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Second Quarter 2006Earnings PresentationSecond Quarter 2006Earnings Presentation
22
Forward Looking DisclosureThis presentation and other statements by the company contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act with respect to, among other items: projections and estimates of earnings, revenues, cost-savings, expenses, or other financial items; statements of management’s plans, strategies and objectives for future operation, and management’s expectations as to future performance and operations and the time by which objectives will be achieved; statements concerning proposed new products and services; and statements regarding future economic, industry or market conditions or performance. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words or phrases such as “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “project,” and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and the company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. If the company does update any forward-looking statement, no inference should be drawn that the company will make additional updates with respect to that statement or any other forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, and actual performance or results could differ materially from that anticipated by these forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements include, among others: (i) the company’s success in implementing its financial and operational initiatives, (ii) changes in domestic or international economic or business conditions, including those affecting the rail industry (such as the impact of industry competition, conditions, performance and consolidation); (iii) legislative or regulatory changes; (iv) the inherent business risks associated with safety and security; and (v) the outcome of claims and litigation involving or affecting the company. Other important assumptions and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are specified in the company’s SEC reports, accessible on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov and the company’s website at www.csx.com.
33
Executive Summary
Michael WardChairman, President andChief Executive Officer
44
Second quarter overview . . .
Second QuarterEarnings Per Share
$0.73$0.96
$1.16
$1.66
Reported Comparable
2005 2006
Surface Transportation produces record results
Pricing environment remains strong
ONE Plan sustains strong momentum
Equity actions support shareholder value focus
Note: Comparable earnings per share excludes Katrina insurance recoveries and income tax benefits in2006 and debt repurchase expenses and a state income tax benefit in 2005.
55
Operations Review
Tony IngramExecutive Vice PresidentChief Operating Officer
66
Leadership, discipline and execution
Safety performance continues to improve
Operating momentum sustained
Capacity projects on schedule
SafetySafety
ProductivityProductivity
ServiceService
LeadershipLeadership
DisciplineDiscipline
ExecutionExecution
ReliablePerformance
ReliablePerformance
77
Safety performance remains strong
Rolling 12-month Averages
FRA Personal Injury
2.04 1.921.71 1.64 1.51
Q22005
Q32005
Q42005
Q12006
Q22006
FRA Train Accident
4.54 4.49 4.183.82 3.73
Q22005
Q32005
Q42005
Q12006
Q22006
13 WeekAverage
1.37
13 WeekAverage
3.29
88
On-time performance is improving
Rolling 12-month Averages
On-Time Originations
50% 50% 51%57%
65%
Q22005
Q32005
Q42005
Q12006
Q22006
On-Time Arrivals
39% 40% 40%46%
52%
Q22005
Q32005
Q42005
Q12006
Q22006
13 WeekAverage
77%
13 WeekAverage
60%
99
Asset utilization is improving
Rolling 12-month Averages
Cars-On-Line (000)
234.2 233.9 233.1230.7
227.6
Q22005
Q32005
Q42005
Q12006
Q22006
Dwell Time (hours)
29.6 29.7 29.728.9
27.7
Q22005
Q32005
Q42005
Q12006
Q22006
13 WeekAverage25.5 hrs
13 WeekAverage
223K
1010
Velocity stable through second quarter
Consistent plan execution
Improved recoverability
Increased asset utilization
Improving overall service reliability
Rolling 12-month Averages
Velocity (mph)
19.8 19.719.2 19.4 19.5
Q22005
Q32005
Q42005
Q12006
Q22006
13 WeekAverage
19.5 mph
1111
Looking forward . . .
Safety momentum will continue
Continue to build on ONE Plan success
Capacity build stays on schedule
SafetySafety
ProductivityProductivity
ServiceService
LeadershipLeadership
DisciplineDiscipline
ExecutionExecution
ReliablePerformance
ReliablePerformance
1212
Sales and Marketing Review
Clarence GoodenExecutive Vice PresidentSales and Marketing
1313
Revenues increased 12%
Record revenues of $2.4 billion, up $255 million
Revenue growth across all markets
Overall volumes were flat
Yield environment remains strong
Second QuarterRevenue in Millions
2005 2006
$2,166
$2,421
1414
Revenue per unit increased 12%
Second Quarter Revenue Per Unit2006 versus 2005
6%
7%
7%
16%
12%
Automotive
Intermodal
Coal
Merchandise
Surface Transportation
1515
Pricing remains strong
Impact of prior Phosphate plant closures continue
Agricultural Products growth strong
Outlook favorable
Second Quarter2006 versus 2005
14%
(2%)
16%
Revenue Volume RPU
Merchandise revenue increased 14%
1616
Merchandise volume growth was mixed
Second Quarter Volume2006 versus 2005
10%
6%
3%
0%
(1%)
(9%)
(20%)
Agriculture
Emerging Markets
Metals
Food and Consumer
Chemicals
Forest Products
Phosphates & Fertilizers
1717
Coal revenue increased 10%
Utility demand strong
Inventories are at target levels
Pricing strength continues
Outlook favorable
Second Quarter2006 versus 2005
10%
2%
7%
Revenue Volume RPU
1818
Automotive revenue increased 6%
Volume was stable
‘New Domestics’ continue to gain market share
Increasing price and fuel surcharge coverage
Outlook unfavorable
Second Quarter2006 versus 2005
6%
0%
6%
Revenue Volume RPU
1919
Intermodal revenue increased 8%
Volume slightly favorable— Core business grows— Off-core declines
Pricing strength continues
Income improvement for nine quarters
Outlook favorable
Second Quarter2006 versus 2005
8%
1%
7%
Revenue Volume RPU
2020
Foundation for Intermodal growth in place
On-Time performance continues to improve
Train capacity supports growth in key lanes
Attracting new business
Expect strong second half volume growth
Trucking capacity expected to remain tight
Intermodal Terminals
Priority Intermodal Corridors
Miami
New Orleans
New YorkChicago
Portsmouth
Savannah
Charleston
BaltimorePhiladelphia
St Louis
MemphisCharlotte
Mobile
Nashville
Atlanta
Detroit
Jacksonville
Tampa
BuffaloSyracuse
Cleveland
ColumbiaCincinnati
Evansville
Boston
2121
Looking forward . . .
Manufacturing, imports and exports drive demand
Service improvements will support growth
Favorable pricing environment continues
We remain focused on improving profitability
Economic Forecast2006-2008
2.8%2.6%
3.1%
2.1%2.3%2.4%
2nd Half2006
2007 2008
GDP IDP
Source: Global Insight
2222
Financial Results
Oscar MunozExecutive Vice PresidentChief Financial Officer
2323
CSX reports strong second quarter results
$ 225$ 165$ 390Net Earnings
$ 0.93$ 0.73$ 1.66Earnings Per Share
)
)
(1919212
(175
))
30(192(110
6))
11-
(98(169
Other Income (net)Debt repurchase ExpenseInterest ExpenseIncome Taxes
$ 215$ 431$ 646Consolidated Operating Income
)(891Other Operating Income
$ 223$ 422$ 645Surface Transportation Operating Income
Variance20052006Dollars in millions, except EPS
Second Quarter Results
2424
Comparable EPS increased 21%
))
(0.33(0.540.14)
-0.54
(0.31
)
)
(0.33-
(0.17
Less Gain on Insurance RecoveriesPlus Debt Repurchase ExpenseLess Income Tax Benefit
$ 0.20$ 0.96$ 1.16Comparable Earnings Per Share
$ 0.93$ 0.73$ 1.66Earnings Per Share
$ 97$ 422$ 519Comparable Operating Income
)(126-)(126Less Gain on Insurance Recoveries
$ 223$ 422$ 645Surface Transportation Operating Income
Variance20052006Dollars in millions, except EPS
Second Quarter Results
2525
Surface Transportation increased 23%
23%$ 422 $ 519Operating Income
1.9 pts80.5%78.6%Operating Ratio
)(9%1,7441,902Operating Expenses
))))
)
12%
(1%(6%(6%
(64%4%0%
(11%
$ 2,166
7064412031761376219
$ 2,421
7154682162881326221
RevenueExpenses
Labor and FringeMaterials, Supplies and OtherDepreciationFuelBuilding and Equipment RentInland TransportationConrail Rents, Fees and Services
Variance20052006Dollars in millions
Second Quarter Results
Note: 2006 results exclude Katrina-related gain on insurance recoveries
2626
Labor and fringe increased 1%
Second QuarterDollars in Millions
$715$706
$9
2005 Variance 2006
Primarily driven by wage and benefit inflation
Includes almost 800 new T&E employees
Partially offset by lower incentive compensation and productivity
2727
MS&O increased 6%
Second QuarterDollars in Millions
$468
$441
$27
2005 Variance 2006
Increase primarily driven by inflation
Cycling a prior year supplier credit
Productivity gains from improved operations partially offset increase:— Increased locomotive
utilization— Reduced train accidents
and related costs
2828
Fuel increased 64%
Second QuarterDollars in Millions
$288
$176
$112
2005 Variance 2006
Primarily driven by higher fuel prices
Impact of lower hedge position was $44 million
Slightly higher volume-related costs offset by focus on fuel economy
2929
Fuel hedges continue to decline
Hedge BenefitDollars in Millions
$51
$63
$77
$58
$35
$19
$1
Q1 2005 Q2 2005 Q3 2005 Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
* Estimates based on $75 per barrel WTI
*
3030
Rents declined 4%
Second QuarterDollars in Millions
$132$137 $5
2005 Variance 2006
Asset utilization continues to improve
Lower equipment costs are driven by:— Improved cycle time— Fewer cars-on-line
3131
All other expenses increased 5%
Second QuarterDollars in Millions
$203 $216
$62$62
$19$21
$15
2005 Variance 2006
$284 $299
Depreciation Inland Transportation Conrail Fees
3232
Looking forward . . .
Record first half operating income included:— $126 million gain on insurance recoveries— $54 million fuel hedge benefit— $25 million favorable impact of mild winter
On track to deliver $300+ million Free Cash Flow with $1.4 billion in capital spending
Momentum will continue; poised for growth
3333
Equity actions reflect strong fundamentals
Stock splits two for one— Record date and effective date in August
Dividend increases 54% to $0.10 per share — Effective with the September distribution
Share repurchase program of $500 million— Targeting a 12-month completion timeline
3434
Concluding Remarks
Michael WardChairman, President andChief Executive Officer
3535
Looking forward . . .
Momentum on core strategies continues
Team delivering consistent, strong results
Foundation in place for the long-term
Transportation environment remains strong
RevenueRevenueImpactImpact
OperationalOperationalDisciplineDiscipline
PerformancePerformanceCultureCulture
3636
Second Quarter 2006Earnings PresentationSecond Quarter 2006Earnings Presentation