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Rift Valley Fever : Socio-Economics and Burden Impact using Knowledge Attitude and Practices in Garissa, Kenya Presented at KVA Scientific Conference at Boma Hotel, Eldoret 25 th April 2014 Nanyingi M O, Thumbi S M, Muchemi G M, Rashid I M, Bett B, Kiama S G and Njenga K

The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

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Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a viral, vector borne zoonosis that has significant threat to livestock health and production and public health in Africa. Recent outbreaks have led to high livestock mortalities and human morbidity and socio economic impacts in Garissa. To assess the level of knowledge of pastoralists to causation and transmission risk factors and describe their attitude and practices in response to RVF outbreaks and management in the context of climate change shocks. To estimate the livelihood losses and burden impacts in Garissa. A population based cross sectional household survey was conducted in March 2012 and March 2013 in four hotspots. A multistage purposive sampling was used to identify 250 participants who included pastoralists, veterinary and medical personnel and livestock traders. KAP evaluation was by questionnaires in depth key informant interviews and focus group discussions. Participatory rural appraisal tools were used to assess the economic significance of the RVF outbreaks, risk factors and management costs. 185 respondents (74%) had good knowledge of RVF (symptoms scored >50%) and risk factor analysis indicated > 150 (60%) understood the consumption of meat of dead or infected animal, milk, touching aborted foetuses caused disease. Estimated lost revenue due to closure of livestock markets and bans was over Ksh.3 billion. Intervention costs and burden of the outbreaks is discussed. There is good knowledge and attitude on RVF risk, transmission and control. It re-emergence is associated with negative impacts on livelihoods and economic endpoints in Garissa.

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Page 1: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Rift Valley Fever : Socio-Economics and Burden Impact using Knowledge Attitude and Practices in

Garissa, Kenya

Presented at KVA Scientific Conference at Boma Hotel, Eldoret 25th April 2014

Nanyingi M O, Thumbi S M, Muchemi G M, Rashid I M, Bett B, Kiama S G and Njenga K

Page 2: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

History, Etiology and Epidemiology

Montgomery , 1912, Daubney 1931, Davies 1975, Jost et al., 2010

RVF viral zoonosis of cyclic occurrence(5-10yrs), described In Kenya in 1912 isolated in 1931 in sheep with hepatic necrosis and fatal abortions.

RVFV is an OIE transboundary high impact pathogen and CDC category A select agent.

Etiology: Phlebovirus in Bunyaviridae (Family).

Genome: tripartite RNA segments designated large (L), medium (M), and small (S) contained in a spherical (80–120 nm in diameter) lipid bilayer.

Risk factors:Precipitation: > 600mm, floodingAltitude: <1100maslVector +: Aedes, culicines sppNDVI: 0.1 units > 3 monthsSoil : Solonetz, Solanchaks, planosols

Historical Outbreaks Epidemics in Africa and recently Arabian Peninsula; in Egypt (1977), Kenya (1997–1998, 2006-2007), Saudi Arabia (2000–2001) and Yemen (2000–2001), Sudan (2007) and Mauritania (2010)

Page 3: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Research Objectives

To assess the level of knowledge of pastoralists to causation and transmission risk factors of RVF occurrence in Garissa.

To evaluate their attitude and practices in response to RVF outbreaks and management in the context of climate change shocks.

To estimate the socioeconomic, livelihood losses and burden impacts of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa during the recent outbreak of 2006-2007.

Page 4: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Justification

Economic and Public Health significance

There is significant impact on livestock and public health leading due to morbidity, mortality with interventional costs estimated at Ksh. 5 billion in Kenya.

Trade and Phytosanitary (SPS) barriers. Recent RVF outbreaks in the Horn of Africa have led to decline of 2.3% of potential marketed value of cattle and 1% decline in the value of dairy and goat/sheep production and a 1% decline in the overall value of meat. Consequent export market bans to the EU and ME.

Page 5: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Kenya: RVF Geographical Distribution 2006 -2007

Geographical coverage: 29 districts > 85% in Garissa, Kilifi, Baringo, Ijara

Livestock: Mortality of $10 Million

Human: 700 cases, 158 deaths.

3.4 DALYs per 1000 people

Household costs of $10 for human cases

Munyua et al., 2010, Data source: DVS 2014

Page 6: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Research Methodology: Study Area and Design

Garissa: 33,620km2, 623,060 persons, 1,358,007 Livestock.

Climate: Rainfall Bimodal - MAM, OND annual av. <300-600 mm, Diurnal T° <20- 38°C Altitude 70- 400 m asl

Historical OutbreakS: Epidemics in 1997–1998, 2006-2007)

Criteria: 2006-2007 village hotspots, high pop. density, urbanization, transhumance corridors

Page 7: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Study Design and Approach

Target population: Pastoralists within 2km radius of RVF “hotspot; Kept livestock > 10yrs and present during the last outbreak.

Community based cross-sectional household survey (March 2012 & 2013): Bulla unit of sampling(10-15 households) & clustering of humansProbability proportionate to size approach every tenth household in a division Multistage sampling: consenting individuals aged ≥ 18 years living in the study area for >1 year prior to study.

Segregation according to occupation, age, gender level of education and the duration of stay.

Geomapping of 30 selected households households & recruitment 250 participants *(Pastoralists,Livestock traders/brokers,)

Dohoo et al., 2003).

Page 8: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Research tools and Participatory Rural Approaches

Structured Questionnaires: 25 pretested for consistence and validity in 20 households.

Key Informant Interviews: in-depth face to face interviews to selected participants for experience and expert opinion (pastoralists, veterinary and health personnel).

Focus Group Discussions: 30 participants (20 men/10 women), 5 participants per FGD for 30 mins

Matrix and pair wise ranking and scoring: Listing of livestock diseases.

Transect walks and triangulation at livestock markets, watering points

Page 9: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Economic model for Value chain Impacts

Adapted from Rich and Wanyoike 2010

Page 10: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Data Analysis

Bivariate analysis was performed to explore associations between overall knowledge and independent variables such as age, sex, marital status, education and occupation.

Associations were considered to be statistically significant if they achieved a p < 0.05.

Logistic regression models were fitted to estimate independent associations between subscale knowledge and predictor variables

Livelihood analysis for value chain by disruption of livestock markets and livelihood adaptation/diversification pathways.

Page 11: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Results : Disease Listing

Page 12: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Knowledge of clinical signs of RVF in Garissa livestock keepers

There was a positive correlation between level of education, occupation and knowledge of disease (Pearson’s correlation coefficient r2 = 0.6).

185 respondents (74%) had good knowledge of RVF (symptoms scored >50%).

Risk factor analysis indicated > 150 (60%) understood the consumption of meat of dead or infected animal, milk, touching aborted fetuses caused disease.

Page 13: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Socio_economic impacts

The minimum, average and maximum expenditure per month of livestock households during outbreak period: Ksh 5000, 10,000 and 20,000 Ksh ) US$ 1 to Ksh 85.

Mass vaccination and prophylaxis cost estimated to cost > Ksh. 1 billion to confer (70% coverage for herd immunity), RiftVax unit cost of Ksh.12per dose. (P = 0.414)

Transhumance: School droput (50%), human displacement and pastoral dropout was significant with projected economic costs of Ksh. 500 Million .

Foregone revenue due to disruption of livestock markets during the outbreak period(3 months) estimated at Ksh. 3 Billion

Page 14: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

Research Gaps

Disease Burden Analysis for Zoonotic Diseases?

Lack of denominator population data of livestock causes underestimation of impact and Burden

Lack of national level estimates of socioeconomics of Zoonotic diseases.

Collaborative linkages to be strengthened in multidisciplinary groups = ZDU

Page 15: The Socio-Economics and Burden Impact of Rift Valley Fever in Garissa, Kenya

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

Data and Financial Support

Field work facilitation Veterinary Staff Kinyua J, GarissaAsaava LL , FafiObonyo M, Daadab

Study Participants and NGOs

All community members in study sitesLocal administrators

Department of Veterinary Services

Contact : [email protected], [email protected]