

    Liberalism

    Nye, 1988)

    or

    realism nd Marxism

    (Linklater, 986; Halliday, 1987b).

    Still others have identified

    pportunities

    or

    revamping

    he

    empiricist-positivist

    orthodoxy

    with holistic

    Snyder,1988)

    or

    interpretive Kratochwil

    nd

    Ruggie,

    1986) correctives;grounding political

    realism

    and

    international heory

    n

    the

    supposedly superior principlesof a realist philosophyof science (Wendt,

    15

    In

    fact,

    as Wisdom

    points out, problems at the

    weltainschauungen

    evel

    may

    prove

    far more

    difficult

    o

    overcome

    than

    problems at theoretical r empirical

    evels see Wisdom,

    1987:153-54).

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    YOSEF LAPID 247

    1987:369); endorsing he epistemological oundations f criticalheory s the next

    stage

    n

    the development f International elations heory

    Hoffman,1987;

    see

    also Ashley, 987); and adopting post-structuralistiscourse

    which,we are told,

    expands the agenda of social theory, osingquestions hatotherdiscourses

    must

    refuse

    o ask (Ashley, 989: 1).

    Other interpretationsf the precise nature

    of

    the post-positivist

    romise are

    readily vailable.What eems common o many f thesetheoretical

    rojects s their

    striking

    mbition. n their

    ombined ffect he

    themes f

    paradigmatism, erspec-

    tivism, nd relativism-inconjunctionwith he post-positivistlea fortolerance n

    matters heoretical-apparently ave generated reservoir f

    energywhich eemsto

    be

    best released by theorizing n a grandiose cale. Indeed,

    as

    Rosenau remarks,

    this s not a timefornit-picking,orfinding aultwith ogue

    definitions,mprecise

    formulationsnd skeweddata (1986:850).

    The Limits ofPost-positivist ptimism

    How durable and consequentialwill the current eason of hope

    be in the interna-

    tionalrelations iscipline?Are we truly n the verge

    of

    a new era in international

    theoryr s tmore ikely hat he drenaline ush fthethird

    ebate, ike thers,will

    have only negligible ong-term mplications? definitivenswer

    to

    this

    question

    would be risky nd premature t this point,for we must keep in mindthat the

    current urge

    of

    optimisms admittedly euristic.

    t

    is,

    n

    otherwords,

    n

    enthusiasm

    of

    newly nitiated epartures ather han sobercelebration

    f

    safe arrivals.Hence

    prudence and fairness nd the post-positivistpirit f tolerance tself emand a

    patient waiting f further,more substantive,esearch indings.

    Having acknowledged his t snonethelessppropriate o add some observations

    on

    the hazards

    of

    excessive post-positivistptimism.

    n

    referring

    o

    possible

    problems

    nd

    difficulties, ypurpose s

    not to

    deprecate

    he

    revitalizing

    heoretical

    energy eleased by the

    third

    debate.

    It

    is rather

    o further elimit

    ts

    scope

    in the

    spirit

    f

    constructiveriticism.

    or

    clarity

    nd

    consistency

    e

    will

    return,

    or

    he ast

    time,

    to

    the three post-positivistrademarks

    f

    the third debate.

    Starting

    with

    paradigmatism,

    ne

    should notice

    n

    particular

    he

    danger

    of

    misappropriating

    thisvaluable post-positivistorrective or propaganda

    and

    polemical

    uses. Philoso-

    phers

    of

    science

    have

    long suspected,

    n

    fact,

    hat ne

    major

    reason social

    scientists

    turn o philosophys to fabricate

    more

    respectable

    nchor

    for

    he laim

    f

    being

    progressive

    cience

    Rosenberg, 986:340).

    There are reasons

    o

    suspect

    hat uch

    a line of reasoning may stand behind some current ttempts o reconstructhe

    corpus

    of

    international heory

    n

    terms

    f

    paradigms,

    research

    programs,

    nd

    othermeta-scientificnitsof analysis.

    Consider the

    fact

    that,

    s

    typically pplied

    to the international elations

    field,

    Lakatos's methodology f scientific ppraisal has consistentlyesulted

    n

    rather

    optimisticeadings

    f both

    tspasttheoretical rowth

    nd

    itsfuture

    rospects.'6

    his

    mightbe a fortunate oincidence,but one is alerted by

    Hermann and Peacock's

    candid confession

    hat the main

    reason

    for

    theirdecision

    to move

    from

    he

    two

    prevailing ogics

    of

    inquiry the neo-positivist

    nd Kuhnian

    methods)

    to

    a

    Lakatosianmethodology

    f

    scientific

    ppraisal

    s that he first wo-but

    presumably

    not the third-lead invariably

    o

    negative ssessments

    f

    the

    comparative

    tudy

    f

    foreign olicy.The excessivelyavalier nterpretationf Lakatos'smethodologys

    16

    Such is, ndeed, the warrant orthe passports

    f

    hope recently ssued

    forneorealism

    Keohane, 1984), regimes

    analysis Kratochwil and Ruggie, 1986), and the comparative study of foreign policy Hermann

    and

    Peacock,

    1987:16-22).

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    248 Prospects f

    nternational

    heory

    n a Post-Positivistra

    particularlytriking

    n

    thiscase.

    For

    one

    looks n vain

    foreven gestures

    o

    the key

    term of progressive r degenerativeproblem-shift. et in the absence of this

    concept t s virtuallympossible o accomplishwhat hese wo cholarshave explicitly

    set out

    to

    do, to refermeaningfully

    o

    Lakatos'smethodforpurposes f theoretical

    appraisal Hermannand Peacock,

    1987:16-22).17

    But the problemgoes far beyondcavalier nvocations f would-bephilosophical

    authorities.

    With

    the consolidation

    f

    international

    elations s

    a

    dividing

    disci-

    pline, contending ets of criteriafor udging scientific cceptability roliferate.

    Ironically,

    his

    pens up tempting pportunities

    or

    nstant cientific

    edemption

    f

    vast bodies

    of

    theoretical iteratureby simple

    shifts

    f epistemic tandards

    of

    appraisal.

    Would-be scientific ontributionsuch

    as

    Allison's models

    of

    foreign

    policy ecision-making, hichmight e consideredunacceptable

    f

    udged by strict

    positivistriteria,may appear more promising

    f

    interpretive

    r

    hermeneutical

    standards re invoked Ball, 1987:104-09).

    Without

    uestioning he considerable

    merits

    f

    multiple riteria

    or

    valuating laims,

    cholars n

    the field hould beware

    lest they ome to resemblethe proverbial rcherwho shoots his arrow and then

    draws a bull's

    eye

    around it.

    . . .

    Especially

    if

    seen

    as a

    miracle

    drug,

    enthusiastic

    paradigmatism

    hich

    makes ight

    f the critical istinction

    etweenpromising nd

    misleading

    ines

    of

    nquiry

    t

    the

    meta-scientificevel

    might

    ead us

    straight

    ntonew

    butequally damagingtraps t theparadigmaticevel.

    A

    more ober

    ook at

    the truemerits

    f

    post-positivisterspectivismeveals t east

    three noteworthy isks.First, he preprogrammingapacity f assumptive rame-

    works s oftenvastly xaggerated r reified. erspectivisman play a constructive

    role only n so far s it acknowledges he historic nd dynamic haracter f cognitive

    schemes nd assumptive rameworks. therwise, we lock the subject nto himself

    unable ever

    to

    see more than he knows DeMey, 1982:225). This reminder eems

    particularly ertinentn viewof the stillpopular rehearsals f rigid matrixes f

    underlying ssumptions

    which

    mechanisticallyncapacitate ealist hinking

    bout

    contemporary

    world affairs

    O'Meara, 1984:250; Taylor, 1984:4). Seen

    in

    this

    simplistic

    manner-but not

    otherwise-perspectivism

    s

    revealed

    n the

    debate over

    realism

    may ustifiably

    e dismissed s

    a sourceof

    confusion

    Goldmann, 988).18

    This takesus

    to

    a second set

    of

    hazards,namely

    hat

    f

    embedding

    hefixation

    n

    guiding ssumptions

    n a

    superficial nderstanding

    f

    the

    ramificationsf whathas

    been

    popularized by

    Kuhn and

    by Feyerabend

    s the

    incommensurability

    hesis.

    This

    in

    turn an result

    n

    equallydamaging

    denials

    or

    exaggerations

    f the

    problem

    of

    comparison nd communication etween

    ets

    of

    thematic

    ssumptions.

    Rather

    than

    defining

    he

    problem wayby ssuming

    utomatic ommensuration

    portraying

    models as merelydifferent facets of the same complex reality Young,

    1986:120]

    and instead

    of

    building up

    the

    problem

    to

    suicidal

    proportions by

    insisting

    hat

    genuine paradigms

    are defined

    y

    their undamentalncommensu-

    rabilities

    with

    ther nterpretations Biersteker, orthcoming)],

    cholars nterested

    7

    In

    fairness, hese

    scholars do acknowledgethat It

    may

    be

    stretching

    oo

    far to call these various

    contributions

    a researchprogram

    n the spirit fLakatos

    Hermann and Peacock,

    1987:30). But the fact

    remainsthat hey

    do invoke

    Lakatos's authorityfor

    what can be

    uncharitablyportrayed as

    propaganda purposes. For to

    take

    Lakatos's scheme

    seriously would involve among

    other things that we

    distinguishbetween core and

    auxiliary

    assumptions,directing

    our defenses and/or criticisms

    ccordingly

    . . that our criticisms e

    retrospective nd

    directed against adjustments in the

    protective belt of the

    program

    in

    question; and . . .

    that we

    udge

    the

    success-to-datef research raditionnd of the heonesomposingt n termsfprogressivenessr degenerationf uccessive

    adjustmentsnd auempts

    tproblem-solvingBall,

    1987:34-35, my emphasis).

    18

    Fortunately thers

    have acknowledgedthefact

    that ssumptions

    do not

    stayunmodified ver time

    and have

    approached realism

    as a

    knot of

    historically

    onstituted tensions and

    contradictions which

    might

    be

    re-

    constituted n a more critical nd creativemanner

    Walker, 1987;

    see also

    Ashley,1984).

    As

    Musgrave points

    out

    (1981:378),

    it s

    necessary

    not

    only

    to

    distinguish

    etweendifferent

    ypes

    f

    assumptions

    ut also to remember

    he

    possibility

    f a

    concealed change

    in

    the nature

    of a

    single assumption

    due

    to

    ongoing

    criticism.

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    YOSEF

    LAPID

    249

    in understanding

    he implications

    f

    post-positivisterspectivism

    or nternational

    theory

    must pay considerably

    more attention

    to philosophical

    efforts o devise

    new

    roads to commensurability

    Pearce,

    1987;

    Rengger,1988a).

    A third anger

    whichmerits

    riefmention n

    this ontext

    urksn the

    often-voiced

    concern hat he shift ffocus oward he ofty omainof guiding ssumptions ill

    come at the

    expense of empirical

    r lower

    eveltheoretical

    tudies. hould it

    drift

    into

    such parasiticdirections,

    he post-positivist

    liberation f

    theory romdata

    could indeed

    lead us into

    the dead end of

    metatheory

    Skocpol,1987:12).

    Finally,we willbriefly

    xamine the

    notorious itfalls

    f

    post-positivist

    elativism.

    To be sure, methodological

    pluralism

    richlybenefits

    from all the virtues

    of

    relativism. nfortunately,

    t

    also suffersrom

    omeof tsworse

    vices Gellner,

    985).

    If adopted

    uncritically

    r

    taken

    to

    its ogicalconclusion,

    methodological

    luralism

    may

    deteriorate

    nto condition

    f

    epistemological

    narchy

    nderwhich

    lmost ny

    position

    an legitimately

    laim

    qual hearing.

    And to the xtent

    hat uch an equality

    between different

    ypes of knowledge

    prevails,

    mere theoretical

    proliferation

    becomes practicallyndistinguishableromgenuinetheoreticalrowth.

    It is hardly

    secret, f

    course, that the

    international

    elations ield

    s already

    seriously

    fflicted y

    some

    of

    the

    hazards

    of unreflective ethodological

    luralism.

    Within ertain imits,

    he

    field

    eems

    well advised

    to distance tself

    rom

    conomics

    and follow n the

    footsteps f

    sociology

    n

    reinterpreting

    ts

    own

    lack

    of

    definition

    and theoretical

    acophony

    s

    selective

    dvantages Hirsch

    t al., 1987:333).

    For,

    like

    sociology,

    he field

    f international elations

    must

    ypicallyeal with

    multiple

    realities Holsti,

    1986). Hence it

    must resolutely

    esist

    the seductive ure

    of

    economics

    with its self-imposed

    ncapacity

    o

    see

    more

    than

    singledimension

    f

    most

    phenomena

    Hirsch

    t

    al., 1987:333).

    Having

    aid

    that,

    ne

    must dd

    that

    he

    Newton syndrome

    nd the

    seemingly niversal

    desire

    to

    engage

    in grandiose

    theorizinghave alreadyresulted n an excessive fragmentationf the field.To

    borrow

    an apt metaphor,

    he field

    of international

    elations ndeed

    resembles

    nothing

    s much as

    the Learnean

    Hydra;each

    time

    ne

    conceptual

    head

    is lopped

    off,

    nother

    wo

    ppear

    in its

    place Rengger,

    988b:81).

    f the relativisticxcesses

    of

    methodological

    pluralism

    and fickle llegiances

    ead

    to

    hopeless

    theoretical

    incoherence,

    he optimistic

    message

    f post-positivistluralism

    ronicallymayresult

    in

    a

    backlash

    f

    some

    new

    dogmatic

    ersion

    f

    methodological

    monism.

    In

    Lieu of Conclusion:

    A

    Pianissimo

    Bravo?

    Much more could be

    said on the

    promises

    and hazards

    of

    post-positivism

    n

    international elations heory. t is certainly sefulto note that the thirddebate

    offers s

    many

    dead ends

    as

    it

    opens promising

    aths

    for

    future

    research.But

    acknowledging

    uch hazards

    s not

    to

    deny

    that heoretical

    reativity

    ay

    be

    greater

    today

    than

    at

    any

    time

    ince

    the emergence

    f

    international

    elations

    s

    a

    distinct

    discipline.

    or

    we must

    keep

    in mind saiah Berlin's

    brilliantnsightoncerning

    he

    propensity

    f

    all great

    liberating

    deas to turn into

    suffocating

    traitjackets

    (1979:159).

    When

    all

    anglesare

    carefully onsidered,

    he

    hazards

    are

    not

    sufficient

    to

    seriously

    hallenge

    the conclusion

    hat

    the

    third

    debate has

    indeed generated

    some

    unparalleled

    theoretical otentialities.

    ndeed,

    the

    next decade

    could be

    an

    exciting

    imefor

    cholarship

    Keohane

    and

    Nye, 1987:753).

    Whether hesetheoretical otentialities illbear fruitn theforeseeable uture

    remains to

    be

    seen,

    but

    one

    thing

    seems

    reasonably

    lear.

    For

    many years

    the

    international

    elations

    iscipline

    as had thedubioushonor

    of

    being

    mong

    the east

    '9

    To appreciate

    how

    compelling he fear

    of disciplinary aralysis

    hrough xcessive

    pluralism

    nd relativism

    an

    become, consider

    Peter Rossi's 1980

    presidential ddress

    before

    the AmericanSociological Association

    n

    which

    he

    argues

    for a dominant

    model even if such

    a model were to exclude

    his

    own work

    cited

    n

    Crane,

    1986:443-44).

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    17/21

    250 Prospects f

    nternational

    heory

    n a Post-Positivist

    ra

    self-reflexivef the Western ocial sciences Frost, 1986:11). In the words of one

    critic,

    hefield

    has

    allowed tself

    o deteriorate o the evelof a

    welcoming epository

    forphilosophical

    nd

    theoretical aricature Walker,1988:84). The third ebate s

    the beginning

    of

    a slow

    but progressive

    oss of

    patience with this posture

    of

    intellectual ibernation. he debate has stimulatedheoretical nd epistemological

    ferment n

    international elations theory,forging inks

    with

    other disciplines

    undergoing

    similar

    process.

    t has

    called

    attention o

    new notions

    of

    scientific

    objectivity,orcing reconsideration

    f therole

    of

    the

    nternationalelations heorist

    in

    the

    scientific

    rocess.

    t has

    called

    into

    questionreceived riteria

    or

    evaluating

    theoretical

    onstructs

    such

    as

    empirical validity, rediction, nd explanation),

    allowing theories

    to

    be reexamined in terms

    of

    their historical ontext,their

    ideological nderpinnings,he forms

    f

    society

    which

    hey oster

    r

    sustain,

    nd

    the

    metaphors

    nd

    literary ropes

    hat nform heir onstruction.

    Although the controversy ueled by post-positivistdeas in some ways has

    aggravated he dangersof epistemologicalnarchism,

    t

    also has alerted cholars o

    the problemof understanding thenotionof criticism hereknownmethodsof

    refutation re inapplicable Wisdom, 1987:136). Althoughwe may be unable to

    disprove

    a themata r

    a

    weltanschauung

    ith

    traditional

    mpirical

    r

    logical

    methods,we may findthemto be overly estrictive

    r

    impossible o workwith, s

    shown

    byJervis's ritique f the anarchy/gameheory rameworkr by Kratochwil

    and

    Ruggie's

    rebuff

    f

    positivism

    n thecontext

    f

    regime nalysis 1986:766).2 One

    would think hat

    nalyses uch as Jervis's1988)

    would

    reducethevery eal threat

    f

    the international

    elations field being seduced by economics. And although

    positivism

    s still

    erymuch live

    n

    thefieldAlker

    nd

    Biersteker, 984),

    t

    has been

    retreating

    o

    ever thinner nd more tolerant ersions, s indicated yJackSnyder's

    (1988) advocacy

    f

    hybridmethods.

    In the space cleared by the weakening f deeply rooted urges for firm ounda-

    tions, nvariant ruths, nd unities f knowledge, n optimistic ope is

    now

    being

    planted-as hinted ythedemandtomakeroom

    for

    new problematiques Ashley,

    1988:189)

    and

    to

    open up the field

    o critical

    pproaches

    whichhave hitherto een

    marginalised, eglected, r dismissedbythediscipline Der Derian, 1988:189)-

    that,

    s

    in

    other ocial

    disciplines, nowledge

    n

    the field

    f

    international elations

    may

    be cumulative not in

    possessing ever-more-refinednswers

    about fixed

    questions

    ut n

    possessing

    n ever-rich

    epertoire

    f

    questions Cronbach, 986:4).

    In

    this

    process, hediscipline'sevel

    of

    reflexivity

    nd its

    means

    for

    ustaining

    ritical

    and self-conscious

    irection ave been

    vitally

    nriched.And

    as

    Der Derian

    says

    n a

    different

    ontext, Taking

    into

    account

    the

    complexity

    nd the breadth

    of

    the

    subject, ne is inclined obe intellectuallyver-ratherthanunder-equipped for

    the task

    Der Derian, 1987:5).

    The task,

    s

    highlighted y the

    third

    debate,

    s

    neither he discovery

    f some

    ahistorical nd

    universal cientificmethod

    nor the

    attainment

    f some

    objectively

    validated

    ruth bout

    worldpolitics.

    t

    s rather matter

    f

    promoting morereflexive

    intellectual nvironmentn which

    debate, riticism,

    nd

    novelty

    an

    freely

    irculate.

    The international

    elations cholarly ommunity-like

    ll

    communities

    f

    nquiry-is

    communicativelyonstituted,

    nd its success s

    partially

    onditioned

    y

    ts

    ability

    o

    sustain nd enhance

    the

    quality

    f

    argument

    n the

    context

    f

    deeply

    entrenched

    paradigmatic iversity.2'

    he

    proper

    attitude

    or

    uch

    situations,uggests

    erence

    Ball, is less one

    of

    live and let ive thanoftalkingnd listening 1987:4).

    20

    Wisdom calls this the

    cenablinig

    r-iterion. t asks whether

    weltanschauting cani

    do its ob or gets n the wvay

    of

    its

    own

    goal (Wisdomii, 987:161).

    21

    Reflexivitys buiilt, bove all, on a dialogical niotionif scientific -ationalityColapictro, 1987:283). Fol all

    attempt

    o

    go beyond dialogical reflexivityn the direction f praxis, eeJackson anidWillmott1987).

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    YOSEF

    LAPID

    251

    The

    international

    elations

    discipline

    must ocate

    and

    eliminate

    Rosenau-type

    MABS (related

    research

    reas separated

    by

    redundant

    walls

    of

    mutually

    ssured

    boredom ).

    Those

    who

    labor

    hard

    to integrate

    econstruction

    nto

    the

    normal

    business

    of international

    elations

    cholarship

    must

    be

    on alert

    not

    to

    give

    the

    impression hat to show a subject to be a construction s to render its de-

    construction

    mperative

    Connolly,

    984:164).

    Should

    that

    happen,

    Rosenau's

    more

    familiar

    MAB-type

    mines

    could

    be

    accidentally

    eplaced

    by

    MAD-type

    ooby

    traps

    paradigms

    or

    discourses

    ocked

    in

    a deadly

    embrace

    of

    mutually

    ssured

    deconstruction ).

    As it delights

    n the

    ight

    f its newly

    ound reflexivity,

    he

    field

    must ake

    care

    not

    toburn

    up

    in the

    heat

    of hyper-reflexivity

    Rose,

    1979).

    To an

    unprecedented

    degree,

    however,

    nternational

    elations

    cholars

    now

    seem

    ready

    to concede

    that

    they

    must

    ome

    tounderstand

    what

    hey annot

    r will

    notembrace

    Geertz,

    1986).

    Arguably,

    here

    is

    some

    cause

    for

    optimism

    n the realization

    hat

    the

    current

    intellectual

    ransition

    portends

    new pluralism

    s the cutting-rather

    han

    the

    polemical-edge of internationalheory Der Derian, 1988:190). On that ccount

    alone

    wecan

    agree,

    hope,

    that he

    exclusive

    nd chloroforming

    orld

    f the

    1950s

    .

    . .

    is one

    to

    which

    few

    friends

    of

    International

    Relations

    or social

    science

    more

    generally

    wouldwant

    to return Halliday,

    1987a:216).

    And

    on this

    minimal

    asis

    for one am

    prepared

    to add

    a

    pianissimo

    bravo

    to the cheers

    of those

    already

    celebrating

    he

    would-be

    splendors

    of

    post-positivism

    n international

    elations

    theory.

    References

    ALKER,

    H.

    R. (forthcoming)

    he

    Presumption

    f

    Anarchy

    n

    World

    Politics

    mimeo).

    ALKER,

    H. R.,JR., AND T. J.

    BIERSTEKER.

    (1984) The DialecticsofWorldOrder. Internationaltudies

    Quarterly

    8:121-42.

    ASHLEY,

    R. K.

    (1984)

    The

    Poverty

    f

    Neorealism.

    nternational

    rganization

    8(2):225-86.

    ASHLEY,

    R. K. (1987)

    The Geopolitics

    of

    Geopolitical

    Space.

    Alternatives

    2(4):403-34.

    ASHLEY,

    . K.

    (1988)

    Untying

    he Sovereign

    State:

    A Double

    Reading

    of the Anarchy

    Problematique.

    Millennium

    7(2):227-62.

    ASHLEY,

    R. K.

    (1989)

    Living

    On

    Border

    Lines:

    Man,

    Poststructuralism,

    nd War.

    In

    Internationall

    Intertextual

    elations:

    The Boundaries

    f

    Knowledge

    nd

    Practice

    n World olitics,

    dited

    byJ.

    Der

    Derian

    and

    M. Shapiro.

    Lexington,

    Mass.: Lexington

    Books.

    BALL,

    T., ed.

    (1987)

    Idioms

    f

    nquiry.

    Albany:

    State