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• Why the sovereign debt crisis? • Why status quo problem solving? • Where does support for fiscal union come from?
Incomplete explanations Moral hazard Economic interest Historical memory
Some Puzzles
• Economies of scale Internal market; international negotiation; reserve currency
• Externalities National bank policies; fiscal policy
• Spillover Market EMU Fiscal Union
Functional pressure
“Only a stronger and more integrated Europe will be able to exercise political and economic leadership on a global scale in the period
ahead”. Council on Foreign Relations, February 1, 1999
• Setting for good governance • Heterogeneity of preferences • Desire for self-rule
“Centralize where necessary; decentralize where possible”
Community
Länder in Germany Regierungsbezirke in Bayern
Bezirke in München
Kreise in Oberbayern
The world . . . . . . Europe
MULTI-LEVEL GOVERNANCE
05
101520253035404550
Public Opinion
national only
national first,european second
european first,national second
european only
IDENTITY
Source: Public Opinion (Eurobarometer June 2010)
1
Exclusive National Identity
Education
Fiscal Transfer
National Attachment
Type of Capitalism
Personal Economic Prospects
Multiculturalism
FIGURE 1: EFFECTS OF INDEPENDENT VARIABLES SU
PPOR
T FO
R EU
ROPE
AN IN
TEGR
ATIO
N
70
80
60
IDENTITY
Source: Hooghe/Marks (EUP, 2005)
Public opinion on Europe
ECONOMIC INTEREST
-2
0
2
4
6
8
1019
50
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1
0
0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
POPULISM!
EU Accession referendum EU treaty referendum
WON
LOST
Identity construction!
Source: Edwards and De Vries 2007
national identity only
national and European
weak strong
Populist right political party
• Why the sovereign debt crisis? Failure of neofunctionalism • Why status quo problem solving? Intergovernmental procrastination ECB into the vacuum • Where does support for fiscal union come from? Non-elected EU institutions Anti-populist parties
• Neo-functionalism? • Liberal intergovernmentalism? • Conceptions of community-not just economic
interest • Populism not elite/interest group politics • Identities are politically constructed • Multi-level politics!
Lessons for theories of the EU
26 Régions
100 Départements
342 Arrondissements
4,032 Cantons
36,680 Communes
. . . at a limited number of levels . . . across vastly different scales
Non-intersecting jurisdictions . . .