11
SARUACHANGE, COMPLEXITIES AND COMPETITIVENESS : IMPLICATIONS FOR HIGHER
EDUCATION
9 JULY 2012
Professor Nick Binedell
22
We live in an era of large scale We live in an era of large scale and rapid and rapid changechange, increasing , increasing
technical and social technical and social complexitycomplexity and significantly more and significantly more
competitioncompetition..
33
We live in an era of large scale and rapid We live in an era of large scale and rapid changechange, , increasing technical and social increasing technical and social complexitycomplexity and significantly and significantly
more more competitioncompetition..
Is this true?…. And if it is, should it lead Is this true?…. And if it is, should it lead to to fearfear or or hopehope??
44
55
66
77
88
$70 trillion 6,8 bn
USA
$14 trillion
370 m
Japan
$4.15 trillion
120 m
India
$ 3.5 trillion
1.1 bn
South East Asia
$1.5 trillion
593 mSub-Saharan Africa
$ 1.7 trillion
850 m
Latin America
$ 6 trillion
550 m
China
$8.8 trillion
1,3 bn
EU
$15 trillion
500 m
GLOBAL ECONOMIES (PPP + Population)
99
1010
1111
1212
1313
1414
1515
DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…
All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences
All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences
Adapted from Stephen H Rhinesmith
JAPAN
Aging populationGender Inward orientationEconomic stagnation
EUROPE
Definition of EuropeMulti ethnicityDifficult demographicsTwo speed Europe?Financial stabilitySocial market system
USA
Market based systemEthnic diversityYoung nation (300 years)Technological capabilitiesGlobal cultural reachImmigration
DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…
All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences
All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences
Adapted from Stephen H Rhinesmith
CHINA
Rapid economic developmentSize of populationDemographic challengeRule of lawParty mandateForm of political economy
INDIA
PopulationYoung demographicsGenerational differencesICTEnglish language
BRAZIL
Emerging statusImproving stabilityInfrastructure lagInequalityEstablishment of identityEmerging global player
DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…
All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences
All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences
Adapted from Stephen H Rhinesmith
RUSSIA
Turbulent history11 time zonesResources based economyEmergent democracyIdentity ?
UAE
Gulf StatesAuthoritarian ruleChallenge to leadershipVision and driveRegional hub
SOUTH AFRICA
Political transformationRace and IdentityRaw material economyAfrica ?
1919
2020
2121
ASIA
2222
China China
1 200 Mil1 200 Mil
“Without successful
political structural
reform, it is impossible
for us to fully institute
economic structural
reform and the gains
we have made in this
area may be lost” Wen Jaibao
Source : Financial Times, 15 March 2012
2424
CHONGQING
2525
2626
2727
2828
2929
3030
3131
3232
3333
150m $2500
50m $3500
600m $600
AFRICAAFRICA
3434
CONNECTIVITY AFRICACONNECTIVITY AFRICA
COUNTRY CELLPHONES INTERNET USERS
FACEBOOK USERS
EGYPT 71.4m 21.6m 9.3m
NIGERIA 90.5m 45m 4.3m
SOUTH AFRICA 50.3m 5.3m 4.8m
SOURCE : www.internetworldstats.com
3636