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© 2009 Rolls-Royce plcThe information in this document is the property of Rolls-Royce plc and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for anypurpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Rolls-Royce plc.This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Rolls-Royce plc, no warranty or representation is givenconcerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Rolls-Royce plc orany of its subsidiary or associated companies.
Rolls-Royce Helicopter Overview
and 10-year Forecast 2009-2018
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2Introduction
This is the 10-year turbine rotorcraft marketforecast developed by Rolls-Royce
Covers Civil and Military new production turbine helicopters
Based on:Civil customer new requirement and fleet replacement forecasts
Military new requirement and fleet replacement forecastsGovernment acquisition plans
OEM production plans
Customer input
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3Total Rotorcraft Forecast 2009 to 2018 –Summary
Rolls-Royce predicts long term resilience in Rotorcraftmarket
Over the next 10 years, R-R forecasts 15,800 turbinerotorcraft deliveries, worth $131 billion
9,600 civil rotorcraft, worth $27 billion
6,200 military rotorcraft, worth $ 104 billion
Over the next 10 years, R-R forecasts 25,000 total OEM
rotorcraft engine deliveries, worth $12 billion
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4Turbine Powered Rotorcraft Forecast2009-2018:
Turbine Powered Rotorcraft Forecast15,800 Aircraft
0200400600800
100012001400160018002000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
A n n u a
l P r o
d u c
t i o n
( u n
i t s
CivilDefense
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5Differences in 2009
Very light turbine delivery profile
New market entriesHeli Brasil
Hafei Aviation
Macroeconomic factors
Incorporates recent program modifications and changes
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62008 vs. 2009 Rotorcraft Deliveries2008 vs 2009 10-Year Forecast
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
R o
t o r c r a
f t
U n
i t s
09 Forecast08 Forecast
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8Rotorcraft Turbine Engine Sales Forecast by Value(10 years)
~2 Ton ~3.5 Ton ~5 Ton ~10 Ton > 10 Ton
Rotorcraft Engine Sales Value
0
500
1000
15002000
2500
3000
35004000
4500
Singles Light Twins Intermediate Medium Heavy
V a l u e ( m $ )
Civil
Defense
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9
Civil Rotorcraft Forecast
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Civil Turbine Rotorcraft MarketSingle-engine rotorcraft to continue to lead market in unit volume
Eurocopter retains leading position for the next 1-3 yearsBell (206L, 407) remain in high demand
Robinson Helicopter has the potential to challenge entry level segment leaders in the next 3-5 years with new turbine entry
Underlying international demand for police, law enforcement, corporate, EMS and utilityhelicopters
Established twins being replaced by newer twin engine modelsEurocopter, AgustaWestland, Sikorsky and Bell introducing new products
AW139 current market leader in the intermediate segment
Market Drivers:Enhanced value proposition and performance through application of new technology
Environmental footprintFleet demographics
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11Civil Turbine Rotorcraft OverviewTurbine rotorcraft deliveries
New entry level models will expand the singles segment
Emerging markets (Asia, Africa, India) long-term growthconsistent with economic development
Energy, police, homeland security and other segments refreshingfleets with newer aircraft
New technology driving upgrade opportunities
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12Civil Turbine Rotorcraft Forecast9,600 Civil rotorcraft deliveries
Singles (64%) and light twins (17%) lead the market by units
Airframe value $27 billion
Intermediates (35%) and singles (26%) lead the market in value
Engine OEM value $4.0 billion
Singles (36%) and intermediates (28%) lead the market in value
Aftermarket thru-life value approximately 3-4 times OEM value
Excludes military surplus rotorcraft deliveries and aircraftupgrades
Includes paramilitary market
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13Civil Rotorcraft Sales by SegmentationCivil Sales Segmentation
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
R o
t o r c r a f t
S a
l e s
( u n
i t s )
HeavyMediumIntermediateLight TwinsSingles
ACTUALS
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14
Defense Rotorcraft Forecast
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16Military Turbine Rotorcraft Overview
Representative new and ongoing programs drivingproduction
NH90TigerV-22 OspreyCH-53KUH-72A LakotaUS101
And more announcements are imminentIndiaUSAF CSAR-XOthers
Future LynxT-129 (Turkey Attack)KAHP (Korea Attack)UH-60M BlackhawkMQ-8B FirescoutCH-47 Chinook
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17Military New Build Turbine RotorcraftForecast
6,200 Military rotorcraft deliveriesMediums (47%) and heavy (16%) lead the market by units
Airframe value $104 billionMediums (49%) and Heavy (38%) lead the market in value
Engine value $8 billion
Mediums (46%) and Heavy (35%) lead the market in value
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18Military OEM Rotorcraft Sales - SegmentationDefense Sales Segmentation
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
R o t o r c r a f t S a l e s ( u n i t s )
Heavy
Medium
Intermediate
Light TwinsSingles
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19Conclusion
Nearly 16,000 new rotorcraft over 10 year period
$12 billion turbine engine market
Underlying long-term demand still in place
Global markets show continued demand despite near-termsoftness
Fleet demographics driving replacements
Technology driving new applications
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20
Appendix
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21Fleet Age – Civil
Age Profile of Civil Fleet
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000
Size of the Fleet Oldest to Newest
A g e
i n Y e a r s
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22Fleet Age - MilitaryAge Profile of Military Fleet
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000
Size of fleet oldest to newest
A g e i n Y e a r s
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23Class Breakdown - HeavyTurbine Heavy Helicopter Market Forecast
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
A n n u a
l P r o
d u c
t i o n
( u n
i t s )
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24Class Breakdown - MediumTurbine Mediums Helicopter Market Forecast
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
A n n u a
l P r o
d u c
t i o n
( u n
i t s )
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Class Breakdown - IntermediatesTurbine Intermediates Helicopter Market Forecast
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
A n n u a
l P r o
d u c
t i o n
( u n
i t s )
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Class Breakdown - Light TwinsTurbine Light Twins Helicopter Market Forecast
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
A n n u a
l P r o
d u c
t i o n
( u n
i t s )
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Rolls-Royce Contacts
Matt HaugkDirector; Marketing & Strategy(317) 230-3883Email: [email protected]
Tristan Scheffer
Customer Business Graduate(317) 230-5527Email: [email protected]