31
EDU FORUM 14 September 2012 Etienne Albiser et Corinne Heckmann Education at a Glance 2012 Key findings

Education at a Glance 2012 - Key findings

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The talent pool is growing… And its distribution across countries is changing A significant proportion of student have a higher level of education than their parents Where do individuals from low educational backgrounds succeed?

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Page 1: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

EDU FORUM 14 September 2012

Etienne Albiser et Corinne Heckmann

Education at a Glance

2012

Key findings

Page 2: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

Unabated educational expansion

Page 3: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

The talent pool is growing…Percentage of the 25-34 year-old and 55-64 year-old population that has attained tertiary-type A

education

1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

25-34 year-olds 55-64 year-olds %

Chart A1.1

Page 4: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

And its distribution across countries is changing

Proportion of populations with tertiary education and potential growth (2010)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Proportion of the 25-64 year-old population with tertiary education

Diff

ere

nce

be

twe

en

the

25

-34

an

d 2

5-6

4 y

ea

r-o

ld

po

pu

latio

ns

with

tert

iary

ed

uca

tion

Incr

easi

ng a

dvan

tage

Higher attainmentLower attainment; getting further behind

Lower attainment; catching up

High attainment; increasing advantage

High attainment; decreasing advantage

AUS

AUT

BEL

BRA

CAN

CHE

CHL

CZE

DEU

DNK

ESP

EST

FIN

FRA

GRCHUN

IRL

ISL

ISR

ITA

JPN

KOR

LUX

MEX

NLD NOR

NZL

POL

PRT

RUS

SVKSVN

SWE

TUR

UKM

USA

OECD

Chart A1.3

Page 5: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Po

lan

d

Ire

lan

d

Hu

ng

ary

Cze

ch R

ep

u...

Au

stra

lia

Gre

ece

Italy

Fra

nce

Sp

ain

Sw

ed

en

Un

ited

Kin

...

Lu

xem

bo

urg

Be

lgiu

m

Slo

ven

ia

Ne

the

rla

nd

s

Po

rtu

ga

l

OE

CD

ave

rag

e

Ca

na

da

Tu

rke

y

Sw

itze

rla

nd

De

nm

ark

Fin

lan

d

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Au

stri

a

Ice

lan

d

No

rwa

y

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Ge

rma

ny

Slo

vak

Re

pu

...

Est

on

ia

0

20

40

60

80Downward mobility Upward mobility

A significant proportion of student have a higher level of education than their parents

Percentage of 25-34 year-old non-students whose educational attainment is higher than their parents’ (upward mobility), lower (downward mobility) or the same (status quo), by parents' educational level (low, medium, high)

Chart A6.5

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

High Medium Low

Status quo: same level of education than their parents

Page 6: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Where do individuals from low educational backgrounds succeed?

Educational achievement among 25-34 year-old non-students with parents who have low educational attainment (2009)

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Czech Republic

Poland

Finland

Sweden

Slovenia

Canada

Denmark

Hungary

Ireland

Netherlands

Austria

France

OECD average

Belgium

Switzerland

Luxembourg

United KingdomNew Zealand

Norway

Germany

Greece

Iceland

Italy

United States

Spain

Portugal

Turkey

Australia

Pro

po

rtion

of n

on

-stud

en

ts from

low

ed

uca

tion

al b

ack-

gro

un

ds w

ith te

rtiary a

ttain

me

nt

Proportion of non-students from low educational backgrounds who have not attained an upper secondary education (%)

OECD average

OEC

D a

v-er

age

Chart A6.4

Page 7: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Tertiary student become more mobileNumber of students enrolled outside their country of citizenship, by region of destination (2000 to

2010)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0

500 000

1 000 000

1 500 000

2 000 000

2 500 000

3 000 000

3 500 000

4 000 000

4 500 000

Worldwide

In OECD

In EU countries

In G20 countries

In North America

Chart C4.1

Number of foreign students

Page 8: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

… and impact on international education market shares of countries Percentage of all foreign tertiary students enrolled, by destination

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Un

ited

Kin

gd

om

Au

stra

lia

Ge

rma

ny

Fra

nce

Ca

na

da

Ru

ssia

n F

ed

era

tion

Jap

an

Sp

ain

Ch

ina

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Italy

Au

stri

a

So

uth

Afr

ica

Ko

rea

Be

lgiu

m

Sw

itze

rla

nd

Ne

the

rla

nd

s

Sw

ed

en

Oth

er

OE

CD

Oth

er

G2

0 a

nd

n...

0

5

10

15

20

25

2010

2000

Chart C4.3

Market share (%)

“Other G20 and non-OECD countries” refers to the portion of total foreign students studying in other G20 and non-OECD countries and is obtained after subtracting China, South Africa and the Russian Federation from the total in non-OECD destinations, as estimated from UNESCO data.

Page 9: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Education begins well before the age of 5Enrolment rates in early childhood and primary education among 4-year-olds (2005 and 2010)

Fra

nce

Ne

the

rlan

ds

Sp

ain

Me

xico

Be

lgiu

mD

en

ma

rkJa

pa

nN

orw

ay

Un

ited

Kin

gd

om

Italy

Lu

xem

bo

urg

Ice

lan

dG

erm

an

yN

ew

Ze

ala

nd

Sw

ed

en

Hu

ng

ary

Est

on

iaA

ust

riaS

love

nia

Isra

el

Po

rtu

ga

lC

zech

Re

pu

blic

OE

CD

ave

rag

eK

ore

aC

hile

Arg

en

tina

Ru

ssia

n F

ed

era

tion

Slo

vak

Re

pu

blic

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Ire

lan

dP

ola

nd

Fin

lan

dB

razi

lG

ree

ceA

ust

ralia

Ca

na

da

Sw

itze

rlan

dIn

do

ne

sia

Tu

rke

y

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2010 2005%

Chart C2.1

Page 10: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

The labour-market continues to signal strong demand for

tertiary graduates...

- There is a positive relationship between education and employment: Individuals without an upper secondary qualification saw a marked drop in the employment rate - The earnings advantage of tertiary graduates is high and has grown further over recent years.

Page 11: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

No

rwa

yIc

ela

nd

Sw

itze

rlan

dS

we

de

nN

eth

erla

nd

sS

love

nia

Ge

rma

ny

De

nm

ark

Au

stria

Bra

zil

Po

rtu

ga

lU

nite

d K

ing

do

mL

uxe

mb

ou

rgP

ola

nd

Fin

lan

dA

ust

ralia

Be

lgiu

mN

ew

Ze

ala

nd

Fra

nce

Cze

ch R

ep

ub

licO

EC

D a

vera

ge

Isra

el

Slo

vak

Re

pu

blic

Ca

na

da

Ire

lan

dM

exi

coU

nite

d S

tate

sE

sto

nia

Gre

ece

Sp

ain

Jap

an

Ch

ileH

un

ga

ryIta

lyK

ore

aT

urk

ey

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Tertiary educationUpper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiaryBelow upper secondary

Chart A7.1

%

Employment prospects increase with the level of education

Percentage of 25-64 year-olds in employment, by level of education (2010)

Page 12: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Tertiary education brings substantial earning premiums

Relative earnings from employment by level of educational attainment for 25-to-64 year-olds in 2010 (upper secondary education = 100)

Bra

zil

Hu

ng

ary

Slo

ven

iaC

zech

Re

pu

blic

Slo

vak

Re

pu

blic

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Ire

lan

dP

ola

nd

Po

rtu

ga

lG

erm

an

yU

nite

d K

ing

do

mL

uxe

mb

ou

rgN

eth

erla

nd

sA

ust

riaO

EC

D a

vera

ge

Sw

itze

rlan

dIs

rae

lK

ore

aG

ree

ceIta

lyT

urk

ey

Fin

lan

dJa

pa

nF

ran

ceS

pa

inC

an

ad

aE

sto

nia

Au

stra

liaB

elg

ium

De

nm

ark

No

rwa

yS

we

de

nN

ew

Ze

ala

nd

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

Below upper secondary educationTertiary education

Chart A8.1

Index

Page 13: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

More than half of the GDP growth in OECD countries is related to

income growth among tertiary-educated individualsGDP growth and labour income growth by educational categories (2000-10)

Isra

el

Ko

rea

Cze

ch R

ep

ub

lic

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Sw

ed

en

Fin

lan

d

Ca

na

da

Co

un

try

ave

rag

e

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Hu

ng

ary

No

rwa

y

Un

ited

Kin

gd

om

Au

stria

Ge

rma

ny

Fra

nce

Ire

lan

d

De

nm

ark

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%GDP Growth ISCED 5B/5A/6 ISCED 3/4 ISCED 0/1/2

Chart A10.1

Page 14: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

The crisis hit the least educated hardest

- Lack of relevant skills/experience brings higher unemployment risk for recent entrants to the labour force

Page 15: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Unemployment rates increased the most for the least qualified

Change between 2008 and 2010 in unemployment rates for 25-64 year-olds, by level of education (2008, 2009, 2010)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2009 2008 2010Over 35% each year for the Slovak Republic

BR

A

NO

R

NL

D

KO

R

AU

T

AU

S

LU

X

NZ

L

ME

X

CH

E

JPN

SW

E

ITA

DN

K

CH

L

UK

M

CZ

E

BE

L

ISR

DE

U

SV

N

ISL

FR

A

FIN

CA

N

OE

CD

PO

L

HU

N

PO

R

US

A

TU

R

SV

K

GR

C

IRL

ES

P

ES

T

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Chart A7.2

Tertiary education (%)

Below upper secondary education (%)

Page 16: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

15-19 year-olds not in education (employed, unemployed or not in the labour force)

Distribution of 15-19 year-olds by education and work status (2010, 2008)

SV

N

PO

L

HU

N

SV

K

CZ

E

ES

T

DE

U

LU

X

BE

L

FIN

KO

R

NL

D

SW

E

FR

A

GR

C

CH

E

DN

K

AU

T

OE

CD

US

A

IRL

PR

T

ISL

ITA

ES

P

CA

N

NO

R

UK

M

AU

S

NZ

L

ISR

BR

A

ME

X

TU

R

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2010

2008

% 15-19 year-olds not in education

0

20

40

60

80

100

Inactive

Unemployed

Employed

Employed (2008)

T C5.2a

% 15-19 year-olds not in education, by work status

Page 17: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

RESOURCE CHALLENGES

- To achieve higher levels of educational attainment, countries have made a significant effort to increase investment in education

Page 18: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Investment in education increased significantly…

Expenditure on educational institutions as a percentage of GDP,(2000, 2009)

Ice

lan

dK

ore

aD

en

ma

rkN

ew

Ze

ala

nd

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Isra

el

Arg

en

tina

Ch

ileS

we

de

nB

elg

ium

Fin

lan

dIr

ela

nd

Fra

nce

Est

on

iaM

exi

coO

EC

D a

vera

ge

Ne

the

rlan

ds

No

rwa

yC

an

ad

aU

nite

d K

ing

do

mA

ust

ralia

Slo

ven

iaS

witz

erla

nd

Po

rtu

ga

lA

ust

riaP

ola

nd

Sp

ain

Bra

zil

Ru

ssia

n F

ed

era

tion

Ge

rma

ny

Jap

an

Italy

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2009 2000 1995% of GDP

Chart B2.1

% of GDP

Page 19: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

The share of GDP devoted to education continues to grow between 2008 and 2009

Index of change in expenditure on educational institutions and GDP (2008, 2009)

No

rwa

y

Slo

vak

Re

pu

blic

Ru

ssia

n F

ed

era

tion

Ire

lan

d

Po

rtu

ga

l

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Au

stra

lia

De

nm

ark

Cze

ch R

ep

ub

lic

Ne

the

rlan

ds

Ge

rma

ny

Un

ited

Kin

gd

om

Fin

lan

d

Slo

ven

ia

Me

xico

Sp

ain

Au

stria

Sw

itze

rlan

d

OE

CD

ave

rag

e

Ca

na

da

Sw

ed

en

Ch

ile

Ko

rea

Jap

an

Fra

nce

Ice

lan

d

Est

on

ia

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Be

lgiu

m

Po

lan

d

Italy

Isra

el80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

Change in expenditure Change in gross domestic productChange in expenditure on educational institutions as a percentage of GDP

Chart B2 Box 1

Index of change (2008=100)

Page 20: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Tertiary education

Page 21: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Un

ited

Kin

gd

om

Ko

rea

Est

on

ia

Sp

ain

Po

rtu

ga

l

Po

lan

d

Fin

lan

d

Cze

ch R

ep

ub

lic

Me

xico

Au

stria

Jap

an

De

nm

ark

Fra

nce

Ire

lan

d

OE

CD

ave

rag

e

Be

lgiu

m

Italy

Sw

ed

en

Ge

rma

ny

No

rwa

y

Slo

vak

Re

pu

blic

Ne

the

rlan

ds

Hu

ng

ary

Bra

zil

Ice

lan

d

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Isra

el

Sw

itze

rlan

d

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

Change in expenditureChange in the number of students (in full-time equivalents)Change in expenditure per student

Chart B1.6

Index of change (2000 = 100)

At tertiary level, expenditure did not keep up with expanding enrolments in some countries

Index of change in student numbers and expenditure between 2000 and 2009 (2000=100, 2009 constant prices)

Page 22: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

This chart does not take into account

grants, subsidies or loans that partially or

fully offset the students’ tuition fees

Average annual tuition fees

Tuition fees charged by public institutions of university-level education for full-time national students (academic year 2008-09)

Tertiary-type A public institutions

Portugal (89%, 10 481), Italy (49%, 9 562),Spain (52%, 14 191),

Czech Republic (60%, 8 615), Denmark (65%, 18 556), Finland (68%, 16 569), Ireland (56%, 16 420), Iceland (93%, 9 939), Mexico (33%, 8 020), Norway (76%, 19 269), Sweden

(76%, 21 144)

Canada (m, 25 341)

New Zealand (80%, 11 185)

Japan (51%, 17 511), Australia (96%, 17 460),

Netherlands (65%, 17 854)

United Kingdom1 (63%, 16 338)

Belgium (Fr. and Fl.) (m, m)France (m, 15 494)

0

500

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

USD

Chart B5.2

1. Public institutions do not exist at this level of education and most students are enrolled in government-dependent private institutions.

United States (70%, 29 910)00

Korea (71%, 10 499)

Austria (63%, 14 258), Switzerland (44%, 23 111)

United States (74%, 29 201)6000

Edu

catio

n at

a G

lanc

e 20

12

Page 23: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Primary, secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary education

Page 24: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Bra

zil

Slo

vak

Re

pu

blic

Est

on

ia

Ko

rea

Ire

lan

d

Cze

ch R

ep

ub

lic

Po

lan

d

Un

ited

Kin

gd

om

Hu

ng

ary

Au

stra

lia

OE

CD

ave

rag

e

Ca

na

da

Sp

ain

Ne

the

rlan

ds

Ice

lan

d

Fin

lan

d

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Sw

ed

en

No

rwa

y

Po

rtu

ga

l

Me

xico

Au

stria

Jap

an

Ge

rma

ny

Be

lgiu

m

De

nm

ark

Isra

el

Fra

nce

Italy

6080

100120140160180200220240

Change in expenditureChange in the number of students (in full-time equivalents)Change in expenditure per student

Chart B1.6

Index of change (2000 = 100)

Increase in the share of GDP devoted to education translates into large increase in expenditure per

student between 2000 and 2009Primary, secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary education

Index of changes in student numbers and expenditure between 2000 and 2009 (2000=100, 2009 constant prices)

Page 25: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

…partly as a result of increased teachers’ salaries

Lower secondary teachers’ statutory salaries after 15 years of experience/minimum training, index of change between 2000 and 2010 (2000 = 100, constant prices

Cze

ch R

ep

ub

lic

Est

on

ia

De

nm

ark

Ire

lan

d

Po

rtu

ga

l

Hu

ng

ary

Sco

tlan

d

Au

stria

OE

CD

ave

rag

e

Ko

rea

Gre

ece

Sp

ain

Ice

lan

d

Au

stra

lia

Sw

ed

en

Fin

lan

d

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d

Me

xico

En

gla

nd

Isra

el

Be

lgiu

m (

Fl.)

Italy

Be

lgiu

m (

Fr.

)

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Fra

nce

Jap

an

8090

100110120130140150160170180190200210220

2010 2005

Chart D3.3

Index of change 2000=100

Page 26: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

But other factors have an impact on expenditure

Contribution (in USD) of various factors to this change at the lower secondary level (2000, 2010)A

ust

ria

De

nm

ark

Fin

lan

d

Au

stra

lia

Italy

Sp

ain

Jap

an

Po

rtu

ga

l

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Ire

lan

d

Fra

nce

Ice

lan

d

Ko

rea

Hu

ng

ary

Cze

ch R

ep

ub

lic

Me

xico

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Contribution of teachers' salaryContribution of instruction timeContribution of teaching timeContribution of estimated class sizeChange in salary cost between 2000 and 2010

Chart B7.5

In equivalent USD using PPPs

Page 27: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

ItalyAustria

GermanyEstonia

Czech RepublicNetherlands

NorwayFinland

SwedenIceland

New ZealandJapanSpain

OECD averageHungarySlovenia

SwitzerlandIsrael

FranceSlovak Republic

BelgiumIreland

United StatesKoreaChile

PortugalCanada

LuxembourgUnited Kingdom

PolandBrazil

Indonesia

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Aged less than 30 Aged 30-39 Aged 40-49 Aged 50 or older

Chart D5.1

Age distribution of teachers may raise question of the need to train new teachers

Age distribution in secondary education (2010)

%

Page 28: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

Education at a Glance 2012

Page 29: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

What is new in EAG 2012 ?

Chapter A What is the difference between the career aspirations of boys and girls and the fields

of study they pursue as young adults? (A4) How well do immigrant students perform in school? (A5) To what extent does parents’ education influence access to tertiary education? (A6) How does education influence economic growth, labour costs and earning power

(A10)

Chapter B Changes in the salary cost of teachers per student between 2000 and 2010 (B7)

Chapter C How do early childhood education systems differ around the world? (C2)

Chapter D Who are the teachers? (D5) Who makes key decisions in education systems? (D6) What are the pathways and gateways to gain access to secondary and tertiary

education? (D7)

Page 30: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

How to use EAG 2012 ?

As a printed bookAvailable in English, French, but also translated into Spanish, German, Japanese, Chinese

As an electronic source of informationPdf version of the bookExcel files for all tables and chartsOECD.stat database with most of the raw dataCountry notes for 17 countriesHighlights of EAG 2012

Further disseminationEducation in Focus Series: monthly…

www.oecd.org/edu/eag2012

Page 31: Education  at a Glance  2012 - Key findings

2012Education at a Glance

Thank you !

www.oecd.org/edu/eag2012