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1 What is (and is not) a Skills Planning Mechanism for South Africa? Prof Hoosen Rasool 19 March 2014 Pretoria Labour Market Intelligence Roundtable

What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

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Page 1: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

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What is (and is not) a Skills Planning Mechanism for South Africa?

Prof Hoosen Rasool

19 March 2014

PretoriaLabour Market Intelligence Roundtable

Page 2: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

Objectives

1. What is (and is not) a skills planning mechanism?2. What should a skills planning mechanism do and for

what purpose?3. What are the two dominant approaches to skills

planning?4. What are the fundamental differences between these

approaches?5. What are the determinants of supply, demand and

deployment?6. What are some methodological considerations?

2

Page 3: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

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What is a credible “institutional mechanism for skills planning”?

It is a skills intelligence system that consists of:

interacting frameworks; policies, processes and procedures; institutional structures; human resource capacities; governance and management arrangements; collaborative institutional partnerships; research, information and data; research methodologies, tools and techniques; and a web interface.

to provide information and insights on occupational demand and supply for the purpose of economy-wide sector skills planning.

Page 4: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

What should a skills planning mechanism do and for what

purpose?

Occupational mismatches

Occupational Projections

OccupationalTrends Deployment

Vacancies Enrolment &Progression

WorkerMobility

Wage Movements

Sector Strategies

Occupational migration

Skills Planning

Qualifications Development

ProgrammeDevelopment

Career Services

Programme Mix

Career Pathways Resourcing Institutional

Planning

Skills Intelligence System

Page 5: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

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Inst

itu

tio

ns

FRAMEW

ORKS

What is a possible architecture of a Skills Planning Mechanism?

Demand

Deploy

Supply

Managem

ent

Structures

Methods

Act

orsPartnerships

StaffingW

ORKPSET

SC

HO

OL

ING

MIG

RA

TO

RY

REGULATORY

FRAMEWORKS

LAB

OU

R

MA

RK

ET

ECONOMY

SOCIETY

INDUSTRIAL

POLICY

Resourc

es

Institutional Arrangements

Outputs

Functions

Framework

Activities

Processes

Relationships INTE

RMEDIA

RIES

Page 6: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

Demand Supply Deployment

New Demand Created

Skills Planning

Linear Approach to Skills Planning

Page 7: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

Demand

Supply

Deploy

IT Skills Planning Management

Methods

Governance

Institutions Structures Partnerships Infrastructure

Policies

Resources

Systems Approach to Skills Planning

Page 8: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

SUPPLY

Determinants of Demand

DEMAND

DEPLOYMENT

LATENT

Projected Demand

Dormant Demand

Replacement Demand

Potential Demand

MANIFEST

Active Labour Market Policies

Technology

Industry Strategy

Economic conditions

Wages & Employment Conditions

Skills Utilisation

Labour Mobility

Page 9: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

Determinants of Supply

DEMAND

SUPPLY

DEPLOYMENTSTOCK

RECRUITMENT

Employment / Unemployment

Migration

PSET Enrolment / Graduation

Vacancy levels, rates, durations

Wages trends

Employability

Work-based training

Apprenticeships / Learnerships

Sector employment / Unemployment Occupational movements Job openings

Employment Conditions

Labour market participation

Page 10: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

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SUPPLY

DEMAND

DEPLOYMENT

School-to-Work Transitions

Apprenticeships / Learnerships

WSP Planning

Workforce Development

Employability

Employment Conditions

Determinants of Deployment

Labour Turnover

Labour Mobility

Placements

Page 11: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

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Employment / UnemploymentMigration

PSET Enrolment / Graduation

Work-based training

Apprenticeships / Learnerships

STOCK

RECRUITMENT Labour market participation

Vacancy levels, rates, durations

Wages trends

Employment Conditions

Employability

Sector employment / Unemployment

Job openings

LATENT

Projected Demand

Dormant Demand

Replacement Demand

Potential Demand

SUPPLY

DEMAND

DEPLOYMENTSchool-to-

Work Transitions

Apprenticeships / Learnerships

WSP PlanningWorkforce

Development

EmployabilityEmployment Conditions

MANIFEST

Economic conditions

Labour MobilitySkills Utilisation

Active Labour Market Policies

Technology

Industry Strategy

Wages & Employment Conditions

Skills Intelligence System

Page 12: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

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Underpinning methodological considerations

Demand

Deploy

Supply

Employment Survey

Forecasting

Labour Force Survey

Reverse Tracer Study

Occupational StudiesScenario Planning

Tracer Study

Migration Study

Sector Skills Plan

Industry Study

Environmental Scanning

Wage StudyLM Observatories

Training SurveySkills Audit

Establishment Survey

Multi-Institutional Framework

Strategy

Design

Sec

tora

l

Local

Regional

Macro

Enterprise

Research

Research

Research

Fram

ewo

rk

Page 13: What is, and is not, a skills planning mechanism - Prof Hoosen Rasool

Thank you

Hoosen [email protected]