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Ipsos European Pulse May 2014

Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

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A new poll of citizens in 12 European Union Countries feeling the pulse of voters ahead of the upcoming EU Elections indicates that 62% of them are not much interested in the event. The poll was conducted from April 1, 2014 to April 25, 2014 and surveyed 8,833 adults in Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden. For the full release, please follow this link: http://ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6491

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Page 1: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Ipsos European Pulse May 2014

Page 2: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

Contents

1) Slide 4- Views of European leaders

2) Slide 13- European elections

3) Slide 20- Views of European Commission President candidates

4) Slide 22- Country perceptions: friendliest people, highest quality of life and

which country you would like yours to be more like

Page 3: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

Methodology

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

Respondents from 12 European countries were surveyed from April 1st to

April 25th, 2014 and included interviews in Belgium (500), Croatia (500)

France (1000), Germany (1001), Great Britain (1000), Hungary (500), Ireland

(500), Italy (1000), Netherlands (832) Poland (500), Spain (1000) and

Sweden (500). Those interviewed were respondents from the Ipsos Online

panel group for each country with the exception of Croatia where interviews

were conducted by telephone. Results were weighted to approximate the

general population of each country surveyed. Overall figures quoted are an

average across the twelve countries (i.e. treating each country as equal). The

credibility interval margin for a sample size of 500 is +/- 5.0% 19 times out of

20 and for 1,000 is +/-3.5% 19 times out of 20.

Page 4: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

European elections

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

Page 5: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

Are you interested in the upcoming European elections?

Levels of interest in the European elections

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014

38% Very much/

fairly

62% Not so much/

not at all

Page 6: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

Are you interested in the upcoming European elections?

Levels of interest in the European elections by country

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014

10

8

12

17

13

12

8

10

11

9

7

6

4

28

40

35

29

27

27

30

27

26

24

26

26

16

40

35

32

37

43

35

39

30

48

44

33

43

57

22

17

21

17

17

26

23

33

15

23

34

25

23

Average

Poland

France

Italy

Hungary

Great Britain

Ireland

Belgium

Germany

Spain

Croatia

Sweden

Netherlands

% Very much

% Fairly

% Not so much

% Not at all

Page 7: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming European elections?

Likelihood of voting in the European elections

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014

Definitely & probably Probably not/ definitely not

35% 35%

30%

Definitely

Probably

Page 8: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming European elections?

Likelihood of voting in the European elections

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014

35

53

44

39

41

37

30

38

30

20

37

33

27

30

25

29

32

30

32

36

28

31

40

23

27

29

20

9

16

19

12

19

23

22

24

25

30

17

27

15

13

11

10

17

12

11

12

15

15

10

23

17

Average

Belgium

France

Italy

Netherlands

Germany

Ireland

Hungary

Spain

Poland

Sweden

Croatia

Great Britain

% Definitely

% Probably

% Probably not

% Definitely not

Page 9: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What kind of influence do you expect the outcome of the European

elections will have on the political life of your country?

The influence of the European election outcome

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014

37% A strong/ weak

positive one

26% A strong/ weak

negative one

% saying ‘no specific influence’: 37%

Page 10: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What kind of influence do you expect the outcome of the European elections will have on the political life of your

country?

The influence of the European elections’ outcome

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014

8

17

6

14

12

7

10

7

2

9

7

7

5

29

29

37

27

27

32

28

30

34

25

25

24

26

37

30

34

27

41

52

36

42

27

40

37

35

36

14

13

15

16

10

5

14

11

25

12

17

15

14

12

11

8

16

10

4

12

10

12

14

14

19

19

Average

Spain

Germany

Italy

Hungary

Croatia

Ireland

Poland

Sweden

Belgium

Great Britain

France

Netherlands

% A strong andpositive one

% A weak andpositive one

% No specificinfluence

% A weak andnegative one

% A strong andnegative one

Page 11: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

Views of European leaders

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

Page 12: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following leaders?

Views of European leaders- % Know the leaders

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Leaders’ own countries were excluded.

Croatian respondents were asked Merkel, Cameron, Hollande, Renzi and Rajoy

86

76

72

47

40

36

35

35

34

33

33

31

31

Angela Merkel

David Cameron

François Hollande

Matteo Renzi

Mariano Rajoy

Mark Rutte

Fredrik Reinfeldt

Elio Di Rupo

Viktor Orbán

Zoran Milanovic

Enda Kenny

Donald Tusk

Bohulsav Sobotka

Page 13: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following leaders?

Views of European leaders- Summary

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Leaders’ own countries were excluded.

Croatian respondents were asked Merkel, Cameron, Hollande, Renzi and Rajoy

15

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

2

1

36

31

15

18

13

12

14

11

11

7

7

6

6

14

24

65

28

64

65

53

67

60

69

69

66

67

15

21

13

20

15

14

19

15

15

15

14

13

15

12

15

2

21

4

5

9

4

9

5

6

6

7

8

5

1

11

2

2

3

1

4

3

3

7

4

Angela Merkel

David Cameron

Fredrik Reinfeldt

François Hollande

Mark Rutte

Elio Di Rupo

Matteo Renzi

Enda Kenny

Mariano Rajoy

Bohulsav Sobotka

Donald Tusk

Viktor Orbán

Zoran Milanovic

% Very positive

% Fairly positive

% Do not know thisleader

% Know the leader buthave no opinion

% Fairly negative

% Very negative

Page 14: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following leaders?

Views of European leaders- Angela Merkel

51% Positive

19% Negative

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Question not asked in Germany.

Page 15: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following leaders?

Views of European leaders by country- Angela Merkel

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Question not asked in Germany.

15

35

18

15

20

9

13

14

11

16

11

6

36

46

42

43

33

43

37

33

36

29

32

22

15

2

12

15

20

11

14

10

25

20

21

10

14

5

13

20

17

19

17

11

14

9

24

11

12

7

11

4

6

14

13

18

10

14

8

25

8

5

4

3

4

4

6

14

4

12

4

26

Average

Croatia

Poland

Netherlands

Hungary

France

Belgium

Italy

Great Britain

Ireland

Sweden

Spain

Germany

% Very positive

% Fairly positive

% Do not know thisleader

% Know the leaderbut have no opinion

% Fairly negative

% Very negative

Page 16: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following leaders?

Views of European leaders- David Cameron

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Question not asked in Great Britain.

35% Positive

20% Negative

Page 17: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following leaders?

Views of European leaders by country- David Cameron

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Question not asked in Great Britain.

4

5

8

5

6

6

4

2

2

2

1

2

31

47

39

37

29

27

28

31

30

28

24

19

24

18

20

14

37

19

18

18

27

24

25

37

21

13

20

13

20

20

23

27

27

24

26

24

15

14

10

18

6

20

19

17

12

17

18

12

5

3

3

13

2

8

8

5

2

5

6

6

Average

Croatia

Italy

Ireland

Hungary

Poland

Spain

France

Netherlands

Belgium

Germany

Sweden

% Very positive

% Fairly positive

% Do not know thisleader

% Know the leader buthave no opinion

% Fairly negative

% Very negative

Page 18: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following leaders?

Views of European leaders- François Hollande

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Question not asked in France.

20% Positive

32% Negative

Page 19: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following leaders?

Views of European leaders by country- François Hollande

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,833 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Question not asked in France.

2

6

2

3

2

2

3

1

1

1

1

1

18

39

23

22

22

20

15

16

13

11

11

9

29

19

17

34

18

32

53

43

24

33

25

12

19

17

18

19

21

15

18

22

22

19

25

18

21

12

29

15

25

20

7

14

28

22

30

34

11

7

11

7

12

11

4

4

12

14

8

26

Average

Croatia

Italy

Poland

Spain

Ireland

Hungary

Sweden

Germany

Great Britain

Netherlands

Belgium

France

% Very positive

% Fairly positive

% Do not know thisleader

% Know the leader buthave no opinion

% Fairly negative

% Very negative

Page 20: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

Views of European Commission

President candidates

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

Page 21: Ipsos European Pulse: Majority of Citizens in 12 EU Countries are Not Interested in the Upcoming European Elections

Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following candidates as Presidents of the European Commission?

Opinions of EU Commission President candidates-

% Know the candidate

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,333 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Question not asked in Croatia

53

40

39

39

37

31

31

Marine Le Pen(EAF)

Martin Schulz(PES)

Jean-ClaudeJuncker (EPP)

José Bové(Greens)

Guy Verhofstadt(ALDE)

Ska Keller(Greens)

Alexis Tsipras(EL)

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Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI

What is your opinion of the following candidates as Presidents of the European Commission?

Opinions of EU Commission President candidates-

Summary

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 8,333 adults age 16-64 across Belgium, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Ireland,

Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden, April 1° -25° 2014. Question not asked in Croatia

3

2

2

3

2

1

1

12

11

11

9

10

8

7

62

62

61

47

62

70

69

13

13

13

13

12

10

10

6

7

8

9

8

6

7

4

5

5

19

6

5

6

Martin Schulz(PES)

Guy Verhofstadt(ALDE)

Jean-ClaudeJuncker (EPP)

Marine Le Pen(EAF)

José Bové(Greens)

Ska Keller(Greens)

Alexis Tsipras(EL)

% Very positive

% Fairly positive

% Do not knowthis leader

% Know theleader but haveno opinion

% Fairlynegative

% Very negative