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Biodiversity, people and networks Marco Pautasso marpauta at gmail.com Canterbury (UK) 3 Nov 2010

Biodiversity, people and networks

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Transport networks in a globalized world, conservation biogeography, elevational gradients in vascular plant species richness, sudden oak death, landscape pathology, fire blight, network epidemiology, Canterbury (Kent), United Kingdom, macroecology

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Page 1: Biodiversity, people and networks

Biodiversity, people and networks

Marco Pautassomarpauta at gmail.com

Canterbury (UK)3 Nov 2010

Page 2: Biodiversity, people and networks

from: Hufnagel et al. (2005) PNAS (air) & Kaluza et al. (2010) Interface (sea)

Transport networks in a globalized world

passengers

Page 3: Biodiversity, people and networks

US counties with (•) or without (o) Universities and/or Botanic Gardens

from: Pautasso & McKinney (2007) Conservation Biology

• N = 692, r2 = 0.13, y = 2.15 (SE = 0.08) + 0.15 (SE = 0.01) x, p < 0.0001

o N = 2187, r2 = 0.10, y = 2.18 (SE = 0.05) + 0.15 (SE = 0.01) x, p < 0.0001

Conservation biogeography

Page 4: Biodiversity, people and networks

Elevational gradient in vascular plant biodiversity

Marini et al. (in press) Global Ecology & Biogeogeography

data from Bergamo & Brescia provinces, Italy

Page 5: Biodiversity, people and networks

Landscape pathology

Picture: D. Rizzo, UC Davis from: Pautasso et al. (2010) Biological Reviews

Page 6: Biodiversity, people and networks

Fire blight epidemic development in Switzerland

Data from: Eidgenössisches Volkswirtschaftsdepartement, Swiss Confederation

2003 2007

199919952003-07

Page 7: Biodiversity, people and networks

NATURAL

TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIAL

food webs

airport networks

cell metabolism

meta-populations

railway networks

ant nests

WWWInternet

electrical power grids

software mapscomputing

gridsE-mail

patterns

innovation flows

telephone calls

co-authorship nets

family networks

committees

sexual partnerships

Food web of Little Rock Lake, Wisconsin, US

Internet structure

Network pictures from: Newman (2003) SIAM Review

HIV spread

network

Network theory

urban road networks

from: Moslonka-Lefebvre et al. (2011) Phytopathology

epidemiology

Page 8: Biodiversity, people and networks

Biodiversity conservation at the interface between disciplines

Kiss et al. (2010) Journal of Informetrics

Page 9: Biodiversity, people and networks

Acknowledgements

Claude Steck, Birmensdorf

Mike Jeger, Silwood

Ingrid Parmentier,

Bruxelles

Kevin Gaston,

Sheffield

Diego Fontaneto,Stockholm

Birgit & Florian Schlick-Steiner, Innsbruck

Mike McKinney, Knoxville

Lorenzo Marini, Padova

Joan Webber, Alice Holt

Susanne Fritz, Copenhagen

Ottmar Holdenrieder, Zurich

Peter Weisberg, Reno

Glen Powell, London

Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre, Paris

Tom Harwood, Canberra

Caroline Pecher, Bozen

Page 10: Biodiversity, people and networks

(a), (b) & (c) from: Pautasso & Gaston (2006) Global Ecology & Biogeography;(d) from: Pautasso & Gaston (2005) Ecology Letters

Biogeographical patterns in bird biodiversity

Survey year

Log 10

plot

are

a (k

m2 )

Log 1

0as

sem

blag

e ab

unda

nce

(indi

vidu

als)(c)

Log10 plot area (km2)

Page 11: Biodiversity, people and networks

from: Lonsdale et al. (2008) European Journal of Forest Research

Random sample of 100 papers per year on ‘species richness’ in WOS (1991-2004)

Page 12: Biodiversity, people and networks

b from: http://www.worldmapper.org/

a, c & d: from: Pautasso & Parmentier (2007) Botanica Helvetica

(c)

(d)

(a)(c)

log 1

0sp

pri

chne

ss (n

)

(b) Size of countries reflects n of botanic gardens

Biogeography of the living collections of the world’s botanical gardens

(d)

(yr)

Page 13: Biodiversity, people and networks

from: Golding et al. (2010) Annals of Botany

Living collections of the world’s botanic gardens (2)

Page 14: Biodiversity, people and networks

from: Chiari et al. (2010) J Animal Ecology

Locally, biodiversity-people correlations tend to be negative

birds in Florence

Page 15: Biodiversity, people and networks

from: Pecher et al. (2010) Basic and Applied Ecology

Scale-dependence of the correlation between species richness of stream macro-invertebrates and people

Page 16: Biodiversity, people and networks

from: Cantarello et al. (2010) Naturwissenschaften

Sampling effort explains the correlation between species richness of Orthoptera and people in Italy

Page 17: Biodiversity, people and networks

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00

probability of transmission

prob

abili

ty o

f per

sist

ence

localrandomsmall-worldscale-free (two-way)scale-free (uncorrelated)scale-free (one way)

Lower epidemic threshold for scale-free networks with positive correlation between in- and out-degree

from: Moslonka-Lefebvre et al. (2011) Phytopathology

Epidemic does not develop Epidemic develops

Page 18: Biodiversity, people and networks

Current research – 1. epidemic modellingin small-size directed networks

N replicates = 100; error bars are St. Dev.; different letters show sign. different means

at p < 0.05

from: Moslonka-Lefebvre et al. (2009) Journal of Theoretical Biology

Page 19: Biodiversity, people and networks

Correlation of epidemic final size with out-degree of starting node increases with network connectivity

N replicates = 100; error bars are St. Dev.; different letters show sign. different means at p < 0.05

from: Pautasso et al. (2010) Ecol Compl

Page 20: Biodiversity, people and networks

ReferencesBarbosa AM, Fontaneto D, Marini L & Pautasso M (2010) Positive regional species–people correlations: a sampling artefact or a key issue for sustainable development? Animal Conservation 13: 446-447Cantarello E, Steck CE, Fontana P, Fontaneto D, Marini L & Pautasso M (2010) A multi-scale study of Orthoptera species richness and human population size controlling for sampling effort. Naturwissenschaften 97: 265-271Dehnen-Schmutz K, Holdenrieder O, Jeger MJ & Pautasso M (2010) Structural change in the international horticultural industry: some implications for plant health. Scientia Horticulturae 125: 1-15Golding J, Güsewell S, Kreft H, Kuzevanov VY, Lehvävirta S, Parmentier I & Pautasso M (2010) Species-richness patterns of the living collections of the world's botanic gardens: a matter of socio-economics? Annals of Botany 105: 689-696Moslonka-Lefebvre M, Pautasso M & Jeger MJ (2009) Disease spread in small-size directed networks: epidemic threshold, correlation between links to and from nodes, and clustering. Journal of Theoretical Biology 260: 402-411Moslonka-Lefebvre M, Finley A, Dorigatti I, Dehnen-Schmutz K, Harwood T, Jeger MJ, Xu XM, Holdenrieder O & Pautasso M (2011) Networks in plant epidemiology: from genes to landscapes, countries and continents. Phytopathology 101: 392-403Pautasso M (2009) Geographical genetics and the conservation of forest trees. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Systematics and Evolution 11: 157-189Pautasso M & Parmentier I (2007) Are the living collections of the world’s botanical gardens following species-richness patterns observed in natural ecosystems? Botanica Helvetica 117: 15-28Pautasso M, Moslonka-Lefebvre M & Jeger MJ (2010) The number of links to and from the starting node as a predictor of epidemic size in small-size directed networks. Ecological Complexity 7: 424-432 Pecher C, Fritz S, Marini L, Fontaneto D & Pautasso M (2010) Scale-dependence of the correlation between human population and the species richness of stream macroinvertebrates. Basic Applied Ecology 11: 272-280