Speech: 10^7 bits TribesWriting: 10^11 bits City culturesPrinting: 10^17 bits Renaissance Industrial societyDigital: 10^25 bits Information society

Donald Robertson: New Renaissance

Gutenberg Encyclopedia

… But our brains are still in the speech learning stage

The Future of Information Society

Jyrki J.J. Kasvi

Economic crises come and goTrue megatrends reshape societies Climate change and environmental sustainability

– A growing part of economic growth is going to be used on emission control and adaptation to climate change

Global demographic change– The average Finnish age is about 40 years

• Half of Finnish voters are pensioners

– In developing countries the great generations are becoming adults

• Every third Egyptian is under 15 years of age Global networking and dependency

– The rise of BRIC countires to economic, cultural and military superpowers New technologies are shaping our societies

– ICT now penetrates our societies

E.g. robot baby seals were used to comfort elderly Japanese who had lost everything in the tsunami

(NHK Video screenshot)

www.kasvi.org

Waves of technology

Agriculturalsocety

6000-7000 yrs

Industrialsociety250 yrs

Informationsociety50 yrs

Biotechsociety25 yrs

Fusionsociety?? yrs

GlobalisationGNPComplexitySpeed of change

Mika Mannermaa

You are here!

Government and education have trouble keeping up.

Predicting futures ”I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”

Thomas Watson, IBM CEO ,1943.

”Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.” Popular Mechanics magazine on development of science, 1949.

”There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in their home.” Ken Olson, President of DEC, World Future Society Convention, 1977

"You aren't going to turn passive consumers into active trollers on the Internet." Stephen Weiswasser, senior VP, ABC television, 1989

"The Internet? Bah!" Newsweek headline, 1995

In many cases, science fiction has actually been more accurate than mere science.

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E.g. ”Brain pacer”

Science fiction has inspired developers of ICT (True Names, Neuromancer, …)

What society? Information society

Information is the key mean, object and result of culture and economy

ICT society Emphasises the role of technology as definer os socety: ”The code is law.”

Ubiquitous society Technology is omnipresent and transparent to its users.

Network society Emphasises the role of social networks and networking.

Postmodern society Post industrial society with overlapping meanings and perspecives.

Fusion society ICT combined with nano, bio, gene and cognitive technologies

Evolution of Internet 1980’s: Internet is a network of computers

Still the technological definition of Internet: Network of computers using the TCP/IP-protocol

1990’s: Internet is a network of information Ted Nelson’s Xanadu WWW = URL addres & HTTP protocol & HTML language

2000’s: Internet is a network of people Social media Networking and sharing

2010’s: Internet becomes a network of things Ubiquitous society Ipv6, rfid

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10.04.2023 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 12

The next 50 years Industrial revolution had two stages

The first ~50 years the technology evolved The next ~50 years that technology reshaped

the basic structures of our societies Now ICT has penetrated our society in ~50 years

The structures created by industrial revolution are crumbling The pace of technological and societal change is rapidly increasing

It took 100-120 yrs to build the global wired telephone network. It took 10 yrs to build a corresponding global wireless phone network It took 2-3 years for social media to become a global phenomenon

In ten years time anything can be in everyday use even if it has not been invented yet.

A child going to school this autumn is going to be working in the 2070’s.

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The pace of change has not slowed sincethese days.

US Army Photo

Horst Zuse

Era of sharing Information is like money. It creates new

information and benefits society only whenit is used and invested. Money locked in a money bin is as useless

ase information stored in a closed database.

Governments are opening their databases Improves government transparency and exposes corruption Increases growth of data intensive service SME’s Enhances cross-government data use

– In EU the direct savings potential is 40 billion €/y and indirect 100 billion

”Knowldedge is not power anymore, sharing of knowledge is.” – Teemu Arina

“The best way to get value from data is to give it away”– Neelie Kroes, Vice-President of the European Commission and Commissioner of the Digital Agenda

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Open data: a public service created by active citizens:

Combines data scraped from labour office web pages with map data and public transport timetables.

Free is the new black The most popular mobile game in the world is free

Over one billion downloads

The most popular search engines, map services and email services are free But Facebook and Google are not charities!

The most popular Internet multi player game is free Over 35 million registered players

One of the most awarded comics in the world is free E.g. Hugo in 2009, 2010 and 2011

The most watched Finnish movie is free 3,5 – 4 million downloads in 2 months

Technology has always improved productivity and cut prices … Free is a new way to make money!

Cumulonimbus Data, software and data processing are being

tranferred from own servers to the cloud ... Capital not tied to own hardware

– Enables flexible adaptation and development Optimises computing power and resource use

– E.g. The proposed U.K G-Cloud was estimated to save £3,2 billion per year

... and becoming on-demand services When data and applications are in different clouds and you control the API’s you

can tender and change service providers The cloud does not respect geographic border, but borders do matter

Client, service provider, data and porcessing may be in different countries – E.g. Consumer protection, data security and privacy legislation are different– Server location determines juridistiction

International rules do not exist and even national laws are outdated Contracts and EULA’s

CC SA Attribution Sugree

E.g. Cloud television

Broadcast-television is becoming an on-demand cloud service In 2010 NetFlix created 20% of US Internet traffic Finnish law carefully avoids the subject of Internet

television Control transfers from TV companies to viewers

Broadcast channels are left with news and current issues

Television companies and authorities react slowly New companies are ready to take over the TV market Old IPR contracts do not cover ipTV Pirates’ P2P networks are still popular with better

selection, quality and service than legal content providers

Media revolution Internet has already replaced television

Finns spend as much time in Internet as watching TV Watcher controlled ipTV

E-readers replace papers and books Bookstores are facing the fate of record stores

Games have been a bigger industry than movies for 10 years Finnish game development industry needs 600 new employees every year.

Mail delivery is ending Paper bills and newspapers are disappearing

10.04.2023 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 20

Cultural change• Digital divide becomes activity divide

• ICT gives active people new means to be even moreactive members of the society

• Gives passive people new means to be even more passive

• Digital culture is easily overlooked

• A whole Finnish generation was in Habbo Hotel and IRC Gallery before “old media” and society noticed social media

• Over 100.000 Finns were playing Internet poker before society took notice. • What cultural change is going on at the moment without us noticing it?

Digital vigilantes address problems frustrating Internet activists In the Internet people are used to instant response

– years long compromise ridden political process frustrates them Hacktivists attack global companies, states, politicians and criminal organisations

– There is no legal protection or complaint More a society or culture sharing values, ethos and identity than anorganisation

10.04.2023 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 21

Digital imperative Internet access is not a privilege but

a basic right You cannot be a member of society without

Internet access Can Internet connection be cut as a punishment? Who buys the computers and pays the for Internet fees for those who

cannot afford? Who pays for the non-digital public and private services for those who for

some reason cannot use computers and Internet.

Availability and accessibility of digital services Digital services and contents must be accessible to all Available to people with disabilities, sensomotoric diseases, reading

problems etc

10.04.2023 TIEKE Tietoyhteiskunnan kehittämiskeskus ry 22

The fun times are only beginningBy 2015: ICT goes to cloud and becomes an

on-demand service Consumer protection, data protection, legal protection, international treaties

Augmented reality becomes everyday reality Mobile devices are forerunners, next cars

Garage hackers are back Current market leaders were once in a garage, why not the next ones too

By 2020: ICT evolves and becomes cheaper

3D-printing brings manufacturing to homes NFC revolutionalises payment industry like rfid did

logistics

Technological breakthroughs on other sciences Neuroscience, bio- and genescience, nano technology, …

E.g. ICT + cognitive science =

UC Berkeley

30.9.2010 www.kasvi.org 24

Sukupuolten välinen digikuilu?

Discussion

U.S. Army Photo

Tekijänoikeudet

Työelämä

The code is law