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Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope Sandia Performance Modeling Workshop Paul Gibbs May 5, 2014 [email protected]

2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

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2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

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Page 1: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope

Sandia Performance Modeling Workshop

Paul Gibbs May 5, 2014

[email protected]

Page 2: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Agenda

• What is HelioScope and why is it good for

optimization?

• Case Studies in PV System Optimization

– Ground Coverage Ratio

– DC Plant Design

– Designing into Shade

• Looking forward: automating optimization

Page 3: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

HelioScope is a design-driven PV modeling tool

Principles

• Design-driven

• Component-level

• Cloud-based

Values

• Throughput Velocity

• Value Engineering

Page 4: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

HelioScope Tour: Adding a Field Segment

Page 5: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

HelioScope Tour: Modifying an Array

Page 6: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

HelioScope Tour: Generating Wiring

Page 7: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Production reports include a full bill-of-materials

Performance Modeling:

• Full Loss Tree

• Condition Set Details

• Hourly Data CSV

Design Specifications:

• Bill-of-materials

• System Layout

• Wiring Details

Page 8: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Why is HelioScope ideal for optimization?

• Rule Based: Trivial to evaluate design alternatives

• Design Driven: Bill-of-materials generated automatically

• Granular Modeling: Performance model always in sync with design

180º Azimuth (Due South) 205º Azimuth

Page 9: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

We designed our interface specifically to

encourage value-engineering

Designs

Conditions

Page 10: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

GCR optimization is an ideal area for

optimization

Key Issues:

• Nameplate capacity

• Upfront costs

• Cross-bank shading

• Energy/revenue stream

Economic Drivers:

• Space constraints

• Interconnect Agreement

• Site weather

• Project latitude

Page 11: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

We optimized a reference designs conductors

against a variety of parameters Modules per string

Combiner box size Source circuit

conductor

Combiner box layout

Wiring

direction

Home run

conductor

Page 12: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Optimizing the DC subsystem can reduce costs

by 27%

Total electrical costs were calculated

• Wire quantity and cost

• Combiner box quantity and cost

• Electricity value lost from wire resistance

Performance

Driver Minimum Maximum

Modules per

string 10 15

Source circuit

conductors #12 AWG #8 AWG

Wiring direction Along racking Up & down

racking

Combiner box

size 12 strings 24 string

Home run

conductors 0/1 AWG 4/0 AWG

Combiner box

layout

Scattered

throughout

array

Grouped at

inverter

1.7

2.4

0.4

1.0

0.5

0.8

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Modulesper string

Sourcecircuit

conductor

Wiredirection

Combinersize

Home runconductor

Combinerlayout

Impact on System Costs (¢/Wp)

Page 13: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Designing into shade often increases system

size with minimal performance impacts

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

800 850 900 950 1,000

Ene

rgy

Yie

ld o

f Ea

ch S

egm

en

t o

f M

od

ule

s (k

Wh

/kW

p)

System Size (kW)

With MLPE

Standard Mismatch

Baseline: Zero shade tolerance

Shade allowed in December

Shade allowed in Nov-Dec

Shade allowed in Oct-Nov-Dec

Shade allowed year-round

Shade allowed year-round

Page 14: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

($250)

($200)

($150)

($100)

($50)

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

Year

0Y

ear

1Y

ear

2Y

ear

3Y

ear

4Y

ear

5Y

ear

6Y

ear

7Y

ear

8Y

ear

9Y

ear

10

Year

11

Year

12

Year

13

Year

14

Year

15

Year

16

Year

17

Year

18

Year

19

Year

20

Year

21

Year

22

Year

23

Year

24

Year

25

Th

ou

san

ds

What are the catches?

• Need Financial Model – LCOE, IRR needed to

truly optimize

– Component costs, Rate database

– How complex is good enough?

• ‘Manual’ optimization – Why can’t the computer

do the work?

– Limits scope

– How holistic should the optimization be?

($650)

($600)

Page 15: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

DOE Sunshot Award to extend HelioScope with

Design Optimization features

• Started 1Q2014

• Augments HelioScope with optimization features

– Automated optimization

– Financial modelCustomer feedback: staged

optimizations are ideal – At start of project, goal is maximize energy or revenue

– As project progresses, several deep dives (e.g. wiring)

Page 16: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Optimizations will have objective functions that

are optimized under key constraints

• Module Tilt

• Row Spacing

• Positive & Negative

Space

• Interconnect Shading

Requirements (10 – 2)

• Maximum Grid Power

• Target ILR Range

• Project IRR

• Total Revenue/Energy

• LCOE

Independent

Variables

Constraints

Objective

Functions

Ground Coverage Ratio Optimization

Tilt

Annual

KWh

Tilt Sensitivity

15º (optimal)

Annual

KWh

Spacing Sensitivity

2,3m (optimal)

Row-to-Spacing

Page 17: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Under the DOE Sunshot program we will

implement staged optimizations

Module Layout DC Subsystem AC Subsystem

• Tilt/GCR

• Azimuth vs TOU

• Fixed vs Trackers

• Shade Setbacks

• String Length

• Inverter Load Ratio

• Conductor Selection

• Conductor Routing

• Component

Selection

• Conductor Selection

• Transformers

Page 18: 2014 PV Performance Modeling Workshop: Optimizing PV Designs with HelioScope: Paul Gibbs, Folsom Labs

Thanks!

Paul Gibbs

Founder, Folsom Labs

[email protected]

Folsom Labs www.folsomlabs.com

San Francisco, CA