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Press conference Erik Ljungberg Corporate Relations Erik Ljungberg, Corporate Relations 1

Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

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Page 1: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Press conference Erik Ljungberg Corporate RelationsErik Ljungberg, Corporate Relations

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Page 2: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Interim Report, January–March 2011 Jan Ytterberg CFOJan Ytterberg, CFO

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Page 3: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

First three months 2011 – highlights

Stable earnings growth– Increased volumeIncreased volume– Higher capacity utilisation– Currency head-windy

ROCE 43.9% (13.4%)*

*Rolling 12 month

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Rolling 12 month

Page 4: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Volume trendTotal deliveries trucks and busesTotal deliveries, trucks and buses

24,000Units

Deliveries +60% 16 000

20,000

in Q1 2011

Higher production

16,000

12,000

g prate y/y, stable vs Q4 2010

4,000

8,000

2007Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

0

2008Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2009Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2010Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2011

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Page 5: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Service revenue

Volume increase5,000SEK m.

Volume increase >10%, all-time high level

4,000

Improved capacity utilisation

3,000

2,000

Negative impact from currency 1,000

,

0

2007Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2008Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2009Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2010Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2011

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Page 6: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Earnings trendOperating income Scania GroupOperating income, Scania Group

4,500SEK m.

20Percent

Operating marginOperating income

Net sales +25% Q1

EBIT margin 16 1%

4,000

3 000

3,500 16

14

18p g gp g

EBIT margin 16.1% (12.9) Q1

Earnings per share2,000

3,000

2,500

8

12

10

Earnings per share SEK 3.14 (1.78) 1,000

500

1,500

4

2

6

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

500

0Q1

2

0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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Page 7: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Operating incomeVehicles and ServicesVehicles and Services

+ Volume

EBIT increase due to:– Volume

Capacity utilisationEBIT increase:

SEK 1,092 m. Q1 2011

+ Capacity

+ Price

R i l

– Capacity utilisation– Price

Negative effects: Q1 2011 - Raw material

- Mix

- Currency

Negative effects:– Currency– Mix– Raw material

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Page 8: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Cash flowVehicles and ServicesVehicles and Services

4 000SEK m.

Negative impact from inventory 3,000

4,000

Higher level of investment 1,000

2,000

Paid taxes related to 2010

i- 1,000

0

2007Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2008Q1 Q2 Q3

Q4

2009Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2010Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2011Q1

earnings

Note: Excluding acquisitions/divestments and Financial Services

- 2,000

,

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Note: Excluding acquisitions/divestments and Financial Services

Page 9: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Net debtVehicles and ServicesVehicles and Services

SEK m.100

Percent10 000

Net cash SEK 9,005 m.

8,000

6,000 60

100

40

80Net debt/equity ratioNet debt

4 000

10,000

(Net cash 7,700 end of 2010) 0

2,000

20102008 20092001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2006 20072000

404,000

20

02011

Proposed dividend per share SEK 5 00 (1 00)

-2,000 -20

-40-4,000

-6,000 -605.00 (1.00)

-8,000

-100-10,000

-80

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Page 10: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Volume trendCredit portfolio Financial ServicesCredit portfolio, Financial Services

50 000SEK m.

Portfolio +4%,local currencies

50,000

35 000

40,000

45,000

local currencies

Lower level of bad debt expenses

30,000

35,000

25,000debt expenses

Operating income SEK 107 (-10) m. 10,000

15,000

20,000

SEK 107 ( 10) m.5,000

020071999 2001 2003 2005 20091997 2011

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Page 11: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Summary

Stable earnings growth– Volume increase– Higher capacity utilisation– Negative currency effects

ROCE 43.9% (13.4%)*

*Rolling 12 month

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Rolling 12 month

Page 12: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

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Page 13: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

OutlookLeif Östling President and CEOLeif Östling, President and CEO

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Page 14: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Business overview – First three months

Stable European demand, normal seasonal pattern Q4 to Q1seasonal pattern Q4 to Q1

Market share 14.6% (14.2) in Europe

Good level of demand in Latin America and the Middle East

Production rate stable compared to Q4 2010

High demand for service

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Page 15: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Order bookings EuropeQuarterly figuresQuarterly figures

Scania order bookings, trucks10,000

8,000

9,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2,000

4,000

3,000

1,000

0Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1Q1

2010 20112009

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Page 16: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

European deliveriesRolling 12 monthRolling 12 month

Scania deliveries, trucks50,000

40,000

45,000

30,000

35,000

15 000

20,000

25,000

15,000

10,0002003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011*2002 2010

* Refers to Scania’s regional structure where Russia is part of Eurasia

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Refers to Scania s regional structure, where Russia is part of Eurasia

Page 17: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Latin American deliveriesRolling 12 monthRolling 12 month

Scania deliveries, trucks20,000

16,000

18,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

4,000

8,000

6,000

2,000

02003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20112002 2010

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Page 18: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Share of vehicle deliveries Q1 2011(2007)(2007)

Europe 45% (61%)

Eurasia 7% (8%)45% (61%)

Latin AmericaAsia

21%Latin America 23% (16%)

21% (10%)Africa &

OceaniaOceania4% (5%)

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Page 19: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Production – first three months

Stable production rate compared to pQ4 2010

Short and reliable delivery times

Some disruptions in supply chain

Tragedy in Japan remains to be assessed

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Page 20: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Service revenue

5,000SEK m.

All-time high level4,000

t e g e e

High demand in all regions

3,000

2,000all regions

1,000

,

0

2007Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2008Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2009Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2010Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2011

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Page 21: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

Scania Euro 6 trucks

Combination of Combination of EGR and SCR

Same performance Same performance and fuel efficiency as for Euro 5

Ready for possible incentive markets

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Page 22: Scania Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation

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