Transcript
Page 1: S le vine  - the time and place of the company car (rgs aug 2013) (2)

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The Company Car’s time and place:

Establishing the spatio-temporal

patterns of a unique form of car

ownership

Scott Le Vine ([email protected])

Peter Jones

John Polak

RGS-IBG Conference

August 2013

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Relevance

• Car as compensation

taxed at a lower rate

than salary – accident

of history with

substantial inertia

• Transport policy

‘success story’

• Under-appreciated

contributor to broader

trends

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Motivating questions

• Company car use is

reducing – is it shifting

to personal car use?

• Does another family

member having a

company car mean

you drive less?

• How, when and where

are company cars

used? -4,000

-3,500

-3,000

-2,500

-2,000

-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

-3,500 -3,000 -2,500 -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

Ch

ange

in a

vera

ge a

nn

ual

co

mp

any

car

dri

vin

g m

ileag

e (

fro

m 1

99

5/7

)

Change in average annual personal car driving mileage (from 1995/7)

Men aged 30 to 59, in full-time employment

Average for all SEG classes

Employer/manager

Professional

Non-manual

Personal service

Manual

Self-employed non-professional

Other

2000/2

2005/7

2008/10

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Ave

rage

an

nu

al c

om

pan

y ca

r d

rivi

ng

mile

age

Age (5-year-of-age moving average)

Men, 1995/7

Men, 2000/2

Men, 2005/7

Men, 2008/10

Women, 1995/7

Women, 2000/2

Women, 2005/7

Women, 2008/10

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A middle-aged, male phenomenon

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Ave

rage

an

nu

al c

om

pan

y ca

r d

rivi

ng

mile

age

Age (5-year-of-age moving average)

Men, 1995/7

Men, 2000/2

Men, 2005/7

Men, 2008/10

Women, 1995/7

Women, 2000/2

Women, 2005/7

Women, 2008/10

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Limited evidence of substitution

-4,000

-3,500

-3,000

-2,500

-2,000

-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

-3,500 -3,000 -2,500 -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

Ch

ange

in a

vera

ge a

nn

ual

co

mp

any

car

dri

vin

g m

ileag

e (

fro

m 1

99

5/7

)

Change in average annual personal car driving mileage (from 1995/7)

Men aged 30 to 59, in full-time employment

Average for all SEG classes

Employer/manager

Professional

Non-manual

Personal service

Manual

Self-employed non-professional

Other

2000/2

2005/7

2008/10

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Further investigation of substitution

• Multivariate regression

(with controls for

confounding effects)

of driving mileage

by British adults (‘95-

’10)

• n=201K; r2 = 0.36

• Individual-year

dummy variables to

capture exogenous

shifts

-250

0

250

500

750

1,000

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Mile

s p

er y

ear

Year-specific error terms

-2,500

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

Keeps a company car Keeps a company car & receives free fuel

Does not keep a company car, but

another household member does

Does not keep a company car and

receive free fuel, but another household

member does

Mile

s p

er y

ear

Effects of interest

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Further investigation of substitution (2)

-2,500

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

Keeps a company car Keeps a company car & receives free fuel

Does not keep a company car, but

another household member does

Does not keep a company car and

receive free fuel, but another household

member does

Mile

s p

er y

ear

Effects of interest

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Changing profile of CC drivers

Average income of company car drivers

1995/7 £41.5K

2000/2 £42.7K

2005/7 £39.7K

2008/10 £37.5K

(2010 prices, RPI-adjusted)

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When are company cars used?

Distribution of journeys by journey start time

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How are company cars used? (1)

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How are company cars used? (2)

Company car

Personal car

All other purposes

10 miles 7 miles

Business 35 miles 16 miles

Commuting 17 miles 9 miles

Average journey length

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How are company cars used? (3)

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Where are company cars?

• More prevalent in

Greater South East

than rest of GB in

1990s; less so

today

• We analysed

personal car and

company car

movements using 5

concentric

geographies

A: Central London

(within Inner Ring Road)

B: Rest of Inner London

C: Outer London

D: Greater South East

(SE and Eastern GORs)

E. Rest of GB

A B C D E

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Where are company cars kept?

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Where are company cars used?

• More likely than

personal cars to

travel radially

• Company cars are

9% of car-trips

in/out of Central

London;

8% of all radial trips;

4% of others

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Where are company cars used? (2)

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Where are company cars used? (3)

• Half (48%) of London

personal car trips are

O.L. to/from O.L.

• 35% of company car

trips are O.L.-O.L.

• But a greater

proportion of company

car travel is between

O.L. and Home

Counties

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Summary

• Some evidence that company car mileage is

‘excess’ – i.e. not a perfect substitute for

personal car mileage

• No evidence of a company car driver’s presence

in HH suppressing other HH members’ driving

mileage

− But we looked at people, not vehicles

• Company car trips are disproportionately radial,

in peak periods, in peak direction