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IMPACT OF LEVERAGE ON SHAREHOLDERS’ RETURN:A STUDY ON SELECTED LISTED MANUFACTURING COMPANIES IN
SRI LANKA
Presented by:
S.Niththiya & R.Nirujah Department of Accounting
heldon
15th March, 2014
at International Conference on Contemporary Management
University of JaffnaJaffna, Sri Lanka
Outline of the Presentation
Introduction Objectives Literature Review Conceptualization Operationalization Hypothesis Development Research Methodology Data Analysis and Findings Hypothesis Testing Conclusion Recommendations
Introduction • “The Proportion of Debt to Equity in the financial plan of a firm is called
leverage”. Since optimal debt ratio influences a firm’s market value and shareholder’s return, different firms use different debt ratio at different levels to maximize market value and shareholders return.
• The Shareholders’ return that an investor receives for one or more investments held. In the case of stock, this includes capital gain from increases in stock price as well as dividend issued.
• Numerous researches have been conducted over the years on these issues. Most of these empirical studies have been conducted on developed countries perspective.
• Our research aims to investigate impact of leverage on shareholders’ return: a study on selected listed manufacturing companies in Srilanka
Objectives
The main objective of the study is to examine the impact of leverage on shareholders’ return of selected listed manufacturing companies on CSE in Sri Lanka.
To achieve above objective the following sub objectives have enclosed:
To identify the relationship between leverage and shareholders’ return
To access the dependency of leverage on shareholders’ return
To suggest manufacturing companies to maximize shareholders’ return through leverage.
Literature Review Author(s) Discussion(s)/ Finding(s)
Franklin John.S and Muththusamy.K (2011)
They found that a significant positive relationship between leverage and investment and negative relationship between leverage and SR for medium firm.
Sachchidand, Navindra and Totala (2012)
The overall finding indicate that there is not significant influence of financial leverage on shareholders’ return and market capitalaization
Rajni(2012) There positive correlation in the financial leverage and shareholders’ return of telecommunication industry and negative correlation is found between financial leverage and market capitalization
Vijayalakshimi and Padmaja (2013)
The study exposed that the leverage has a significant influence on shareholder value creation.
Conceptualization
Earnings per Share
Return on shareholders’
Funds
Dividend Yield
Deb
t to
Equi
ty
Deb
t to
Tota
l Ass
et
SHAR
EHO
LDER
S’ R
ETU
RN
LEVERAGE
OperationalizationKey Concept Variables Measurement
Leverage Debt to Equity Total Debt/ Shareholders’ Equity
Debt to Total Assets Total Debt/ Total Asset
Shareholders’ Return Earning Per Share (Net Income − Dividends on Preferred Shares)/ Number of Equity Shares Outstanding
Return on Shareholders’ Fund
Net profit after taxation & preference dividend/ (Ordinary share capital + Reserves) * 100%
Dividend Yield Dividend per Share/Market value per Share*100%
Hypotheses Development
• Based on the literature review and objectives the following hypotheses were formulated: Hypothesis-1:
H1: Leverage has an impact on shareholders’ return. Hypothesis-2:
H2: Leverage and shareholders’ return are significantly correlated.
Methodology
Scope: The scope of the study was listed manufacturing companies listed on Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE), Sri Lanka. Out of 38 companies of this sector, only twelve companies were selected for this study as per the cluster sampling techniques.
Data source: This study was based on the secondary data.
Period of Study: The study covered five years time period from 2008 to 2012.
Variables
i. Dependent Variable : Shareholders’ Return
ii. Independent Variable: Leverage
Mode of analysis
Descriptive statistics are used to describe and summarize the behavior of the variables used in the study. In order to test the research hypotheses; the inferential tests used include the Correlation Analysis and regression analysis.
Data Analysis and Findings
Table 1- Descriptive Statistics
N Minimum Maximum MeanStd.
Deviation VarianceDE 12 .04 1.88 .4910 .4861 .236
DTA 12 .34 2.00 .6224 .4535 .206
EPS 12 .23 13.72 6.9063 4.4318 19.641
ROSF 12 4.39 64.40 16.9537 16.0226 256.724
DY 12 .00 7.66 2.7262 2.2755 5.178
Table 2 CorrelationsDE DTA EPS ROSF DY
DE Pearson Correlation 1
Sig. (2-tailed)DTA Pearson
Correlation .038 1
Sig. (2-tailed) .906EPS Pearson
Correlation -.242 .004 1
Sig. (2-tailed) .448 .990ROSF Pearson
Correlation -.473 -.365 .550 1
Sig. (2-tailed) .121 .244 .064DY Pearson
Correlation -.394 -.445 .467 .805** 1
Sig. (2-tailed) .206 .148 .126 .002
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
Table 4 : Coefficient Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Sta.Coefficients
t Sig.B Std. Error Beta1 Constant
DEDTA
7.912-2.21.131
2.7632.9503.163
-.243.013
2.86-.751.041
.019
.472
.968
2 ConstantDE
DTA
32.017-15.138-12.260
8.3438.9079.549
-.459-.347
3.837-1.699-1.284
.004
.123
.231
3 ConstantDE
DTA
4.936-1.765-2.158
1.1891.2691.360
-.377-.430
4.153-1.391-1.586
.002
.198
.147
a. Dependent Variable: Earning Per Share
Hypotheses Testing
NO Hypotheses Tools Result
H1Leverage has an impact on
shareholders’ return. Regression Rejected
H2Leverage and shareholders’
return are significantly correlated. Correlation Rejected
Table 5 Hypotheses testing
Conclusion
Negative association was observed between DE and EPS, ROSF, and DY all of these association were to be insignificant at 0.05 level.
As well as negative association was observed between DTA and ROSF, DY but the DTA and EPS are positively associated. It was 0.004. Thus confirms there are negative relationships between all variables other than the DTA and EPS.
The result revealed that there was no significant relationship between leverage and shareholders’ return of Srilankan manufacturing companies.
Recommendations
The following suggestions are recommended to increase the Shareholders’ return based on leverage.
I. Firms should use more of equity than debt in financing their business activities
II. The government should create an enabling business friendly environment so that businesses can thrive and thus increase the shareholders’ return
III. Inflation and exchange rate also affect the listed company’s shareholders’ return. Therefore, government should consider the economic growth to control the inflation.
Thank you for your time and
Co-operation