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What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism
Citation preview
1
What is (and is not) a Skills Planning Mechanism for South Africa?
Prof Hoosen Rasool
19 March 2014
PretoriaLabour Market Intelligence Roundtable
Objectives
1. What is (and is not) a skills planning mechanism?2. What should a skills planning mechanism do and for
what purpose?3. What are the two dominant approaches to skills
planning?4. What are the fundamental differences between these
approaches?5. What are the determinants of supply, demand and
deployment?6. What are some methodological considerations?
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3
What is a credible “institutional mechanism for skills planning”?
It is a skills intelligence system that consists of:
interacting frameworks; policies, processes and procedures; institutional structures; human resource capacities; governance and management arrangements; collaborative institutional partnerships; research, information and data; research methodologies, tools and techniques; and a web interface.
to provide information and insights on occupational demand and supply for the purpose of economy-wide sector skills planning.
What should a skills planning mechanism do and for what
purpose?
Occupational mismatches
Occupational Projections
OccupationalTrends Deployment
Vacancies Enrolment &Progression
WorkerMobility
Wage Movements
Sector Strategies
Occupational migration
Skills Planning
Qualifications Development
ProgrammeDevelopment
Career Services
Programme Mix
Career Pathways Resourcing Institutional
Planning
Skills Intelligence System
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Inst
itu
tio
ns
FRAMEW
ORKS
What is a possible architecture of a Skills Planning Mechanism?
Demand
Deploy
Supply
Managem
ent
Structures
Methods
Act
orsPartnerships
StaffingW
ORKPSET
SC
HO
OL
ING
MIG
RA
TO
RY
REGULATORY
FRAMEWORKS
LAB
OU
R
MA
RK
ET
ECONOMY
SOCIETY
INDUSTRIAL
POLICY
Resourc
es
Institutional Arrangements
Outputs
Functions
Framework
Activities
Processes
Relationships INTE
RMEDIA
RIES
Demand Supply Deployment
New Demand Created
Skills Planning
Linear Approach to Skills Planning
Demand
Supply
Deploy
IT Skills Planning Management
Methods
Governance
Institutions Structures Partnerships Infrastructure
Policies
Resources
Systems Approach to Skills Planning
SUPPLY
Determinants of Demand
DEMAND
DEPLOYMENT
LATENT
Projected Demand
Dormant Demand
Replacement Demand
Potential Demand
MANIFEST
Active Labour Market Policies
Technology
Industry Strategy
Economic conditions
Wages & Employment Conditions
Skills Utilisation
Labour Mobility
Determinants of Supply
DEMAND
SUPPLY
DEPLOYMENTSTOCK
RECRUITMENT
Employment / Unemployment
Migration
PSET Enrolment / Graduation
Vacancy levels, rates, durations
Wages trends
Employability
Work-based training
Apprenticeships / Learnerships
Sector employment / Unemployment Occupational movements Job openings
Employment Conditions
Labour market participation
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SUPPLY
DEMAND
DEPLOYMENT
School-to-Work Transitions
Apprenticeships / Learnerships
WSP Planning
Workforce Development
Employability
Employment Conditions
Determinants of Deployment
Labour Turnover
Labour Mobility
Placements
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Employment / UnemploymentMigration
PSET Enrolment / Graduation
Work-based training
Apprenticeships / Learnerships
STOCK
RECRUITMENT Labour market participation
Vacancy levels, rates, durations
Wages trends
Employment Conditions
Employability
Sector employment / Unemployment
Job openings
LATENT
Projected Demand
Dormant Demand
Replacement Demand
Potential Demand
SUPPLY
DEMAND
DEPLOYMENTSchool-to-
Work Transitions
Apprenticeships / Learnerships
WSP PlanningWorkforce
Development
EmployabilityEmployment Conditions
MANIFEST
Economic conditions
Labour MobilitySkills Utilisation
Active Labour Market Policies
Technology
Industry Strategy
Wages & Employment Conditions
Skills Intelligence System
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Underpinning methodological considerations
Demand
Deploy
Supply
Employment Survey
Forecasting
Labour Force Survey
Reverse Tracer Study
Occupational StudiesScenario Planning
Tracer Study
Migration Study
Sector Skills Plan
Industry Study
Environmental Scanning
Wage StudyLM Observatories
Training SurveySkills Audit
Establishment Survey
Multi-Institutional Framework
Strategy
Design
Sec
tora
l
Local
Regional
Macro
Enterprise
Research
Research
Research
Fram
ewo
rk
Thank you
Hoosen [email protected]