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Analysis of the role of nationalism in the Euro crises.
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Jason Cates
Europe in Crises, Is Nationalism the Solution?
2012
Jason Cates
1. My Perspective2. European Crises3. Pan-nationalism4. German Control5. British Isolation6. Europe’s Future7. Is Nationalism the Answer
Contents
2012
Jason Cates
Born in the UK
Pro-European
More European than British
Relate to the mentalities of◦ Sweden - View on Life◦ Netherlands - Liberal Values◦ Germany - Prudence◦ United Kingdom – Liberal Economics
My Perspective
2012
Jason Cates
European Crises
(The New York Times, 2011a) 2012
Jason Cates
European Crises
(The New York Times, 2011b) 2012
Jason Cates(The Economist, 2011)
How Long Do We Have?
2012
Jason Cates
Political pan-nationalism has been aspired to since the Middle Ages
Shift to cultural pan-nationalism after WW2
Growth of Nationalist far-right groups such as the French National Front◦ Growing Eurosceptisism and segregation in an
uncertain world
Pan-NationalismDid it ever exist?
2012
Jason Cates
Fiscal Union◦ Impose German Style budget discipline◦ Allow the EU to veto national budgets
Does not favour Eurobonds◦ German taxpayer backing the debts of the south
Merkel vetoed most of the suggestions made by France, Spain and Italy
German Nationalism - Control
(BBC, 2011a)
2012
Jason Cates
UK and Czechs refused to join fiscal compact
Concern that London will be hit harder by increasing financial regulation
Financial Transaction Tax◦ 80% of EU total will be paid by the UK
Agree with Budget discipline, but fear European and German control
Calling for a greater liberalisation of markets aimed at boosting growth
British Nationalism - Isolation
(BBC, 2012) 2012
Jason Cates
Schengen Accord◦ France wants reform or it will leave ◦ Due to the rise in African immigration through Italy
Eurozone◦ Currently in turmoil, large debts & no growth
German Style budget discipline rules in 1997◦ Broken first by Germany and France in early 2000’s◦ Germany broke the rules 4 times in 9 years◦ France broke the rules 3 times
Nationalism has served it well!
(BBC, 2011a) (BBC, 2011b)(BBC, 2011c) (BBC, 2011e)
2012
Jason Cates
Europe’s Future - A Two Tier Europe
2012
Jason Cates
Europe’s Future - A Two Tier Europe
Multispeed Europe
EU countries integrated in all areas (blue)
EU countries with exceptions (green)
Non-EU countries integrated in theSingle Market and Schengen (green-yellow)
2012
Jason Cates
The 17 Eurozone countries led by Germany driving decision-making
With the 10 euro "outs" not even in the room◦ UK, Sweden, Denmark, Bulgaria, Poland, Hungary,
Romania, Czech Republic, Lithuania & Latvia
“Fear the euro 17 could decide on issues affecting the 27 such as banking, resource allocation and the EU budget”
Europe’s Future - A Two Tier Europe
(BBC, 2011d)
2012
Jason Cates
Unity in Diversity◦ What makes Europe unique
Balanced nationalism:◦ Balanced, open and honest
Cultural pan-nationalism will develop over time
Is Nationalism the answer?
Si tu veux, tu peux
If you want, you can
2012
Jason Cates
The EndThank You For Your
TimeAre There Any
Questions
2012
Jason Cates
BBC (2011a) What is Germany's vision for Europe? Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16030374 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]
BBC (2012) Cameron urges France and Germany to join EU growth ‘drive’ Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-17116475 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]
BBC (2011b) France seeks change to Schengen border agreement Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-13171403 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]
BBC (2011c) What really caused the Eurozone crisis? Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16290598 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]
BBC (2011d) Analysis: An EU of two tiers after Eurozone debt crisis Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15494429 [Accessed: 7th March 2012]
BBC (2011e) Sarkozy threatens to withdraw from Schengen accord Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-17332458 [Accessed: 12th March 2012]
The Economist (2011) Strong core, pain on the periphery Available at: http://www.economist.com/blogs/dailychart/2011/02/europes_economies [Accessed: 17th January, 2011]
The New York Times (2011a) 2010 Debt as a percentage of G.D.P Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/04/06/business/global/european-debt-map.html [Accessed: 17th January, 2011]
The New York Times (2011B) Debt Rising in Europe Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/04/06/business/global/european-debt-map.html [Accessed: 17th January, 2011]
References
2012