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Attitudes on Climate Change:Expressed Belief and Preference x Priority
Presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research
Austin, TexasMay 15, 2016
Gary Langer, presidentLanger Research Associates
Serious Problem?ABC News/Washington Post polls
Serious (NET) Very serious Not serious0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
69%
57%
29%
63%
52%
36%
June '14 Nov. '15
Gov’t should...ABC News/Washington Post polls
March '06 April '07 July '08 Nov. '150%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
68% 70%
47%
21%
32%
5%
18%
Do more Same Less
Most Scientists...ABC News/Washington Post, Stanford, Ohio State U. polls
Oct. '97 Feb. '98 March '06 April '07 July '08 Dec. '09 Nov. '150%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
35%43%
62%
51%
Agree Disagree
Views of Scientific Agreementby Seriousness and Gov’t Do
ABC News/Washington Post polls
Serious (NET) Very serious Do more Less0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
84%
74%
65%
6%
46%
33% 33%29%
Scientists agree (43%)Disagree (51%)
Seriousness by PID + IdeologyABC News/Washington Post poll
Dems Inds Reps Lib Mod Cons0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
81%
62%
43%
89%
67%
41%
72%
49%
28%
77%
54%
31%
Serious (NET) Very serious
Gov’t Do by PID + IdeologyABC News/Washington Post poll
Dems Inds Reps Lib Mod Cons0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
65%
47%
22%
71%
51%
25%
4%
22%
32%
5%11%
38%
Do more Less
Dems Inds Reps Lib Mod Cons0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
57%
44%
28%
63%
47%
25%
37%
52%
68%
31%
49%
70%
Agree Disagree
Scientists Agree by PID + IdeologyABC News/Washington Post poll
Expressed belief:Assertions of “belief” and
assessments of seriousnessreflect underlying values and attitudes
Seriousness by PID + Ideology - TrendABC News/Washington Post polls
Dems Inds Reps Lib Mod Cons0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
84%
68%
49%
87%
74%
56%
81%
62%
43%
89%
67%
41%
June '14 Nov. '15
-3 -6 -6 +2 -7 -15
Dems Inds Reps Lib Mod Cons0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
78%
61%
39%
84%
62%
42%
65%
47%
22%
71%
51%
25%
July '08 Nov. '15
Govt’d Do by PID + Ideology - TrendABC News/Washington Post polls
-13 -14 -17 -13 -11 -17
Dems Inds Reps Lib Mod Cons0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
55%
33%
20%
58%
38%
24%
57%
44%
28%
63%
47%
25%
Dec. '09 Nov. '15
Scientists Agree by PID + Ideology - Trend
ABC News/Washington Post polls
+2 +11 +8 +5 +9 +1
Preference X Priority
All Dems Inds Reps0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
59%
77%
61%
32%31%
13%
30%
55%
Favors govt' actionOpposes it
Next President: Someone Who...ABC News/Washington Post poll
ImportanceABC News/Washington Post poll
All Dems Inds Reps0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
68%
76%70%
39% 38% 39%
Favor/impt Oppose/impt
PxP ScoresABC News/Washington Post polls
1. Preference: +1 = favor, -1 = oppose
2. Priority: 100 = extremely important, 75 = very important, 50 = somewhat important, 25 = not so important
3. Multiply preference x priority; example:• +100 = favor action on climate change, extremely
important• - 100 = oppose action on climate change, extremely
important
Comparative PxP ScoresABC News/Washington Post poll
All Dems Inds RepsAction on climate change 29 58 29 -12Tax pledge -25 -33 -20 -21Compromise 15 21 22 -1Keep ACA 3 55 5 -63Path to c’zenship 3 30 5 -39Deal w/. Iran 2 24 5 -29
Attitudes on Climate Change:Expressed Belief and Preference x Priority
Thank you!
