© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner's prior written permission. If you are authorized to access this publication, your use of it is subject to the Usage Guidelines for Gartner Services posted on gartner.com. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in such information. This publication consists of the opinions of Gartner's research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Although Gartner research may include a discussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in entities covered in Gartner research. Gartner's Board of Directors may include senior managers of these firms or funds. Gartner research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from these firms, funds or their managers. For further information on the independence and integrity of Gartner research, see "Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity."
Andrew Butler@pandalf
Top 8 Emerging Trends
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Access to Everything, All the Time, From Any Device, From Anywhere
Did You Know
90%Texts Read in 3 Minutes.
2.9Devices
per Person.
3.3BGoogle
Searches Daily.
60BEmails Daily97% Spam.
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Software-Defined Infrastructures1
Trends You Need to Watch
Integrated Systems2Disaggregated Systems3The Internet of Things4Hyperconnectivity5Non-stop Demand6Bimodal IT7Scarcity of New I&O Skills8
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Managed at the control plane
• On and off-premise processing
• Relies on automation and orchestration
• Rules based workflows
• Organizationally disruptive
1. Software-defined Infrastructures
NetworkStorage
Servers
SDN
SDS
SDC — Compute
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Integrated one or many vendor products.
• "Stack" sale versus component sale.
• Competes with general purpose designs.
• Optimized for single purpose.
• Best of brand versus best of breed.
2. Integrated Systems
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Pre-evolved: Evolving: Highly Evolved:
Pre 2010 2010 - 2020 Post 2020
• Take it or leave it
• You get what you pay for
• Upgrade/replace when outgrown or obsolete
• Employ an integrator or DIY
• Prebuilt & proprietary
• Integrated compute-network-storage
• Virtualization, management automation and policy provisioning
• “Hyperconvergence”
• Adaptable
• Frequent and continuous upgrade
• Software-defined
• Intelligent-aware
• Bi-modal IT, IoT and Nexus of forces
2. Integrated Systems Evolution
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
3. Disaggregated Systems• Shared interconnects, power,
fans• Pluggable modules,
cartridges• Component open connect• OpenCompute, Project
Scorpio• Extreme innovation (silicon
photonics, persistent memory (NVM)
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Did You Know?
In 1984 the number of internet devices was 1,000By 2012 internet devices exceed
17,000,000,000By 2020 it will exceed
50 Billion
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Small devices• Self-aware• Self-assembling
networks• Location-aware• Batteries not
required …
4. The Internet of Things
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Not a single technology, but a concept:• Driving the trend: Embedded
sensors
• Social impact: Real-time support and learning
• Business opportunities: Situational decision support and remote sensing
4. The Internet of Things
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Researchers Have Successfully Pushed 14 Trillion Bits per Second
Down a Single Strand of Fiber Cable.
Did You Know?
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Personal Productivity
Office SuitesIndividual ContentFiling CabinetsPersonal
Knowledge Distribution
Email AttachmentsContent DistributionComputer NetworksTeams
Collective Empowerment
Social MediaMass CollaborationPeople NetworksCollectivesLocation Independence
Are You Prepared for This Fundamental Empowerment Shift?
1985 1995 2013
5. Hyper Connectivity
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Sources: Toyota, Asus, Apple, Samsung, Amazon, Sony, San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency and Proteus Digital Health
DesktopLaptop
TabletMini-tablet
Laptop/Tablet Hybrid
E-book readerSmartphoneWearables
Implantables
Smart Car
Internet of Things
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
5. Hyper Connectivity
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Did You Know?
The first commercial text message was sent in December 1992.
Today, daily text message traffic exceeds the total population of the planet!
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
6. Non-Stop Demand50%
0%
Annual Average Growth Rate
• Storage capacity: 50% AAGR
• Network bandwidth: 35% AAGR
• Power costs: 20% AAGR
• Server workloads: 10% AAGR
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
By 2017, 75% of IT organizations will have a bimodal capability.
50% will make a mess of IT.
Did You Know?
Bimodal IT is NOT a "nice to have."
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Bimodal IT means —having two modes of IT, each designed
to address different information and technology goals:
Mode 1is traditional
Mode 2is exploratory
7. Bimodal IT
I&O leaders should care about becoming bimodal because they cannot confront the rangeof needs presented by digital business with a single, conventional mode of IT.
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
27
• Systems of Record
• Waterfall development
• Known vendors
• Strong governance
• Minimized risk
• Technology teams
TraditionalMode
NonlinearMode
• Systems of Innovation
• Agile development
• Innovative partners
• Lightweight
• "Just good enough" governance
• Managed risk
• Multidisciplinary teams
Stuck in the middle"Fit for no one"
Tomorrow’s Data Center?
7. Bimodal IT Offers a Way Out
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
7. Bimodal IT Changes EverythingSoftware NetworksServers
Operations StorageData Centers
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Unable to match salaries
Enterprise culture does not reward innovationand riskLack of leading edge projects
74%
Why are webscale companies so much better than enterprises at recruiting and retaining key talent? • Growth in IT Complexity
• Skills Shift• Cloud Services• Reduced Budgets• 24/7 Support• Faster Change Cycles• End User Driving IT• Shorter Development
Timelines
8. Scarcity of New I&O Skills
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Action PlanMonday morning:
- Drive Integrated Systems Revenues
Your next 90 days:- Prepare for organizational disruptions — externally and internally
generated.- Develop staff skills in Cloud, IoT, DevOps, and Webscale.
Your next 12 months:- Identify Bimodal opportunities- Understand the IoT impact on your customer business plans.
Action Plan