General overview of

crisis in Ukraine

Iryna Troian,

Student of National University of

Kyiv-Mohyla Academy,

Ukraine

July 17, 2014

31,1

65,3 68,9

0

20

40

60

80

100

2010 2011 2013

Ex-President

Hard to say

Mistrust

Trust

56,2

76,8

0

20

40

60

80

100

2010 2013

Parliament

45,5

71

0

20

40

60

80

100

2010 2013

Government

From 2010 to 2013

Level of credibility to the…

Representative survey of Ukrainians provided by «Democratic Initiatives» and Razumkov Center of Sociological

Reaserch; N of respondents = 2010 (age from 18), statistical sampling error 2,3%.

Are there any

reasons for riot

and

dissatisfaction?

hidden income hidden income Declared income

savings

no

Wealth of ex-President of Ukraine

Realty, m2

Land, hectares

Savings

MAIDAN.

Chronology of protest

activity

in Ukraine

from November 21 2013 till now

How does it start?

Stage 1.

Support for the

European

integration

The beginning of a

nationwide student

strike.

Youth of nation

for Euro

Integration

PEACEFUL STUDENT`S

DEMONSTRATION

WAS VIOLENTLY

DISPERSED BY POLICE.

30 November, 2013

2nd Stage

FOR

RESIGNATION OF THE

GOVERNMENT

AND THE PRESIDENT OF

UKRAINE.

Next day MILLION of

people came to streets

against a police state

«Rule of Law instead of

rule of criminals»

Socio-demographic

portrait

of the Ukrainian

protesters

7-8th of December 2013 Sociological survey provided by Kyiv International Institute of sociology and

Fond of Democratic Initiatives Sample = 1037 respondents

56%

44%

Gender

Men Women

38%

49%

13%

Middle age

36

15-29

30-54

55 +

64%

22%

13% 1%

Education

Higher

Secondary

Uncomplete higher

Junior secondary

47%

14%

11%

11%

9% 8%

Occupation

Specialists with higher education

Students

Enterpreneurs

Pensioners

Managers

Workers 92%

4% 3,5% 1% Membership

NON-MEMBERS of parties,

movements or NGOMembers of parties

Affiliated into NGO

Affiliated into social

movements

54% 27%

18%

1%

Language Ukrainian

Russian

Ukrainian and Russian

Another

HUNTING FOR

ACTIVISTS:

violent beating of journalists

and activist, burning their

cars, threats…

MAIDAN

ANTICONSTITUTIONAL

OVERTHROW IN

UKRAINE

January 16, 2014

Stage 3.

January 19, 2014

Liberation

struggle against the

dictatorial regime

of Yanukovych

STRUGGLE STARTS

ON THE 60TH DAY OF

PROTEST

AFTER TWO MONTH

OF PIESFUL

DEMONSTRATIONS

COST OF

FREEDOM

and dictatorship laws

abolition

dead

injured

detaineed

missing

19-25th of January

Stage 4.

CULMINATION

February 19, 2014

«ANTI-TERRORISTIC

OPERATION»

mass shooting of

demonstrators

During 2 days

more then

100 people

were killed

Spread of mass

anti-governmental protests

Escape of

Yanukovych

ANNEXATION OF CRIMEA

Self-proclaimed head of AR of

Crimea ask Putin for help

…

entry of the armed forces of

RF on the territory of Crimea

without any signs

= hybrid war

March 1

Decision about deployment of

Russian troops on the

territory of Ukraine

=

undeclared announcement of

war

March 16

SO CALLED

«REFERENDUM»

TOOK PLACE

93%

«Opinions and views of

population in South-East

Ukraine», April 2014

3232 interviews

Data represents

population aged over 18 in

each of 8 regions of

South-East Ukraine

64% political system of

Ukraine should be

unitary

11.8% federalization as way to

preserve the unity of

country

DEMANDS

DISARMAMENT

SECURITY

IMPROVE

QUALITY OF LIFE

against federalization

Do not see any

limitations on the

rights of Russian-

speaking population in

Ukraine.

do not support the idea

of separating their

regions from Ukraine.

70%

76.5%

are NOT willing to

go out and take

part in separatist`s

rally for joining

Russia.

54% «Russia illegally

interfering in the

internal affairs of

Ukraine»

40.7% that caused by the

desire to connect

territories of Ukraine

Kharkiv

Donetsk Luhansk Dnepropetrovsk

There is NO civil war

in Ukraine

Russian minorities are

not discriminated

=

it is not internal

conflict

Undeclared war of RU

against UA

Recognize Russia as an

aggressor

supporting terrorism

and threatening

territorial unity and

political independence

of Ukraine