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www.cdp.net | @CDP 1 Beyond fossil fuels Emma Henningsson, Director, CDP Nordic

TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

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TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 Our first ESG & Impact Investing conference in the Nordic region, hosted by the BI Norwegian Business School in Oslo. For 2 days, the conference offered a platform to learn about current trends in sustainable investing and CSR in the Nordic region – and ample opportunity to find new business partners. Unique to this event, selected entrepreneurs have been invited to present their innovative green technology and climate change related projects to the investor community.

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Page 1: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP 1

Beyond fossil fuels

Emma Henningsson, Director, CDP Nordic

Page 2: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

CDP’s mission !• To transform the global economic system to prevent dangerous

climate change and value our natural resources by putting relevant information at the heart of business, investment and policy decisions !

CDP collects information on: • Climate Change • Water • Forests !From: • Publicly listed companies • Their suppliers • World’s largest cities !

Mission and what we do !

Forests

WaterClimate Change

INVESTORS

SUPPLY CHAIN MEMBERS

Page 3: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

CDP: Driving Sustainable Economies

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>4.500 companies = 60% of the global market cap &

110 cities

767 Investors with 92 Trillion USD AUM &

68 Corporations with > €1.000 Billion Purchasing Value

4.200 Climate Disclosure Scores2.500 Climate Performance Bands

Climate Change, CO2, Water, Forest

Transparency & Actions

Page 4: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

The Stranded Assets Debate! Carbon Tracker Initiative report on fossil fuel reserves versus

the ‘carbon budget’ for a 2 degree temperature rise

! Argument that cap ex spent today by oil and gas companies is

wasted and should be invested in other opportunities instead

! What should investors do? Engage with companies or divest?

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Page 5: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP 5

Page 6: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

Positive link between climate transparency and financial indicators

Source: CDP & SCIM Linking Climate Engagement to Financial Performance Report 2013

+5.2% return on equity

+18.1% cash flow stability

+1.6% dividend growth

Page 7: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

Rapid developments

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“We expect the state AP pension funds […] to lead

the way and set a good example in their work on

climate change and other sustainability issues.

Therefore, we urge the AP pension funds and other

institutional investors, as a first step, to increase

transparency and to explore the possibilities for

reporting the CO2 emissions associated with their

investment portfolios.”

Page 8: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP 8

Page 9: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

Divest or engage (or both)! Some investors simply divest from all fossil fuel companies

! Other responsible investors in oil & gas companies are

engaging with the companies to discuss their strategy and how

they are managing risks, including stranded assets

! Either way, dialogue is important to achieve change (if you

divest tell them you’re doing it)

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Page 10: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

Oil & gas sector engagement! Oil & gas majors, they have easier choices to make about where to invest capital and can divert finance to lower carbon options as part of their integrated energy strategy ! Specialist companies, such as exploration and production companies or pure-play coal producers, have little choice other than to change their business completely and therefore meaningful engagement is harder for investors

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Page 11: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

3 questions investors should ask companies! What is your strategy to deliver long-term value to shareholders? ! Where do you see major growth opportunities over the coming decades? ! What oil price and carbon price are you assuming for capex decisions?

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Page 12: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

CDP’s O&G information request! CDP is gradually increasing its focus on a number of key sectors over the next 3 years

! This development will be piloted on the Oil & Gas sector (O&G), which has been

prioritized for its relevance to climate change

! Identify the most meaningful metrics for investors, address concerns on reporting

burden, and build a scoring methodology that incentivizes transparency and relevant

sector-specific action

! Includes questions on stranded assets e.g. scenario analysis, breakeven costs, capital

expenditure

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Page 13: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

O&G working group! CDP is currently running a working group to inform our developments on the O&G sector

! 5 industry representatives & 5 investor representatives

! Contribute to development of improved CDP climate change questionnaire for O&G sector, by:

• Reviewing previous climate change questionnaire

• Providing advice, guidance and recommendations to CDP, as it defines a new O&G climate change questionnaire for 2015

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Page 14: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

Holding and engaging

! Transparency ! Oil and gas reserves ! Current emissions ! Direction in which the business is heading e.g. climate targets, investments, risks & opps

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Page 15: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

!!

!!!Ingo Speich, Senior Fondsmanager, CFA Union Investment (200 bln. USD AuM)

CDP is crucial in assessing the CO2 intensity and consequently the risk profile of a company. Hence Union Investment declines to discharge the supervisory and the management board of a DAX30 company, if it did not follow on the request to disclose its emissions to CDP.

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Page 16: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

Example: CDP Carbon Action Program 2012

350+ selected companies200+ dedicated large asset managers...and this is the result one year later!

497 Million Tonnes Reduction von Treibhausgasen allein in einem Jahr

(CDP Carbon Action 2012)= this accord for half of the annual emissions of Germany

Page 17: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

CDP Carbon Action: Investors asks certain companies to set targets

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+3.0% Points p.a.!higher emission reductions

+0.7% Points p.a.!higher annual RoI per activity

Source: CDP Carbon Action Report 2013

Page 18: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

“Aiming for A” initiative A coalition of UK asset owners and managers convening for collective engagement with ten major listed companies in the utilities and extractive sectors.

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Page 19: TBLI CONFERENCE™ NORDIC 2014 - Fossil Fuel Investment Strategy - Emma Henningsson - CDP

www.cdp.net | @CDP

[email protected] +46 705 145726

Thanks!

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