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1 © 2015 Ipsos. Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU

Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

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Page 1: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

1 © 2015 Ipsos.

Ipsos European Pulse August 2015

Views on the EU

Page 2: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

2 © 2015 Ipsos.

ARE THINGS GOING IN RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK ACROSS THE EU?Large - and increasing - majorities in most countries think the EU is going in the wrong direction.

Indeed, a majority of EU citizens in all nine countries agree that things across the EU are heading off on the wrong track.

The proportion thinking things are headed in the wrong direction has increased in eight of nine countries since 2014.

Page 3: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

3 © 2015 Ipsos.

Are things across the European Union going in the right direction or are they on the wrong track?

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union are heading in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?

Base: 7,096 respondents from nine countries (Belgium: 505, France, 1,016, Germany, 1,015, Great Britain: 1,019, Hungary: 500, Italy: 1,015, Poland: 505, Spain: 1,016, Sweden: 505), July 24th - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

Country average: 27%

30% OR MORE

20% TO 29%

19% OR LESS

15%

32%16%

29%34%

32%

27%

36%

% saying ‘heading in right direction’

36%

25%

Page 4: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

4 © 2015 Ipsos.

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

Country average: 73%

80% OR MORE

71% TO 79%

70% OR LESS

% saying ‘off on the wrong track’

GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU SAY THINGS ACROSS THE EUROPEAN UNION ARE HEADING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR ARE THEY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK?

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH -AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

85%

68%

84%

71%66%

68%

73%

75%

64%

Are things across the European Union going in the right direction or are they on the wrong track?

Page 5: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

5 © 2015 Ipsos.

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

Are things going in the right direction or are they on the wrong track? TREND FROM 2014

GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU SAY THINGS ACROSS THE EUROPEAN UNION ARE HEADING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR ARE THEY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK?

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

INCREASE OF 7 POINTS OR MORE

INCREASE OF 4 – 6 POINTS

INCREASE OF 1 – 3 POINTS

NO CHANGE

DECREASE OF 1 – 3 POINTS

DECREASE OF 4 – 6 POINTS

DECREASE OF 7 POINTS OR MORE

% point change saying ‘heading in right direction’ since March 2014

Country average: 27% (-5 from March 2014)

-8

-4-5

-6

+8-8

-7

-3

-9

Page 6: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

6 © 2015 Ipsos.

HAS EU MEMBERSHIP SUPPORTED MEMBER STATES’ LIVING STANDARDS?Six in ten in disagree that their personal standard of living is higher now than if their country had not joined the EU.

However, this is a slight improvement in views of the living standard benefits of EU membership since 2014.

Page 7: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

7 © 2015 Ipsos.

8%

27%

40%

25%

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE STANDARD OF LIVING FOR ME AND MY FAMILY IS HIGHER NOW THAN IT WOULD HAVE BEEN IF MY COUNTRY HAD NOT JOINED THE EUROPEAN UNION

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

10%

31%

37%

22%AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

March 2014 August 2015

35%

65%

41%

59%

Has EU membership helped support living standards?

Page 8: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

8 © 2015 Ipsos.

117

131314

81071188109998

34

3932

363130

2931

2630

243028

282627

2129

24

3746

392929

3438

4637

414041

3842

2734

4950

1215

132727

292122

2227

2321

2623

3637

1821

Has EU membership helped support living standards? COUNTRY TREND

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE STANDARD OF LIVING FOR ME AND MY FAMILY IS HIGHER NOW THAN IT WOULD HAVE BEEN IF MY COUNTRY HAD NOT JOINED THE EUROPEAN UNION

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

2015

20142015

2014

2015

20142015

20142015

20142015

20142015201420152014

Great Britain

Poland

Hungary

Germany

Spain

Belgium

France

Italy

Sweden

2015

2014

Page 9: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

9 © 2015 Ipsos.

DOES THE EU UNFAIRLY ADVANTAGE MORE DEVELOPED MEMBERSTATES?Large majorities of citizens in more economically challenged EU countries feel that the EU gives an advantage to their more economically developed neighbours.

Three quarters of Italian citizens agree, as do a similar proportion of Spaniards. However, the majority disagree in Germany and Sweden.

Page 10: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

10 © 2015 Ipsos.

Does the EU unfairly advantage the Union’s more developed members?

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE EUROPEAN UNION GIVES AN UNFAIR ADVANTAGE TO MORE ECONOMICALLY DEVELOPED EUROPEAN COUNTRIES

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

18%

39%

32%

11%19%

40%

31%

11%AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

March 2014 August 2015

57%

43%

59%

41%

Page 11: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

11 © 2015 Ipsos.

Does the EU unfairly advantage the Union’s more developed members? COUNTRY TREND

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE EUROPEAN UNION GIVES AN UNFAIR ADVANTAGE TO MORE ECONOMICALLY DEVELOPED EUROPEAN COUNTRIES

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

3127

3433

2218

1510

2324

1515

1317

12789

4644

4240

4146

4642

3431

4243

3939

3331

3336

1823

1922

332533

402429

2932

3633

4044

4442

66664

116

818

1614

101111

1517

1512

2015

20142015

2014

2015

20142015

20142015

20142015

20142015201420152014

Italy

Spain

Poland

Great Britain

Hungary

France

Belgium

Germany

Sweden

2015

2014

Page 12: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

12 © 2015 Ipsos.

HAS EU PRESSURE TO CUT SPENDING DAMAGED MEMBER STATES’ ECONOMIES?

Two thirds say that their country’s economy has been damaged by EU pressure on their governments to cut spending.

Eight in ten Italians say their country’s economy has been damaged by EU pressure to implement spending cuts.

Page 13: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

13 © 2015 Ipsos.

21%

42%

29%

8%

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY COUNTRY’S ECONOMY HAS BEEN DAMAGED BY EU PRESSURE ON EUROZONE MEMBER GOVERNMENTS TO CUT THEIR SPENDING

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

24%

39%

29%

9%AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

March 2014 August 2015

62%

38%

63%

38%

Has EU pressure to cut spending damaged member states’ economies?

Page 14: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

14 © 2015 Ipsos.

4230

3427

3739

2825

171315

1119

171417

79

3940

4448

4036

4843

4251

3840

3237

3338

3640

1422

1720172220

2734

303841

3131

4329

4243

5855

5445

76

109

1716

101614

8

Has EU pressure to cut spending damaged member states’ economies? COUNTRY TREND

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY COUNTRY’S ECONOMY HAS BEEN DAMAGED BY EU PRESSURE ON EUROZONE MEMBER GOVERNMENTS TO CUT THEIR SPENDING

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

2015

20142015

2014

2015

20142015

20142015

20142015

20142015201420152014

Italy

France

Spain

Belgium

Great Britain

Germany

Hungary

Poland

Sweden

2015

2014

Page 15: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

15 © 2015 Ipsos.

MORE OR LESS POWER FOR THE EU?

Despite the concerns seen, there has been no increase in support for leaving the EU since 2014 – and in Britain the proportion who want to leave has slightly fallen.

France is more in favour of greater integration than in 2014, although both Italy and Spain are now less in favour.

Page 16: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

16 © 2015 Ipsos.

19%

19%

11%

32%

18% 19%

21%

15%

29%

17%

More or less power for the EU? IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

WORK FOR THE FORMATION OF A SINGLE EUROPEAN GOVERNMENT

STAY IN THE EUROPEAN UNION AND TRY TO INCREASE THE EUROPEAN UNION’S POWERS

LEAVE THINGS AS THEY ARE

STAY IN THE EUROPEAN UNION AND TRY TO REDUCE THE EUROPEAN UNION’S POWERS

LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION

March 2014 August 2015

PLEASE INDICATE WHAT YOU THINK THE LONG-TERM POLICY OF YOUR COUNTRY SHOULD BE:

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

Page 17: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

17 © 2015 Ipsos.

More or less power for the EU? COUNTRY TREND IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

PLEASE INDICATE WHAT YOU THINK THE LONG-TERM POLICY OF YOUR COUNTRY SHOULD BE:

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

WORK FOR THE FORMATION OF A SINGLE EUROPEAN GOVERNMENT

STAY IN THE EUROPEAN UNION AND TRY TO INCREASE THE EUROPEAN UNION’S POWERS

LEAVE THINGS AS THEY ARE

STAY IN THE EUROPEAN UNION AND TRY TO REDUCE THE EUROPEAN UNION’S POWERS

LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION

272324

2131

2719

2524

282122

1117

95

35

373130

1718

1323

2317

2120

2621

2413

128

8

747

716

1617

116

412

720

1525

142118

1825

1736

22292527

3025

353338

3430

4345

40

1117

2219

1416

1514

2321

11121011

2326

2428

2015

20142015

2014

2015

20142015

20142015

20142015

20142015201420152014

Hungary

France

Belgium

Germany

Italy

Spain

Poland

Sweden

Great Britain

2015

2014

Page 18: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

18 © 2015 Ipsos.

Support for integration stable on average, but shifts at country-level, with big increase in France

IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

PLEASE INDICATE WHAT YOU THINK THE LONG-TERM POLICY OF YOUR COUNTRY SHOULD BE:

BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.

40

64

5449

42 41 41

32 22

110

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Average HU FR BE DE IT ES PL SE GB

Mar-14

Aug-15

% of those saying ‘work towards the formation of a single European government’ or ‘stay in the European Union and increase the European Union’s powers’

Page 19: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

19 © 2015 Ipsos.

Technical noteIPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015

THESE ARE FINDINGS OF RESEARCH CONDUCTED BY THE GLOBAL RESEARCH COMPANY IPSOS.

RESPONDENTS AGED 16-64 WERE INTERVIEWED VIA THE IPSOS GLOBAL @DVISOR ONLINE PANEL IN BELGIUM, FRANCE, GREAT BRITAIN, GERMANY, HUNGARY, ITALY, POLAND, SPAIN AND SWEDEN BETWEEN JULY 24 - AUGUST 7, 2015. APPROXIMATELY 1000+ INDIVIDUALS PARTICIPATED ON A COUNTRY BY COUNTRY BASIS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF BELGIUM, HUNGARY, POLAND AND SWEDEN WHERE EACH HAVE A SAMPLE APPROXIMATELY 500+.

Page 20: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

20 © 2015 Ipsos.

Contacts

Bobby DuffyManaging Director, Ipsos Social Research Instititue

[email protected]

Michael ClemenceSenior Research Executive, Ipsos Social Research Institute

[email protected]

+44 20 3473 3484

Mike WheelerSenior Research Executive, Ipsos Social Research Institute

[email protected]

+44 20 3473 3125

Page 21: Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 Views on the EU€¦ · ipsos european pulse: august 2015 PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: MY OUNTRY’S EONOMY

21 © 2015 Ipsos.

ABOUT IPSOS

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research programs in more than 100 countries. Founded

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