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Nov 2013 International Energy Agency reports Fossil Fuel Emissions and World Energy Outlook
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International Energy Agency reports November 2013
The world economy has the world on a fixed fast track
to planetary catastrophe
Peter D Carter
We are still on the 6°C by 2100
literal end of the world scenario
6C trajectory
6°C of warming by 2100
Looking at the end of the world
1900-1929 1930-1959
1960-1989
1990-2012
2013 -2935
1900
2035
November 3013
November 2013
International Energy Agency 2013
‘ Fossil fuels still account for most – over 80% – of the world energy supply.
Since 1870, CO2 emissions from fuel combustion have risen exponentially.
The 2012 concentration of CO2 (394 ppmv) was about 40% higher than in the mid-1800s, with an average growth of 2 ppmv/year in the last ten years.
Significant increases have also occurred in levels of methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O).
Despite the growth of non-fossil energy (such as nuclear and hydropower), considered as non-emitting, the share of fossil fuels within the world energy supply is relatively unchanged over the past 40 years.
In 2011, fossil sources accounted for 82% of the global energy supply.’
International Energy Agency Nov 2013
No reduction in fossil fuel share of world energy mix
International Energy Agency Nov 2013
Source: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge, United States.
CO2 emissions from fuel combustion continue to rise exponentially.
International Energy Agency Nov 2013
To total
planetary catastrophe
CO2 emissions
Fossil fuels still account for over 80% of the world energy supply.
CO2
emissions from fuel combustion continue to rise exponentially.
International Energy Agency Nov 2013
Little change in sectoral emissions since 1971
International Energy Agency Nov 2013
1971
CO2 emissions
1971 2011
No decrease in fossil fuel or coal emissions mix since 1971
International Energy Agency Nov 2013
Other
Other
CO2 emissions
International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook 2013
Fossil-fuel subsidies increased to $544 billion in 2012
Estimates of ultimately recoverable resources of oil continue to increase as technologies unlock types of resources, such as light tight oil, that were not considered recoverable only a few years ago. Our latest estimates for remaining recoverable resources show 2 670 billion barrels of conventional oil (including NGLs), 345 billion of light tight oil, 1 880 billion of extra-heavy oil and bitumen, and 1 070 billion of kerogen oil.
Fossil fuels continue to dominate the power sector, although their share of generation declines from 68% in 2011 to 57% in 2035. Coal remains the largest source of generation Coal-fired generation rebounds in the short term in the United States Biofuels use triples
Fossil-fuel subsidies increased to $544 billion in 2012 !!!
Very modest increase in clean energy
CO2 emissions from the power sector rise from 13.0 gigatonnes (Gt) in 2011 to 15.2 Gt in 2035, retaining a share of around 40% of global emissions over the period.
2020 2030 2040
Peter D Carter
