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California CD23 Immigration Survey October 28 th – 29 th , 2013

California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

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Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 687n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 23 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 28th - 29th, 2013

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Page 1: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

California CD23 Immigration

SurveyOctober 28th – 29th, 2013

Page 2: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 687n autodial survey of likely 2014

general election voters in California Congressional District

23. This survey was commissioned by America’s Voice. The interviewing was

conducted October 28th - 29th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of +/-3.73% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

Page 3: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

McCarthyImage Rating

Page 4: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy?

56%

23%

16%5%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

MEN WOMEN

60%53%

23% 24%

11%20%

6% 4%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEHEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

74%

24%

51%

8%

46%

36%

15% 22%11%

3% 8% 2%

Page 5: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy?

56%23%

16%5%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF, NO OPINIONNEVER HEARD OF

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

68% 69%

52%50%

54%

16% 18%

30%

22% 25%

8% 6%

16%

23%17%

9% 8%2%

5% 4%

Page 6: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Kevin McCarthy?

56%

23%

16%5%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

WHITE HISPANIC

58% 58%

24%21%

17%

11%2% 11%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

HEARD OF, NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 7: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 8: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

76%

21%3%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

MEN WOMEN

47%

39%

26%

40%

11%6%

14% 11%2%4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

43%46%

39%

31%35% 35%

9% 7% 10%

15%

8%12%

3% 3% 4%

Page 9: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

76%

21%3%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

67%

35%38%

41% 41%

22%

47%

31% 32% 34%

11% 11% 15%14% 11%

2%15%

11% 9%5% 2% 3% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE

Page 10: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

76%

21%3%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

41%

50%

34%

27%

8%11%

13%10%

4% 2%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

Page 11: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 12: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

73%

24%3%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

MEN WOMEN

48%

39%

24%

34%

11% 10%13% 14%

3% 3%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

46%

34%

50%

30% 29%27%

9%

15%

9%

13%18%

9%2%4% 5%

Page 13: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

73%

24%

3%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

61%

47%42% 41%

38%

13%

33% 30% 31% 33%

3%8%

15%11% 12%

20%

12% 12%12% 13%

3%2%

5% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE

Page 14: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

73%

24%3%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

41%

51%

31%

21%

10%

15%15%

10%4% 3%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

UNSURE

Page 15: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan Plan

~Image of McCarthy

Page 16: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

45%

24%

27% 4%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

MEN WOMEN

34%

27%

14% 15%

11% 11%13% 12%

25%29%

4% 6%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

36%

17%

36%

13%15%

18%

8%

21%

5%

12% 13% 12%

29%

24% 25%

3%

9%

5%

Page 17: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

45%

24%

27%4%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCEUNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

48%

21%

34%

28% 28%

14%

23%16%

13%11%

9% 8%11%

10%

14%

8%

16%

10%

17%

10%

18%

24% 23%28%

33%

4% 7% 6% 4% 4%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

Page 18: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Kevin McCarthy worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Kevin McCarthy , or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

45%

24%

27% 4%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

30%

39%

17%

2%

10%

14%11%

18%

29%

18%

3%

9%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

Page 19: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

Page 20: California Congressional District 23 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

52%

48%

Female Male

55%

28%

17%

Republican Democrat IndependentWhite Hispanic Black Other

68%

21%5% 6%

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

12% 12%

20%

25%

31%