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3 November 2014
Using Particle Modeling for Ecological
Questions Case Study Birds Dispersion in
the North Sea Transportmodelling of Common Guillemot and Razorbill in
the North Sea
Steve Geelhoed (IMARES)
Marc Weeber ; Mathieu Chatelain (Deltares)
Setup
1. Introduction
2. Background information
3. Modelling
4. Results
5. Surveys
6. Conclusion
Introduction
• Project “Aanvullende Beschermde
Gebieden”
• Potential NATURA 2000 areas
• Brown Ridge is currently not
protected. However, aggregation of
bird species at the Brown Ridge
• What could be the reason?
• Good feeding grounds (more
fish available)
• Effect of hydrodynamics
Background information
Common Guillemot Razorbill
Location Common Guillemot Razorbill
Seaborne June September
Brown Ridge November-February January-March
Background information
Common Guillemot Razorbill
Background information
August-September December-January
Modelling
Research question:
- Can the effect of the hydrodynamics
explain why these bird species aggregate
at the Brown Ridge?
Approach:
- Model the bird species as floating
particles in the North Sea.
- Assume that flying has no effect on their
distribution
11 november 2014
Forward:
Where do particles go to after
release from the central North
Sea?
Backward:
Where do particles that end up at
the Brown Ridge come from?
Modelling
Hydrodynamics:
2003 – 2004 (average wind / high peaks)
2005 – 2006 (average wind / low peaks )
2006 – 2007 (high wind)
Wind:
Yes / No
Release period:
Forward Backward
15 Jul 15 Dec
1 Aug 15 Jan
15 Aug 15 Feb
1 Sep 15 Mar
Results
Forward
15 Aug 2005
Results
Forward
-Hydrodynamics:
- First days remain in place due to tide.
- Eventually moves out of the North model boundary along the Danish coast.
-Wind:
- Particles move out of the North model boundary more quickly with wind
influence.
- The amount of particles that get stuck along the Dutch and Danish coast
increases with wind influence.
-Release period:
- The amount of time that the particles remain in the model is overall longest when
released on 15 July. Probably due to lower wind velocities.
-Period:
- The periods 2005-2006 and 2006-2007 look alike (end at North model boundary)
- The period 2003-2004 deviates as in two release periods some particles end up
along the English coast.
Results
Backward
15 Dec 2003
Results
Backward
-Hydrodynamics:
- Particles are originating from the English Channel and the English South East
coast.
-Wind:
- With wind particles can also be originating from the English North East coast.
- With wind it is less likely that particles are originating from outside the model
boundary of the English Channel.
-Release period:
- Period of release and place of origination doesn’t has a consistent effect in the
different periods
-Period:
- In the periods 2003-2004 and 2005-2006 particles can originate from the English
North East coast.
- In the period 2005-2006 there are no particles orginating from the English
Channel.
Results
Surveys: distribution Common Guillemot
Surveys: distribution Razorbill
Conclusion
Forward:
•The forward simulation corresponds with the distribution of Common
Guillemot and Razorbill up to September (moulting).
Backward:
•For Common Guillemot it is likely that part of the individuals that end
up at the Brown Ridge make use of the currents (English Channel,
English East Coast). Most distribute by active transport.
•For Razorbill it is unlikely that they make use of the currents to end
up at the Brown Ridge. Active transport by flying.
Conclusion
Overall:
•Both Common Guillemot as Razorbill need active movement to end
up at the Brown Ridge within the modelled time span.
•Both species need active movement to maintain at the Brown Ridge.
Concluding : Hydrodynamics are not (solely) responsible for high
aggregation at the Brown Ridge. Common Guillemot
and Razorbill specifically move towards the Brown
Ridge.
Thank you
Thank you for your attention.
Questions?