PERSPEKTIF PEMBANGUNAN NASIONAL PASCA PEMILIHAN PRESIDEN 2014
Ir. DEDDY S. BRATAKUSUMAH, BE, MURP, MSc, [email protected]
2014
UPAYA NEGARA(GOVERNANCE)
CITA CITA BANGSA BERNEGARA
KEHENDAK RAKYAT
UUD 1945
PEMERINTAH
MASYARAKAT
SWASTA
RENCANA
ALUR PIKIR KEDAULATAN RAKYAT
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
PROSES DALAM “GOVERNANCE”
PEMERINTAH SWASTA
MASYARAKAT
DEMOKRASI
PRIVATISASI
KEWIRAUSAHAAN
(ENTERPRENEURSHIP)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
ARTI PEMBANGUNAN
1. MODERNISASI2. EVOLUSIONISME3. KETERGANTUNGAN (DEPENDENCY)4. PEMBELAJARAN (SOCIAL LEARNING)5. SOCIAL SYSTEM
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
ARTI PEMBANGUNAN(MENURUT TODARO)
THE CAPACITY OF A NATIONAL ECONOMY, WHOSE INITIAL ECONOMIC CONDITION HAS BEEN MORE OR LESS STATIC FOR A LONG TIME, TO GENERATE AND SUSTAIN AN ANNUAL INCREASE IN ITS “GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT” (GNP).
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
PANDANGAN BARU TENTANG PEMBANGUNAN
DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN TREATED BY ECONOMISTS AS IF IT WERE NOTHING MORE THAN AN EXERCISE IN APPLIED ECONOMICS, UNRELATED TO POLITICAL IDEAS, FORMS OF GOVERNMENT, AND THE ROLE OF PEOPLE IN SOCIETY
(EDGAR OWENS)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
MENURUT WORLD BANK
THE CHALLENGE OF DEVELOPMENT …. IS TO IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF LIFE. ESPECIALLY IN THE WORLD’S POOR COUNTRIES, A BETTER QUALITY OF LIFE GENERALLY CALLS FOR HIGHER INCOMES-BUT IT INVOLVES MUCH MORE.
(BETTER EDUCATION, HIGHER STANDARDS OF HEALTH AND NUTRITION, LESS POVERTY, A CLEANER ENVIRONMENT, MORE EQUALITY OF OPPORTUNITY, GREATER INDIVIDUAL FREEDOM, AND A RICHER CULTURAL LIFE)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
MASALAH YANG DIHADAPI BANGSA
KEMISKINAN KETIDAK SETARAAN PENGANGGURAN PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK KERUSAKAN LINGKUNGAN KETIMPANGAN PERKOTAAN DAN
PERDESAAN
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
NILAI INTI DARI PEMBANGUNAN
KEMAMPUAN UNTUK MEMENUHI KEBUTUHAN DASAR
MENUMBUHKAN PERCAYA DIRI SEBAGAI MANUSIA
MEMILIKI KEMAMPUAN UNTUK MENENTUKAN PILIHAN
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
QUESNAY1758
17th AND 18th
CENTURIES
ADAM SMITH1776
D.RICARDO1817
T.R.MALTHUS1798
KARL MARX1867
J.S.MILL1848
WALRAS,MARSHALL,
1890
J.M.KEYNES,1936
MODERNMAINSTREAMECONOMICS
RATIONALEXPECTATIONS
MACROECONOMICS
V.LENIN1914
RADICALECONOMICS
CHINA RUSIA
CHICAGOLIBERTARIANISM
PHYSIOCRATS MERCANTILISTS
CLASSICALSCHOOL
SOCIALISM
NEOCLASSICALECONOMICS
FAMILY TREE OF ECONOMICS
SAMUELSON AND NORDHAUS
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
POLITICAL ECONOMY SHIFT
CLASSSICAL- SUPPLY CREATES ITS OWN DEMAND
KEYNES- DEMAND MANAGEMENT- FISCAL POLICY
MONETARISTS- MONETARY POLICY
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
TEORI PEMBANGUNAN
1. THE LINEAR-STAGES THEORY2. STRUCTURAL-CHANGE MODELS3. THE INTERNATIONAL-DEPENDENCE
REVOLUTION4. THE NEOCLASSICAL
COUNTERREVOLUTION5. THE NEW GROWTH THEORY
(TODARO, 2000)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
DEVELOPMENT AS TRANSFORMATION OF SOCIETY
A MOVEMENMT FROM TRADITIONAL RELATIONS, TRADITIONAL WAYS OF THINKING, TRADITIONAL WAYS OF DEALING WITH HEALTH AND EDUCATION, TRADITIONAL METHODS OF PRODUCTION TO MORE “MODERN” WAYS
(STIGLITZ,1998)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
THE SUCCESSFUL TRANSFORMATION OF SOCIETY
1. RAISE THE GDP PER CAPITA2. RAISE STANDARD OF HEALTH AND
LITERACY3. REDUCE POVERTY4. SUSTAINING THE ENVIRONMENT
(STIGLITZ,1998)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
THE STRATEGY INCLUDING
1. PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT2. PUBLIC SECTOR DEVELOPMENT3. COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT4. FAMILY DEVELOPMENT5. INDIVIDUAL DEVELOPMENT
(STIGLITZ,1998)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
THE PRIORITY
1. EDUCATION2. INFRASTRUCTURE3. HEALTH4. KNOWLEDGE5. CAPACITY BUILDING
(STIGLITZ,1998)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN EKONOMI
RENCANA KOMPREHENSIPDENGAN TARGET MENCAKUP SELURUH ASPEK EKONOMI NASIONAL
RENCANA SEKTORAL ATAU PARSIALRENCANA YANG MENCAKUP HANYA SEKTOR TERTENTU, MISALNYA PERTANIAN, INDUSTRI, PERDAGANGAN
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
PRAKTEK PERENCANAAN PEMBANGUNANAPRIL 1947: DASAR DASAR POKOK DARIPADA PLAN MENGATUR
EKONOMI INDONESIA1948: PLAN PRODUKSI TIGA TAHUN RI1952: TERBENTUK BIRO PERANCANG NEGARA1956 – 1960: RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN LIMA TAHUN (RPLT)1959: DEKRIT PRESIDEN, KEMBALI KE UUD 45
DIBENTUK DEWAN PERANCANG NASIONAL (DEPERNAS)
1961 – 1969: RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN SEMESTA BERENCANA1963: DEPERNAS MENJADI BAPPENAS1969 - 1998: RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN LIMA TAHUN (REPELITA I
S/D REPELITA VI)1997 KRISIS MONETER1999: DESENTRALISASI, OTDA, GBHN 19991999 – 2004 PROPENAS2005 RPJM (RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN JANGKA MENENGAH)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
• RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN JANGKA PANJANG (RPJP)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN UNDANG UNDANG)
• RENCANA PEMBANGUNAN JANGKA MENENGAH (RPJM)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN PERATURAN PRESIDEN)
• RENCANA KERJA PEMERINTAH (RKP)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN PERATURAN PRESIDEN)
• RENCANA STRATEGIS KEMENTERIAN/LEMBAGA (RENSTRA K/L)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN PERATURAN PIMPINAN)
• RENCANA KERJA KEMENTERIAN/LEMBAGA (RENJA K/L)(DITETAPKAN DENGAN PERATURAN PIMPINAN)
• RENCANA KERJA DAN ANGGARAN KEMENTERIAN/LEMBAGA (RKA K/L)
• APBN(DITETAPKAN DENGAN UNDANG UNDANG)
JENIS JENIS RENCANA TINGKAT NASIONAL
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
* SEGI EKONOMI, PALING EFISIEN* SEGI POLITIS, PALING BISA DITERIMA* SEGI ADMINISTRASI, PALING BISA DILAKSANAKAN* SEGI ETIS FILOSOFIS, TIDAK BERTENTANGAN DENGAN NILAI-NILAI SOSIAL BUDAYA
RENCANA YANG BAIK BILA
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
BAGAN PERENCANAAN NASIONAL MULAI 2005
20 TAHUN 5 TAHUN TAHUNAN
VISI/MISI PRESIDEN
RPJP RPJM RKP
RENSTRA K/L
RENJA K/L
RKA K/L
APBN
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
Rancangan Teknokratis
RPJMN 2015-2019
RancanganRPJMN
2015-2019
Rancangan Akhir
RPJMN 2015-2019
Visi – Misi Presiden terpilih
Musrenbang RPJMN dan Sidang Kabinet
Arahan RPJPN 2005-2025
Isu Strategis Jangka Menengah 2015-2019 (Background Studies)
Evaluasi RPJMN 2010-2014
Aspirasi Masyarakat
KERANGKA PENYUSUNAN RPJMN
(SUMBER: BAPPENAS 2014)
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
NEW INDONESIA
GLOBAL AGENDA
ASEANCOMMUNITY
GLOBAL ISSUES
LOCAL AND NATIONALRESPONS
DOMESTICISSUES
2014
PERSPEKTIF DAN PROSPEK PASCA 2014
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
24
Developments Short terms Medium terms Long termsASEAN SECURITY POLITICAL COMMUNITY
Maintaining national stability and security
Strengthening and modernizing national military forces
Engaging China and other ASEAN members into dialogue on security concerns
ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY
Encouraging Indonesian to use or to consume national products
Strengthening national small and medium enterprises
Engaging China, India and other economic developed countries in to dialogue with ASEAN members on trade concerns
ASEAN SOCIAL CULTURE COMMUNITY
Encouraging people to people contact, for example, contact between religious leaders, businessmen, etc
Cooperation in promoting welfare, capacity building, disaster relief management , environment
Maintaining dialogue on social cultural issues.
ASEAN COMMUNITY
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
DOMESTIC ISSUES
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
1. Conservation and Environmental Issues2. Climate Change and Global Warming 3. World Population4. Food and Agriculture5. Poverty 6. Racism7. World Military Spending8. Global Financial Crisis
GLOBAL AGENDA
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH
“…..negara Indonesia, yang merdeka, bersatu, berdaulat, adil dan makmur…..”
HARAPAN KITA
TERIMA KASIH
DEDDY S BRATAKUSUMAH