●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
National*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0000
2500
00
ReportedColumbia−UNCCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIQJHong
STHUAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0000
2500
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
Alabama*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
1000
2500
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0020
0030
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Alaska*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
4060
80
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
4060
8010
0EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
American Samoa
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
0
ReportedUMass−MBUSC
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
Arizona*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
0080
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0060
0010
000Ensemble
Individual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ●
●
Arkansas*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
080
012
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ● ● ●
●● ●
●●
●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
060
010
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
California*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
5000
1500
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
0015
000
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Colorado*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0020
0030
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaIHMEISUJHU
LANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0020
0030
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Connecticut
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0050
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
0060
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
●● ●
● ● ● ●
Delaware
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
060
010
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaIHMEISUJHU
LANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUAUCLA
UMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●●
●●
● ●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
080
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●● ●
● ● ● ● ● ●
District of Columbia
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
060
010
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●●
● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
060
010
00EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
Florida*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
1000
020
000
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
0015
000
2500
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●
Georgia*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0060
0010
000Reported
Covid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDGT−CHHSIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0060
0010
000
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Guam
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
02
46
812
ReportedGenevaJHUNotreDame−MobilityUCLAUMass−MBUSCYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
02
46
810
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
Hawaii
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
4060
80
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaIHMEJHU
LANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanUAUCLA
UMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
4060
8010
0EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Idaho*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ●
Illinois
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
4000
8000
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
0080
0012
000
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Indiana
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Iowa*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
010
0020
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
010
0015
0020
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Kansas
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
060
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
080
0EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Kentucky
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
010
0015
0020
00EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Louisiana*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
2000
4000
6000
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
0060
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Maine
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
100
200
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
100
150
200
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ●
Maryland
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
0060
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
0060
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Massachusetts
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
0080
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
0080
0012
000
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Michigan
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
0080
0012
000
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
0080
0012
000
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ●
Minnesota
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
1000
2000
3000
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
● ● ●● ●
●●
Mississippi
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0020
0030
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●● ●
● ●●
●●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ●
Missouri*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
Montana*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
150
250
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
150
250
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●● ●
●●
● ● ● ●
Nebraska
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●● ●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Nevada*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
500
1500
2500
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
●●
●● ● ● ●
New Hampshire
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
● ● ● ● ●
● ● ● ●
New Jersey
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
000
2000
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ● ● ● ●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
0015
000
2500
0EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ●
New Mexico
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
080
012
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
060
010
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
New York
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
000
4000
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
000
4000
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
North Carolina*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
2000
4000
6000
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDGT−CHHSIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
0060
00EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ●● ●
North Dakota
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
150
250
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
100
150
200
250
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Northern Mariana Islands
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
01
23
ReportedGenevaJHUUCLAUMass−MBUSCYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
01
23Ensemble
Individual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Ohio*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
0060
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
0040
0060
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Oklahoma*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
080
012
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
080
012
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
Oregon*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
200
600
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
080
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Pennsylvania
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
0080
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
040
0080
0012
000Ensemble
Individual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Puerto Rico*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
030
050
0
ReportedCovid19SimGenevaJHULANLNotreDame−MobilityPSIUCLAUMass−MBUSCYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
● ● ●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
020
030
040
050
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ●
Rhode Island
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
010
0020
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
010
0015
0020
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
South Carolina*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0030
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0030
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●● ●
● ●● ●
● ●● ●
South Dakota
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
5015
025
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals●
● ●● ●
● ●● ●
● ●●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
150
250
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
Tennessee*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0020
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
●●
●●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
Texas*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
0015
000
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSISTH
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●●
●●
●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
0010
000
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●
Utah*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
0
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals● ●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
●●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
040
060
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Vermont
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
4060
80
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
4060
8010
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Virgin Islands
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
510
1520
ReportedGenevaJHULANLNotreDame−MobilityUMass−MBUSCYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
05
1015
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●●
●● ● ● ● ●
● ● ●
Virginia
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0030
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
●● ● ● ●
●●
● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0030
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Washington
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
010
0020
0030
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaLSHTMGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHME
ISUJHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
●● ● ●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●
West Virginia*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
150
250
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
●●
● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
150
250
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
Wisconsin*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−FREDNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSI
UAUCLAUMass−MBUMERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
050
015
0025
00
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
● ●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●●
Wyoming*
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−150
2040
6080
ReportedCovid19SimMIT−ORCColumbiaGenevaGT−DeepCOVIDIHMEISU
JHULANLMIT−CovAllianceMOBSNotreDame−MobilityOliver WymanPSIUA
UCLAUMass−MBERDCUSCUTYYG
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Cum
ulat
ive
repo
rted
dea
ths
● ●●
● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ●
●●
●
May−15 Jun−01 Jun−15 Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15
020
4060
8010
0
EnsembleIndividual models
Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals
Update: 2020−07−21 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/covid−data/forecasting−us.html
*The number of deaths in the forecasting period is likely to exceed the number of deaths reported last month
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