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Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 22 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 7th - 8th, 2013
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California CD21 Immigration
SurveyOctober 7th – 8th, 2013
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 573n
autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election
voters in California Congressional District 21. The survey was commissioned on behalf of America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted October 7th - 8th, 2013. This
survey has a margin of error of +/-4.09% at the 95 percent
confidence interval.
Democrats in Congress Image
Rating
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress?
38%
51%
11%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE
MEN WOMAN
36% 40%
54%48%
11% 12%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
44%
41% 43%35%
32%36%
48% 48%
55%58%
20%11%
9% 10% 10%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress?
38%
51%
11%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
8%
66%
28%
83%
21%
58%
9% 14% 14%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE
WHITE HISPANIC
27%
45%
65%
39%
7% 16%
Republicans in Congress Image
Rating
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress?
35%
52%
13%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE
MEN WOMAN
39%31%
49%55%
12% 15%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
31% 32% 32% 33%
42%
48%
64%
53%51% 49%
21%
4%
15% 16%9%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress?
35%
52%
13%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
66%
12%21%
25%
73%
56%
8% 15%23%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE
WHITE HISPANIC
47%
25%
47%55%
6%
19%
Voter Opinion on Immigration
Reform
Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
77%
18% 5%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE
UNSURE
MEN WOMAN
50%45%
29% 30%
5% 8%11% 12%
5% 6%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
54% 51% 50%
43% 44%
27% 26%22%
33% 34%
3% 5% 5%9%
7%8%
12%19%
7%
12%
9% 5% 4%7%
2%
Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
77%
18% 5%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE
UNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
41%
56%
37%34%
25%32%
8% 5% 4%
14%9% 14%
3% 6% 12%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE
WHITE HISPANIC
42%
54%
35%
24%
5% 6%13% 10%
5% 6%
Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan
Immigration Reform
If Republicans and Democrats came together to pass a bipartisan immigration reform plan that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Republicans in Congress?
57%
17%
24%
2%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE
MEN WOMAN
33%
25%26%30%
5% 7%
13%9%
22%26%
2% 2%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLEMUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
23%
33%
25%
29%
33%
26%
22%
29%30%
29%
7%8%
4%
8%
5%
9%
7%8%
11%16%
33% 30% 32%
18%16%
2% 1%4%
2%
If Republicans and Democrats came together to pass a bipartisan immigration reform plan that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Republicans in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Republicans in Congress?
57%
17%
24%
2%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
33%
26%27%30% 28%
22%
4%7% 8%
10% 12% 13%
22%25% 26%
1% 2% 4%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLEMUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
WHITE HISPANIC
31%
27%30%
26%
5% 7%
12%10%
20%
27%
2% 2%
Again, if Republicans and Democrats came together to pass the same bipartisan immigration reform plan that I just mentioned to you, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Democrats in Congress?
61%
20%
16%
3%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE
MEN WOMAN
38%
29%
23%
32%
9% 8%14%
9%
15% 18%
2% 4%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLEMUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
32%
42%
35%31%
33%
27%23%
21%
31% 30%
6%6%
10%
12%
7%5%
9%12%
11%
15%
25%
17%
22%
11% 12%
6%3% 4% 2%
Again, if Republicans and Democrats came together to pass the same bipartisan immigration reform plan that I just mentioned to you, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of the Democrats in Congress, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of the Democrats in Congress?
61%
20%
16%
3%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
22%
45%
28%33%
24%22%
13%
6% 2%13% 8%
19%15% 15%
23%
3% 2%6%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
WHITE HISPANIC
29%
36%
29% 27%
10% 7%
14%9%
16% 17%
3% 4%
Voter Opinion on Immigration
Reform
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?
69%
25% 6%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE
UNSURE
MEN WOMAN
43%40%
24%
32%
14% 11%15%
11%5% 6%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
38%41%
43%45%
40%
25%
33%
21%
31%29%
12%
16%15%
9%
12%
19%
7%
14% 11%13%
7%3%
8%4% 5%
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?
69%
25% 6%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE
UNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
44%41%
34%30%
26% 29%
9%
15% 14%11%12%
17%
5% 6% 5%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
UNSURE
WHITE HISPANIC
43%
38%
28% 29%
12% 13%13% 13%
5% 6%
Voter Opinion on Valadao Support
for Reform
If your Congressman David Valadao sponsored an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you be more or less likely to vote for David Valadao or would it not make a difference in your decision to vote for David Valadao ?
MEN WOMAN
41%35%
21% 24%
35% 35%
3% 6%
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
35%
43%
32%
45%
36%
25%22%
28%
18%
22%
35%32%
38%
33%35%
5% 4% 2% 4% 7%
38%
23%
35%4%
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
If your Congressman David Valadao sponsored an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you be more or less likely to vote for David Valadao or would it not make a difference in your decision to vote for David Valadao ?
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
43%
34%37%
15%
28% 27%
37%33% 35%
5% 5% 1%
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
WHITE HISPANIC
42%
32%
19%
27%
34%36%
5% 5%
38%
23%
35%4%
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
Voter Opinion on Speaker Boehner
Allowing a Vote on Immigration
Reform
As you may know, a majority of members in the U.S. House of Representatives have stated they support an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship.However, the Speaker of the House, Republican John Boehner has said he will not allow the House to vote on the bill unless a majority of Republican members support it. Do you think Speaker Boehner should let the members of Congress have a yes or no vote on the immigration reform plan or should he put the vote on hold until a majority of Republican members agree to support the plan?
50%
34%
16%
VOTE NOWHOLD UNTIL MAJORITYUNSURE
MEN WOMAN
51%48%
40%29%
9%
23%
VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITYUNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
56% 57%
48% 47% 47%
40% 37% 34% 33% 32%
4% 5%
19% 20% 22%
As you may know, a majority of members in the U.S. House of Representatives have stated they support an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship.However, the Speaker of the House, Republican John Boehner has said he will not allow the House to vote on the bill unless a majority of Republican members support it. Do you think Speaker Boehner should let the members of Congress have a yes or no vote on the immigration reform plan or should he put the vote on hold until a majority of Republican members agree to support the plan?
50%
34%
16%
VOTE NOWHOLD UNTIL MAJORITYUNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
41%
57%
49%44%
25%36%
15% 17% 15%
VOTE NOW HOLD UNTIL MAJORITYUNSURE
WHITE HISPANIC
50% 49%
33%36%
17%14%
Demographics
Demographics
52%
48%
Female Male
40%
47%
13%
Republican Democrat Independent
White Hispanic Black Asian Other Refused
43%49%
3%2% 2% 1%
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused
16%13%
18%
22%
30%
1%